*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (15 Viewers)

[got_nugs]

If dude is run off in scandal after his 1st year for some odd Ostrich action he's caught on security camera doing...yeah i'd be OK w/ that.

 

[Stuart Ullman]

The line for this game opened at Ravens -1.5. Wish I could see the face of the dope who took that line, right now.

 

[Tiger Fan]

If I’m not mistaken, I counted 3 red zone possessions that came up with zero points

happy with the push

 

[Good Posting Judge]

I'm not sure. I know I find them more beatable myself but I don't think have any substance behind it. I think it's a huge advantage to get more action in and leverage your profit/loss and knowledge based on the results of the 1st half.

It depends on the sport and team. In every sport besides baseball, you get a 15+ minute break to think about the second half and next potential bet. I don't know if FH is more profitable though. I do know that Q3 - Warriors -infinity is the best bet on the board though. 

One factor working against F5's is that full game lines go up much earlier. Usually around lunch time for the next day's games, and F5's go up in the evening, about 10 hours afterward.

Interestingly, it looks like BOL originates the full-game lines, and Bookmaker does the F5's.  So Bookmaker takes into account whatever early action has weighed in. 

 

[The Ref]

I think the market is wrong on the Ohio State week 1 line.  If it hits 34.5 I’m jumping in.  I think they are going to hammer Oregon State in week 1.  No Mercy

 

[eoMMan]

I'll be in Atlantic City in a month or so and will be putting in some bets.  As a Philly homer, I'm definitely putting in bets for the Phillies to go all the way (assuming they are still in contention at that point) along with the Eagles winning the SB again.

Any other good baseball or football odds I should take advantage of?

Any good NFL darkhorses would could really surprise this year?

 

[ChainsawU]

Philly homer .... football odds I should take advantage of?

There he is! See what you can get on the Eagles in week 10; Sunday Night Football. Cowboys will be coming off a Monday night game on short rest and have not won a game in that spot the L10 seasons; only covered the spread once.

 

[ChainsawU]

Boom wagering advice laying 5.5 points on a game that occurs 100 days from now thank you.

 

[Angry Beavers]

Johnny CFL action at 7:30 EST - may have to find some action there........

 

[ChainsawU]

What is your homeowner deductible for hail damage? If everything goes smooth I'm 'bout to get a brand new roof for 7.31 units.

Roofing company bid 52 units. Adjuster estimate minus depreciation and deductible 49.97 units. Boom 2 unit roof.

 

[ChainsawU]

Since Aug 19, 2017, opposing teams 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS (avg line -8) vs Montreal Alouettes (8-0 SU and ATS away 39±10 ppg). sdql

Tigercats o28½ -110
Tigercats 1H -3½ -120

 

[lumpy19]

Since Aug 19, 2017, opposing teams 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS (avg line -8) vs Montreal Alouettes (8-0 SU and ATS away 39±10 ppg). sdql

Tigercats o28½ -110
Tigercats 1H -3½ -120

I'm in

 

[ChainsawU]

Okay. It's just action junkie CFL. Here are the numbers on halftime margin and final margin on those 17 games, sorted by date:

date		M2	margin
20170819 	35 	32
20170824 	0 	3
20170831 	12 	28
20170908 	23 	23
20170917 	19 	18
20170923 	26 	14
20170929 	20 	48
20171009 	2 	18
20171022 	19 	27
20171027 	11 	25
20171103 	12 	33
20180616 	-1 	12
20180622 	27 	46
20180630 	-10 	-6
20180706 	17 	10
20180721 	18 	17
20180726 	14 	21
20180803 	- 	-

 

[ChainsawU]

Since August 29, 2016, Cards 13-1 O/U away after playing a home game the day before. sdql

 

[IMAX 3D]

Sawx today - more of a Severino fade than a Porcello backing though

also taking Verlander

 

[ChainsawU]

Cards/Bucs o8½ +105
Cards/Bucs score 1st inn yes -110
Cards/Bucs goes to extra innings +795

 

[ChainsawU]

It's the Brew first home game since all those trades. I think their offense kind of bonded during that short time in LA. Now they come home.. are you doing anything on that game.

 

[ChainsawU]

Junior Guerra 10-2 O/U L12 G1. Action junkie he's usually like 70% to the under. I just bet all the overs <-- junkie

 

[ChainsawU]

Brew got in from the road trip at 5:45 AM

 

[lumpy19]

Since Aug 19, 2017, opposing teams 16-1 SU and 15-2 ATS (avg line -8) vs Montreal Alouettes (8-0 SU and ATS away 39±10 ppg). sdql

Tigercats o28½ -110
Tigercats 1H -3½ -120

 

[IMAX 3D]

Well that was a pretty nice outing by porcello 

 

[ChainsawU]

Only team more profitable to fade versus lefties has been Toronto

Left-handed starters 19-4 SU L23 versus Jays. sdql

Mariners -165
M's score first +105

 

[ChainsawU]

Gomber's first start against Bucs, the most profitable MLB team to back in that situation L2 seasons.

Pirates -113

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Line's off enough at 5D to take a shot. Nurmagomedov -150.

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Morning geniuses.

 

[Frostillicus]

I'll be in Atlantic City in a month or so and will be putting in some bets.  As a Philly homer, I'm definitely putting in bets for the Phillies to go all the way (assuming they are still in contention at that point) along with the Eagles winning the SB again.

Any other good baseball or football odds I should take advantage of?

Any good NFL darkhorses would could really surprise this year?

Yes

 

[IMAX 3D]

Yes

Chargers

 

[facook]

Line's off enough at 5D to take a shot. Nurmagomedov -150.

About a month ago we locked in our annual buddy trip to Vegas for Oct 5-8.  Didn't even know there was a UFC event that weekend.  Then I saw this fight pop up tonight.  CFB, NFL, MLB playoffs, and now this fight.  Gonna be a circus man.  Didn't think I could be more fired up.  I am now.   

 

[IMAX 3D]

Klubot Berrios 1st 5 RL Parlay

 

[lumpy19]

Hemric -170 o sadler

preece -115 o bell

larson +150 o allmendinger

 

[ChainsawU]

did you know that double-sided tape was an accident. it's true some things were just meant to be remember that next time you wager 6 units on a lefty against the jays

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Time to send Gio Gonzalez to the glue factory. Don't have the heart to fade him but he's been unbettable this year.

 

[ChainsawU]

how is your day going I just rode nineteen floors in an elevator with a woman who was wearing nothing but a towel well talk to you later

 

[IMAX 3D]

how is your day going I just rode nineteen floors in an elevator with a woman who was wearing nothing but a towel well talk to you later

Did you make a “going down” joke?

 

[Angry Beavers]

Did you make a “going down” joke?

or a "Do you know what else is rising besides this elevator?" comment

 

[Angry Beavers]

Kevin Gausman/Strikeouts o5½ (-110)  - going to the National League against the Mets... change of scenery helps? Let's find out

Cleveland Indians Team Total o2½   F5(-150) - to win .5 units - Pena destroyed last time out; Why not?

Cleveland Indians -½  F5 (-170) - to win .5 units - trusting the good Kluber after his knee injection coupled with Pena

Detroit Tigers/Oakland Athletics o4½ F5 (-115) - not wanting to take the whole game cause of the OAK Pen although Det's pen is not good; Jackson with a lucky BABIP and just got his 100th win - total let down spot there and Zimmerman has not been going deep into games; ( Thinking about it probably should have taken OAK TT F5 O2.5 -120 )

Waiting on @hooter311 UFC thoughts - I personally think Dillishaw gets it done again tonight, but either way I don't see that fight going the distance; 

 

[lumpy19]

Hemric -170 o sadler

preece -115 o bell

larson +150 o allmendinger

Ugh hemric, that last lap 

NASCAR is so dumb

 

[WilliamBonney]

Roofing company bid 52 units. Adjuster estimate minus depreciation and deductible 49.97 units. Boom 2 unit roof.

You need a new insurance agent if you have your roof insured at actual cash value rather than replacement cost. I know you’re in Texas, it can still be had. 

 

[Stuart Ullman]

F5 - Braves ML, -110

 

[TheGooRoo]

Ugh hemric, that last lap 

NASCAR is so dumb

had Hemric over Cindric.  What the hell happened?

 

[zander_s]

UFC leans?

@hooter311

 

[Stuart Ullman]

UFC leans?

@hooter311

twitter.com/hooterknows

UFC 227:
Vera/Buren u2.5 +104
Johnson/Cejudo u4.5 -145
Cejudo +388
Aldana/Aldrich u2.5 +13

#hooterknows

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Looks like he already won his first bet, lol. 

 

[mquinnjr]

UFC leans?

@hooter311

UFC 227:  Vera/Buren u2.5 +104, Johnson/Cejudo u4.5 -145, Cejudo +388, Aldana/Aldrich u2.5 +130

He nailed Vera/Buren. Aldana/Aldich cancelled, so I put in the Cejudo plays.

 

[IMAX 3D]

Nice offense Cleveland 

#######s

 

[ChainsawU]

You need a new insurance agent if you have your roof insured at actual cash value rather than replacement cost. I know you’re in Texas, it can still be had. 

We used to play pick up basketball all the time. He was a senior when I was a freshman and he got my sloppy seconds once, acted like he was afraid, and it bothered him when I acted indifferent about it. I even acted almost cavalier about it, and we was both real sweet boys anyway, but it was always a subject that simmered under the surface ever since. He's married w/ children and everything now, but was always just kinda goofy like a big marshmallow.

 

[ChainsawU]

I think it was replacement cost. The adjuster was really professional.

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Nice offense Cleveland 

#######s

You too, Atlanta. What a bunch of dickbags.

 

[ChainsawU]

Only team more profitable to fade versus lefties has been Toronto

thinkin' bout goin the other way and backing jays tonite how do you feel about that

 

[Angry Beavers]

twitter.com/hooterknows

UFC 227:
Vera/Buren u2.5 +104
Johnson/Cejudo u4.5 -145
Cejudo +388
Aldana/Aldrich u2.5 +13

#hooterknows

Not sure what Hooter is looking at but I was thinking he same. DJ has never lost, but has a preggers wife at home, and is coming off of shoulder surgery. He is going to lose eventually....