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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (14 Viewers)

Angry Beavers said:
Nebraska +4 on the road versus a sub .500 Wisky team?  What smells?
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Duke and Kansas will both be taking on conference rivals tonight, but it’s the Nebraska-Wisconsin matchup that has registered more bets than any other game on this evening’s college hoops slate.

The reason for the popularity? At Wisconsin -4, this line has attracted bets from sharps and squares alike.

At 10-12 overall, and 3-6 in conference, the Badgers have certainly underachieved this season. Coming into tonight’s game they’ve lost three of four including their past two, all to conference opponents.

The Cornhuskers, on the other hand, have pleasantly surprised the people of Nebraska. They’ve won four of five coming into tonight, and are in fourth place in the Big Ten at 7-4 in conference play, and 16-8 overall.

Despite all that, Wisconsin opened as a 2-point favorite at home.

Betting market analysis

Unsurprisingly, the majority of the public has taken the points, and Nebraska has received 71% of bets. However, the line has gone from Wisconsin -2 up to -4 thanks to heavy sharp money on the home team.

On-court analysis

These teams met just three weeks ago in Nebraska, and the Huskers came away with a 63-59 win. But, as our college hoops analyst Stuckey notes, Nebraska benefited from a 28-to-10 free throw advantage in that game, and still only won by four.

The zebras in Madison likely won’t be as friendly to Nebraska, so we could be looking at a different story this time around. Stuckey added, “I’m personally not playing this game, but the Badgers are probably the right side.”

 
Fishy line is Celtics. Sagarin makes them the favorite but they're catching the points. They're in their last game of a road trip. Nuggets play in San Antonio tomorrow.

 
L2 seasons Nuggets 18-8 SU and 17-9 ATS (1st NBA; avg line -2) in G1 of B2B. They're 11-0 SU L11 in that spot looking at a dog line in G2. Got Nugs? I think I will. Stay tuned to action junkie radio, live tonight at 7PM Mountain Time.

 
16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS L17 looking at a road game in G2. I'm going to try and buy -120 on 5D reduced juice later. SI says it's going to -1.5 before tipoff.

 
I need to break the habit of betting on the 7PM games just to get some action. It goes against any calculated betting method which is to “bet on confidence not on situation”.

 
Suns +290 is a good play. Both the Suns and the Grizzlies have won 17 games this year. Both teams are awful.

Suns beat the Grizzlies 99-97 at home on December 26th. I’m not saying the Suns will win but this game should be a pickem.

 
HFS. The Patriots 1Q has been a topic in here since December. I know I mentioned it like three separate occasions and Billy Bats was talking about it a few days ago. Check this #### out, here's another one:

  • Patriots average 0±0 1Q points in Belichick's seven Super Bowls.
SDQL

 
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swirvenirvin said:
Duke and Kansas will both be taking on conference rivals tonight, but it’s the Nebraska-Wisconsin matchup that has registered more bets than any other game on this evening’s college hoops slate.

The reason for the popularity? At Wisconsin -4, this line has attracted bets from sharps and squares alike.

At 10-12 overall, and 3-6 in conference, the Badgers have certainly underachieved this season. Coming into tonight’s game they’ve lost three of four including their past two, all to conference opponents.

The Cornhuskers, on the other hand, have pleasantly surprised the people of Nebraska. They’ve won four of five coming into tonight, and are in fourth place in the Big Ten at 7-4 in conference play, and 16-8 overall.

Despite all that, Wisconsin opened as a 2-point favorite at home.

Betting market analysis

Unsurprisingly, the majority of the public has taken the points, and Nebraska has received 71% of bets. However, the line has gone from Wisconsin -2 up to -4 thanks to heavy sharp money on the home team.

On-court analysis

These teams met just three weeks ago in Nebraska, and the Huskers came away with a 63-59 win. But, as our college hoops analyst Stuckey notes, Nebraska benefited from a 28-to-10 free throw advantage in that game, and still only won by four.

The zebras in Madison likely won’t be as friendly to Nebraska, so we could be looking at a different story this time around. Stuckey added, “I’m personally not playing this game, but the Badgers are probably the right side.”
Click to expand...
Not sure when we decided that Stuckey was a college hoops analyst. Outside of being friendly with SVP, what else does he bring to the table?

I'm on the Huskers +165, but it's a sentimental pick, nothing I'd play if I weren't a fan. Huskers are finishing a brutal stretch of games. "Analysts"
keep saying the Huskers small "lineup of death" can't hang with.............Michigan, Rutgers, Iowa..........and yet they keep winning. "Analysts" were
scared that rebounding advantage for Rutgers/Iowa would spell doom for Huskers. And they won. Sharps don't know anymore than anyone in here.
I guarantee I've seen more Husker games than any "sharps". I've seen them all and been at every home game. I thought Sconny -2 was right. It's
not easy to win on the road in the B1G. -4 is too much, but if Sconny wins, they probably cover, so then it just comes down to do you think the Huskers
win? I hope so, but not sure. I do know these kids are VERY focused on making the tournament, and they know they have next to ZERO room for
error. Huskers are the better team and it's not close. Huskers held Happ in check the FH of the last game. Happ will get his, but don't believe the "Huskers
death squad can't cover Happ" BS. Huskers have a ton of length even when they go small, and their switches cause nightmares for other teams. Ask
Michigan. It comes down to whether the Huskers have any legs at this point of the stretch. Vegas has been wrong all season on Nebraska. Rutgers opened
as favorites, "sharps" bet the line even higher, Huskers won. Huskers opened -6 vs. Iowa, "sharps" bet it down to 3.5, Huskers covered easily. Again.

Bet against this team at your own peril.

Kansas St. ML (EV)

 
gussy said:
Not sure when we decided that Stuckey was a college hoops analyst. Outside of being friendly with SVP, what else does he bring to the table?

I'm on the Huskers +165, but it's a sentimental pick, nothing I'd play if I weren't a fan. Huskers are finishing a brutal stretch of games. "Analysts"
keep saying the Huskers small "lineup of death" can't hang with.............Michigan, Rutgers, Iowa..........and yet they keep winning. "Analysts" were
scared that rebounding advantage for Rutgers/Iowa would spell doom for Huskers. And they won. Sharps don't know anymore than anyone in here.
I guarantee I've seen more Husker games than any "sharps". I've seen them all and been at every home game. I thought Sconny -2 was right. It's
not easy to win on the road in the B1G. -4 is too much, but if Sconny wins, they probably cover, so then it just comes down to do you think the Huskers
win? I hope so, but not sure. I do know these kids are VERY focused on making the tournament, and they know they have next to ZERO room for
error. Huskers are the better team and it's not close. Huskers held Happ in check the FH of the last game. Happ will get his, but don't believe the "Huskers
death squad can't cover Happ" BS. Huskers have a ton of length even when they go small, and their switches cause nightmares for other teams. Ask
Michigan. It comes down to whether the Huskers have any legs at this point of the stretch. Vegas has been wrong all season on Nebraska. Rutgers opened
as favorites, "sharps" bet the line even higher, Huskers won. Huskers opened -6 vs. Iowa, "sharps" bet it down to 3.5, Huskers covered easily. Again.

Bet against this team at your own peril.

Kansas St. ML (EV)
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so sad I missed the chance to troll you last week when we beat you guys

 
Peyton Marino said:
B1G looking good this year.  should be a fun stretch run and tourney.
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Meh. Purdue is really good. Ohio St. can probably make the Sweet 16, same with Sparty. Nebraska has the talent to win a game or two if
they make it, but they play like mental midgets on the rare occasion they make the dance. At some point that winless tournament streak will
have to stop. Right?

 
gussy said:
Not sure when we decided that Stuckey was a college hoops analyst. Outside of being friendly with SVP, what else does he bring to the table?

I'm on the Huskers +165, but it's a sentimental pick, nothing I'd play if I weren't a fan. Huskers are finishing a brutal stretch of games. "Analysts"
keep saying the Huskers small "lineup of death" can't hang with.............Michigan, Rutgers, Iowa..........and yet they keep winning. "Analysts" were
scared that rebounding advantage for Rutgers/Iowa would spell doom for Huskers. And they won. Sharps don't know anymore than anyone in here.
I guarantee I've seen more Husker games than any "sharps". I've seen them all and been at every home game. I thought Sconny -2 was right. It's
not easy to win on the road in the B1G. -4 is too much, but if Sconny wins, they probably cover, so then it just comes down to do you think the Huskers
win? I hope so, but not sure. I do know these kids are VERY focused on making the tournament, and they know they have next to ZERO room for
error. Huskers are the better team and it's not close. Huskers held Happ in check the FH of the last game. Happ will get his, but don't believe the "Huskers
death squad can't cover Happ" BS. Huskers have a ton of length even when they go small, and their switches cause nightmares for other teams. Ask
Michigan. It comes down to whether the Huskers have any legs at this point of the stretch. Vegas has been wrong all season on Nebraska. Rutgers opened
as favorites, "sharps" bet the line even higher, Huskers won. Huskers opened -6 vs. Iowa, "sharps" bet it down to 3.5, Huskers covered easily. Again.

Bet against this team at your own peril.

Kansas St. ML (EV)
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47% cbb bettor (a number I'm making up out of thin air) that over Tweets and somehow has a following.  Completely worthless.  Really, that whole "Action Network" thing is a joke imo.  I like Millman and probably one of their touts will get hot from time to time, but I'll take VSiN for free rather than the Johnny Come Lately fee-based deal.

 
ChainsawU said:
HFS. The Patriots 1Q has been a topic in here since December. I know I mentioned it like three separate occasions and Billy Bats was talking about it a few days ago. Check this #### out, here's another one:

  • Patriots average 0±0 1Q points in Belichick's seven Super Bowls.
SDQL
Click to expand...
I might be trying to catch a falling knife, but I feel like this trend is now public.  All of my buddies that know even less than me are betting Pats 1q under.  So give me the team 1q over and the game 1q over.

 
Huskers do it again. Just like the Browns. Sharps kept betting them, they kept losing. Vegas/Sharps keep doubting
Nebraska, they keep proving them wrong. Great win, great adjustments by Miles tonight.

 
gussy said:
Huskers do it again. Just like the Browns. Sharps kept betting them, they kept losing. Vegas/Sharps keep doubting
Nebraska, they keep proving them wrong. Great win, great adjustments by Miles tonight.
Click to expand...
Thought for sure they were doomed with all the foul trouble they had. Nice win for the Huskers. 

 
facook said:
I might be trying to catch a falling knife, but I feel like this trend is now public.  All of my buddies that know even less than me are betting Pats 1q under.  So give me the team 1q over and the game 1q over.
Click to expand...
No freakin' way, dude. I never said I thought it'd happen again! :lol:

 
facook said:
47% cbb bettor (a number I'm making up out of thin air) that over Tweets and somehow has a following.  Completely worthless.  Really, that whole "Action Network" thing is a joke imo.  I like Millman and probably one of their touts will get hot from time to time, but I'll take VSiN for free rather than the Johnny Come Lately fee-based deal.
Click to expand...
One of those action network doucheholes blew up a perfectly good NBA prop angle on Twitter the other day. I mean there's a small group of people who were on to it, but now it's surely going to have zero value.

 
facook said:
47% cbb bettor (a number I'm making up out of thin air) that over Tweets and somehow has a following.  Completely worthless.  Really, that whole "Action Network" thing is a joke imo.  I like Millman and probably one of their touts will get hot from time to time, but I'll take VSiN for free rather than the Johnny Come Lately fee-based deal.
Click to expand...
Articles are great in my opinion.  I don't pay for ####, and I happily paid their yr membership fee.  1 week of articles can easily win you a handful of prop bets.  Golf guy gave the Noran pick

 
Patriots players to catch a pass o6.5 -130 DSI

Eagles players rushing attempts u5.5 +100 DSI

 
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gussy said:
Best coached game by Miles since he's been here. By Miles. See what I did there?
Click to expand...
By coaching you mean no coaching. He said he told them to stop running plays and just play basketball. Pretty nice job of non-coaching coaching for sure.

 
Mr.Pack said:
By coaching you mean no coaching. He said he told them to stop running plays and just play basketball. Pretty nice job of non-coaching coaching for sure.
Click to expand...
Edited. That was mean. Maybe on offense, but the defensive adjustments won that game. That was coaching.

 
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Xavier St. John's line STINKS. :yucky:

Sagarin says it should be lined between 6,7,8 and eight out of every 10 bets has come in on the favorite. It's no wonder too, because while Xavier is 19-3 SU on the season, St. John's is 0-10 SU L10. They're also playing on two days' rest compared to Xavier's five. And Xavier's next game is not until Saturday.

 
Xavier point spread and moneyline account for the #4 and #7 most-popular wager at S&O, and that's out of everything - hockey, NBA, everything. That's almost insane.

 
ChainsawU said:
Xavier St. John's line STINKS. :yucky:

Sagarin says it should be lined between 6,7,8 and eight out of every 10 bets has come in on the favorite. It's no wonder too, because while Xavier is 19-3 SU on the season, St. John's is 0-10 SU L10. They're also playing on two days' rest compared to Xavier's five. And Xavier's next game is not until Saturday.
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It's a TRAP

 
Rhode Island -9.5
Okie St. +1
Ohio St. -10
Florida/UGA O133
Drake/SIU O142.5

 
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