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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (7 Viewers)

ChainsawU said:
Thinking about throwing $20 on Dwayne Allen first touchdown tonight. That'd be something BB would do. Add him to the game plan so all the sudden it's another threat teams had to plan on defending. It'd be totally unexpected.
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Dwayne Allen catching a pass would indeed be unexpected. 

 
Rushing Play Percentage:

Rank Team 2017 Last 3 Last 1 Home Away 2016
1 Jacksonville 49.34% 43.43% 57.63% 47.15% 51.35% 37.26%


Jacksonville look strong in play selection. Their offense contains a lot of rushing. Over 49% of their total plays this season have been on the ground, way more than the 37% last season.

Since 2001 road teams in this round of the playoffs have gone 36-27-1 ATS (avg line 6.3). That's the entire sample. That's already .571 ATS. But filtered down, when rushing comprised more than 49% of their total offense that season, you get 8-10 SU and 15-3 ATS (8-7 SU and 15-0 ATS when they scored more than 10 points). sdql

Scoring more than 10 points in those games, in that situation, that's over .500 SU with a perfect ATS record.

 
Angry Beavers said:
Reading Silva, looks like a solid wager, but then then Hill caught 7 balls last week. Clearly NE has more viable passcatchers than KC had. That's all i got.
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With hogan back and Ten run def I expect NE to throw a bunch but having a hard time finding a scenario where cooks gets 6 balls

Gronk, white, amendola, hogan, lewis, burkhead, allen, a lot of mouths to feed

 
David Payne Purdum‏Verified account @DavidPurdum 44m44 minutes ago

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Titans at Patriots (-14, 48): 2x more bets, 3x as much money on the Patriots @

 
So trying to be a decent dad and give my wife the tv.  Seriously I can't stream this game on the computer unless I join CBS all access bullspit membership?  What a spithole country cbs is.

 
Dan Lambskin said:
My wife's watching TV alone in her bedroom 
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We have 1 tv in our home.  13 year old son is afraid Marcus is gonna get destroyed by Mean Bill Bell (we are Oregon natives and Marcus was one of his counselors at summer camp a few years back...it is crazy man-love we have for that Hawaiian) so he would rather watch Guy Fieri.  I've watched every football game on tv since about Thanksgiving morning, trying to be a decent dude here.  I'll check out NFL mobile.

 
ChainsawU said:
Opposing team scored first six times versus Pats since 2016. Pats went scoreless 1Q in five of them. Already played 2Q o13½ -120, which also came true in five of those six. Will probably grab it again during the commercial.
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This was from December 11th. Setting it up again.

 
It's like the Pats throttle down 1Q so they don't score too much full game. Take the 1Q easy. Take a look around. And then turn it on for three quarters and go home.

 
ChainsawU said:
The only number I saw was 1H 23.5 so I passed. Only thing I have is the turnover battle prop. Everything is inflated in Pats games. Especially when it's the only game in town.
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Hold up.   Thought you bet over 2nd 13.5 2nd quarter?  Am I THAT drink?

 
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