Official Playoff Scenario Thread (1 Viewer)

[aposulli]

Arizona, Buffalo, Cleveland, Detroit, Houston, Miami, Minnesota, Oakland, Pittsburgh, San Francisco, Tampa Bay and Washington have been eliminated from Playoff contention.

From ESPN.com at the conclusion of Week 16:

AFC East

• New England has clinched division title.

• N.Y. Jets can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win or tie

Or

2. A Cincinnati loss or tie and a Jacksonville loss or tie

Or

3. A Cincinnati loss or tie and a Tennessee win

Or

4. A Denver loss and a Jacksonville loss

AFC North

• Baltimore has clinched the division title.

• Baltimore can clinch home-field advantage with:

1. A win and a San Diego loss

• Baltimore can clinch first-round bye with:

1. A win or tie

Or

2. Indianapolis loss or tie

• Cincinnati can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win and a N.Y. Jets loss

Or

2. A win and a Denver loss and a Kansas City win

AFC South

• Indianapolis has clinched the division title:

• Indianapolis can clinch first-round bye with:

1. A win and a Baltimore loss

• Tennessee can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win and a Cincinnati loss or tie and a Denver loss and a Kansas City win

• Jacksonville can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win and a N.Y. Jets loss and a Cincinnati loss or tie and a Tennessee loss or tie

AFC West

• San Diego has clinched division a first-round bye.

• San Diego can clinch home-field advantage with:

1. A win or tie

Or

2. Baltimore loss or tie

• Denver can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win or tie

Or

2. A Kansas City loss or tie

• Kansas City can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win and a Cincinnati loss or tie and a Denver loss and a Tennessee loss or tie



NFC East

• Dallas and Philadelphia have clinched playoff berths.

• Dallas can clinch division with:

1. A win with a Philadelphia loss or tie

Or

2. A tie with a Philadelphia loss

• Philadelphia can clinch division with:

1. A win

Or

2. Dallas loss

Or

3. A tie with a Dallas tie

• N.Y. Giants can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win and clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over Green Bay

Or

2. A win with a Green Bay loss or tie

Or

3. A tie plus a Green Bay loss or tie plus a St. Louis loss or tie plus an Atlanta loss or tie and a Carolina loss or tie

Or

4. A Green Bay loss plus a St. Louis loss plus an Atlanta loss and a Carolina loss



NFC North

• Chicago has clinched the division and home-field advantage in the NFC.

• Green Bay can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win plus a NY Giants win + GB clinches strength of victory tiebreaker over NYG

Or

2. A win plus a NY Giants loss or tie plus a St. Louis loss or tie

Or

3. A win plus a NY Giants loss or tie plus a Carolina win

Or

4. A win plus a NY Giants loss or tie plus an Atlanta win

Or

5. A tie plus a NY Giants loss plus a St. Louis loss plus an Atlanta loss or tie plus a Carolina loss or tie



NFC South

• New Orleans has clinched division and a first-round bye. loss.

• Carolina can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win plus a NY Giants loss or tie plus a Green Bay loss or tie

Or

2. A tie plus a NY Giants loss plus a Green Bay loss plus a St. Louis loss or tie plus an Atlanta loss or tie

• Atlanta can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win plus a Carolina loss or tie plus a Green Bay loss or tie plus a NY Giants loss or tie

Or

2. A tie plus a Carolina loss plus a Green Bay loss plus a NY Giants loss plus a St. Louis loss



NFC West

• Seattle has clinched the division.

• St. Louis can clinch a playoff berth with:

1. A win plus a NY Giants loss or tie plus a Carolina loss or tie plus an Atlanta loss or tie

OR

2. A tie plus a NY Giants loss plus a Carolina loss plus an Atlanta loss plus a Green Bay loss

What I gathered from this:

SD or BAL could earn the AFC 1 seed

SD, BAL, or IND could earn the AFC 2 seed

BAL, IND, NE could earn the AFC 3 seed

IND, NE could earn the AFC 4 seed

NYJ could clinch an AFC WC with a win VS. OAK

DEN could clinch an AFC WC with a win VS. SF

NYJ, DEN, TEN, CIN, JAX, KC could earn either AFC WC

CHI has clinched the NFC 1 seed

NO has clinched the NFC 2 seed

DAL, PHI could earn the NFC 3 seed

SEA has clinched the NFC 4 seed

PHI or DAL have clinched at least an NFC WC

NYG, GB, CAR, ATL, STL could earn the 2nd NFC WC

 

[AB in DC]

• N.Y. Giants can clinch a playoff berth with:1. A win and clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over Green Bay

FYI, per NFL.com, NYG's strength of victory is .438, and GB's is .314If both teams win this weekend, the Giants' SOV drops to .422, but the Packers' SOV only goes up to .376. That's an awfully big differential to make up. Green Bay would need wins from Minnesota, Detroit, Arizona, Miami, and/or San Fran plus some losses by Dallas, Tampa, Houston, and/or Carolina. Philly-Atlanta will raise NYG's SOV no matter what.I suspect that the Packets have no chance if Dallas beats Detroit, but could anyone here try to prove this mathetmatically?

 

[aposulli]

• N.Y. Giants can clinch a playoff berth with:1. A win and clinch strength of victory tiebreaker over Green Bay

FYI, per NFL.com, NYG's strength of victory is .438, and GB's is .314If both teams win this weekend, the Giants' SOV drops to .422, but the Packers' SOV only goes up to .376. That's an awfully big differential to make up. Green Bay would need wins from Minnesota, Detroit, Arizona, Miami, and/or San Fran plus some losses by Dallas, Tampa, Houston, and/or Carolina. Philly-Atlanta will raise NYG's SOV no matter what.I suspect that the Packets have no chance if Dallas beats Detroit, but could anyone here try to prove this mathetmatically?

Giants certainly have the best chance of making it on the NFC side as do the Broncos and Jets on the AFC side.