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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (6 Viewers)

Since 2007 road faves in G2 of a double header are 17-3 SU after winning G1 by more than 3 runs - winning G2 by an average margin of 5±2 runs per game. sdql

Rox -113
Rox o5 +115

 
regularguy said:
Agree - I already played Kyle B. over Truex.

edit: Looking to fade Jr. also.  They apparently haven't been able to get a handle on the car all weekend.  Also looking to fade Jimmie and hope he's not boom instead of bust.
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Jimmie fade  :thumbup:

 
My number two chick's been out of town for over a week. And I don't have a number one chick anymore after she tried to introduce me to her little daughter. So - despite technically having a number four chick in San Antonio I could call, this has been my longest dry spell in over a year and a half (literally dry because of no sex). And I can't do tinder since I don't have a face book. What's more is that I haven't imbibed in over six weeks, my haircut girl has also been out of town so my hair sucks right now, and my business partner is leaving the country today for two weeks.

 
Just got all my responsibilities laid down to me for the week by my CEO. Number two chick is coming back on Wednesday, and we're getting paid phat stacks for our current project on August 24th. I think the 25th - that's when I'll throw it all down and get lifted it's hard being gifted. Build a bridge of memories and stretch it out overseas. Even though it's gonna crumble down I'll keep building until you come around.

 
Somebody gotta do the MLB tonite. Everything I do has sucked. Tired of being number one Asian fade material. I can pick expensive eye shadow that matches your wife's shirt better than I can pick a side or total right now. I feel more superfluous than Billy Walters' one iron.

 
ChainsawU said:
Somebody gotta do the MLB tonite. Everything I do has sucked. Tired of being number one Asian fade material. I can pick expensive eye shadow that matches your wife's shirt better than I can pick a side or total right now. I feel more superfluous than Billy Walters' one iron.
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I got Sea, Bal, Tor.

 
ChainsawU said:
Somebody gotta do the MLB tonite. Everything I do has sucked. Tired of being number one Asian fade material. I can pick expensive eye shadow that matches your wife's shirt better than I can pick a side or total right now. I feel more superfluous than Billy Walters' one iron.
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I alone can solve.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
Yes. I've been fading them quite a bit at Coors, I think they're decent, but no world-beaters by any stretch, and that park just introduces a lot of variance. The Magic would have a much easier time against the Warriors, for example, if the hoop was 4 meters wide.
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The Rockies are 9-4 since July 3rd at home and have been the most profitable trend in my system.

Giants Fade    15-13
Twins Road    3-11
Nationals 3    11-6
Orioles Over    12-16
Astros    14-11
Coors Over    6-7
Rockies Home    9-4
Sox Fade    1-2

 
Eminence said:
The Rockies are 9-4 since July 3rd at home and have been the most profitable trend in my system.

Giants Fade    15-13
Twins Road    3-11
Nationals 3    11-6
Orioles Over    12-16
Astros    14-11
Coors Over    6-7
Rockies Home    9-4
Sox Fade    1-2
Click to expand...
The books adjust. If they didn't, they would be out of business. 

I think something like 1-2% of all sports bettors are long-run profitable. I don't mean offense, but I cannot see getting into that small group by betting the same team every day. Like I've said before, there are teams I bet/fade more often than not, but those change as teams improve/decline. 

But, I'm up only a bit on sides for the year, I can't hold myself up as an expert. But even with props where I've crushed, it's always been a matter of crunching a projection that's better than the line. Betting the same guy over and over has never worked.

 
Good Posting Judge said:
 The books adjust. If they didn't, they would be out of business. 

I think something like 1-2% of all sports bettors are long-run profitable. I don't mean offense, but I cannot see getting into that small group by betting the same team every day. Like I've said before, there are teams I bet/fade more often than not, but those change as teams improve/decline. 

But, I'm up only a bit on sides for the year, I can't hold myself up as an expert. But even with props where I've crushed, it's always been a matter of crunching a projection that's better than the line. Betting the same guy over and over has never worked.
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Oh no, I was just surprised you said you've been fading them at Coors. They've lost 4 of 13 games at home this month, so if you were able to pinpoint that then good on you.  :thumbup:

I don't think betting the same team everyday or system betting is a great idea. Except maybe NBA. There's so many variables to look at besides saying "this bet won last time, so it should win again".

 
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Hey fellas,

Some of you probably remember me from last year when I posted during March Madness.  @oukurt owed me around 10k at that time and was threatening not to pay me.  After I posted on this site, he came to his senses and agreed that is was wrong to stiff me and that he would be paying me $500 a month until my balance was paid off.  

Since then, he has paid me on the following dates:

4/18/2016: $500

7/25/2016: $400

9/9/2016: $500

12/31/2016: $500

3/27/2017: $500

In none of these cases did he pay me without me having to nag the hell out of him. His debt should be nearly paid off right now, but instead he still has a balance $7562 with me. Things have turned from ####ty to even ####tier now though and he is showing some pretty bad behavior.  After hearing excuses after excuses and telling me he was going to pay me this month, had a car crash, heart attack, you name it, and without ever receiving a payment, I threatened to post on this site again.  After I did that, he responded by saying:

"I can tell you if that happens I will not send you another dime. If I don't have the cash on me, I can't send anything. It's that simple. After I finish sending out packages this weekend I will see how much I have to send you send you an update. No need to contact me, I know that IOU cash you don't have to continually remind me."

"Just watch yourself dude. I went from having a quarter mill in an underground safe, enjoying life and as I may have mentioned to you I went bust.  Me paying you off in $500 increments and struggling to do so is ####### embarrassing"

I have now been emailing him since June and he is not responding at all.  So this is a man who owes me money and is threatening to never pay me again, because I’m letting his clients know about his situation.  What happens if Kurt ever owes you guys some money?  Is this the type of man you’d want to do business with?  A man who doesn’t settle his debts. A man who stops responding to your emails. 

If he doesn’t come to his senses again, and start paying, I’d recommend you guys try to find another out to bet with for CFB.  I know a lot of you have a good experience with him, but the writing is on the wall here, if he can’t pay off small debts on a monthly plan.  This isn’t the first time I’ve been stiffed by guys.  It always starts good in the beginning and then there are signs of things going down hill.  I’m just here to let you guys know of the situation, so you can avoid the same one in the future.

I’ve been very patient with him, but I need this money as well.  I also have bills and debts to pay.

Hopefully Kurt will start repaying his debts again. If he happens to do so, I will let you guys know that he’s doing the right thing.

Do the right thing Kurt!

 
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"For what it's worth" me and two close friends have received and paid with no problems with Kurt the last few months...

only thing is payments have been "requested" asap and envelopes have been week 3....

 
These guys are going to be catching passes from Hackeburg?

Quincy Enunwa

Robby Anderson

Charone Peake

*ArDarius Stewart

**Austin Seferian-Jenkins

*Jordan Leggett

and don't forget about a 32 yr old running back

Too bad the under 4.5 already got beaten to ####

 
swirvenirvin said:
These guys are going to be catching passes from Hackeburg?

Quincy Enunwa

Robby Anderson

Charone Peake

*ArDarius Stewart

**Austin Seferian-Jenkins

*Jordan Leggett

and don't forget about a 32 yr old running back

Too bad the under 4.5 already got beaten to ####
Click to expand...
I feel like Bilal Powell reception overs could be a thing?

 
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