2Squirrels1Nut
Footballguy
Plummeting another 20% on no particular news
DWAC - 90.31/share - Market Cap - 3.36B
Blaming George Soros makes sense. I believe that he personally sets stock prices the same way that Joe Biden personally sets gas prices.DWAC - 28.85/share - Market Cap - 1.07B
Every single person that bought a share any time after the announcement is losing money right now, as this beat the new low of 35.71/share. It's pure panic on TS right now, except the people blaming Soros, the Deep State and Trump himself.
Blaming George Soros makes sense. I believe that he personally sets stock prices the same way that Joe Biden personally sets gas prices.
I had a hunch the proceedings would get around to DWAC, so I shorted 2,000 shares yesterdayMy new favorite is the guy demanding: "I want the names of every fund that sold stock the last two days? #DWAC How to catch a thief."
They are all going to lose money, and it's someone on the Left's fault.
When the day started, little things I was reading, I thought it might dip below the 35.71 lowest price number. Did not expect it to close at 27.30. There was a lot of talk about people buying shares in the 40s to get their average cost in the mid 50s. What do you do if you are those people?
Take the loss and carry it forward for 10 years if your have to.When the day started, little things I was reading, I thought it might dip below the 35.71 lowest price number. Did not expect it to close at 27.30. There was a lot of talk about people buying shares in the 40s to get their average cost in the mid 50s. What do you do if you are those people?
My new favorite is the guy demanding: "I want the names of every fund that sold stock the last two days? #DWAC How to catch a thief."
They are all going to lose money, and it's someone on the Left's fault.
DWAC - 28.85/share - Market Cap - 1.07B
Take the loss and carry it forward for 10 years if your have to.
I imagine if you have never seen a pitch deck before, or heard of PowerPoint, something like that can be really impressive.Dead cat bounce? Shares are back up over $30 today and seem to be stable. Those on TS are far from stable. Calling the 10% increase a massive explosion, "to the moon" and drinking liberal tears.
A lot of them have gotten hold of the slide from the TMTG powerpoint where it shows TMTG going after Netflix, Hulu and Disney+ all at the same time. One of the more prolific posters is using this slide to claim that DWAC(TMTG) stock will reach $4000 or more before it's all said and done.
It would be just as likely for FBG to run arrows to ESPN, DraftKings and the NFL and say they were going to take on all three at the same time.I imagine if you have never seen a pitch deck before, or heard of PowerPoint, something like that can be really impressive.
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The Smart Score combines eight factors to provide a single TipRanks rating. The score is updated daily. 1 is the lowest rating, 10 is the highest.
DWAC rating, 1
I have serious doubts about DWAC -- related to both the odds of it completing its merger with TMTG, and also to the potential for Truth Social to be a success from a business perspective.
Hedge fund Kerrisdale Capital is shorting DWAC due to its belief that it will never be able to consummate the merger. "The SEC is cracking down on SPACs and $DWAC is a poster child for some of the worst abuses the investment vehicle has spawned," the company tweeted in April.
Furthermore, TMTG has experienced a host of issues from technical bugs to high-level executives leaving the company, and I just don't know if the alternative social media platform is truly sustainable.
Truth Social previously told investors it would have 16 million users by the end of 2022. Various media reports pegged its total user base at 1.5 million to 2 million currently, so the site will have a lot of work to do to hit these initial projections. For all of these reasons, I am staying away from the stock.
Not unless there are a lot of bot accounts...From fool.com today:
His current user base numbers are off, but if Truth Social promised 16 million users six months from now, they are in trouble, bigly. They would need over 2 million new users per month until the end of the year. Not happening.
Not unless there are a lot of bot accounts...
This seems so crazy to me.cosjobs said:Trump’s deal with DWAC gives him virtually unlimited power at the company. A previous filing noted that no personal or political conduct could be considered terms of a breach of the agreement, even if it was “dishonest, illegal, immoral, or unethical.”. Trump will also have the power to elect who sits on the board of directors and can potentially block matters that would normally require stockholder approval, including the acquisition of the company.
This story was originally featured on Fortune.com
His current user base numbers are off, but if Truth Social promised 16 million users six months from now, they are in trouble, bigly. They would need over 2 million new users per month until the end of the year. Not happening.
How long before he’s banned?….
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/3526926-newsom-joins-trumps-truth-social-to-call-out-republican-lies/
How long before he’s banned?….
https://thehill.com/policy/technology/3526926-newsom-joins-trumps-truth-social-to-call-out-republican-lies/
Just some publicity for his eventual 2024 run for POTUS.Bogart said:He's only posted a single video, calling out gun violence. Not really sure what his strategy is, the post is getting all the negative attention you would expect. Only 1600 likes, but 17,000 comments. Maybe he lost a bet or something.
While the new Trump media empire offered a lot of promise shortly after his Presidency, the deal with Digital World Acquisition (NASDAQWAC) appears close to dead on arrival. The extended time period to get Truth Social launched and the Elon Musk buyout of Twitter (TWTR) are working in combination to reduce the momentum for a free speech outlet. My investment thesis is very Bearish on the SPAC trading far above the $10.20 deal price up at $28.40.
Took Too Long
The Trump Media & Technology Group, or TMTG, officially launched the Truth Social App on the App Store back at the end of February. The website wasn't available on a web browser until May 18.
The problem here is that President Trump has been out of the White House since the inauguration of Joe Biden in February 2021. Trump was banned by Twitter and other social media platforms back around January 8, 2021.
Trump has had a very low profile for the last 17+ months with the lack of media coverage and social media access. The former President was a top 10 account on Twitter, so he definitely would garner a ton of followers and usage on any social media platform, but Trump no longer has a political position with which to attract anyone outside the hardcore supporters.
TMTG promised the ability to create a media empire to compete for the digital audiences far beyond Twitter to include the 120 million people listening to podcasts and the large Netflix (NFLX) user base topping 200 million subscribers. After the launch of the web version, Forbes contributor John Brandon claims Truth Social is nothing more than a basic copy of Twitter:
Truth Social looks exactly like something a developer would make if they were asked to build an app that does only the Twitter basics and nothing more.
Most of the data continues to suggest the social app has ~500K daily active users (DAUs), but the data is mostly outdated numbers from April. According to Time, Truth Social only had 2.6 million lifetime downloads in the U.S. with Trump having 3.27 million users now.
The S-4 filing suggests Truth Social only has a 6-hour exclusive window for Trump posts. The former President is free to post on other websites eliminating the main reason to join the platform, if one just wants to see the posts of Trump:
President Trump is generally obligated to make any social media post on Truth Social and may not make the same post on another social media site for 6 hours. Thereafter, he is free to post on any site to which he has access...In addition, he may make a post from a personal account related to political messaging, political fundraising or get-out-the-vote efforts on any social media site at any time.
If Musk closes the acquisition to buy Twitter and makes the site a harbinger of free speech, Truth Social will be dead on arrival. The platform has over 242 million DAUs and most users wouldn't need the limited user base of Trump's media platform.
Even worse, Truth Social has the SEC all over their case regarding whether Digital World and TMTG negotiated terms before the SPAC officially went public. The company just finally submitted the S-4 with the agreement to merge with the Digital World SPAC over 8 months ago.
At this point, Trump just doesn't have the reach or influence to move the needle unless the former President makes another run for the White House. Remember, Twitter had long claimed President Trump didn't even move the needle the traffic on the social media platform while Monness Crespi Hardt estimated the former President was worth $2 billion to the social media platform. Considering the stock is actually worth more now without him banned than this estimate back in 2017 when Twitter was worth only $12 billion, one quickly gets the view of the limited value of Trump despite his popularity.
SPAC Priced For Perfection
The transaction valued TMTG at an EV of $875 million with the potential for an earnest of $825 million for a total value of $1.7 billion. The trust has $293 million in cash and a $1 billion PIPE lined up to provide TMTG with a cash balance of $1.25 billion (after expenses) to build the potential media empire.
The company filed the S-1 on May 27 and unlike other SPACs, TMTG hasn't issues any financial projections. The Q1'22 numbers of Rumble (CFVI) highlight why financials wouldn't be impressive and the limited data provided by TMTG suggest the company only spent a paltry $8 million on operating expenses in the quarter highlighting how far Truth Social is from being a media juggernaut.
The big confusing aspect is the outstanding shares. Digital World hasn't provided a good summary of the share balances and this basic table in the S-1 excludes any warrants, earnout shares worth up to $825 million and converts the PIPE shares at current prices.
Even if TMTG only goes public with 158 million shares outstanding, the stock has a market cap of $4.4 billion with an EV of $3.2 billion. Truth Social just launched and the company will take years to generate the hundreds of million in revenues warranting the current stock valuation. Not to mention, the business isn't even guaranteed to succeed.
At lower stock prices, the $1 billion PIPE investors could end up being issued up to 100 million of shares at $10 each while the filing uses ~30 million shares for the PIPE investors. Either way, the share count is likely to differ once the deal is done due to potential redemptions of the public shares, exercise of warrants and adjustments for the PIPE investment.
Takeaway
The key investor takeaway is that Digital World is too expensive considering the business combination has failed to generate any meaningful user base. The stock market is too excited about the potential for a Trump media empire considering the former President isn't in any position to influence policy anymore.
Investors should unload shares of Digital World up near $30.
An investigation was announced for investors of Digital World Acquisition Corp. (NASDAQ: DWAC) shares over potential securities laws violations by Digital World Acquisition Corp. in connection with certain financial statements.
Cramer lit up all SPACs on CNBC last night. Paraphrasing but he stated the only reason companies go the SPAC route instead of a regular IPO is to avoid SEC scrutiny and they are ALL scams.DWAC investors have started an investigation into DWAC. Things are going just fine.
Digital World Acquisition Corp. Investor Alert: Kaplan Fox Investigates Potential Securities Fraud at DWAC
Investigation announced for Investors in shares of Digital World Acquisition Corp. (NASDAQ: DWAC) over possible Violations of Securities Laws
Digital World Acquisition Corp. Investor Alert: Kaplan Fox Investigates Potential Securities Fraud at DWAC
@Stealthycat you getting in on any of the fun?
@Stealthycat you getting in on any of the fun?
no, but I wish I'd have sold/shorted at $75 a share and made $$$$$$$
a lot of people did too - money made !!
A lot of people on TS are still buying shares as the price continues to drop. One user posted they were down $53,000 and had nothing left to invest. Another user chimed in that they WISH they were only down $53K.
Money being made, yes. But a ton of money also being lost.
For every share that was sold at $75, there was also a share that was bought at $75.
Who was buying at that price? Probably Trump supporters, more times than not.
A lot of people on TS are still buying shares as the price continues to drop. One user posted they were down $53,000 and had nothing left to invest. Another user chimed in that they WISH they were only down $53K.
Money being made, yes. But a ton of money also being lost.
DWAC is down 10% to start the day, coming in at an even $25/share. I guess the following is probably bad:
Shares Of Trump’s Truth Social SPAC Tumble After Federal Grand Jury Issues Subpoenas
Digital World board members get subpoena over Trump's social media deal
Going to be an interesting day to watch.
DWAC is down 10% to start the day, coming in at an even $25/share. I guess the following is probably bad:
Shares Of Trump’s Truth Social SPAC Tumble After Federal Grand Jury Issues Subpoenas
Digital World board members get subpoena over Trump's social media deal
Going to be an interesting day to watch.
Good luck with that."If the merger is not completed, Digital World will have to return the nearly $300 million raised in the I.P.O. to shareholders.
The Director also quit:
Simultaneously Monday, Digital World said Rocket One Chief Strategy Officer Bruce Garelick resigned from the Digital World board effective June 22. He said his resignation "was not the result of any disagreement with Digital World's operations, policies or practices," Digital World said.
Rocket One didn't immediately return a request for comment and its website, which could be accessed earlier Monday, was changed to maintenance mode.
I would too because I've tried to straight short it at least a dozen times and haven't been able to. Wondering who is fortunate enough to be given shares to short.Continuing to "hire only the best people".
Meanwhile on TS, the DWAC warriors are trying to see if they can file a Class Action suit against those that are "strategically shorting" the stock. One guy specifically keeps demanding that he personally gets the names and information of everyone selling the stock.
Down 50% a little over a month later after this post. I hope you got out.I disagree with what 99.99% of what you post but begging you not to lose your money on this scam. I take no joy in the suffering of others. @Stealthycat
I would too because I've tried to straight short it at least a dozen times and haven't been able to. Wondering who is fortunate enough to be given shares to short.
ETA
Given who is involved it wouldn't shock me to find out it's Trump's inner circle that has been shorting the stock. After all, they have the most control of the shares. Huge spike on the hype and sell all the way down knowing it's going to be worthless anyhow.
Continuing to "hire only the best people".
Meanwhile on TS, the DWAC warriors are trying to see if they can file a Class Action suit against those that are "strategically shorting" the stock. One guy specifically keeps demanding that he personally gets the names and information of everyone selling the stock.
I hate the fact that their app is only available for Apple products. How about some love for people who don't support pro-China woke companies???
They need to step up their bot game.The software they borrowed and are using had the app for Apple only, which was important as that's the platform that Trump uses. They have yet to put out an Android app because they don't know how to make one. Google has come out multiple times to say that TS hasn't even applied for an app to be submitted yet.
They have a web version so you can join on any device now. Not that it has been helping their numbers any. "Half the number of Twitter by end of summer" is struggling.
They need to step up their bot game.
Seriously. You KNOW Trump is embarrassed by the numbers, and his follower numbers. He's not really the 'let's grow this organically' type. He's a front-runner.
He needs another 15 million followers if they want him on board