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Patriots being investigated after Colts game (4 Viewers)

Percent of NFL teams actively trying to steal play sheets?

  • 0%

    Votes: 90 33.0%
  • 25%

    Votes: 91 33.3%
  • 50%

    Votes: 19 7.0%
  • 75%

    Votes: 16 5.9%
  • 100%

    Votes: 57 20.9%

  • Total voters
    273
If Brady gets suspended the appeal is gonna be hilarious.
So one of the witnesses is an NFL employee? Yes, one of our only witnesses. And he's still with you? No, he was let go. Why? He was stealing memorabilia meant for charity and selling it for personal profit.

Literally no mention in the report that he was fired, no questions about his character. ####### anything.

Well at least the science is sound right? Its not like they will say literally whatever they are paid to say or anything. According to Exponent, second hand smoke doesn't cause cancer - great news everyone, public smoking is back on.

 
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That's still no good. A corked bat has a measurable effect, a glaring one at that. Brady's production was elite without the "help"

Look, had he sheet the bed the 2nd half of Indy or looked awful against Seattle there may be a bigger deal. Right now this is, as I said before, like doing 30 mph in a 25. Sure he broke the law but come on...
Whether he needed it to win or not, it's still cheating. And I think that lying about it and then refusing to cooperate with investigators is what's gonna get him in the most hot water.
I don't disagree. Im interested to see if they suspend him. If I have to guess right now I'd say he gets nothing but the team gets a pretty rough fine while we wait for the next player/ team to do something stupid and move on.

 
That's still no good. A corked bat has a measurable effect, a glaring one at that. Brady's production was elite without the "help"

Look, had he sheet the bed the 2nd half of Indy or looked awful against Seattle there may be a bigger deal. Right now this is, as I said before, like doing 30 mph in a 25. Sure he broke the law but come on...
Whether he needed it to win or not, it's still cheating. And I think that lying about it and then refusing to cooperate with investigators is what's gonna get him in the most hot water.
I don't disagree. Im interested to see if they suspend him. If I have to guess right now I'd say he gets nothing but the team gets a pretty rough fine while we wait for the next player/ team to do something stupid and move on.
It would be interesting if they did suspend Brady and the NFL season opener would not include the Super Bowl MVP or LeVeon Bell.

 
Brady is scheduled to have a sold out guest speaking engagement tonight at Salem State University moderated by Jim Gray (of LeBron's "The Decision" fame). Should make for an interesting evening. :popcorn:

 
@adamlevitan: I have DefalteGate fatigue already. Brady used fully inflated balls in Super Bowl. Lit the No. 1 pass D for 37-of-50, 328 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT.
That's fine. It doesn't address the fumbling issue, nor the fact that he was likely using illegal balls when he beat the Ravens by four. Simply citing to one game isn't going to do it in this instance. There's a long pattern of cheating that might have influenced the path to even get to the Super Bowl.
ohh, come on. Let's not make this "the butterfly effect". If Ray Rice doesn't punch his fiancé, they keep him and he is less effective and the Ravens lose a game they otherwise won and never get matched up in the game in the first place...WHO CARES? It can't be changed and a trillion things going 6 inches to the left or right during the course of the year determines things. We move on. Its like Percy Harvin clearly stepping out of bounds but getting called a TD. Surely that had some snowballing effect that ends with the Packers in the Super Bowl somehow (or Dallas had the refs made the right call).

It's sports. It is ingrained with human error and it is ingrained with instances of cheating a thousand times over that we never hear about. No need to plant a stake in the ground on this.
They got caught cheating so that they would gain an advantage on other opponents. This should almost be tautological in its logical conclusion. There aren't many leaps to make.

 
If Brady gets suspended the appeal is gonna be hilarious.
So one of the witnesses is an NFL employee? Yes, one of our only witnesses. And he's still with you? No, he was let go. Why? He was stealing memorabilia meant for charity and selling it for personal profit.

Literally no mention in the report that he was fired, no questions about his character. ####### anything.

Well at least the science is sound right? Its not like they will say literally whatever they are paid to say or anything. According to Exponent, second hand smoke doesn't cause cancer - great news everyone, public smoking is back on.
Clearly a conspiracy against the Patriots.

I'm sure Kraft is sick of of his mortal enemy Robert Goodell (or gold buddy/BFF 4eva!) chasing his team around, and thwarting him at every turn. Like when he unfairly burned the SpyGate tapes.

BTW:

TEXT MESSAGES

 
The idea that this had little to no effect seems to be completely untrue when looking at those fumble numbers. The same year that the rule was changed to allow teams to provide their own footballs (a rule lobbied for by Brady) is the exact same time that the Patriots suddenly started fumbling the ball at an impossibly low rate.

With turnover differential alone accounting for 78% of wins regardless of any other variables, it's pretty safe to conclude that deflating the balls had a direct impact on the number of wins for the Patriots since 2007.

 
Boy, Goodell is going to earn his paycheck on this one.

The Super Bowl Champs open up the season in the game the league self-refers to as a showcase, and the brightest star on the Patriots might have to sit it out and the leading RB for their opponent gets to sit it out, too, reminding everyone who watches the "showcase" of the issues in the league, yet again.

And the whole thought that this game might be extremely important to playoff seeding four months later might be on people's minds, too.
Pats starting rb is suspended too.

Maybe big ben can take a chic into the bathroom and join the suspended parade

 
I'm not sure how many people are watching ESPN today, but they mentioned there that the Colts first noticed the deflated balls in their regular season matchup with NE this year, which is why they asked to have the balls checked during the playoff game (at which point it was found that 11 of the 12 were under-inflated).

So people keep talking about how it had no impact on the outcome of this game, which is true, but it certainly seems like NE has been doing this beyond just this one game. What about last week's game which came down to the last minute? Could it have had an affect on that game?
The Colts/Pats first game was in Indy, so the whole pressure loss due to lower temperature bit doesn't fly there. This is certainly smoke.
The pressure loss thing I thought was already debunked. Maybe that was just a "today on ESPN" thing too, but at halftime of the playoff game they tested all 12 of the NE balls and all 12 of the Colts' balls. 11 of the NE balls were under-inflated while 0 of the Colts' balls were.
I'm guessing the Patriots did mess with the balls but if people want to push the narrative of the temp, then the Colts balls not being under inflated doesn't discount that theory. As stated before in the thread there is a limit of like 12.5-13.5 for the balls or something. If the Patriots put their balls at the 12.5 lower end and the Colts prefer say 13.5 higher end then it's not ridiculous to think the temperature could cause the Patriot's inflation to fall below the limit while the Colts still remained intact.

Again I think the Patriots did probably mess with them but the Colts being within the range doesn't necessarily discard any potential theory.
The NE balls were 2psi under the lower limit. If that were a result of the weather then the indy balls would have been under too even if they were initially inflated to the max amount.
I'm taking devils advocate stance here. Assume Patriots ball actual initial pressure was 12.3, but rounded up to 12.5 and was ok. Assume Colts exact initial pressure was exactly 13.5 psi. both balls are measured at 75 dF. Everything ok so far?

During the game, the temp drops to 45 dF, and the balls are brought in to test. The Patriot balls are checked first (@ 45 dF), and per the ideal gas law, the pressure should now be 10.8 dF - a change of 1.51 psi, which rounds up to 2. Depending on the precision of the gauge, one might read this as a 12.5psi football deflating to 10.5 psi.

The Colts balls are then checked as a control sample. but now, because they have warmed up, they are at 55 dF. The theoretical air pressure would be 12.4 psi, which rounds up to 12.5 and be within spec.

Again, devils advocate, and this is why we need more details on how the half-time measurement was taken.
this bothers me still.

updating the above with data from the Wells report:

assume indoor temp in the lockerroom is 75 dF (T1), and the temp on the field is 51 dF (T2). That temperature differential would cause a 1.2 PSI drop, which is exactly what the Patriots balls saw.

The obvious question: Why did the Colts balls not show that same 1.2 psi drop? Well, they did demonstrate a 0.5 psi drop, which is what one would expect if they were maybe not quite as cold...say, 65 dF.

We do know that the Colts balls were measured last, because the Refs weren't able to measure all of them before halftime was over. It's entirely possible that the pressure difference can be accounted for, atmospherically.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.

 
@adamlevitan: I have DefalteGate fatigue already. Brady used fully inflated balls in Super Bowl. Lit the No. 1 pass D for 37-of-50, 328 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT.
That's fine. It doesn't address the fumbling issue, nor the fact that he was likely using illegal balls when he beat the Ravens by four. Simply citing to one game isn't going to do it in this instance. There's a long pattern of cheating that might have influenced the path to even get to the Super Bowl.
I agree...It might have...

No real way to tell what games he (or anyone) used legal or illegal balls in but it would appear he can play at a very high level with them being inflated to the proper size. IMHO, that lessons this issue a lot....
Nobody truly thinks that Brady sucks. He can play the QB position very well without cheating. Lance Armstrong was also unquestionably a very good cyclist even without the doping. Reasonable people can come to the conclusion that the athlete in question is really good, but should still have his accomplishments discounted because of cheating.
How so if you cant truly tell how much of an effect it had on the game?
Brady clearly thinks it has an impact. Otherwise he wouldn't have done it.

I agree with the folks at 538 that those fumble numbers suddenly look a lot more troubling.
Some athletes think not changing their socks for a month helps them as well....
Can you prove it doesn't? And can you prove it not just with a "preponderance of evidence," but with "clear and convincing evidence?" Because unless you can, than that means not changing your socks does help, despite logic telling us otherwise.

 
If Brady gets suspended the appeal is gonna be hilarious.
So one of the witnesses is an NFL employee? Yes, one of our only witnesses. And he's still with you? No, he was let go. Why? He was stealing memorabilia meant for charity and selling it for personal profit.

Literally no mention in the report that he was fired, no questions about his character. ####### anything.

Well at least the science is sound right? Its not like they will say literally whatever they are paid to say or anything. According to Exponent, second hand smoke doesn't cause cancer - great news everyone, public smoking is back on.
You think Goodell, had he a magic wand, wouldn't love for Brady to not be in this predicament? Goodell is in a no-win. To protect the shield, he has to tarnish the shield by publicly disciplining one of the league's foremost poster boys.

Similarly with Ray Rice and ADP.

These guys not doing these things is what's best for the league. Goodell is just trying to mitigate the damage to the rep of the shield once it's been established that these things happened.

The inference that Brady is falsely convicted on false testimony would beg for some sort of motive on the part of Goodell. What does he or the NFL have to gain by chasing this deflategate rabbit down its hole? It does nothing but create problems for the perceived integrity of NFL game results. That will never be a good thing for the shield.

If Goodell hammers Brady, it's because he thinks Brady is guilty.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
I dont blame Brady for that.

But even with zero subpoena power Wells still came up with a convincing evidence-set.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
Naked pics of his supermodel wife would be a reasonable starting point.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
Naked pics of his supermodel wife would be a reasonable starting point.
Tom: Giselle, that box of memorabilia marked 'McNally'. Could you throw that out please?

Giselle: Sure. But the garbage man came yesterday. They come again Thursday.

Tom: No, this gotta happen ASAP. Find a dumpster. Ask Aaron's GF, she knows where they all are.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
Naked pics of his supermodel wife would be a reasonable starting point.
Right, because it hasn't been reported multiple times that they would focus only on the issue at hand, that Brady (or his attorney/representative) would keep custody of the phone, etc.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
McNally and Jasremski arent mega-celebrities with supermodel wives. If I was Brady there is no way i'd do it either. If Gisele (or somebody else...) sent him some hot text messages, you really gonna rely on that not to leak? No ####### way.

 
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The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
Naked pics of his supermodel wife would be a reasonable starting point.
Right, because it hasn't been reported multiple times that they would focus only on the issue at hand, that Brady (or his attorney/representative) would keep custody of the phone, etc.
Oh, so its the physical phone and not the data wherein resides the naked selfie. My understanding of this magical technology must have been wrong.

 
As a Pats fan I can not deny that they probably did it.

Too much evidence to refute.

Security video showing Pats employee takes balls into a restroom that he wouldn't normally use ... his reasoning was to avoid bothering game officials?

Same person refers to himself in a text as "The Deflator" ... way before Deflategate became a thing.

I still have doubts that Brady gave the order to deflate balls. He may have let it be known that he likes them low and likely didn't question how it got done.

Still guilty to some degree.

Send down the punishment. I'm ready to move on.

 
Perhaps what Brady should have said Super Bowl week:

"I like the balls soft and those are the ones I pick during the selection process. The equipment guys know this; as a matter of fact I made sure they knew that and, as you'd expect, they try their hardest to make me happy. But we never set out to break the rules. That being said, there's a chance that in the efforts to make sure the balls were soft somebody crossed a line and set the balls below the limits. If that's the case, even though I dont get into the detail of any of this, the fact that I made it known that I like the balls softer was the reason all of this happened and so I feel I should take complete responsibility for whatever happened and whatever the outcome is.

As much as it sounds like Im pointing fingers, I'd be remiss if I didnt say that this sort of directive is common in the league among quarterbacks and I wouldnt be surprised if the legal limits were tested from time to time. That being said, my responsibility to the game should be to ensure, to the furthest extent I can, that the balls I use are legal and I clearly need to do a better job at that. And, along with accepting whatever punishment may or may not come my way if a rule was broken, I will change the internal procedures from this day forward. Thank you."

 
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The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
McNally and Jasremski arent mega-celebrities with supermodel wives. If I was Brady there is no way i'd do it either. If Gisele (or somebody else...) sent him some hot text messages, you really gonna rely on that not to leak? No ####### way.
Now will that hurt Brady or help him? Will the league consider the refusal as guilty. Like when someone refuses to take the league's drug test.

 
Lance Armstrong
Another good parallel.

And, again, they've cheated twice that we know about.
No where near the level of Armstrong scumbaggery.
I agree -- it's different on that dimension.

Brady and Armstrong are similar in that they both cheated, they both would have been elite without cheating, and they may even have been able to win championships without cheating (not that we'll ever know of course).

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
McNally and Jasremski arent mega-celebrities with supermodel wives. If I was Brady there is no way i'd do it either. If Gisele (or somebody else...) sent him some hot text messages, you really gonna rely on that not to leak? No ####### way.
Now will that hurt Brady or help him? Will the league consider the refusal as guilty. Like when someone refuses to take the league's drug test.
I think in and of itself its not going to hurt him.. because he does have an excellent reason not to turn over his phone. I think all the other stuff is plenty to make a circumstantial case that he was in on this, so refusing to turn over the phone isnt really an issue- lying to the investigators and media is the sin.

 
Lance Armstrong
Another good parallel.

And, again, they've cheated twice that we know about.
No where near the level of Armstrong scumbaggery.
I agree -- it's different on that dimension.

Brady and Armstrong are similar in that they both cheated, they both would have been elite without cheating, and they may even have been able to win championships without cheating (not that we'll ever know of course).
Dont forget Nolan Ryan. He scuffed his baseballs. In fact every HoF pitcher since that rule went in place. Equally guilty and we'll never know if they were any good.

 
This is a bit off-topic, but what planet is this guy from WEEI on? This is an actual article. "The Disgusting Character Assassination of Tom Brady"

http://www.weei.com/sports/boston/football/patriots/mike-petraglia/2015/05/06/character-assassination-tom-brady

eta* Another Boston homer moment. Tom Curran of CSN declared that no punishment nor suspension should be handed down because the report was "damaging enough."

Wat?

Boston is completely unhinged today.
Report damaging enough. That's gold.

 
Perhaps what Brady should have said Super Bowl week:

"I like the balls soft and those are the ones I pick during the selection process. The equipment guys know this; as a matter of fact I made sure they knew that and, as you'd expect, they try their hardest to make me happy. But we never set out to break the rules. That being said, there's a chance that in the efforts to make sure the balls were soft somebody crossed a line and set the balls below the limits. If that's the case, even though I dont get into the detail of any of this, the fact that I made it known that I like the balls softer was the reason all of this happened and so I feel I should take complete responsibility for whatever happened and whatever the outcome is.

As much as it sounds like Im pointing fingers, I'd be remiss if I didnt say that this sort of directive is common in the league among quarterbacks and I wouldnt be surprised if the legal limits were tested from time to time. That being said, my responsibility to the game should be to ensure, to the furthest extent I can, that the balls I use are legal and I clearly need to do a better job at that. And, along with accepting whatever punishment may or may not come my way if a rule was broken, I will change the internal procedures from this day forward. Thank you."
X2

 
Lance Armstrong
Another good parallel.

And, again, they've cheated twice that we know about.
No where near the level of Armstrong scumbaggery.
I agree -- it's different on that dimension.

Brady and Armstrong are similar in that they both cheated, they both would have been elite without cheating, and they may even have been able to win championships without cheating (not that we'll ever know of course).
Don't want to derail the pile on of Brady at all because I lost all kinds of respect for him, am not a fan, and am loving this.But, Armstrong and Brady's circumstances are really only similar in that they lied.

Armstrong's cheating and lying are so much worse not even comparable.

Brady still sucks though!!!

 
It would be interesting if they did suspend Brady and the NFL season opener would not include the Super Bowl MVP or LeVeon Bell.
More entertaining would be for them to drag this out into the season, Let him play against Pitt., then suspend him for 2 games vs Buffalo and the Jags. Or even better, at the end of the season after they have already clinched the division, a 3 game suspension vs the Texans, Titans and Jets.

 
As a Pats fan I can not deny that they probably did it.

Too much evidence to refute.

Security video showing Pats employee takes balls into a restroom that he wouldn't normally use ... his reasoning was to avoid bothering game officials?

Same person refers to himself in a text as "The Deflator" ... way before Deflategate became a thing.

I still have doubts that Brady gave the order to deflate balls. He may have let it be known that he likes them low and likely didn't question how it got done.

Still guilty to some degree.

Send down the punishment. I'm ready to move on.
You have my sympathies. Being represented by the loud-mouth blind homers that have posted in this thread hundreds of times isn't fair to you and other rational Pats fan.

I've been a huge Brady fan through the years. Mad respect for how he approaches his work and his professionalism in the past, but this just looks bad. Anyone that tries to argue differently is being purposefully obtuse.

 
There are two factors here to consider with Brady, and they are being confused.

1) Character. He cheated, or at least encouraged cheating (if theres a difference). He lied about it.

2) The crime itself and its impact on the game.

People can argue about how much #1 affects Brady's legacy, and how much the deception etc should impact the punishment (if any). Thats totally reasonable and pretty much arbitrary. You could say he should be banned for life for being a bad representative of the game, or he should walk. EIther answer is defensible.

But point 2 is different. People are comparing slightly deflating a football to Lance Armstrong etc? Its simply apples and oranges. Ive argued Brady's actions are much closer to scuffing a baseball to put an extra quarter inch on your curve ball than to using PEDs that might be the only reason you can compete in your sport at all (much less excel). The NFL, traditionally, seems to view tampering with a football as about the same level of a crime, the fine in the rulebook is 25,000 (minimum grant you), only slightly more than spearing somebody. IE- If Brady had pulled a ball he brought from home out of his bag and used it, the NFL feels thats about a 25,000 crime (all things being equal).

This is just not THAT big a deal from the effect on the game perspective, and pretty much every QB interviewed has made that point. Brady, for instance, threw for 328 yards and 4 TDs in the SB against the best defense in the league with balls that you can be sure were absolutely 100% kosher. To argue 'well, we'll just never know if Brady was actually any good' is ludicrous.

If Brady is a scumbag, he's a scumbag for lying and covering up. Not for somehow 'fixing' that game by taking some major unfair advantage. At best its a marginal advantage and one that apparently is well known and common in the League and has been forever.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
McNally and Jasremski arent mega-celebrities with supermodel wives. If I was Brady there is no way i'd do it either. If Gisele (or somebody else...) sent him some hot text messages, you really gonna rely on that not to leak? No ####### way.
Now will that hurt Brady or help him? Will the league consider the refusal as guilty. Like when someone refuses to take the league's drug test.
I think in and of itself its not going to hurt him.. because he does have an excellent reason not to turn over his phone. I think all the other stuff is plenty to make a circumstantial case that he was in on this, so refusing to turn over the phone isnt really an issue- lying to the investigators and media is the sin.
From: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2015/05/07/suspension-of-tom-brady-seems-unavoidable/

One popular theory/rationalization that has emerged in the wake of this news is that Brady may have had private information that he didn’t want Wells and his team of investigators to see. But the Wells report explains that “we offered to allow Brady’s counsel to screen and control the production so that it would be limited strictly to responsive materials and would not involve our taking possession of Brady’s telephone or other electronic devices.”

The contents of the text messages provided by John Jastremski and Jim McNally demonstrate how valuable those communications can be in getting to the truth. If the Patriots had stonewalled Wells regarding the Jastremski and McNally texts, it would have been a lot harder for Wells to conclude that something fishy had been occurring. So it’s no surprise that Wells described Brady’s actions as “not helpful” to the investigation.

 
Only slightly less funny than the Patriots getting destroyed in this thread are the implications from everyone else that their team isn't doing similar things.

 
@adamlevitan: I have DefalteGate fatigue already. Brady used fully inflated balls in Super Bowl. Lit the No. 1 pass D for 37-of-50, 328 yds, 4 TD, 2 INT.
:Sidetrack:

Brady and Edelman kicked ### in the Super Bowl for sure.

That was not the number one pass D though. Sherman, Thomas, Kam dinged up, and Lane knocked out of game.

Back to cheater Brady.

 
Yah, you don't get to say no to the investigator because your wife is famous. And if you do, you don't get to be above suspicion because your wife is famous.

This isn't Hollywood

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
McNally and Jasremski arent mega-celebrities with supermodel wives. If I was Brady there is no way i'd do it either. If Gisele (or somebody else...) sent him some hot text messages, you really gonna rely on that not to leak? No ####### way.
Now will that hurt Brady or help him? Will the league consider the refusal as guilty. Like when someone refuses to take the league's drug test.
I think in and of itself its not going to hurt him.. because he does have an excellent reason not to turn over his phone. I think all the other stuff is plenty to make a circumstantial case that he was in on this, so refusing to turn over the phone isnt really an issue- lying to the investigators and media is the sin.
Seeing this in the report, what excellent reason does he have?

Similarly, although Tom Brady appeared for a requested interview and answered questions voluntarily, he declined to make available any documents or electronic information (including text messages and emails) that we requested, even though those requests were limited to the subject matter of our investigation (such as messages concerning the preparation of game balls, air pressure of balls, inflation of balls or deflation of balls) and we offered to allow Brady‟s counsel to screen and control the production so that it would be limited strictly to responsive materials and would not involve our taking possession of Brady‟s telephone or other electronic devices. Our inability to review contemporaneous communications and other documents in Brady‟s possession and control related to the matters under review potentially limited the discovery of relevant evidence and was not helpful to the investigation.
 
It would be interesting if they did suspend Brady and the NFL season opener would not include the Super Bowl MVP or LeVeon Bell.
More entertaining would be for them to drag this out into the season, Let him play against Pitt., then suspend him for 2 games vs Buffalo and the Jags. Or even better, at the end of the season after they have already clinched the division, a 3 game suspension vs the Texans, Titans and Jets.
There's plenty of time if he's suspended for both an appeal and a decision to handed down well before the opening game.

 
There are two factors here to consider with Brady, and they are being confused.

1) Character. He cheated, or at least encouraged cheating (if theres a difference). He lied about it.

2) The crime itself and its impact on the game.

People can argue about how much #1 affects Brady's legacy, and how much the deception etc should impact the punishment (if any). Thats totally reasonable and pretty much arbitrary. You could say he should be banned for life for being a bad representative of the game, or he should walk. EIther answer is defensible.

But point 2 is different. People are comparing slightly deflating a football to Lance Armstrong etc? Its simply apples and oranges. Ive argued Brady's actions are much closer to scuffing a baseball to put an extra quarter inch on your curve ball than to using PEDs that might be the only reason you can compete in your sport at all (much less excel). The NFL, traditionally, seems to view tampering with a football as about the same level of a crime, the fine in the rulebook is 25,000 (minimum grant you), only slightly more than spearing somebody. IE- If Brady had pulled a ball he brought from home out of his bag and used it, the NFL feels thats about a 25,000 crime (all things being equal).

This is just not THAT big a deal from the effect on the game perspective, and pretty much every QB interviewed has made that point. Brady, for instance, threw for 328 yards and 4 TDs in the SB against the best defense in the league with balls that you can be sure were absolutely 100% kosher. To argue 'well, we'll just never know if Brady was actually any good' is ludicrous.

If Brady is a scumbag, he's a scumbag for lying and covering up. Not for somehow 'fixing' that game by taking some major unfair advantage. At best its a marginal advantage and one that apparently is well known and common in the League and has been forever.
The fumble statistics completely disprove this line of argument. It had a HUGE impact.

 
The only way they got the text messages was by McNally and Jasremski turning over their phones.

Brady refused to turn over emails and his phone. Makes me wonder what was on there. He'd rather face the backlash of refusing to cooperate in an NFL investigation (a major no-no) that let them see his emails or text messages.
McNally and Jasremski arent mega-celebrities with supermodel wives. If I was Brady there is no way i'd do it either. If Gisele (or somebody else...) sent him some hot text messages, you really gonna rely on that not to leak? No ####### way.
Now will that hurt Brady or help him? Will the league consider the refusal as guilty. Like when someone refuses to take the league's drug test.
I think in and of itself its not going to hurt him.. because he does have an excellent reason not to turn over his phone. I think all the other stuff is plenty to make a circumstantial case that he was in on this, so refusing to turn over the phone isnt really an issue- lying to the investigators and media is the sin.
From: http://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2015/05/07/suspension-of-tom-brady-seems-unavoidable/

One popular theory/rationalization that has emerged in the wake of this news is that Brady may have had private information that he didn’t want Wells and his team of investigators to see. But the Wells report explains that “we offered to allow Brady’s counsel to screen and control the production so that it would be limited strictly to responsive materials and would not involve our taking possession of Brady’s telephone or other electronic devices.”

The contents of the text messages provided by John Jastremski and Jim McNally demonstrate how valuable those communications can be in getting to the truth. If the Patriots had stonewalled Wells regarding the Jastremski and McNally texts, it would have been a lot harder for Wells to conclude that something fishy had been occurring. So it’s no surprise that Wells described Brady’s actions as “not helpful” to the investigation.
How does that work in practice though. Is it the Hillary Clinton way- 'hey, ive compiled everything you were looking for on my own, oh and deleted the rest' which is just silly. Or you somehow, what, have Brady and his lawyer sit while an IT nerd picks through all his emails, texts, snapchats whatever, they all look at them and decide if its relevant? How does that protect his privacy? And again it take one slip for somebody to snap a pic or grab a copy of something that would explode all of the interwebs and potentially ruin some lives.

Sounds great in theory, but in practice Brady either gives other people access to his phone and takes the risk, or he doesnt.

 
Boy, Goodell is going to earn his paycheck on this one.

The Super Bowl Champs open up the season in the game the league self-refers to as a showcase, and the brightest star on the Patriots might have to sit it out and the leading RB for their opponent gets to sit it out, too, reminding everyone who watches the "showcase" of the issues in the league, yet again.

And the whole thought that this game might be extremely important to playoff seeding four months later might be on people's minds, too.
It has to be more preferable than if he had to make a decision before the Super Bowl. That'd been real ugly.

 

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