kroyrunner89
Footballguy
I'll throw up lines tomorrow at the latest, I'm waiting for the Carolina line to come out.
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***Official Week 7 NFL Wagering Thread*** (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter kroyrunner89
- Start date
Billy Costigan Jr
Footballguy
Here are the lines we got in my work pool.
Code:
Home Spread AwayPIT -4.5 MINHOU -3.5 SFOKCC 4.5 SDCSTL 13.5 INDTBB 14.5 NEPCLE 6.5 GBPOAK 6.5 NYJCAR -6.5 BUFDAL -3.5 ATLMIA 6.5 NOSCIN -1.5 CHINYG -6.5 ARIWAS 7.5 PHI
Dragon1952
Footballguy
Looks like someone adds/subtracts a half point to avoid ties.
kroyrunner89
Footballguy
Here's what I've got for lines this week:
Chargers -5 @ Chiefs 44
Colts -14 @ Rams 45
Bears +1 @ Bengals 42
Packers -7 @ Browns 41.5
Vikings +4.5 @ Steelers 45
Patriots -14.5 @ Bucs 45
49ers +3 @ Texans 44
Jets -6 @ Raiders 34.5
Bills +7 @ Panthers 36.5
Saints -6 @ Dolphins 47
Falcons+4 @ Cowboys 47.5
Cardinals +7 @ Giants 46
Eagles -7 @ Redskins 37
Good luck this week guys!
Chargers -5 @ Chiefs 44
Colts -14 @ Rams 45
Bears +1 @ Bengals 42
Packers -7 @ Browns 41.5
Vikings +4.5 @ Steelers 45
Patriots -14.5 @ Bucs 45
49ers +3 @ Texans 44
Jets -6 @ Raiders 34.5
Bills +7 @ Panthers 36.5
Saints -6 @ Dolphins 47
Falcons+4 @ Cowboys 47.5
Cardinals +7 @ Giants 46
Eagles -7 @ Redskins 37
Good luck this week guys!
Leeroy Jenkins
Footballguy
49ers and maybe KC . . .
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Leans right out of the chute:
Packers -7 @ Browns 41.5
The Browns have 12 players with the FLU and still struggle to move the ball. CLE will keep this game close for a half and then GB will put them away
Vikings +4.5 @ Steelers 45 I'll take the best RB in the game here. Pitt is going to struggle here IMHO.
Patriots -14.5 @ Bucs 45 After last week I fully expect Brady to throw well into the 2nd half.
49ers +3 @ Texans 44 Off the bye and having been embarassed. Singletary will have this crew ready to go.
Bills +7 @ Panthers 36.5 Carolina will run the ball at will.
Cardinals +7 @ Giants 46 Gmen win, but arizona covers. Arizona coming off of a divisional game. What is the start time here? The dreaded 100 pm est for a w. coast team?
Eagles -7 @ Redskins 37 Wash is in shambles. Philly not much better after losing to OAK. Philly gets healthy here.
Packers -7 @ Browns 41.5
The Browns have 12 players with the FLU and still struggle to move the ball. CLE will keep this game close for a half and then GB will put them away
Vikings +4.5 @ Steelers 45 I'll take the best RB in the game here. Pitt is going to struggle here IMHO.
Patriots -14.5 @ Bucs 45 After last week I fully expect Brady to throw well into the 2nd half.
49ers +3 @ Texans 44 Off the bye and having been embarassed. Singletary will have this crew ready to go.
Bills +7 @ Panthers 36.5 Carolina will run the ball at will.
Cardinals +7 @ Giants 46 Gmen win, but arizona covers. Arizona coming off of a divisional game. What is the start time here? The dreaded 100 pm est for a w. coast team?
Eagles -7 @ Redskins 37 Wash is in shambles. Philly not much better after losing to OAK. Philly gets healthy here.
Billy Bats
Footballguy
falcons, bears, over minn
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Manster
Footballguy
cdwood
Footballguy
I believe the Arizona-NY Giants game is the Sunday night matchup so its not an early game for Arizona. The other thing about it being a West team travelling to the East, earlier in the year Arizona won in Jacksonville.
Leeroy Jenkins
Footballguy
Sf
atl
ind
maybe skins. They have a decent d, have been in mostly close games and always play the eagles tough.
atl
ind
maybe skins. They have a decent d, have been in mostly close games and always play the eagles tough.
Leeroy Jenkins
Footballguy
debating on this one too. Not sure if Edwards out is good or bad.
kroyrunner89
Footballguy
Here's what I'm liking for this week guys:
* Chicago Bears +1
Statistically, these are very similar teams. However, there are a few advantages that the Bears have that I think swing this game. Short and sweet version: the Bears have a much better return game, they convert their yards into points better (Given all of the redzone turnovers so far this season that speaks volumes), and their pass defense is much better. I think these pieces lead to a victory by the Bears on the road.
* New York/Oakland UNDER 34.5
It would be pretty easy to make an argument for Oakland being the worst offense in the league right now. They're 2nd worst in yards per pass attempt, 4th worst in yards per rush attempt, and 4th worst at turning their yards into points. They're the only team in the league that is bottom 8 in all of these categories, and a tough Jets' defense will do them no favors. I don't expect the loss of Kris Jenkins to affect the Jets much in this one. How does Oakland top 10 points in this one?
As far as the Jets are concerned, they're middle of the pack in terms of passing yards per attempt and turning yardage into points, their big strength thus far has been running the ball. Oakland has a middle of the pack defense on all levels, but always seems to play a bit more inspired at home. With a struggling Mark Sanchez, I don't see how the Jets can top 24 points. This game should go under for us, despite the line being set so low.
* New Orleans/Miami OVER 47.5
A lot of people are talking like this could be the week that the Saints flounder. They're coming off of a huge win, they're on the road, Miami has an effective rushing attack that should confuse the Saints, the pieces are in place for an upset. However, I simply cannot overlook the fact that Miami is 4th worst in the league currently at yards per pass attempt allowed. Drew Brees and company will absolutely eat them alive. The question is how well Miami will be able to keep drives alive to keep the ball out of Brees' hands. Miami has the 5th best rushing attack in the league, while New Orleans' rushing defense is middle of the pack. Perhaps Miami can spring an upset and top the Saints, but one way or another I can't see this point total going under. I don't like taking totals plays that the majority of the public is on, but the public should get rewarded in this case with a high scoring game.
* San Francisco/Houston OVER 44
Houston is proving every week that they simply cannot run the ball. They have the 3rd worst rushing attack in the NFL, and are up against the 2nd best rush defense in the NFL so far. To me, that looks like a recipe for them to move the ball through the air this game, keeping the clock from running too much. Schaub should also make a dumb mistake or two during the game, which most likely will result in some easy SF points.
The San Francisco offense has had trouble moving the ball through the air so far, but despite struggling to gain some yardage they're still very efficient at turning their yards into points (although some of this can be contributed to special teams and defensive points). However, a defense that has been that opportunistic in the past should continue to be in the future. San Fran also sees the return of Gore to their lineup this week, a huge plus given that they're playing against one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL. Not to mention that they'll have yet another weapon on the field for the first time this week with Crabtree. All of the stats pointed to the over despite no Gore the last few weeks and no Crabtree the whole season, and these two factors will only help the over become more likely.
Good luck this week guys! System kicks off next week!
* Chicago Bears +1
Statistically, these are very similar teams. However, there are a few advantages that the Bears have that I think swing this game. Short and sweet version: the Bears have a much better return game, they convert their yards into points better (Given all of the redzone turnovers so far this season that speaks volumes), and their pass defense is much better. I think these pieces lead to a victory by the Bears on the road.
* New York/Oakland UNDER 34.5
It would be pretty easy to make an argument for Oakland being the worst offense in the league right now. They're 2nd worst in yards per pass attempt, 4th worst in yards per rush attempt, and 4th worst at turning their yards into points. They're the only team in the league that is bottom 8 in all of these categories, and a tough Jets' defense will do them no favors. I don't expect the loss of Kris Jenkins to affect the Jets much in this one. How does Oakland top 10 points in this one?
As far as the Jets are concerned, they're middle of the pack in terms of passing yards per attempt and turning yardage into points, their big strength thus far has been running the ball. Oakland has a middle of the pack defense on all levels, but always seems to play a bit more inspired at home. With a struggling Mark Sanchez, I don't see how the Jets can top 24 points. This game should go under for us, despite the line being set so low.
* New Orleans/Miami OVER 47.5
A lot of people are talking like this could be the week that the Saints flounder. They're coming off of a huge win, they're on the road, Miami has an effective rushing attack that should confuse the Saints, the pieces are in place for an upset. However, I simply cannot overlook the fact that Miami is 4th worst in the league currently at yards per pass attempt allowed. Drew Brees and company will absolutely eat them alive. The question is how well Miami will be able to keep drives alive to keep the ball out of Brees' hands. Miami has the 5th best rushing attack in the league, while New Orleans' rushing defense is middle of the pack. Perhaps Miami can spring an upset and top the Saints, but one way or another I can't see this point total going under. I don't like taking totals plays that the majority of the public is on, but the public should get rewarded in this case with a high scoring game.
* San Francisco/Houston OVER 44
Houston is proving every week that they simply cannot run the ball. They have the 3rd worst rushing attack in the NFL, and are up against the 2nd best rush defense in the NFL so far. To me, that looks like a recipe for them to move the ball through the air this game, keeping the clock from running too much. Schaub should also make a dumb mistake or two during the game, which most likely will result in some easy SF points.
The San Francisco offense has had trouble moving the ball through the air so far, but despite struggling to gain some yardage they're still very efficient at turning their yards into points (although some of this can be contributed to special teams and defensive points). However, a defense that has been that opportunistic in the past should continue to be in the future. San Fran also sees the return of Gore to their lineup this week, a huge plus given that they're playing against one of the worst rushing defenses in the NFL. Not to mention that they'll have yet another weapon on the field for the first time this week with Crabtree. All of the stats pointed to the over despite no Gore the last few weeks and no Crabtree the whole season, and these two factors will only help the over become more likely.
Good luck this week guys! System kicks off next week!
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
Kroy>not much for that Miami over given what they did vs the Colts. Even if the Saints can pass the Dolphins are 3 yards and a cloud of dust all day trying to slow the game to a crawl. Two good Dolphin drives could milk 16 minutes off the clock.
Love the Bears though and I'm on the other two now.
Love the Bears though and I'm on the other two now.
Doctor Detroit
Please remove your headgear
.I'm staying away from Houston for the foreseeable future, they are as unpredictable as any team in the NFL.Good luck though.
Last edited by a moderator:
r0llin_game
Footballguy
Doing a 9 team teaser.
GB -3, INDY -8.5, NE -9.5, MIN +11.5, CAR -1, NO -1, ATL +10, NYG -1, PHI -1.
GB -3, INDY -8.5, NE -9.5, MIN +11.5, CAR -1, NO -1, ATL +10, NYG -1, PHI -1.
fridayfrenzy
Footballguy
Where the heck you getting those odds?
Mr Capicollo
Footballguy
I don't think you understand what a teaser is:
bb7278
Footballguy
Chargers -5 @ Chiefs 44
Colts -14 @ Rams 45
Bears +1 @ Bengals 42
Packers -7 @ Browns 41.5
Vikings +4.5 @ Steelers 45 over
Patriots -14.5 @ Bucs 45
49ers +3 @ Texans 44
Jets -6 @ Raiders 34.5 over
Bills +7 @ Panthers 36.5
Saints -6 @ Dolphins 47
Falcons+4 @ Cowboys 47.5
Cardinals +7 @ Giants 46 over
Eagles -7 @ Redskins 37
Colts -14 @ Rams 45
Bears +1 @ Bengals 42
Packers -7 @ Browns 41.5
Vikings +4.5 @ Steelers 45 over
Patriots -14.5 @ Bucs 45
49ers +3 @ Texans 44
Jets -6 @ Raiders 34.5 over
Bills +7 @ Panthers 36.5
Saints -6 @ Dolphins 47
Falcons+4 @ Cowboys 47.5
Cardinals +7 @ Giants 46 over
Eagles -7 @ Redskins 37
Andy Herron
Footballguy
I'll go with a 3-team parlay here.
Packers -7
Vikings +4.5
Dolphins +6
Packers -7
Vikings +4.5
Dolphins +6
massraider
Footballguy
Got three this week:
2 team teaser:
GB -3
MIN +12
For a hundo
3 team parlay:
MIN +230
MIA +210
ATL +190
50 to win 600
5 team parlay:
SD/KC Over 43.5
CHI Pick 'em
MIN +6
SF/HOU Over 44.5
ATL/DAL Over 48
25 to win 511
2 team teaser:
GB -3
MIN +12
For a hundo
3 team parlay:
MIN +230
MIA +210
ATL +190
50 to win 600
5 team parlay:
SD/KC Over 43.5
CHI Pick 'em
MIN +6
SF/HOU Over 44.5
ATL/DAL Over 48
25 to win 511
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