What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

****OFFICIAL DYNASTY TRADES**** (27 Viewers)

If I were offered Watson for Williams straight up, I'd take Watson at this point
I was not as down on Williams play last year as you appear to be, though to be fair it was not overly encouraging either but to me it was more or less expected in light of his injury recovery.

But saying all that I'd take Watson over him, would not have to think to hard about it either.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
Fair, I'd probably take the pick right now but agree Ridley could easily be a stud with TL.
I'd probably take the pick on my rebuilds, but not contenders. Therefore this seems fair.
Me too, without hesitation. Remember, Ridley wasn’t that great the season before the suspension if memory serves.
 
Still holds true but not like he was a top end pick in all leagues.
Ok, in MOST leagues.
I think he should have been. I would have taken him higher than that but I moved my picks to go up and get Hall. Maybe some of the people in my league were right though as Olave, Wilson, London, and Watson could all end up being better than him. Skyy Moore, James Cook, and Dotson I don't think will though and the jury is still out on Burks.
Sure. The first round last year really went well for most. Hardly any pitfalls.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
That's higher then I thought Ridley's value had ascended but then I guess that's why I can't obtain him. My history of spending late 1's for older WR's is god awful so I could not do it but understand if you got a need, I believe strongly in Ridley and think you should benefit greatly in next 2-3 years.
 
Jameson Williams is pretty obviously worth more right now than he was when people drafted him.
That new owner is obviously terrible. Please post any future trades he makes and remind us it's the owner who traded Jameson Williams for scraps.
I don't think I agree with this. He came back in week 13 (6 games) playing for a team fighting for their playoff lives and totaled 9 targets, 1 rec, 41 yards, 1 TD, 1 rush, 40 yards. I would not say its pretty obvious he's worth more.
He was recovering from an ACL tear - most players struggle in year one. This year he enters the season healthy - of course he’s worth more. People were paying for him knowing he’d be of no help in 2022.

Struggle!?!?

Based on FantasyPros 2022 rankings, Williams was 4th behind Hall, London, and Walker. No matter how I look at it, by either comparing him to his draft class, the value of the pick, or his value overall do I see anyway his value went up. I could be wrong, but I'm not paying a mid 1st for him.
I'm not talking about his ADP.
If you didn't rank him that high last year that's fine.
I am talking about personal value to someone. If you personally value him less right now than you did a year ago, something's wrong with your process.
The problem is that you said he's obviously worth more now. I said he isn't. The only part I got wrong is that I said I wouldn't pay a mid 1st for him. I would in this class, but I would not pay more than what I thought he was worth on draft day a year ago.
Let's put this another way. Let's say you "grade" players for value.
Let's say hypothetically you graded Williams a 75 last year at this time. What do you grade him now?
That number HAS to be higher considering the red shirt roster clogging year is over.
I understand where you're coming from. My opinion differs from yours because you are putting no stock into what we saw. I don't think DET was in a position to bring him along slowly once he was deemed healthy. He had 5 games going into the playoff to start to get up to speed. He didn't. Very small sample size, but I'm taking it into account.

Said another way, being healthy raises his value, what I saw/expected lowers it.
I think both of you are right in ways. I think he is basically worth the same overall value this year as he was last year as I don't think what we saw lowers his value but he could be drafted higher because he isn't injured so you could consider that raises his value some. He went 1.12 in our draft last year and I'd say if not injured (which he shouldn't be this year) then his value would be higher than that. That being said, I think I'd prefer to keep any top 6 pick personally over him as we don't know Goff is there long term, ASB is still there to take a ton of targets, and we haven't seen enough from him. I value him about the same though.

Don’t know if it was this thread or the dynasty one but had a lot of these same arguments a month or two ago. Jameson came back much later than expected and despite being healthy barely saw any action those last 6 games of the season. He had a couple of electric plays but was also basically invisible the rest of the time. You’d expect a lot more involvement once he was able to get on the field but it disappointingly didn’t happen.

Now he’s healthy and gets a full off-season to prepare, but ARSB broke out big time and proved he wasn’t a 1 year fluke too. The Lions seem content to roll with Goff as well long-term which while he was much improved this past season it is still a bit concerning.
 
Whose value increased more from last year's rookie drafts to now. Christian Watson or Jameson Williams?
From a value of what you could sell for, I’d say Watson.
My “value increase” position is mostly looking at what I think is a “win now” perspective even in rookie drafts. Situation such as injury or landing spots probably has more sway than it should. The consensus RB3 can get jumped in the draft by RB4 and RB5 (heck sometimes RB9) depending on landing spots.
That’s a long winded way of saying Williams was discounted already due to injury (in most rookie drafts) - people want to see their guy play. Now he’s fully healthy and ready to play. That has to be an increase to his value - but there’s so many factors in market value that I probably shouldn’t have spoken so assuredly.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
Fair, I'd probably take the pick right now but agree Ridley could easily be a stud with TL.
I'd probably take the pick on my rebuilds, but not contenders. Therefore this seems fair.
Me too, without hesitation. Remember, Ridley wasn’t that great the season before the suspension if memory serves.
I might be a sucker for the sob story, but his article in the Athletic explained all of that. He was massively injured and kept playing through it.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
That's higher then I thought Ridley's value had ascended but then I guess that's why I can't obtain him. My history of spending late 1's for older WR's is god awful so I could not do it but understand if you got a need, I believe strongly in Ridley and think you should benefit greatly in next 2-3 years.
I won the league 2 seasons ago, and lack a clear WR1. Not to call Ridley a WR1, but his potential is certainly there. A year off to recover mentally and physically, with a top young QB and ascending offense could fill that need for me with late-mid 1st, which is much cheaper than I would have to pay for most other WRs with his upside.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
That's higher then I thought Ridley's value had ascended but then I guess that's why I can't obtain him. My history of spending late 1's for older WR's is god awful so I could not do it but understand if you got a need, I believe strongly in Ridley and think you should benefit greatly in next 2-3 years.
Too rich for my blood. I respect him more after the letter, but not enough to pay 1.08 for him.
 
Whose value increased more from last year's rookie drafts to now. Christian Watson or Jameson Williams?
Watson

Whose value increased more from last year's rookie drafts to now. Christian Watson or Jameson Williams?
Watson for sure I'd think. JW is basically holding steady, Watson showed and played well for stretches but QB uncertainty could temper enthusiasm.

Whose value increased more from last year's rookie drafts to now. Christian Watson or Jameson Williams?
I would bet Watson because we have seen it. Williams we are still projecting a ton but the talent is there.

Thanks for replies and I think Watson did so easily. He also went a few picks after Jameson so he had more ground to make up.

I asked the question because a few weeks ago someone traded Watson for 1.4 and some change and a few people here were saying that was to much for Watson, he had not done enough to have his value grow that high. It seems to me some of those same people are putting Jameson's value on par with range of 3-5(which I agree with fwiw, not disputing that). Just thought it was interesting.
Interesting observation. I think I was on the 1.04 side in that conversation but there was a strong argument for the Watson side.

If I were offered Watson for Williams straight up, I'd take Watson at this point. I feel like I'm on an island considering Williams play last season, so I'm probably relying on it too heavily.
I think you could be a little bit but nothing wrong with it. I like the upside so I'd probably take Williams over Watson but I wouldn't trade 1.04 for either of them. Watson did go like 3 picks before Williams in our draft. I can see both sides though as Watson looked good at times. I think Williams didn't do anything to help or hurt his value but you don't have to redshirt him now. Probably preference though as both have a bunch of upside.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
Pretty easily taking the 1.08 over the to-be 29 year old WR with a single 1K season under his belt who hasn’t played in two years, no matter whether I’m contending or rebuilding. Pretty surprised that’s where Ridley’s value is at.
 
Just completed

Gave: 1.8
Got: Ridley, 4.1

Need WR badly. Can't imagine there would be 6 WRs in this draft that I would prefer over Ridley's upside with Lawrence.
That's higher then I thought Ridley's value had ascended but then I guess that's why I can't obtain him. My history of spending late 1's for older WR's is god awful so I could not do it but understand if you got a need, I believe strongly in Ridley and think you should benefit greatly in next 2-3 years.
Too rich for my blood. I respect him more after the letter, but not enough to pay 1.08 for him.
I think Ridley is in that spot where he is worth more to the current owner as it would take 1.08 or so to part with him but I wouldn't trade him for that. I just turned down 2.01 for him but I have a very much win now team.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07

I was just in his thread talking about how I think Monty coming is an improvement for him compared to Jamaal, but this more than I’d pay. But then again, I got a serious problem with trading for just about any running back in March. It’s just bad business to do so.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
Really? You still believe that? How many years will it take? I would take the 1.7 and 2.7 and run.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
Really? You still believe that? How many years will it take? I would take the 1.7 and 2.7 and run.
I agree. I'd almost feel bad taking 1.07.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
For 1-2 games sure but I think we have seen enough in 3 years that we can be pretty confident he can't hit that ceiling for a season. You will get more games where he doesn't play much or you can't play him at all to make him worth a top end pick. I get why people like him though. He passes the eye test when right, playing well, and being used by his team. Problem is those 3 things happen maybe 2-3 times per year. Plus, nobody is going to pay him and commit to him for a 2nd deal either so I don't see that changing at all.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
I think I’d almost take 1.7 alone for him at this point.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
I think I’d almost take 1.7 alone for him at this point.
I'm pretty sure I would. I know I wouldn't pay 1.07 for him personally. I don't like the idea of paying up for a guy that I can't play a ton of the year and I don't see a long term future anywhere.
 
16-team SF PPR IDP

Gave: 2024 mid-to-late 1st
Received: Roshad Bateman

Took a chance - my WR corps is Higgins, Aiyuk, Mooney, GDavis, Dorsett, Mims, so I needed a WR bad. And in a 16 team league with deep rosters (50+taxi) it’s tough to pull off trades.

When healthy Bateman slots in as my WR3, maybe WR2. He’s been snakebit by injury so I’m betting on talent. 1st round pick, size/speed. Lisfranc doesn’t scare me as much as it once did.

Maybe he’ll pop off at the GM again and get traded. :wub: (Probably not tho)
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
Really? You still believe that? How many years will it take? I would take the 1.7 and 2.7 and run.
I feel like this may be the last justifiable season to be a believer. One major key to me is the question of "durability concern" versus "random bad luck in health". If he's out or limited the majority of the season again, then yeah I guess that would probably convince me he just can't hold up. But my high valuation of him depends on the possibility that what we've seen is a rather unlikely fluke. The sample size is getting pretty significant, though. Flip a coin 50 times and tell me every significant portion of the result sequence looks completely patternless.
 
16-team SF PPR IDP

Gave: 2024 mid-to-late 1st
Received: Roshad Bateman

Took a chance - my WR corps is Higgins, Aiyuk, Mooney, GDavis, Dorsett, Mims, so I needed a WR bad. And in a 16 team league with deep rosters (50+taxi) it’s tough to pull off trades.

When healthy Bateman slots in as my WR3, maybe WR2. He’s been snakebit by injury so I’m betting on talent. 1st round pick, size/speed. Lisfranc doesn’t scare me as much as it once did.

Maybe he’ll pop off at the GM again and get traded. :wub: (Probably not tho)
I don't mind taking a chance on Bateman here as I do like his talent. It totally depends on where that pick falls. If it ends up falling early then you will lose this. If it is late, you should be good. Mid seems about fair. Totally just need him healthy though but if he fixes that then this could pay off. Seems about right to me but I don't play any IDP and only play SF in redraft leagues for what my oppinnion is worth in this format.
 
Mid seems about fair. Totally just need him healthy though but if he fixes that then this could pay off. Seems about right to me but I don't play any IDP and only play SF in redraft leagues for what my oppinnion is worth in this format.
I was the 8th highest scoring team last year after losing Hall, Lance, and 6 IDP players.

That it’s SF/IDP doesn’t really effect much with regard to player values other than 50+taxi increases every player’s value due to the depth of rosters and size of league.
 
16-team SF PPR IDP

Gave: 2024 mid-to-late 1st
Received: Roshad Bateman

Took a chance - my WR corps is Higgins, Aiyuk, Mooney, GDavis, Dorsett, Mims, so I needed a WR bad. And in a 16 team league with deep rosters (50+taxi) it’s tough to pull off trades.

When healthy Bateman slots in as my WR3, maybe WR2. He’s been snakebit by injury so I’m betting on talent. 1st round pick, size/speed. Lisfranc doesn’t scare me as much as it once did.

Maybe he’ll pop off at the GM again and get traded. :wub: (Probably not tho)
Most people will probably prefer the pick here, but I’m fine taking Bateman. I was a big fan of his coming into the league and I’m still a believer. He just has to stay on the field. Definitely like it even more if the pick ends up late.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
Really? You still believe that? How many years will it take? I would take the 1.7 and 2.7 and run.
I feel like this may be the last justifiable season to be a believer. One major key to me is the question of "durability concern" versus "random bad luck in health". If he's out or limited the majority of the season again, then yeah I guess that would probably convince me he just can't hold up. But my high valuation of him depends on the possibility that what we've seen is a rather unlikely fluke. The sample size is getting pretty significant, though. Flip a coin 50 times and tell me every significant portion of the result sequence looks completely patternless.
Possibly but he had shoulder issues in college too and now that is one of the issues he is having in the pros too. Also, a groin injury he had in college that he also had in the pros. When hurting the same body parts that can't be just bad luck. Plus, even when he was supposedly healthy last year, it didn't seem like he had full trust of the Lions.
 
Mid seems about fair. Totally just need him healthy though but if he fixes that then this could pay off. Seems about right to me but I don't play any IDP and only play SF in redraft leagues for what my oppinnion is worth in this format.
I was the 8th highest scoring team last year after losing Hall, Lance, and 6 IDP players.

That it’s SF/IDP doesn’t really effect much with regard to player values other than 50+taxi increases every player’s value due to the depth of rosters and size of league.
I was more meaning knowing draft pick value in that format. Seems like a decent move if trades are hard to come by specifically.
 
16-team SF PPR IDP

Gave: 2024 mid-to-late 1st
Received: Roshad Bateman

Took a chance - my WR corps is Higgins, Aiyuk, Mooney, GDavis, Dorsett, Mims, so I needed a WR bad. And in a 16 team league with deep rosters (50+taxi) it’s tough to pull off trades.

When healthy Bateman slots in as my WR3, maybe WR2. He’s been snakebit by injury so I’m betting on talent. 1st round pick, size/speed. Lisfranc doesn’t scare me as much as it once did.

Maybe he’ll pop off at the GM again and get traded. :wub: (Probably not tho)
I want the pick by 5 miles or so.  But, we have only a 2-3 WR lineup, and I have very good WR's already. So a mid-to-late first would either be a top 6 rookie RB which is usually a top asset, or very possibly Harrison. If not Harrison, there's almost no way I'd have to dig deeper than WR2 with a mid-to-late first. Which is certainly much better than Bateman's value.

But of course you're in a much different situation, so it makes a lot more sense there.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
Really? You still believe that? How many years will it take? I would take the 1.7 and 2.7 and run.
I feel like this may be the last justifiable season to be a believer. One major key to me is the question of "durability concern" versus "random bad luck in health". If he's out or limited the majority of the season again, then yeah I guess that would probably convince me he just can't hold up. But my high valuation of him depends on the possibility that what we've seen is a rather unlikely fluke. The sample size is getting pretty significant, though. Flip a coin 50 times and tell me every significant portion of the result sequence looks completely patternless.
Just a FYI, in college he was always nicked. He didn’t miss a lot of games, but was constantly coming out of games for some boo boo or another. Just like in the pros there always seem to be something with him. Just like Staley said, he doesn’t know the difference between pain and injury.
 
12 team ppr QB/2RB/3WR/TE/FL

  • Team A gave up Swift, D'Andre DET RB
  • Team B gave up Year 2023 Draft Pick 1.07; Year 2023 Draft Pick 2.07
Did team B not hear about the Monty signing before hitting accept on this offer?

It happened yesterday at 10:45 pm, so probably (unless he wasn't paying attention). I wasn't involved, but that news wouldn't have changed anything for me - as I would have expected Williams back anyway.
Even if Ja-Will was back instead of Monty....with Swift's injury history, he isn't worth the 1.07 any more I don't think. I tried telling people in this thread last year that he was over valued but got a lot of arguments. Unless Swift could stay on the field and have the bigger % of a committee then this is definitely too much for him.
I guess I'm still just the crazy Swifty truther, but no, just no way I'd trade Swift for a pick lower than 1.03. Ceiling isn't  likely, but it's plausible and it's extreme.
Really? You still believe that? How many years will it take? I would take the 1.7 and 2.7 and run.
I feel like this may be the last justifiable season to be a believer. One major key to me is the question of "durability concern" versus "random bad luck in health". If he's out or limited the majority of the season again, then yeah I guess that would probably convince me he just can't hold up. But my high valuation of him depends on the possibility that what we've seen is a rather unlikely fluke. The sample size is getting pretty significant, though. Flip a coin 50 times and tell me every significant portion of the result sequence looks completely patternless.
Possibly but he had shoulder issues in college too and now that is one of the issues he is having in the pros too. Also, a groin injury he had in college that he also had in the pros. When hurting the same body parts that can't be just bad luck. Plus, even when he was supposedly healthy last year, it didn't seem like he had full trust of the Lions.
Good points. Yes, the trust situation is irritating, too. Suppose -- just suppose, humor me -- he goes out there and rocks it in the receiving game, and the occasional shots he gets on the ground. Outperforms Montgomery by a good margin. Has no injuries or practice limitations through the first 5 games. I feel like he could slowly garner that trust back. Basically, just saying, though injuries and trust may be two problems, if the former is solved, the latter could/should follow. Now, the odds that the above suppositions actually come true? Okay, maybe a generous 15%. Y'all probably saying "generous? That's an understatement."
 
The amount of false narratives on Swift is amazing to me - it’s like an echo chamber sometimes.

Personally I’m done discussing him because the same BS keeps getting repeated over and over by mostly the same people.
 
The amount of false narratives on Swift is amazing to me - it’s like an echo chamber sometimes.

Personally I’m done discussing him because the same BS keeps getting repeated over and over by mostly the same people.
I wouldn’t call a lot of it false narrative. He is nicked a lot, dating back to college and Staley did say he needs to know the diffence between pain and injury. That isn’t false narrative.
 
For what it is worth, on keeptradecut, Swift is still (for now) slightly ahead of Charbonnet, and if we had our rookie draft today and I had the 1.03, it would be Charbonnet.
 
Suppose -- just suppose, humor me -- he goes out there and rocks it in the receiving game, and the occasional shots he gets on the ground. Outperforms Montgomery by a good margin. Has no injuries or practice limitations through the first 5 games. I feel like he could slowly garner that trust back. Basically, just saying, though injuries and trust may be two problems, if the former is solved, the latter could/should follow. Now, the odds that the above suppositions actually come true? Okay, maybe a generous 15%. Y'all probably saying "generous? That's an understatement."
All absolutely possible. It’s what kept me from dealing him last year in the preseason (that, and lack of any semblance of a fair offer).

I’m not virulently anti-swift. I believe in his talent. He has big play ability and is a fluid receiver.

That said, I don’t feel I’m being unrealistic in any way by suggesting that David Montgomery is an upgrade to Williams. As such, he could (could) be a threat to eat into Swift’s role a little.

And at the very least, the departure of Williams will now *not* open the door to any sort of feature back role, which is largely what made Swift a top 5 dynasty asset. That potential always kept the light on for a huge value bump.

If Monty goes down for any length of time, which isn’t unprecedented, I could absolutely see a scenario where Swift comes out balling.

I could also easily see your scenario where Swift gets his 3-6 carries and 4-7 receptions and on those 7-13 touches puts up fantastic numbers and stays healthy for ~16 games, earning the trust of his coaching staff & maybe even commanding a larger role.

I have zero question that such a scenario is on the spectrum of potential outcomes.

I hope for Swift shareholders it comes to pass, as it would significantly raise his value. He’s a young talented RB.

Right now is probably not the time to sell Swift though. And I understand the criticism and skepticism of others, though I agree some of it is way over the top.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top