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*** Official Michael Turner 2007 offseason thread *** (1 Viewer)

I think a trade will happen on the 21st after the deadline passes for anyone to sign Turner off the offer sheet. Then SD can't play hardball anymore and a team will want to lock him down before the draft. Just opinion. Either way, i think Turner gets trade 100%. There are far too many teams interested and in the end SD will get something for him.

 
http://tennessean.com/apps/pbcs.dll/articl...375/1328/SPORTS

Tuesday, 04/17/07

Agent for Turner: No trade likely

By JIM WYATT

Staff Writer

The agent for Chargers running back Michael Turner said he isn't sure his client is going to be traded.

Agent Bus Cook said he's waiting to hear back from the Titans and Chargers, who have been in trade discussions since Turner visited Tennessee a few weeks ago. He also visited the Bills.

"As of right now, it looks like Michael is going to be in San Diego,'' Cook said. "Things could change, and it could happen on draft day, too.''

The Chargers put a first- and third-round draft pick compensation on Turner, a restricted free agent. But instead of giving up that much, the Titans are interested in making a trade, which would require reaching a contract agreement with Cook, and the Titans and Chargers agreeing on compensation.

The deadline for another team to sign a restricted free agent is Friday, although a trade could be completed after that date.

"I don't think that is going to happen either,'' Cook said of Buffalo. "I don't know what is going to happen. Nothing is happening right now, though.''

 
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When Michael Turner is still a Charger at 6:00 pm or so on April 28, then I'll believe a trade won't happen. Until then, I'm inclined to think that all public statements by everybody involved in this are just attempts at posturing.

SD trading Turner to the Bills or Titans is just too mutually beneficial for me to think that something can't be worked out.

 
After all this Turner is just going to stay put? :mellow:
I don't see that happening. I think SD is just trying to get as much from the other teams as possible. There are too many teams with the need for a RB. I think that SD would want to get something now for him instead of waiting another year for a 3rd round comp pick. Why would SD have made the move too early? They are smart holding off and getting what they can for him. I do think they will want this worked out before the draft starts. I think the trade goes down Thursday or Friday before the draft and will include a 1st round pick.
 
I think if Marty was still the coach of SD then they might be more inclined to move him, but seeing AJ booted him he knows that his job is in jeopardy and will risk the potential long term gain of moving Turner for short term backfield & employment continuity.

LAUNCH

 
Really no surprise.

That's alright though, when Turner hits UFA next year, Denver will come calling.

 
Some AJ Smith quotes on this subject:

“It's still a 1 and a 3,” says Smith, now busy working with his scouts on the April 28-29 draft. “I'm flexible. What I mean is that I recognize that a 1 and a 3 would paralyze a team's draft. So work with us.

“Six teams are still very interested. I can only tell you two, Buffalo and Tennessee, because they don't care if it's known. I'm sworn to secrecy on the others. They're trying to stay under the radar. A lot of people are scared to death to let it out. I'm amazed this is going on, but I told them I'd only verify if you come out. Teams love me because of that. I tell them I'd like to have a 1 and a 3 in '07 or '08. You guys decide what it's worth.”

“If nothing happens, I'm perfectly happy to have Michael return here at $2.35 (million),” Smith says. “He'll be a backup here and kick returner. People say A.J.'s stupid to bring him back and (eventually) let him walk. The league probably will throw me a No. 4 (compensatory pick) if that happens. I'll take a 4.

“I know what I'm doing. My mind is clear. It will only be a bonus for us if something happens. Those two teams are the front-runners, but interest from the six has been consistent two weeks before the (March) owners meetings, through the owners meetings, and now.

“I think they're going to try and get a 2 out of me. Good luck, guys. If he doesn't go anywhere, we have a great, great insurance policy.”

Smith doesn't know if he'd accept a high second-round choice. It would depend on who's available and what he's looking for.

“That would have to be very, very special,” he says. “But I'll leave that open. They may plan on giving me what I want, but that won't happen until the draft.”
 
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Wow. That was very frank talk by AJ.

Man, I am really rooting for San Diego to hang on to him. Just for the Shark Pool entertainment.

 
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I think if Marty was still the coach of SD then they might be more inclined to move him, but seeing AJ booted him he knows that his job is in jeopardy and will risk the potential long term gain of moving Turner for short term backfield & employment continuity.
Smith's job is not in jeopardy. (And AJ didn't boot Marty. See this post from earlier in the thread.)
 
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Really no surprise. That's alright though, when Turner hits UFA next year, Denver will come calling.
Very interesting post. The only control Smith has over where Turner ultimately ends is right now, this year. After the next two weeks pass, he has no control over where Turner goes. How high would Mr. Smith value this control he currently owns? Is it worth maybe taking a little less then what he would like just so he ensure Turner doesn't sign with say a Denver next year?
 
Maurile Tremblay said:
Some AJ Smith quotes on this subject:

“It's still a 1 and a 3,” says Smith, now busy working with his scouts on the April 28-29 draft. “I'm flexible. What I mean is that I recognize that a 1 and a 3 would paralyze a team's draft. So work with us.

“Six teams are still very interested. I can only tell you two, Buffalo and Tennessee, because they don't care if it's known. I'm sworn to secrecy on the others. They're trying to stay under the radar. A lot of people are scared to death to let it out. I'm amazed this is going on, but I told them I'd only verify if you come out. Teams love me because of that. I tell them I'd like to have a 1 and a 3 in '07 or '08. You guys decide what it's worth.”

“If nothing happens, I'm perfectly happy to have Michael return here at $2.35 (million),” Smith says. “He'll be a backup here and kick returner. People say A.J.'s stupid to bring him back and (eventually) let him walk. The league probably will throw me a No. 4 (compensatory pick) if that happens. I'll take a 4.

“I know what I'm doing. My mind is clear. It will only be a bonus for us if something happens. Those two teams are the front-runners, but interest from the six has been consistent two weeks before the (March) owners meetings, through the owners meetings, and now.

“I think they're going to try and get a 2 out of me. Good luck, guys. If he doesn't go anywhere, we have a great, great insurance policy.”

Smith doesn't know if he'd accept a high second-round choice. It would depend on who's available and what he's looking for.

“That would have to be very, very special,” he says. “But I'll leave that open. They may plan on giving me what I want, but that won't happen until the draft.”
;)
 
grind said:
Really no surprise. That's alright though, when Turner hits UFA next year, Denver will come calling.
Very interesting post. The only control Smith has over where Turner ultimately ends is right now, this year. After the next two weeks pass, he has no control over where Turner goes. How high would Mr. Smith value this control he currently owns? Is it worth maybe taking a little less then what he would like just so he ensure Turner doesn't sign with say a Denver next year?
Or Oakland. ;)
 
massraider said:
Wow. That was very frank talk by AJ.
Agreed, but obviously he can be considering it's a win-win.I was surprised to see him mention 6 teams though. :confused: That should put to bed any doubts as to how the league views Turner.

 
grind said:
Really no surprise. That's alright though, when Turner hits UFA next year, Denver will come calling.
Very interesting post. The only control Smith has over where Turner ultimately ends is right now, this year. After the next two weeks pass, he has no control over where Turner goes. How high would Mr. Smith value this control he currently owns? Is it worth maybe taking a little less then what he would like just so he ensure Turner doesn't sign with say a Denver next year?
Or Oakland. :confused:
I didn't want to mention Oakland, as I have Lamont on my fantasy team and didn't want to bring up bad thoughts. Wonder if Smith is even considering this point/control in his ultimate decision.
 
massraider said:
Wow. That was very frank talk pre-draft smokeblowing talk by AJ.

Man, I am really rooting for San Diego to hang on to him. Just for the Shark Pool entertainment.
Fixed.
Refresh my memory. Other than mentioning the picks it would take to move Turner (which is the same comment he has made since the tags were placed), what did A.J. say about the draft again?
 
massraider said:
Wow. That was very frank talk pre-draft smokeblowing talk by AJ.

Man, I am really rooting for San Diego to hang on to him. Just for the Shark Pool entertainment.
Fixed.
:confused: Whatever do you mean? You're not suggesting that AJ might be inflating the numer of teams interested, are you?

I like the line about AJ mentioning how team love him because he can keep a scret.

AJ, you are totally my Best Friend Forever!! He acts like he's protecting actors that are in the closet.

 
massraider said:
Wow. That was very frank talk pre-draft smokeblowing talk by AJ.

Man, I am really rooting for San Diego to hang on to him. Just for the Shark Pool entertainment.
Fixed.
:shrug: Whatever do you mean? You're not suggesting that AJ might be inflating the numer of teams interested, are you?

I like the line about AJ mentioning how team love him because he can keep a scret.

AJ, you are totally my Best Friend Forever!! He acts like he's protecting actors that are in the closet.
Seriously. He's trying too hard here.
 
massraider said:
Wow. That was very frank talk pre-draft smokeblowing talk by AJ.

Man, I am really rooting for San Diego to hang on to him. Just for the Shark Pool entertainment.
Fixed.
:rant: Whatever do you mean? You're not suggesting that AJ might be inflating the numer of teams interested, are you?

I like the line about AJ mentioning how team love him because he can keep a scret.

AJ, you are totally my Best Friend Forever!! He acts like he's protecting actors that are in the closet.
Seriously. He's trying too hard here.
Whether it's AJ or his fishwrap buddy, Nick Canepa, something smells here...especially when he trys to sell you with this:

"Plus, unlike Oklahoma's Adrian Peterson and Cal's Marshawn Lynch, Turner, who just turned 25, is a known commodity. Over three seasons, he has carried the ball 157 times for 941 yards. Tampa Bay coach Jon Gruden calls Peterson the best running back prospect he's seen in many years, but I'm not sure he's better than Turner. Peterson runs upright and is not immune to injury. Turner is fresh."

I believe Turner will be good with whatever team he ends up with (this year or next), but this whole article is really pimping Turner hard.

 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care.

He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.

 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care.

He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Yeah, other GM sure are sick of getting ripped off by AJ, The Giants and Falcons GM's come to mind. But seriously why take a 2nd now? If that many teams are really calling about him, the price is going to be high.

 
massraider said:
Wow. That was very frank talk pre-draft smokeblowing talk by AJ.

Man, I am really rooting for San Diego to hang on to him. Just for the Shark Pool entertainment.
Fixed.
:lmao: Whatever do you mean? You're not suggesting that AJ might be inflating the numer of teams interested, are you?

I like the line about AJ mentioning how team love him because he can keep a scret.

AJ, you are totally my Best Friend Forever!! He acts like he's protecting actors that are in the closet.
Seriously. He's trying too hard here.
Whether it's AJ or his fishwrap buddy, Nick Canepa, something smells here...especially when he trys to sell you with this:



"Plus, unlike Oklahoma's Adrian Peterson and Cal's Marshawn Lynch, Turner, who just turned 25, is a known commodity. Over three seasons, he has carried the ball 157 times for 941 yards. Tampa Bay coach Jon Gruden calls Peterson the best running back prospect he's seen in many years, but I'm not sure he's better than Turner. Peterson runs upright and is not immune to injury. Turner is fresh."

I believe Turner will be good with whatever team he ends up with (this year or next), but this whole article is really pimping Turner hard.
that was the writer thinking out loud there, imo.
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
:goodposting: (and barring new info, a possible threadkiller)
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
This has been my thinking the entire time. Why would SD give up perhaps the best backup RB in the league and lose their RB depth? The Chargers aren't interested in rebuilding, they're going for a Superbowl this year. Good luck to all those people that overpaid for him, you're dynasty teams will be hurting for another year.
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
Good luck to all those people that overpaid for him, you're dynasty teams will be hurting for another year.
Seriously, what value does a post like this add?
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
This has been my thinking the entire time. Why would SD give up perhaps the best backup RB in the league and lose their RB depth? The Chargers aren't interested in rebuilding, they're going for a Superbowl this year. Good luck to all those people that overpaid for him, you're dynasty teams will be hurting for another year.
:confused: In redraft you can laugh if he is not traded. But if he is not traded, to laugh at drafting a player of Turner's caliber in dynasty knowing he is only one year away from being a solid starting RB is ludicrous. Should people have slept on L. Johnson too? Should people not draft AP early if he goes to a team where he may have to wait a year to get his shot? Dynasty is not all about the now.
 
I think if Marty was still the coach of SD then they might be more inclined to move him, but seeing AJ booted him he knows that his job is in jeopardy and will risk the potential long term gain of moving Turner for short term backfield & employment continuity.
Smith's job is not in jeopardy. (And AJ didn't boot Marty. See this post from earlier in the thread.)
I believe that I remember Mort saying this right after he hired Norv Turner, but it is only logical. While AJ may not have had the juice to fire him himself he did what every 3rd rate manager does and instead of dealing with issues they try to make the workplace so toxic that the person quits. Well he got what he wished for and Marty is gone. It's hard to think of any team coming off a 14-2 season with a GM's job in jeopardy, but if you get of rid of one of the most successful regular season coaches in the league and do everything to get him to quit (canned) only to hire a coach who has a lifetime record of 58-82 there has to be some kind of payoff or the ownership may have to rethink things."Firing" Marty, letting go Donnie Edwards to the Chiefs, and losing Wade Phillips may not come back to haunt them if they win, but would it be really be that surprising to see a new regime if they regress in the next two years? What would happen if they dealt Turner,lost LT to a season ending injury, and had a 6-10 record? I personally think there would be some heat.

LAUNCH

 
I believe that I remember Mort saying this right after he hired Norv Turner, but it is only logical. While AJ may not have had the juice to fire him himself he did what every 3rd rate manager does and instead of dealing with issues they try to make the workplace so toxic that the person quits.
Based on everything I've read, this is way off. But maybe you've read different stuff than I have.
 
Caution - the following includes speculation so if you value the next five minutes of your life more highly than fantasy speculation, move on. You have been notified.

I noted an interesting quote in the Canepa article from the SD Union Tribune, towards the end...

Canepa article

“Now the bluffing game is on,” he says, “and it could go all the way to the draft. We don't want to give up on a No. 1. It's very much on the front burner, and it hasn't subsided. The game is on now.”

The quote is from Smith, who is being portrayed as a western gambler in the article (kinda schmoozy).

First off, he seems to admit to bluffing, meaning that there could be six teams or just the two; he may hold onto Turner another year or be anxious to get maximal value; and his asking price may be negotiable, or not.

Secondly, he states "it could go all the way to the draft." Interesting in that it suggests that if a trade is not done before the draft, he would not be interested. I am assuming that this means he thinks he can get a near-comparable RB from the first 40 picks or so in the draft, but there is nothing in the free agency pool that excites him.

Now, it would appear that there are only two RB going in the first round in most mocks (partially representing need, which would be changed if SD had an additional pick and newly developed need due to trade). The rests of the RBs have been disparaged upon by many, including the Dallas reporter that was interviewed in the Audible (sorry his name escapes me). So, either SD believes in they can grab Lynch or can develop some second tier RB like Booker, Pittman or Jackson. This pins the season's hopes on LT's durability obviously.

He appears to be stating they want at least one first round pick, so one assumes there is someone in the conscensus top 32 - 40 they want if they lose Turner.

Now, interestingly, Canepa's article suggests a high second might seal the deal as well. Again, not a second, but a high second, which is why I extended my range to the top 40 picks. Maybe there is a DB that can handle the return duties they have targeted. I don't know. Just interesting to pick apart the mindset (and continue to dwell on the MT situation).

It is also stated that there are six teams interested. Looking at the depth charts of the teams, ignoring intra-conference or divisional realties against trades, I speculate on the possible suspects:

Tenn - known

Buff - known

GB - assumed and in dire need of a legit franchise back. I feel this is nearly guaranteed to be one of the six

Dallas -mentioned but no need based upon talent on roster. If they have a pending offer for J Jones or would consider trading him and a lower pick, maybe. I really don't see this as anything other than kicking the tires.

Balt - just picked up McGahee and have serviceable backups in Smith and Anderson, no

Ari - Edge came on late last season, but they are changing offenses blocking schemes IIRC. However, unless they drop Edge (high pricetag), won't happen. Also, they are pretty well stocked with Shipp and JJ. I say no.

Atl - Dunn is an excellent back but aging and Norwood apparently is not believed by many to be capable of running in the new scheme IIRC, so Atl is a strong possibility and was mentioned once somewhere by a poster I believe. This would give Atl a year with Dunn to bring Turner up to speed and Norwood could be an excellent 3rd down back.

Cin - Rudi is beginning to show some wear as well and there is no quality back up as Perry is always on the IR it seems. Turner could plug into Rudi's role easily and with the loss of WRs this offseason to FA and sanctions, Cin would have reason to fortify the running game. I could see this possibility.

Car- the Panthers have talent, but have not re-established the running game dominance that they had with Davis. Turner is a similar strong, bullish back and he could take pressure off the passing game. DW would be an excellent back up. Foster does not seem to the present or future of the Panthers running game. Possible but not real likely.

Cle - yes they picked up Jamal Lewis, but is he a patch or can he be a feature back? I have lost a lot of enthusiasm for Lewis. Need is there but I don't know if the Browns would make this move. Possible but not likely.

Bears - I like Adrian Peterson better than Benson (there, I said it) but they have two very capable RBs assuming Benson can get along with his team mates and show some durability. I think Turner would be an upgrade, but the need is not there.

Denver - No, Henry and MA, two starters.

Hou - they actually have some good talent. Picked up Green and Dayne played excellently last game or two. Gado has shown he can be inserted in case of injury and Lundy has promise. No need and other needs to address. No.

Det - already addressed the position. NO.

Ind - this is my sleeper. Different conference, Addai excelled in split time last year, could they be looking to do that again? I don't know if they have the cap room but Turner would make this offense so complete and add depth and a dimension to the game. I would think Colts fans would love this as much as fantasy fans would hate it.

Jac - No, MJD is probably the future and Freddy did better last year than he has in a long time.

Min - No, they picked up their FA high dollar back last year. People knock on Taylor but he was dependable last year. Needs a reliever to keep the mileage down, but I don't see this.

KC - No, see StL

NO - NO, kinda funny looking at that, I mean New Orleans, No.

Miami - no, Brown is doing well enough and if Ricky is better than I suspect (he didn't exactly light up the CFL prior to his injury) then they are set at RB

NYG - don't see it.

NE - If Mauroney is ok, then no immediate need, but I have heard comments that make me wonder about his shoulder IIRC. Impossible to guess what Patriots would do, but I don't see this. Not unless Mauroney has something that would limit his play.

Phi - no, only thing that would make this possible is Buckhalter having knee problems but I have not heard a word about this, so I am saying no.

NYJ - the pantry is full so why go shopping? I think they made their move for the off season.

STL - no, see KC

Oak - made their move at RB with Rhodes. They have a high second, but what a mess that backfield would be. Waste of thought unless they threw a player of interest (Rhodes?) in with it.

SF - no, Gore is the franchise back

Sea - hmm, Alexander was injured, high mileage and Morris was only adequate as a back up. I would like this. Similar to the Ind situation. Again, speaking as fan not fantasy

TB - maybe, there was a mumble about going for peterson, maybe a high second from TB would do it?

Was - no

So, who comes out as the possible six teams (ignoring conference/divisional restrictions)?

Likely..........Kicking the tires..........Unlikely

Tenn...........Dallas........................Philly

Buff............Cincinatti....................Oakland

GB...............................................Carolina

Atl...............Indianapolis...............Cleveland

...................Seattle

edited to correct spacing

 
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From today's UT:

Turner key to Chargers' ascent

Points in trade could help team move up in draft

By Jim Trotter

UNION-TRIBUNE STAFF WRITER

April 18, 2007

If the Chargers trade restricted free-agent running back Michael Turner before the April 28-29 NFL draft, they could be in a great position to trade up and possibly select a franchise-type player.

The defending AFC West champions don't have many holes on their roster after going 14-2 last season, but they could use upgrades at wide receiver and safety.

Most NFL people believe Georgia Tech wide receiver Calvin Johnson and LSU safety LaRon Landry are the dominant prospects at their positions, with everyone else a notch below. Each is expected to be drafted among the top 10 picks – with Johnson possibly going No. 1 overall.

The Chargers hold the 30th pick. But that could change if they deal Turner for a first-round pick this year, then package that choice with one or more of their own picks to move up.

Based on the trade chart obtained from NFL.com, the Chargers would need at least 1,400 points to get as high as No. 8 and have a shot at Landry, who isn't expected to last beyond that spot. Their 30th pick is worth 620 points, based on the chart, so theoretically they would need an additional 780 points to make a deal work.

Enter the Bills and the Titans, who have expressed strong interest in Turner. If the Chargers can acquire either of their first-round picks this year – Buffalo selects 12th, Tennessee 19th – they would have more than enough points to get into the eighth spot.

The Bills' pick is worth 1,200 points, the Titans' 875. At a minimum, the Chargers would have 1,495 points if they combined their first-round pick with that of the Titans. They would have 1,820 if they combined it with the Bills' selection, which, according to the chart, would give them enough points to get into the fourth spot.

Of course, the Chargers could always add more picks – or even players – to try to get higher. But even that wouldn't necessarily guarantee a deal, because most teams don't view the trade chart as an absolute.

“It's really just a tool,” Saints General Manager Mickey Loomis said. “There's no hard-and-fast rule with it, and then if you introduce a player into the mix, it skews the whole thing. You're off the charts, basically.

“But I think there is some value in it, particularly when you're talking to a team that uses the chart and believes in it. Then at least you can talk apples and apples.”
I think the bolded statement is very key - the Chargers have so few roster spots open that now is exactly the time in which a GM can roll the dice and trade multiple picks to move up to get an impact player.
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
Um, first of all, the Chargers would NOT get a 3rd or 4th round pick next year. They would get a 3rd or 4th round pick in 2009. And it would be at the bottom of the 3rd or 4th round. If Smith is really calculating the possible compensatory pick into his trade value then he's an idiot. He would have to assume that some team would pay Turner as a top 5 FA and that he's not going to sign any big name FAs himself to even get a 3rd round compensatory. Going by the draft value chart, the 12th pick in the 2nd round is 460 points. The first compensatory pick in the 3rd round would be 112 points. The first compensatory pick in the 4th round would be 43 points. So even if he got a 3rd rounder, it wouldn't be worth even a quarter of a fairly high 2nd round pick. The only reason not to trade Turner is because he is too valuable as a backup. And IMO, that doesn't fly for me. If LT gets hurt the team is still a completely different team, even with Turner. I don't think for a second that AJ Smith really believes that the Chargers could win a Super Bowl if LT got hurt. If Smith doesn't trade Turner and passes up a 2nd round pick, what he's really saying is that he's putting all of his eggs in the 2007 basket. If they don't win the Super Bowl in 2007 then he doesn't think that they can win it with this team.
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
Um, first of all, the Chargers would NOT get a 3rd or 4th round pick next year. They would get a 3rd or 4th round pick in 2009. And it would be at the bottom of the 3rd or 4th round. If Smith is really calculating the possible compensatory pick into his trade value then he's an idiot. He would have to assume that some team would pay Turner as a top 5 FA and that he's not going to sign any big name FAs himself to even get a 3rd round compensatory. Going by the draft value chart, the 12th pick in the 2nd round is 460 points. The first compensatory pick in the 3rd round would be 112 points. The first compensatory pick in the 4th round would be 43 points. So even if he got a 3rd rounder, it wouldn't be worth even a quarter of a fairly high 2nd round pick. The only reason not to trade Turner is because he is too valuable as a backup. And IMO, that doesn't fly for me. If LT gets hurt the team is still a completely different team, even with Turner. I don't think for a second that AJ Smith really believes that the Chargers could win a Super Bowl if LT got hurt. If Smith doesn't trade Turner and passes up a 2nd round pick, what he's really saying is that he's putting all of his eggs in the 2007 basket. If they don't win the Super Bowl in 2007 then he doesn't think that they can win it with this team.
:)
 
If Smith is really calculating the possible compensatory pick into his trade value then he's an idiot.
IMO, if he's not taking everything into account then he's making a mistake.
He would have to assume that some team would pay Turner as a top 5 FA and that he's not going to sign any big name FAs himself to even get a 3rd round compensatory.
It's very likely that Turner will sign a big contract and that the Chargers won't bring in any fancy free agents.
Going by the draft value chart . . .
IMO, if Smith is going by the draft value chart, then he's making a mistake.
I don't think for a second that AJ Smith really believes that the Chargers could win a Super Bowl if LT got hurt.
I very strongly believe that he believes this.
If Smith doesn't trade Turner and passes up a 2nd round pick, what he's really saying is that he's putting all of his eggs in the 2007 basket. If they don't win the Super Bowl in 2007 then he doesn't think that they can win it with this team.
What he's saying if he doesn't trade Turner for a second, is that Turner in 2007 plus a fourth in 2009 is worth more than a second in 2007. And I'd agree with him unless it's a very high second.
 
AJ can choke on his own vomit for all I care. He won't even take a 2nd? Bull####. AJ's been reading too many of his own press clippings about what a great negotiator he is. There are no talks right now (according to the previous agent article) because AJ is an ### who other GMs can do without. At least I hope so.
Why in the world would AJ take a 2nd right now when he can keep Turner this year, and get a 3rd or a 4th rounder next year as compensation when Turner signs elsewhere?If the Chargers move Turner now, RB becomes by far the thinnest position on the team, and they will have to spend $, or draft pick(s), or both to bring in a couple of capable backups. Norv Turner's system is RB heavy, and this team is Super Bowl ready. It would be negligent to enter the season an LT turned ankle away from a non-playoff season. Turner's value to the 2007 Chargers is huge. AJ Smith realizes this and understandably isn't going to move Turner for peanuts.
Um, first of all, the Chargers would NOT get a 3rd or 4th round pick next year. They would get a 3rd or 4th round pick in 2009. And it would be at the bottom of the 3rd or 4th round. If Smith is really calculating the possible compensatory pick into his trade value then he's an idiot. He would have to assume that some team would pay Turner as a top 5 FA and that he's not going to sign any big name FAs himself to even get a 3rd round compensatory. Going by the draft value chart, the 12th pick in the 2nd round is 460 points. The first compensatory pick in the 3rd round would be 112 points. The first compensatory pick in the 4th round would be 43 points. So even if he got a 3rd rounder, it wouldn't be worth even a quarter of a fairly high 2nd round pick. The only reason not to trade Turner is because he is too valuable as a backup. And IMO, that doesn't fly for me. If LT gets hurt the team is still a completely different team, even with Turner. I don't think for a second that AJ Smith really believes that the Chargers could win a Super Bowl if LT got hurt. If Smith doesn't trade Turner and passes up a 2nd round pick, what he's really saying is that he's putting all of his eggs in the 2007 basket. If they don't win the Super Bowl in 2007 then he doesn't think that they can win it with this team.
:thumbup: Very well said.
 
This would increase the likelihood that A(D)P winds up in Buffalo, yes?
Sure, but then where does Lynch go?
To the Chargers. :thumbup:
To the Bills, AD wont get passed Cleveland let alone Minnesota
I don't see it... both CLE and MIN have more pressing needs, in fact, I wouldn't be surprised to see MIN take Quinn if he falls to them. CLE has an RB, and won't draft one early in the draft.
 

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