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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (4 Viewers)

saw any idea on 

home teams playing in EST on Sunday Night baseball who are away in an different time zone or same time zone the next day?

 
Currently leaning Q1 - Cavaliers / Celtics O53.5, -110.

The Cavaliers spreads are just plain whack. Q1 -7 and 1H -11.5. The lowest the Celtics scored in a quarter last game was 24, so let's pencil them in for that:

Celtics: 24
Cavaliers: X

So, if that spread is going to hit you'd need the Cavaliers to score 31 points to push and 32 points to win.

Celtics: 24
Cavaliers: 31 or 32
Combined: 55 or 56 > 53.5 

 
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Aaron Rudnicki said:
Sorry about your Ducks, gussy.

Not sure if anybody tailed after these posts, but had my biggest win in awhile with the Preds winning the West.

FWIW, I did throw some money on the Ducks at those odds so I was going to be happy either way in this conference finals.
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:hifive:  Hell yeah bud. I didn't have the snazzy +1600, but opened up sunwager today to hopefuly get a good number with the Cavs and was greeted with a nice bump with the balance.

And yeah, sorry Gussy. if it makes you feel better i seem to have some money on the Ducks too

 
Angry Beavers said:
I think CLE comes out ready tonight - looking at both Q1 and 1H lines.  Game 3 they were up by 20, bored and did not respect the Celtics at all. I think they step on their throat tonight early and don't give them the chance to come back. 

GLTA
AB
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-7 for Q1 is pretty steep. not sure i can hang with that, good luck though

 
swirvenirvin said:
saw any idea
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They don't give us time zone, I wish I had it. I have a "fade a team  on Monday after a > 7 game road trip that ended Sunday night." That's July 24. But that's all the Sunday night stuff I have right now.

 
ChainsawU said:
They don't give us time zone, I wish I had it. I have a "fade a team  on Monday after a > 7 game road trip that ended Sunday night." That's July 24. But that's all the Sunday night stuff I have right now.
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thanks just know tigers got in at like 4 am on Monday morning and then got shut out yesterday

 
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ChainsawU said:
L3 seasons M's 28-15-2 (.651) O/U non-conference (15-5-2 O/U away; 18-6-1 O/U total ≥ 8).

o9 100
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Yeah...but it took almost 4 innings.  The busy tired wolf woulda had this wrapped up in 3.

 
Tiger Fan said:
Thinking of cashing in what i had in there right when it started surging and riding the wave with HOUSE MONEY!!11111111jjuan
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It'll hit $3,000 in the next 3 weeks.  With the supply and demanded inversely related I think we are at just the beginning of the exponential gains.

 
Editorial comment about a play last night:

If you as a book are going to offer the Warriors to win the NBA Finals at -260 to -300, what sense did it make to set the line of the 3rd quarter last night to:

Q3 - Warriors ML, -143

You're giving me a heavily chalked line for them to beat Cleveland in 4 games out of 7 but give them less chance to WIN the last quarter their starters will be playing before the Finals themselves? Against a broken San Antonio team? Soft.

 
[redacted]

Kyrie Irving ends up dribbling the ball out at the end of the 4rth quarter. The 2H under hits! STONE COLD, STONE COLD, STONE COLD.

 
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MLB DATA EARLY:

12:35PM
Twins at Orioles
Jose Berrios vs Chris Tillman
66 degrees, E 6MPH

AVG: 0.294 [5 for 17], 2HR
AVG: 0.242 [15 for 62], 1HR

Tillman 0-4 with 4.50 ERA against Minnesota career.
Tillman 0 HR allowed this season.
Berrios made one start against the Orioles in 2016, allowing three runs over five innings in a no-decision.

1:10PM
Blue Jays at Brewers
Marcus Stroman vs Matt Garza
Retractable Roof

AVG: 0.277 [13 for 47], 2 HR
AVG: 0.262 [16 for 61], 1 HR

Stroman has allowed two runs or fewer in nine starts.
Braun is batting .346 and slugging .615 against lefties this year.
Blue Jays reliever Ryan Tepera holds the Majors' longest active scoreless innings streak by a reliever at 17 1/3 innings. Brewers closer Corey Knebel is right behind him with a streak of 12 2/3 scoreless innings.

3:35PM
Marlins at Athletics
Edinson Volquez vs Sonny Gray
64 degrees, wind blowing out at 10MPH

AVG: 0.263 [20 for 76], 2HR
AVG: 0.333 [4 for 12], 0HR

Edinson Volquez, who has lost five straight starts. Volquez is 0-6 with a 4.87 ERA.
Volquez had mixed results in a pair of starts against the A's in 2016, going 1-1 with an 8.68 ERA. Lifetime, he is 6-6 with a 4.88 ERA in six career outings against Oakland.
In four outings this season, Gray is 1-1 with a 3.97 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 17 strikeouts in 22 2/3 innings.

3:40PM
White Sox at Diamandbacks
Jose Quintana vs Randall Delgado
Retractable Roof

AVG: 0.265 [9 for 34], 0HR
AVG: 0.292 [7 for 24], 3HR

Likely bullpen game for Randall Delgado.

6:10PM
Reds at Indians
Lisalverto Bonilla vs Trevor Bauer
64 degrees, chance of rain, wind blowing ESE 17 MPH

AVG: 0.000 [0 for 6], OHR
AVG: 0.167 [4 for 24], 1HR

Lisalverto Bonilla (0-2, 6.38 ERA) will make his third start of 2017 on Wednesday.
 
F5 - Orioles, +100

Taking the home team at even money with one of their best pitchers on the mound. Berrios (opposing pitcher) gave up 3 runs through 5 innings against Baltimore last year.

Tillman has not given up a HR yet this year.

 
Shane Ricketts said:
F5 - Orioles, +100

Taking the home team at even money with one of their best pitchers on the mound. Berrios (opposing pitcher) gave up 3 runs through 5 innings against Baltimore last year.

Tillman has not given up a HR yet this year.
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Berrios isn't close to the same pitcher he was last year. Using Berrios' last years numbers in handicapping is a terrible mistake. Not saying you won't win this bet, just pointing out your TERRIBLE logic. Also, TIllman has pitched all of 15 innings this year. He's not super HR prone, but that stat doesn't mean anything.

 
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Shane Ricketts said:
Any explanation here for us, you used up a whole paragraph on my "TERRIBLE" logic but then just dropped a line.

Show me how it's done, please.
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I didn't know an explanation was needed. Berrios looks like a totally different pitcher this year, has given up 4 hits and walked 2 in his first 2 starts (15.3 IP) after dominating AAA AGAIN. He's one of the top young arms in baseball and looks like he's ready to make his move to front line starter status. Tillman has been decent at home, only thing that scares me is that Camden is a bandbox and it's certainly possible that Berrios comes back to earth, I just don't see it in this spot. Nobody in the O's lineup really scares me right now. I think if this goes over it's because the Twins get to Tillman, not the other way around. Both of their bullpens are middle of the road and I'd rather trust the starters F5 than worry about the pens blowing my under late. I don't know. Felt right. Was that what you were looking for. Look dude, I appreciate the thought process when it makes sense. I tailed you on GS FH the other night because there was some actual thought to it. I don't think you know very much about baseball and when you throw things out like "Berrios gave up 3 in 5IP last year against O's" that pretty much proves my point. Berrios came up last year after dominating AAA and was a trainwreck. He still is one of the top young arms in the game and he looks NOTHING this year like he did last year.

 
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