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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (41 Viewers)

L4 seasons home fave
army 13-4 su 8-9 ats
scoring 29 or fewer: 0-8 ats
scoring 34+ : 8-1 ats

L3 seasons vs Temple
22-11 su and 18-15 ats
scoring 32 or less: 5-10 su 1-14 ats
scoring 34+ : 17-1 su and ats

army
o26.5 -125
o33.5 +240
 
phil steele predict connecticut over duke 31-30 via "clem/va sandwich + fagnano 22/0 ratio vs #113 pass d"

gold sheet concur "duke 3 losses equals no playoff chances but firmly in acc champ race. no incentive to put anything on tape for the rest of the acc"

I already took +7.5 -110 and probably moneyline but i gotta take a nap first
 
Jefferson 80+ rec yards +100
Juwan Johnson 037.5 rec yards -110
Schultz TD +300
Diggs over 56.5 rec yards -110
Achane over 98.5 rush+rec yards -115
Slayton TD +260
Shakir over 46.5 rec yards -110
Judkins 85.5 rush yards -110
Singletary 30+ rush yards +100 (made this earlier in the week, it's moved all the way to -180)
 
its low 30s buffalo, ny right now
it's 82 and humid at hard rock "feels like 91" that's why kincaid cramping
even belichick and them hated coming down here. only won and covered like 9 of 24 games they played in miami. also 🤬 the dolphins
 
it's like visiting cleveland in the cold. maybe it's the visitor locker room but if it's freezing in cleveland and they are catching points they will cover and probably win like when pitt went there thursday night last year. and its been that way for a while
 
Jefferson 80+ rec yards +100
✅Juwan Johnson 037.5 rec yards -110
✅Schultz TD +300
Diggs over 56.5 rec yards -110
✅Achane over 98.5 rush+rec yards -115
Slayton TD +260
✅Shakir over 46.5 rec yards -110
Judkins 85.5 rush yards -110
Singletary 30+ rush yards +100 (made this earlier in the week, it's moved all the way to -180)
Going to be close in the early window. I think ahead a tiny bit with Schultz +300 coming in (assuming none of these others come in on a miracle)

4 PM

Jameson Williams 50+ rec yards +110
Rashid Shaheed 40+ rec yards+120
Jauan Jennings over 48.5 rec yards -110
AJ Barner over 26.5 rec yards -110
 
✅Jameson Williams 50+ rec yards +110
Rashid Shaheed 40+ rec yards+120
✅Jauan Jennings over 48.5 rec yards -110
AJ Barner over 26.5 rec yards -110
Middling *** day.

Leafs/Canes over 6.5 -110
Hayton point +132
Hayton 3+ shots +290
K'Andre Miller point +130
K'Andre Miller PP point +475
Marchment 2+ shots -115
 
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eagles did have 2 weeks to prep. but packers probably had this date circled after eagles ko'd them in january. and have probably been matching the eagles' practice schedule, forgetting all about prepping for carolina last week.

if it was december i would say jump on the pack because LaFleur 20-4 su in december. i have eagles 2nd final leg of a couple two-teamers w wake so the payout is nuts for me if they win. but I'm also on the same side as 80% of all yall suckers.
 
See if we can catch lightning twice on the PP point bet.

Will Cuylle Power Play Point +375

I've noticed on this line they don't preemptively change the line based on usage, so the other four guys on this PP unit are +200, +200, +210 and +220, so good value play if obviously still a longshot.
 
I don't know if there is any other way for me to bet the Eagles tonight. I have them in teasers, ML, adjusted lines, etc. Not a fan of a lot of the talking heads being on them too, but I have real hard time seeing them not take this game, let alone lose by more than a TD
 
I have a couple more:

Packers to score first -115 (apparently Philly usually defers the kick and GB usually takes it, I think some books have first play props but couldn't find it on 365 so did this).

Jordan Love TD +850 I know everyone is on the Hurts TD/tush push/stick it to the Packers for trying to ban it narrative, I just think it would be hilarious if Love scored on a draw or push. Plus it's not like he's a total statue and hasn't run one in yet this year.

Hurts over 200.5 passing yards. Because everyone else is doing it.
 
I have way too many plus odds bets here, this could go badly. Hold on to your butts.

Tonight's card:

✅ Gabe Perreault point +155
Cuylle PP point +375
Oilers -1.5 +140
McDavid 4+ shots +145
Oilers ML/McDavid 3+ shots/Draisaitl pt +210 (incl 30% FD Boost)
Luostarinen point +155
Oilers ML/Devils ML +164 - my buddy who I talk/share bets with convinced me to do a higher $$$ bet on this to cover all these other plus odds ones. What could go wrong.


Hurts over 200.5 passing -110
Love anytime TD +850
Barkley TD +100
Packers to score first -115
Eagles +7.5/Hurts 175+ passing/Dotson 20+ rec yards +430 +30% bet365 boost
 
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eagles +7.5 to close out a teaser
nice number
Books are getting sneakier like they'll give you a 20% parlay boost but it’s gotta be 5+ legs so I’ll just grab some -300 ML or tease a few dog up to 7.5 or 8

Sometimes I’ll do some long shot plays, depends on what max bet they’ll let you get down on a promo

$10 max I’ll take some swings, but $25 $50 whatever I’ll play it safer
 
parlays are their #1 product to sell. like big macs. they post these 10 team parlay winners on twitter like "they took $1000 from the book!" no the book sold yet another big mac. remember when it was against the law to buy correlated parlays because it was an advantage against the book. now they encourage it. something is wrong there.
 
last 3 seasons w mich 15-19 su
dog: 1-18 su
fave: 14-1 su

idk what it says that they opened as dog and got bet up to fave 😐 usually try n stay away from those kind
 
Habs ML +100
Stars ML +105
Giroux PP point +550 (small one)


Later
Fantilli point +115
MacKinnon/Gauthier 3+ shots -125
CGY/STL over 5.5
Kaprizov point/Boldy 3+ shots/SJ team over 2.5 +250
 

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