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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (7 Viewers)

facook said:
Fading Rory, Tiger, and Phil for various reasons paying off this weekend for me.  Phil could still cut into that, but some nice $ already banked after Fri.

You are either doing pretty well or really well, depending on which Miller is which.  Nicely done.  
Wrong Miller on both bets, both losers, 5-4 at this point and the 3 left don't look that promising.  Should have just faded tiger and  :moneybag:

 
U9.5 -130 corners arg/ice 0.40u

I wanna take the over on this but argentina, despite Messi is not a scoring machine. Very low sxoring games for their qualifier to get here. Iceland scored in every Euro cup game 2 years ago vs Por, Eng, France etc..

F it

o0.5 TT +105 iceland 0.30u

 
U9.5 -130 corners arg/ice 0.40u

I wanna take the over on this but argentina, despite Messi is not a scoring machine. Very low sxoring games for their qualifier to get here. Iceland scored in every Euro cup game 2 years ago vs Por, Eng, France etc..

F it

o0.5 TT +105 iceland 0.30u
Blah treading water here

4-6 -1.12u

 
Wrong Miller on both bets, both losers, 5-4 at this point and the 3 left don't look that promising.  Should have just faded tiger and  :moneybag:
Even if both players miss cut, best score still wins for you, yes?  I had to check on my sites but that is the rule I found.

 
facook said:
Fading Rory, Tiger, and Phil for various reasons paying off this weekend for me.  Phil could still cut into that, but some nice $ already banked after Fri.

You are either doing pretty well or really well, depending on which Miller is which.  Nicely done.  
:lmao:  

 
regularguy said:
Make those kids proud
Damn straight! Rockies cashed, now we just need 3 more games to make today a success.

Happy Father's Day! Now go grab dad another beer while he yells at the TV for Todd Frazier to go yard.

:lmao:

 
Soccer is such an exotic sport to me. Wagering on exotic sports goes with consuming exotic substances and having sex with exotic women like I did last night. We went swimming 3AM. She had me shooting flash photography of her naked body in the luxurious heated pool.

 
Pivetta doesn't go deep into games and their pen has worked a lot L2 days. Opposing teams 23-10 SU (avg line -107) when Phillies' starter lasts fewer than 6 IP.

Cardinals -104

 
Miami 150

Same pitching matchup as five days ago in Miami, so why not roll the dice. Opposing teams 7-3 SU versus Giants in Suarez starts anyway. Miami out west. Something about it. Not looking it up, but I think I remember them showing up in G1 out west. Cheers dude

 
Used to play a pick up basketball game for six months in a row. Every day so we got to know each other real good. Three on three. Multiple games per day on dudes' lunch breaks, starting about 9AM every day. One day I rolled thru and made the first eleven shots in a row for our team. We won 11 to nothing. The old boss man sidled up asked me wtf I was on. I said I had a fight with my girlfriend that morning. He was like, "That'll do it."

 
We all seek a narrative. That's how con men make money. Show someone a narrative they accept. Show someone a story that helps make sense of the unknown.

 
Anthony Joshua -205 over Deontay Wilder (BetOnline)

This fight isn't official official yet, but it's looking like it's going to get done for probably October. These are the consensus #1 and #2 HW's in the world, and the price has tightened after each's last fights. Wilder won an exciting, fan-friendly bout, literally coming off the ropes at one point to finally knock out a gassed Ortiz in the 10th. Wilder's skills and resume have long been questioned, his technique is really awful, as one would expect for someone who came late to boxing. Ortiz 15 years ago would've absolutely wiped him out, but he's an old man now, and Wilder did show incredible determination when he got in trouble and things were looking dire. Shocking, to me, was that his people threw him right in a pretty big fire right before his big money bout before Joshua, but he got through it somehow.

That fight raised Wilder's stock, and Joshua's workmanlike win over Joseph Parker lowered his. Joshua was a KO artist early in his career, but his last 3 fights have now gone at least 10 rounds, starting with his star-making Fight of the Year KO over Klitschko where he almost got knocked out earlier in the fight, and a slow breakdown of the overmatched replacement Carlos Takam. Parker's got a great jab and is very durable, and Joshua showed him respect and didn't force the issue or take risks, winning his first fight by decision.

This one could be a decision as well, or a late KO by Joshua, but I rate him at about 80% to get the job done. He's the more skilled, intelligent boxer, and I'd argue that he has just as much power as Wilder, who is known for his vaunted right hand. He also has ~30 lbs., and will have the crowd behind him. Not that that will deter Wilder's enormous self-belief, but it could swing some rounds in the judges' minds. Wilder cannot fight inside, he cannot jab, he looks to unload a big straight right, and then finish opponents off with a series of wild windmill punches. He "cuffs" a lot of shots.

This one seems easy, again, 80%. Maybe that is a little conservative. Gonna hit it now and again later if the price tightens. 

 
Opposing teams 14-2 SU versus KC in June. The Rangers lineup is healthy; riding a three-game win streak after losing the previous 7 in a row.

Rangers -138
Rangers o4½ -130

 

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