What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Owner draft tendencies (1 Viewer)

Wildman

Footballguy
I'm doing a project and I need to get an idea of tendencies you see other owners use. I'm not taking about Average Value Theory, Value Based Drafting, or things like player consistency.

I'm talking stuff that may or may not be good tendencies:

Homers of certain teams

Picking favorite players

Avoiding players they personally dislike even if they are the best value on the board

Not picking a QB at least until round 6

Anything you can provide quickly would be helpful

Thanks!

 
Well i just completed a new dynasty draft with rokies included and a few teams got all caught up in the rookies ......seriously, with older vets still on the board that will produce...who knows if this is good or bad though...it is a dynasty. So each build different.

 
I save the complete draft grid every year for each league. I generally look to see who is likely to value QBs highly, who always has 3RBs by the end of the 4th round, who takes K's and D's early, that sort of thing. After a few seasons, patterns definitely emerge for many owners.

Also helpful...if an owner had a good year last season, subconsciously or not, they tend to like the same players when drafting again. For example, I would think that anyone who rode LJ to a championship last season would value him as the best among the "big three." This can come in handy when doing an auction and deciding if an owner is willing to go higher for a given player.

 
I'm doing a project and I need to get an idea of tendencies you see other owners use. I'm not taking about Average Value Theory, Value Based Drafting, or things like player consistency.

I'm talking stuff that may or may not be good tendencies:

Homers of certain teams

Picking favorite players

Avoiding players they personally dislike even if they are the best value on the board

Not picking a QB at least until round 6

Anything you can provide quickly would be helpful

Thanks!
Weather or not this is a good thing, alot of the time people tend to go RB/RB in the first two rounds
 
Not picking a QB at least until round 6
I'm in a league with a bunch of hard cores who all buy into the late QB theory (including myself). It's reached a point where I can (or try to) exploit them waiting too long. It's pretty much a reverse of my other leagues. In that PPR auction we did last year, I picked up a tendency for certain (well known) owners to go nuts for pass catching backs. It paid off for two and killed two. I'm undecided how to work it next year, but I think prudently ramping up the bidding wars may be in order.

 
if you are in a draft with me, you can bet everything you own that i WILL NOT draft Peyton Manning, trade for Peyton Manning, pick Peyton Manning off waivers or get Peyton Manning as a FA.

 
In my main money league, comprised of half sharks and half guppies in my hometown, the guppies overvalue QB's and undervalue TE's. You can probably figure out why. QB's score the most points whereas TE's hardly score at all. I'm able to snag stud TE's where I shouldn't but I'm always fighting myself on how long to wait and play cat and mouse with where the TE run is coming to get maximum value. My VBD generally says to take these guys 2-4 rounds before where I COULD PROBABLY GET THEM. On the other hand, I see QB's like Jay Fiedler sometimes taken in Round 8 taken by a guppie. Inside, I'm laughing like h*** but I do the smart thing and say out loud ,"Great pick." It's great to see the guppies going apesh*t over getting their backup QB instead of a great TE.

 
A guy in my old work league has taken Jason Elam in the 5th round for at least 8 consecutive seasons. Strangely, he tends to make the playoffs about 75% of the time.

 
a few things i've seen over the years...

letting bye weeks influence the picks - trying to get (or avoid) all in same 1 or two bye weeks

going for (or avoiding) the combos (manning/harrison, collins/moss, favre/walker, hassleback/alexander etc)

send me a copy of your completed anaylsis...

 
My leaguemates (most of them, but not all) tend to fill all starting positions first rather than go after BPA or depth at more critical positions (ie. RB). This causes many teams to start taking top defenses starting in round 5 or 6 and top kickers starting in round 7 or 8.

:eek:

 
My league is pretty split. Most fill starters with the highest guy in the mags. Some can't make the LAN party because...they are using AVBD. Some come to the LAN and try to sit next to me. Some use what they hear from their buddy at work or the bar to adjust or target.

Some of the above posts happen too.

 
I'm not taking about Average Value Theory, Value Based Drafting, or things like player consistency.
Refreshing. :cool:I would say overpaying (auction league) for LAST year's hot players. Manning went for 35% last year. There are also 1 or 2 guys who lean to their homer players (Skins and Bills, so very glad for it for the most part).Also probably the majority of us at one time or another has overpaid just a little for a player we really like (ie like FF-wise not personally).
 
good thread by the way. Keep us posted! :thumbup:
With drafts coming up it is good to think about not only what your league mates do, but also what you tend to so that you can break your own mold and take advantage of thier habits.
 
some guys base their rankings on the last 6-8 weeks of the previous season...

some guys go by last year's results... so it is easy to know what "top" guy they will value from last season's scoring.

some guys don't pick last year's top scorers. (ie. figure they missed them and the probability is they won't be the #1 guy the coming year, so in a tie with like studs, they would draft the guy who wasn't the #1 scoring guy in his position the previous year)

some guys steer clear of Madden cover players... :bag:

 
My league mates undervalue WR's.
I am seeing more recently a couple teams in leagues I'm in go for WRs earlier in the draft. Fantasy football is changing and it's getting harder to get the elite WRs. Plus there's more RBBC on NFL teams then the recent past. Most of the drafts are still very much RB-centric early, but you find a few owners who go the WR route early now, too.I do notice though WRs still get way undervalued in trade offers. It's almost impossible in some leagues to see a good WR get traded for a good RB straight up. Even if a team is deep at RB and weak at WR.

 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top