roadkill1292 said:
More musing about numbers: Issue 3 lost by about 800,000 votes. By 2020, Ohio will have lost something around 250,000 voters who would have opposed legalization, regardless of the structure. But about 800,000 new voters will come onto the rolls, about 75% of whom will be in favor of a Colorado-like system. That seems like the year to shoot for.
These proportions hold true almost everywhere in the country, including states like Maryland and Massachusetts where public support is already nearing 60%. Unless today's teenagers suddenly decide en masse that they don't want pot to be legal, this remains inevitable.
Assuming you want to try again in 5 years. Also, you can't assume everyone migrating to Ohio cities like Columbus would automatically fall into the pro-pot demographic.
I'd be very surprised if this isn't back on the ballot in five years (maybe even next year). There is nothing to suggest that newcomers to Ohio cities will buck the national demographic trends; support will almost assuredly be higher at that time.
Prohibitionists are dying. New voters support legalization by close to 75%. People who change their minds on the issue are changing them to support for legalization by about a 3-1 margin. There is no indication that any of these trends will change in the next five years.
I think you have to separate medical mary jane from recreational use. Most everyone (myself included) have no issue with medical marijuana.
However, where is the real market for recreational blazing? Consider the following groups of people won't be able to partake:
1. All first responders - cops, firemen, EMTs, etc.
2. Anyone with a CDL - truck drivers, utility linemen, etc. Fail one Whiz Quiz and your license is GONE and so is your job.
3. Health care professionals - doctors, many nurses, technicians
4. State workers - everyone from ODOT to Department of Corrections to many office workers
5. Manufacturing workers
6. College employees
Many of these jobs have Whiz Quizzes that are administered regularly. Just those 6 classes of people wipe out a lot of people from 1%ers to the average Joe. Given that most people vote in their self-interest, if they cannot blaze up, why would they vote for it?
It's hard when your market is gamers who hang out at head shops on Neil Avenue in Columbus.