*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (5 Viewers)

[Good Posting Judge]

Royals are +475 for their upcoming series against the Yankees, and still aren't playable even at that price. WATTBA.

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Daily Recap (7/25): 4-2-0 (66.67%, +$173.62)
MLB YTD: 132-112-14 (54.10%, +$1,057.38)

Parlays: -$200
Parlay YTD: -$1,109.41

Spoiler

F5 - Nationals ML, +120 (W)
F5 - Tigers / Royals U5, -130 (L)
Tigers / Royals no run in 1st, -115 (W)
Dbacks / Cubs no run in 1st, -120 (W)
F5 - Athletics ML, -125 (L)
Angels score 1st, -120 (W)


Parlays:

Nationals ML, +124
Nationals/ Brewers U9.5, -115
+319

F5 - Cubs / Diamondbacks U4.5, -110
F5 - Tigers / Royals U5, -130
+238

 

[Stuart Ullman]

F5 - Cubs / Diamondbacks U5.5, -120

 

[ChainsawU]

Tommy Milone will see his first big-league action of 2018 as he is recalled Thursday from AAA Syracuse. For the Chiefs this season, Milone has made 20 starts and is 7-4 with a 4.19 ERA. Ironically, his last major league action was out of the bullpen for the Mets in September 2017, in Miami.

Opposing teams have gone 12-7 SU 6±3 rpg with a 15-2-2 O/U 12±4 rpg in Milone's L19 games as a starter.

Marlins +123
Marlins o4 +125
Nats/Marlins o8 -120

 

[ChainsawU]

What is your homeowner deductible for hail damage? If everything goes smooth I'm 'bout to get a brand new roof for 7.31 units.

 

[ChainsawU]

Getting my ride hand washed. What's the best fragrance.. royal pine, wild cherry, vanillaroma, or bayside breeze?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Getting my ride hand washed. What's the best fragrance.. royal pine, wild cherry, vanillaroma, or bayside breeze?

cherry or vaninlla

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Getting my ride hand washed. What's the best fragrance.. royal pine, wild cherry, vanillaroma, or bayside breeze?

Smells are dumb.

 

[IMAX 3D]

Smells are dumb.

I’d be worried I’d get accused of being at the strip club 

 

[Stuart Ullman]

F5 - Cubs / Diamondbacks U5.5, -120

Pirates / Mets no run in 1st inning, -120
F5 - Red Sox ML, -140
Nationals / Marlins U26.5, -105

Adding Pirates / Mets U4.5, -110

 

[ChainsawU]

Man, that price on the late game looks good from an action junkie standpoint! Won't have to lay 3 bills on a fave or buy stupid runs on the dog. Just a nice, straight-up opportunity to lose money invest some money responsibly.

 

[ChainsawU]

Colon 6-0 to the under in the last game of the series with the Rangers w 12 runs allowed in 38.1 innings. Rangers went 4-2 SU (4-0 SU scoring more than 2 runs).

 

[ChainsawU]

@mquinnjr Just ordered lamb chops and a steak salad from the wine bar down the street and the Favor runner has on a baby blue Traxedo in his profile pic!

 

[mquinnjr]

@mquinnjr Just ordered lamb chops and a steak salad from the wine bar down the street and the Favor runner has on a baby blue Traxedo in his profile pic!

 

[Stuart Ullman]

F5 - Braves / Dodgers O4.5, -110

 

[ChainsawU]

Colon 6-0 to the under in the last game of the series with the Rangers w 12 runs allowed in 38.1 innings. Rangers went 4-2 SU (4-0 SU scoring more than 2 runs).

A's u6 -120
Rangers +131

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Giants / Brewers no run in 1st inning, -120

 

[ChainsawU]

Congratulations Athletics supporters.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Smells are dumb.

I bought one last yr when kid puked on way home from vacation.. Before that it was probably 15 yrs

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I bought one last yr when kid puked on way home from vacation.. Before that it was probably 15 yrs

No. I hate all smells. Any type of smell. It's all horrible.

Fanduel/PaddyPower/whatever in NJ has MLB at 10 cents a side, 15 cents on totals. Cool, enjoy that ####.

 

[lumpy19]

I played Peterman +820 to be Bills week 1 starter at betdsi, he spent practice yesterday with the 1st team offense and around town a lot of talk about how good he's look this off-season.  Certainly worth a bet at anything above +500 IMO.

 

[IMAX 3D]

I played Peterman +820 to be Bills week 1 starter at betdsi, he spent practice yesterday with the 1st team offense and around town a lot of talk about how good he's look this off-season.  Certainly worth a bet at anything above +500 IMO.

Probably end up starting at TE instead

 

[ChainsawU]

Since Scherzer has been a Nat they've gone 16-5-1 O/U on Friday; best starter+day combination for the over during that time.

18-6-1 O/U (15-0-1 when Scherzer allows more than 1 run). Also helps that Miami pen allowing 4 rpg since the break.

Nats/Marlins o7 -110

 

[ChainsawU]

Rangers bullpen has allowed 36 runs in six games since the break.

 

[ChainsawU]

your Vargas is showing
Jason Vargas has allowed 54 runs in 53 innings in 12 career starts with the Mets.

 

[ChainsawU]

Bucs F5 o2½ +100

 

[Leroy Hoard]

Just call me a chalk-eating weasel.

Arizona Diamondbacks -175

 

[modogg]

UFC on FOX this weekend. forget what I played, but I know I went little heavy on 2:

1. Eddie Alvarez +145. bit of a homer pick, but guy is fighting for his next contract, and is better then Poirer

2. Dustin Ortiz +185: was a weird line and I think it has already been bet down. I thought he would be the favorite coming into the fight

 

[The Ref]

Shutting off the computer in 1-2 hours and starting my 2 week vacation by the lake.  Time to really start to rip apart the upcoming college football season.

as previously posted I’m a big fan of the BC over this year although it’s at 6.5 across the market now.

the one I’m perplexed about now is Ohio U at 8.5.  It’s being bet to the under at -145.  I think they win at least 10.  Thoughts?

 

[swirvenirvin]

Shutting off the computer in 1-2 hours and starting my 2 week vacation by the lake.  Time to really start to rip apart the upcoming college football season.

as previously posted I’m a big fan of the BC over this year although it’s at 6.5 across the market now.

the one I’m perplexed about now is Ohio U at 8.5.  It’s being bet to the under at -145.  I think they win at least 10.  Thoughts?

camping this weekend but bringing the car that has the wifi..I mean need to do my stats

 

[The Ref]

Comeback player of the year

Deshaun Watson +800

 

[The Ref]

I have a book that’s offering a total on Kamura rushing yards at 950.  Thoughts?

 

[TheGooRoo]

Comeback player of the year

Deshaun Watson +800

What are lines on Luck, Watt, David Johnson?

 

[The Ref]

Andrew Luck +450

Carson Wentz +450

Odell Beckham +450

JJ Watt +500

Aaron Rodgers +500

David Johnson +600

Deshaun Watson +800

Dalvin Cook +1200

Sam Bradford +1800

Ryan Tannehill +1900

 

[The Ref]

What are lines on Luck, Watt, David Johnson?

Look up

 

[mquinnjr]

Look up

 Wentz and Watson here. 

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Not sure what the schtick is specifically but Altuve is being rested for the 2nd day straight.

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Mets / Pirates no run in 1st inning, -115
Nationals Runs O4.5, -105
Red Sox score 1st, -150

Parlays:

Mets / Pirates U9, -110
Royals / Yankees U9, -105

Indians ML, -205
Indians / Tigers U8.5, -110

 

[RJS113]

Not sure how to ask this question... a couple seasons back, a bunch of us found an online sportsbook that was accidentally set up to accept certain bets that they shouldn't have. This allowed us to exploit them for some significant profit until they caught on. 

With so many states setting up their own sports betting operations, I would be curious to see if any of them might have accidentally made the same mistake. I wouldn't even mind flying out every weekend to take advantage if I had to. But I have no idea what states have set up books yet, and how to check to see if they accept these wagers. 

Delaware isn’t running any player prop bets yet. For NFL, besides individual game bets, you can bet futures for division winners, conference winners, total wins, etc. 

They do have some favorable odds though. Yesterday I bet the Bucs moneyline week 1 vs New Orleans at +430.  Sportsbook.com has it at +330. 

Let me know if you have any specific questions about their bet types. I’m at Delaware Park almost daily, mainly betting on baseball and golf until football season starts. 

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Mets / Pirates no run in 1st inning, -115
Nationals Runs O4.5, -105
Red Sox score 1st, -150

Parlays:

Mets / Pirates U9, -110
Royals / Yankees U9, -105

Indians ML, -205
Indians / Tigers U8.5, -110

F5 - Dodgers ML, -150
F5 - Cubs ML, EVEN
Astros score 1st, -125
F5 - Blue Jays / White Sox U5, -105

Parlay:

Cubs ML, +120
Cubs / Cardinals U9, -105
+330

 

[ChainsawU]

There they are!!!

 

[ChainsawU]

Freeland 16-1 18-1 to the under versus left-handed starters. sdql

7±3 rpg

Athletics u5½ -110
Athletics/Rockies u11½ -115
Athletics/Rockies u10½ +120

 

[ChainsawU]

Rockies -117

 

[ChainsawU]

mom just asked for money to pay cc bills never ever done that before should I be afraid

 

[ChainsawU]

After last night left-handed starters are now 20-9 SU +$1,360 vs the Angels. Only team more profitable to fade versus lefties has been Toronto (+$1,368).

Mariners +130

 

[mquinnjr]

7±3 rpg

Athletics u5½ -110
Athletics/Rockies u11½ -115
Athletics/Rockies u10½ +120

IN on u11.5

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Mariners +130

F5 - Mariners ML, +135

 

[facook]

7±3 rpg

Athletics u5½ -110
Athletics/Rockies u11½ -115
Athletics/Rockies u10½ +120

I think I might ask this every July 27: What is the Coors Light Silver Bullet Six Pack Field angle we play in August again?  Total 12 and under we go over?

 

[IMAX 3D]

I think I might ask this every July 27: What is the Coors Light Silver Bullet Six Pack Field angle we play in August again?  Total 12 and under we go over?

Here’s the 2016 article, not sure if they’ve continued to update data or not

https://www.sportsinsights.com/blog/mlb-betting-strategy-late-season-overs-at-coors-field/

 

[The Ref]

Not sure what the schtick is specifically but Altuve is being rested for the 2nd day straight.

Good to see it.  Want to make sure he’s ready for the playoffs.

Books hung 212-214 hits at the high water mark for any one player.  I said the under here is a decent bet and Altuve was by far the best chance at going over and true to form he’s the only player within 10 hits on pace.  If he were to miss 4-5 games the rest of the way (he usualy plays in 160+) the bet would start to look real good.