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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (7 Viewers)

lumpy19 said:
Yanks TT o3 -115 - eventually I'll win a team total wager
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Chris Sale has seen the Yankees twice this season. He's pitched 13 innings giving up 9 hits and 1 run...

In 27 starts this year, he's given up more than 3 ER once. O/U 3 runs including bullpen is 11-12-3 (47.82%) in Chris Sale starts.

 
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Been betting less CFB games and been terrible. I decided EFF it. I'm playing everything I remotely like. Enjoy

Ga Tech -5.5
NW +11 1/2
CU -2 1/2
A&M -6
Texas +6 1/2 (GOY bet)
Florida -1 (GOY bet)
Bama/Arky O57.5
NU/Wisky O59
Fresno -14
Indiana +27
Michigan -17
Cincy -7
Buffalo -7
W. Virginia -27
Cuse -3
BC +7
USF -14
Ohio U. -12
Miami -14
UNLV -8 1/2
UDUB -21
Cal -2 1/2
Utah +3 1/2
Hawaii -3

bought the hook on a few of those because if you're going to make stupid choices why stop with betting 100 games.
Good luck everyone. My golf club has Ryder Cup weekend, it's supposed to be in the 40's and windy and wet all weekend.
Just the kind of weather a fat guy likes to golf in. I'm going to get hammered and play 54 holes the next 2 days. You boys
hold up the fort for me.

 
Anyone have the guts to fade the extreme steam and take Marshall -3? I think that is my first Vegas bet of this nice long weekend. ?

 
facook said:
Anyone have the guts to fade the extreme steam and take Marshall -3? I think that is my first Vegas bet of this nice long weekend. ?
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Only been back 2 days and already miss it.  In the short term there's little I liked better than 9am football.  In the long term I dunno if i'd ever get anything done.  Morning football is nuts.

 
got_nugs said:
Only been back 2 days and already miss it.  In the short term there's little I liked better than 9am football.  In the long term I dunno if i'd ever get anything done.  Morning football is nuts.
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london games start next week, 9am football!!

 
Too chalky to play straight up. The run line itself is -130. Kershaw threw 7.2 innings of 6 hit, 1 run ball against the Braves earlier this year (4-1 win).

Kershaw has won his last 9 starts. 1/3 of those wins were by 3+.

Dodgers win by 3, +675
Dodgers win by 4, +900
Dodgers win by 5, +350

(.33 unit size)

 
Northern Voice said:
Hockey tonight, I like CAR +136.
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:excited:

So, I basically piggy back on a couple analytic models but last year I hit on 51% of bets... but because of model favouring underdogs, I ended up +26% cash wise for the year 17-18. 

I don't really know what goes down in this thread, should I post what I'm wagering on, knowing I may well be 50/50 on any given bet?  But + EV overall....?

 
Bill Snyder is 78 years old and he's held two separate tenures as K State's head coach since 1989. During that time he has gone 20-9 SU and 22-6-1 ATS as the underdog when the Wildcats were catching less than 5 points. sdql

 
Stuart Ullman said:
Dodgers in 3 games, +325
Dodgers in 4 games, +300

Boom. Instead of paying -214 for Dodgers to win the series you get a chance to get them at +200 to +225.

Dodgers 5-2 against the Braves this season.
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Let's go sweep for my fourth plus money bet in a row! ; )

 
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Since 2012 Kyle Whittingham and them 19-8 SU and 18-9 ATS in games with a total lined less than 52 (19-3 SU and 17-5 ATS scoring 17 or more). sdql

I’m not saying Utah will win, I don’t think they will, but if there’s one team that’s Stanford’s cryptonite it’s Utah. Whittingham Utah teams have always played Stanford tighter then they’re supposed to because of elite defense.
Click to expand...
 
Northern Voice said:
:excited:

So, I basically piggy back on a couple analytic models but last year I hit on 51% of bets... but because of model favouring underdogs, I ended up +26% cash wise for the year 17-18. 

I don't really know what goes down in this thread, should I post what I'm wagering on, knowing I may well be 50/50 on any given bet?  But + EV overall....?
Click to expand...
AND..................he jinxed it.

And the answer to the second question is yes. All we care about is plus money.

 
Stuart Ullman said:
How do you not take that at even money with Chris Sale pitching against a team he's allowed 1 run against all year?

Free money.
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I could have given you a million reasons why, all spelled August and September, not sure if you were watching, but I won't since
the bet won.

 
Oil (-120)
Oil/NJ O6
Leafs/Sens O6 (-120)
Leafs PL (+105)
Jets (-105)
Jets/Stars U6
Hawks/Blues O6 (EV)

 
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Ty Johnson U68.5 vs Michigan.

line inflated due to an 81 yard run against Minnesota (he had 113 total). And the Michigan D > Minnesota D

 
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