quote from yasinskas, not fox.According to ESPN.com's Pat Yasinskas, DeAngelo Williams will "still will get the bulk of the carries" even if Jonathan Stewart (Achilles) is healthy.If Yasinskas is right, Williams obviously has a much better chance at duplicating last year's remarkable numbers. This might be a different story if Stewart was practicing every day and looking good. We still think Williams will have a regression from last season, but for now, expect him to get at least 20 carries per game.Source: ESPN.com
Coudlnt' he have waited until after my fantasy drafts?Now where does this solidify him in the rankings? I say easily top 5 now
Seriously...my draft is Saturday and I was praying to get him at 5, not any more.Coudlnt' he have waited until after my fantasy drafts?Now where does this solidify him in the rankings? I say easily top 5 now
Now where does this solidify him in the rankings? I say easily top 5 now
I'd put him #2 behind ADPThere's a sudden surge of talk that DeAngelo Williams is one of the best running backs in the league. His production last year showed he's already there. But I think Williams will only enhance things this year. He won over the coaching staff with his play and the fact he's not a fumbler. That means a lot in Fox's eyes. Yes, Williams may be splitting carries with Jonathan Stewart, but Stewart's been banged up much of the preseason. Even if Stewart is healthy for the regular season, Williams still will get the bulk of the carries.
true.but if stewart were somehow put on IR or something crazy like that, it's a all out toss-up between AP, MJD, and DWill for the top 3.Done editing to all. On second thought my Crystal ball says this is a Lie and they have traded for Ricky Williams.Deangelo is out for the year. To anyone reading, he is an 8th round "flier" at best![]()
I feel like Forte is going to catch less screens with the big arm of Cutler on the Bears now. Rams are a mess so I'm avoiding SJax at all costs.toss up: (PPR)Dwill or Forte?Dwill or Sjax?i gotta go with dwill>forte (not high on forte), and before it was probably sjax over deangello. but with stewart basically MIA for a few weeks now, i'm starting to lean toward dwill.
Half those teams are weak vs the run. NYJ, TB, NE, NO.I like DW and think he is a top back but the last 6 weeks of the season are pretty tough for him schedule wise. Who knows if it will look as bad as it does now, but NYJ,TB, NE, MN, NYG, NO. Granted NO isn't a tough game but that is week 17, playoffs are over for most by then.
ScottNorwood said:brett5673 said:Now where does this solidify him in the rankings? I say easily top 5 nowI'd put him #2 behind ADP
People scared of Stewart for no reason.Not sure why this would be news anyway. Did anyone think he was not going to get the majority of the carries?![]()
I'll probably be deciding among Deangelo, SJax and LT2. The week 15-16 (fantasy playoffs) schedule of MN and NYG makes me a little nervous. Maybe I'm overthinking this, but if I project them all about equal in a PPR league, it may turn me away from Deangelo.jurrassic said:I like DW and think he is a top back but the last 6 weeks of the season are pretty tough for him schedule wise. Who knows if it will look as bad as it does now, but NYJ,TB, NE, MN, NYG, NO. Granted NO isn't a tough game but that is week 17, playoffs are over for most by then.
Maybe,but that NE,MN,NYG playoff schedule might make me rethink any future drafts.Would not be the first time a player had a great FF regular season only to disappear playoff time. That said,this winter many owners will be agonzing over starting a player with a better matchup over DW,who got you to the playoffsMaven said:Half those teams are weak vs the run. NYJ, TB, NE, NO.jurrassic said:I like DW and think he is a top back but the last 6 weeks of the season are pretty tough for him schedule wise. Who knows if it will look as bad as it does now, but NYJ,TB, NE, MN, NYG, NO. Granted NO isn't a tough game but that is week 17, playoffs are over for most by then.

DeAngelo played great against the Giants last season. A player can have a great performance against a hard defense. Also d's can have bad games just like offenses, and usually you can count on some defenses being banged up during the fantasy playoffs.Maybe,but that NE,MN,NYG playoff schedule might make me rethink any future drafts.Would not be the first time a player had a great FF regular season only to disappear playoff time. That said,this winter many owners will be agonzing over starting a player with a better matchup over DW,who got you to the playoffs![]()
Which is the real Williams:the one with 120 carries, 522 rushing yards, and 2 rushing TD (first 8 games) . . . or . . .the one with 153 carries, 993 rushing yards, and 15 rushing TD (final 8 games)I suspect the answer is somewhere in the middle. Obviously it's going to be insanely difficult to score at nearly a 2 TD per game pace, and I suspect that people are thinking he won't score as many TD again.1. No Sh... if you think about the way the last year has played out for Stewart and D-Wil: D-Will sees a threat and responds amazingly. Stewart is missing so much important practice time with all these injuries. He needed this offseason, now he is months behind. Williams is way ahead of Stewart right now. Stewart is no more than Chester Taylor, LeSean McCoy, Sproles...upside if the starter gets an injury.2. I am glad I secured a trade last night to move into the 5 spot to draft DeAngelo. I thought he was going to make it to me at 10, but his highlight run and now combined with this announcement would have screwed me(even though the announcement was from the desk of Captain Obvious). People who are getting Williams in the late first are receiving a gift from the fantasy gods. 3. I can't believe so many people and fantasy mags/sites have been so down on DeAngelo. Lets review concerns about running backs people bring up1. age- 26 prime of a running backs career2. durability- played in 45/48 games.3. wear- only 538 career carries, never more than 273. He is fresh.4. talent/eyeball test- I believe he passes eyeball talent. he's not just a guy running through holes and getting tackled. He makes people miss in the open field, he outruns people, he takes good angles and has good vision,, he breaks tackles, elusive, 0 fumbles last year, great pass catcher, runs a screen really well. 5. Touches- Williams got 295 touches last year. Considering the circumstances, I'd expect a slight increase to around 315 (thats low end IMO) The Panthers run the ball a lot. They ran for 2,437 yards last year. Panthers ran 504 times for an average of 4.8 ypc. There is a lot of opportunity for Williams in this offense. I have Williams, MJD, Turner, and Peterson equal. They all have potential to improve on already good seasons as their situations are pretty stable. Turner and Peterson will likely a ton of carries again. Williams and MJD should see increases in touches and have flashed game breaking big play ability.
If teams put 8 in the box Steve Smith is going to have a field day.I'm still very concerned about the schedule difference this year from last year's cakewalk. Can Carolina's rushing game beat 8 in the box?
They had to do it last year. I wouldn't make too much of the perceived harder schedule. Much is being made of Williams "beating up" on soft defenses during the 2nd half of last year. However, according to the 2008 preseason Ultimate SOS here on FBG, during DWill's last 12 games, he was only supposed to fact 2 defenses that were "easy" to run against. We all know that this changed from pre-season, and by the middle and end of the season, those supposed average or tough run defenses were perceived as easy run defenses.I'm still very concerned about the schedule difference this year from last year's cakewalk. Can Carolina's rushing game beat 8 in the box?
Turner and DeAngelo have almost the same schedule except the Panthers play the Vikings and Cardinals whereas the Falcons play the Bears and San Francisco. Out of the NFC South, New Orleans has the easiest schedule since they play the Lions and RamsI was considering picking my draft slot based on where I thought I could get DeAngelo, long before this news. However, I ended up with the second pick, so I'd have to take him above MJD and Turner. I'm leaning toward MJD, but I really feel like the guy who gets DeAngelo later is going to get a steal. At three, I'd seriously consider him over Turner.
, but the Saints still have to play the NFC East and AFC East like the rest of the NFC South.Or the one with 219 carries, 1316 rushing yards, and 18 rushing TD? (last 12 games)Why do we pick 8 games to focus on? It seems to me that Williams started slow at the beginning of the season, and then picked it up. If you're going to break things down, why not start from the point his play turned around, rather than excluding several good games he had?Which is the real Williams:the one with 120 carries, 522 rushing yards, and 2 rushing TD (first 8 games) . . . or . . .the one with 153 carries, 993 rushing yards, and 15 rushing TD (final 8 games)I suspect the answer is somewhere in the middle. Obviously it's going to be insanely difficult to score at nearly a 2 TD per game pace, and I suspect that people are thinking he won't score as many TD again.
Exactly. SOS is pretty iffy to rely on. The year end results fluctuate significantly from what was predicted heading into the season.Not to mention that Williams runing roughshod over some of those D's helped them look statistically worse by season's end.They had to do it last year. I wouldn't make too much of the perceived harder schedule. Much is being made of Williams "beating up" on soft defenses during the 2nd half of last year. However, according to the 2008 preseason Ultimate SOS here on FBG, during DWill's last 12 games, he was only supposed to fact 2 defenses that were "easy" to run against. We all know that this changed from pre-season, and by the middle and end of the season, those supposed average or tough run defenses were perceived as easy run defenses.I'm still very concerned about the schedule difference this year from last year's cakewalk. Can Carolina's rushing game beat 8 in the box?
Or, look at it this way:1st 4 games: 55/201/0 rushing (3.65 ypc), 6/24/0 receiving on 7 targetsLast 12 games: 219/1317/18 rushing (6.01 ypc), 16/97/2 receiving on 23 targetsIn 2007, this was the Panthers' starting OL:LT Travelle WhartonLG Mike WahleC Justin HartwigRG Jeremy BridgesRT Jordan GrossIn 2008, this was the Panthers' starting OL:LT Jordan GrossLG Travelle WhartonC Ryan KalilRG Keydrick VincentRT Jeff OtahEvery position has a different player, and only two players from 2007 carried over (at different positions). And Otah was a rookie. It makes sense that it took a few games for the OL to gel.On top of that, Steve Smith was suspended for the first two games.I don't think Williams is going to repeat 2008, so I agree he is "somewhere in the middle." But a lot closer to the last 12 games performance than the first 4 games performance IMO.Which is the real Williams:the one with 120 carries, 522 rushing yards, and 2 rushing TD (first 8 games) . . . or . . .the one with 153 carries, 993 rushing yards, and 15 rushing TD (final 8 games)I suspect the answer is somewhere in the middle. Obviously it's going to be insanely difficult to score at nearly a 2 TD per game pace, and I suspect that people are thinking he won't score as many TD again.1. No Sh... if you think about the way the last year has played out for Stewart and D-Wil: D-Will sees a threat and responds amazingly. Stewart is missing so much important practice time with all these injuries. He needed this offseason, now he is months behind. Williams is way ahead of Stewart right now. Stewart is no more than Chester Taylor, LeSean McCoy, Sproles...upside if the starter gets an injury.2. I am glad I secured a trade last night to move into the 5 spot to draft DeAngelo. I thought he was going to make it to me at 10, but his highlight run and now combined with this announcement would have screwed me(even though the announcement was from the desk of Captain Obvious). People who are getting Williams in the late first are receiving a gift from the fantasy gods. 3. I can't believe so many people and fantasy mags/sites have been so down on DeAngelo. Lets review concerns about running backs people bring up1. age- 26 prime of a running backs career2. durability- played in 45/48 games.3. wear- only 538 career carries, never more than 273. He is fresh.4. talent/eyeball test- I believe he passes eyeball talent. he's not just a guy running through holes and getting tackled. He makes people miss in the open field, he outruns people, he takes good angles and has good vision,, he breaks tackles, elusive, 0 fumbles last year, great pass catcher, runs a screen really well. 5. Touches- Williams got 295 touches last year. Considering the circumstances, I'd expect a slight increase to around 315 (thats low end IMO) The Panthers run the ball a lot. They ran for 2,437 yards last year. Panthers ran 504 times for an average of 4.8 ypc. There is a lot of opportunity for Williams in this offense. I have Williams, MJD, Turner, and Peterson equal. They all have potential to improve on already good seasons as their situations are pretty stable. Turner and Peterson will likely a ton of carries again. Williams and MJD should see increases in touches and have flashed game breaking big play ability.
Or the one with 219 carries, 1316 rushing yards, and 18 rushing TD? (last 12 games)Why do we pick 8 games to focus on? It seems to me that Williams started slow at the beginning of the season, and then picked it up. If you're going to break things down, why not start from the point his play turned around, rather than excluding several good games he had?Which is the real Williams:the one with 120 carries, 522 rushing yards, and 2 rushing TD (first 8 games) . . . or . . .the one with 153 carries, 993 rushing yards, and 15 rushing TD (final 8 games)I suspect the answer is somewhere in the middle. Obviously it's going to be insanely difficult to score at nearly a 2 TD per game pace, and I suspect that people are thinking he won't score as many TD again.

So use 12 games instead of 8. That's 110 yards a game and 1.5 TD per game. IMO, he might be able to hit the 100 ypg mark, but the 1.5 TD per game will be hard to repeat.As with many other situations, a lot will depend on the defense. If they can be average or better, CAR can rull the ball all day long. If they are below average and get behind, they may not be in a situation to run as much.Clearly the OL was healthy and made a huge difference. If they can stay healthy again, I agree Williams should be in for another solid season.Or the one with 219 carries, 1316 rushing yards, and 18 rushing TD? (last 12 games)Why do we pick 8 games to focus on? It seems to me that Williams started slow at the beginning of the season, and then picked it up. If you're going to break things down, why not start from the point his play turned around, rather than excluding several good games he had?Which is the real Williams:the one with 120 carries, 522 rushing yards, and 2 rushing TD (first 8 games) . . . or . . .the one with 153 carries, 993 rushing yards, and 15 rushing TD (final 8 games)I suspect the answer is somewhere in the middle. Obviously it's going to be insanely difficult to score at nearly a 2 TD per game pace, and I suspect that people are thinking he won't score as many TD again.
If teams put 8 in the box Steve Smith is going to have a field day.I'm still very concerned about the schedule difference this year from last year's cakewalk. Can Carolina's rushing game beat 8 in the box?
This is why I drafted them both.If you are being serious, Yasinkas used to be a beat writer for a Carolina newspaper and now works for ESPN.Is Pat Yasinskas the RB's coach in Carolina?
I'm not sure I would downgrade a RB because they lost a nose tackle from the previous year. That's a bit of a stretch, IMO.I can think of one other thing that may cause Williams to underperform the top 3 expectations. Carolina lost their nose tackle (I forget his nane and probablycouldn't spell it if I remembered it). According to what I've heard the backup is quite a step down from the starter. If the defense underperforms, it causestwo problems. First, they may not have the ball as much. Second, it they fall behind, they may not be able to run the ball 54% of the time like they did lastyear. Wiliiams caught a lot of passes last year, but if I remember correctly, he didn't have a high yards per catch.I like Williams. I'm just not sure that I like him enough to draft him where he is going in the draft.
This just in - Water is wet.Carry on.
Can the guy tell us something we didn't already know?If you have trouble stopping the other team, the time of possession means fewer plays for your team. If it results in the other team scoring more, it maymean that the team needs to throw more. If you don't think that affects the running back, that's fine. But I think that it can have an affect. I'm not sayinghe's not a first rounder, just that I don't think that he's a top 3 RB and it may be enough to keep him out of the top 5.I'm not sure I would downgrade a RB because they lost a nose tackle from the previous year. That's a bit of a stretch, IMO.I can think of one other thing that may cause Williams to underperform the top 3 expectations. Carolina lost their nose tackle (I forget his nane and probablycouldn't spell it if I remembered it). According to what I've heard the backup is quite a step down from the starter. If the defense underperforms, it causestwo problems. First, they may not have the ball as much. Second, it they fall behind, they may not be able to run the ball 54% of the time like they did lastyear. Wiliiams caught a lot of passes last year, but if I remember correctly, he didn't have a high yards per catch.I like Williams. I'm just not sure that I like him enough to draft him where he is going in the draft.