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Our bromigo here is correct IMO. Wisconsin is not in play for Trump, or if it is it's because we're talking about an epic blowout.
Trump's message resonates most in the Industrial rust belt of the Midwest where manufacturing jobs have been decimated due to Nafta, etc.. A lot of people are talking about this as his most likely path to victory. It's going to be difficult but it's certainly not impossible. Trump has already taken in a lot of Democrats and more will follow. In the Primary season Republican numbers were up 65% and Democrat numbers were down 20%. Get ready to hear a new phrase - Trump Democrats.Michigan and Pennsylvania haven't voted Republican in a national election since 1988, and almost 40% of Florida's population is black or Hispanic. You genuinely believe that these states are all going to be won by Trump?
Yeah, you're right. You provided a serious response. Sorry for being a #####. FWIW I don't think that Florida is a lock for the Democrats. It's a demographically weird state full of old people, as you mentioned. I do think that the racial / ethnic diversity in Florida make it a huge uphill battle for Trump, though. Michigan and Pennsylvania are pretty much out of reach for any Republican at this point, realistically.
I'm guessing that you are referring to that US News & World Report poll here? Might want to read this: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/01/10/that-survey-showing-20-percent-of-democrats-backing-trump-come-on/. Plus, turnout from actual conservatives for Trump is going to be much lower than it would for an actually remotely conservative candidate. And again, women might be a pretty big problem for him, eh?
But who? Actual real conservatives aren't going to go anywhere near him based on his policy positions. And anyone that wants a future politically will have to think long and hard about how realistic his chances are and what attaching themselves to him will mean career-wise moving forward.
I think the key to his nomination is going to be his running mate. If he goes with the Governor of N.M. Susanna Martinez. I think he would really help his cause.
He already said no
We say this every year and about every single candidate on both sides and it really never ends up mattering all that much in the end.
No clue if they'd do it but a Condi Rice, Nikki Haley or the New Mexico Gov Martinez. I don't follow closely enough to know who else is out there.
Personally I think he'd be better off trying to woo actual conservatives by picking an experienced retired Republican Senator or Congressman with some foreign policy chops. He can't undo the damage with Latinos at this point with a VP choice IMO.
If this election cycle holds true, I don't think any state is a lock for any candidate.
I'm hoping for Newt Gingrich. Would love to see the party of family values trot out the rarely seen six-marriage ticket.
My level of dislike for Trump is pretty high.
Newt has been sucking his #### on Fox for the better part of the last two years in anticipation for this..
It probably won't help him with Latinos, but it might help with white people who want to support him without seeming like racists.
Yeah, maybe. IMO that's also kind of a black / white issue too though. Either you realize that he's a bigot, or you don't. And if you do, you're either OK with that, or you're not, and running with a minority seems unlikely to change things. And also, how do his openly racist supporters, and there are a ton of those (no, not all of them), react?
This is true and a pretty good point.
I don't suppose the guy whose name is on the building could possibly request something off menu. That's crazy talk right there.
I did too because it was so in-your-face and tone deaf.
"Whether its cleaning the floors of Trump Tower or picking the ingredients for this taco bowl that I wont eat, there is nothing Hispanics cant do. Great people, really, the best."
