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Pick the 3 playoff teams THIS Year (1 Viewer)

David Yudkin

David Yudkin

Footballguy
Historically, there are three teams a year that will make the playoffs this year that had losing records last year. It's happened 11 of the past 12 years. The only time it didn't was due to there being 8 teams at 8-8 in 2006 (and thus fewer teams to draw from).

What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:

BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL

2008: MIA, BAL, CAR, ATL

2007: WAS, TB

2006: PHI, NO, NYJ, BAL

2005: CHI, CAR, NYG, WAS

2004: SD, ATL, PIT, NYJ

2003: BAL, KC, DAL, STL, SEA

2002: TEN, IND, ATL, NYG

2001: NE, CHI, SF

2000: DEN, NYG, PHI, NO

1999: IND, WAS, STL, DET

1998: BUF, DAL, ARI, ATL

1997: NYJ, NYG, TB, DET

In last year's thread on the same topic, NO ONE got more than one team correct.

:popcorn:

 
I'd say GB, JAX and SEA are my three. I feel like the QB play will be solid enough and in 2 of these cases their division is weak enough.

 
What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:

BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL

For 2009, I like teams that largely had their 2008 season derailed by injuries.

1) Seattle can rebound and take the NFC West. Hass ready to go and the addition of TJH should put themback near the top of a weak NFC West.

2) Cincy gets the air attack back on track with Palmer healthy. 85, Coles, and Henry lead a revamped offense and they play 2009 like they played the last 4 games of 2008 on D. Enough to give them 9-10 wins and a chance at a WC?

3) Jax keeps the O-Line from falling apart this year, and they have the talent to compete in a stacked AFC South. Holt helps the pass game.

 
I am going to go with CIN, JAX and either OAK or KC . I lean toward OAK, but I really can not pick between the two of them. I think that the AFC West could certainly put a strange team into the playoffs this year, as it just seems to me to be a division that if the Chargers play about like they did last year or slightly worse that they may not be able to dominate as they are expected to.

 
Seattle is the obvious choice from this list, with SF having a great chance should Seattle falter again. Jacksonville already has a couple of votes, but their division is simply brutal, so I don't like their odds much. CIncinatti could be much improved and still miss the playoffs in another tough division.

Green Bay could easily put it together behind Rodgers, and I like most of what Buffalo has done. Buffalo has the extra advantage of a relatively weak divsion compared to others on this list.

I'd say Seattle, Green Bay, and Buffalo.

 
Mighty Mice said:
What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STLFor 2009, I like teams that largely had their 2008 season derailed by injuries. 1) Seattle can rebound and take the NFC West. Hass ready to go and the addition of TJH should put themback near the top of a weak NFC West. 2) Cincy gets the air attack back on track with Palmer healthy. 85, Coles, and Henry lead a revamped offense and they play 2009 like they played the last 4 games of 2008 on D. Enough to give them 9-10 wins and a chance at a WC?3) Jax keeps the O-Line from falling apart this year, and they have the talent to compete in a stacked AFC South. Holt helps the pass game.
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These are my 3 choices as well - but I also give SF an outside shot. I don't see any standout teams in the NFC West once again. SF should be able to grind out a decent offense with Gore leading the way, Shaun Hill improving and an interesting WR corp. If their defense progresses, they may take the West.
 
renesauz said:
Seattle is the obvious choice from this list, with SF having a great chance should Seattle falter again. Jacksonville already has a couple of votes, but their division is simply brutal, so I don't like their odds much. CIncinatti could be much improved and still miss the playoffs in another tough division.Green Bay could easily put it together behind Rodgers, and I like most of what Buffalo has done. Buffalo has the extra advantage of a relatively weak divsion compared to others on this list.I'd say Seattle, Green Bay, and Buffalo.
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:goodposting: I agree with these choices and especially why Jax will have a difficult time making the playoffs
 
Green Bay, San Francisco and Kansas City.

Green Bay is an easy choice for me as they are very talented and just need to pull things together and learn how to consistently beat inferior opponents.

San Francisco is a team I just feel is coming together as a talented group and they are in a weak division.

Kansas City seems like a long shot but with adding Cassel and if LJ can return to form they could have a shot and that is one of the weaker divisions in my opinion.

 
Packers - relatively easy pick IMO

Raiders - call me crazy

Seahawks - seem to be improved, weak division

For extra credit, give me the 8-8 Saints as well

 
DET, GB and SF!

That's right...3 teams from the NFC Norris get in and SF not only gets in but HOSTS a playoff game.

Mark it down!

 
Lets break it down by division with the teams in question:

NFC North:

GB

CHI

MIN

DET

Possibly 2 teams make it to the playoffs, to me it's a tossup between CHI and GB to take the division so GB is a good bet. DET? Yeah right.

NFC West:

ARI

SEA

SF

STL

Only 1 team makes it here IMO and I could see anyone except STL doing it, so SEA and SF have a decent chance.

AFC East:

MIA

NE

NYJ

BUF

No way BUF finishes high enough in this division. I just don't see 3 teams making it this year.

AFC North:

BAL

PIT

CLE

CIN

A brutal division for CLE and CIN to have a shot at the playoffs. I just don't see either team finishing ahead of BAL & PIT.

AFC South:

IND

HOU

TEN

JAX

I could see 2-3 teams making the playoffs from this division. I don't like the odds for JAX though but they could just as easily flip records with TEN this year.

AFC West:

SD

KC

OAK

DEN

I think SD wins the division, with a possible wildcard team between KC and OAK. I like KC better.

In order of probability:

GB, SEA, SF, JAX, KC, CIN, OAK, BUF, CLE, DET, STL

So my top 3 would be GB, SEA, JAX since SEA & SF will not both make the playoffs out of the same division and I like the 'hawks better.

 
David Yudkin said:
Historically, there are three teams a year that will make the playoffs this year that had losing records last year. It's happened 11 of the past 12 years. The only time it didn't was due to there being 8 teams at 8-8 in 2006 (and thus fewer teams to draw from).What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL2008: MIA, BAL, CAR, ATL2007: WAS, TB2006: PHI, NO, NYJ, BAL2005: CHI, CAR, NYG, WAS2004: SD, ATL, PIT, NYJ2003: BAL, KC, DAL, STL, SEA2002: TEN, IND, ATL, NYG2001: NE, CHI, SF2000: DEN, NYG, PHI, NO1999: IND, WAS, STL, DET1998: BUF, DAL, ARI, ATL1997: NYJ, NYG, TB, DET In last year's thread on the same topic, NO ONE got more than one team correct. :popcorn:
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I would say Jacksonville and Green Bay, the third I'm hard pressed to pick. Seattle I guess, by virtue of the division and my belief that the Cardinals won't really contend this year.
 
Using this more logically . . .

Both West divisions are weak links. So I would guess:

- One of SF/SEA/STL to win the division (I'll take SF)

- One of KC/OAK, I guess to win the division if SD falters (I'll take OAK for no reason whatsoever other than I think KC will struggle)

That leaves one more team to sneak in as a wildcard somewhere. I see JAX finishing last in their division even if they are a better team this year. GB makes the most sense, which is why I will take BUF making it as a wild card on about the 6th tiebreaker.

 
Jason Wood said:
Stewy, you think two NFC West teams will make it? Meaning the division will be good enough that a wild card will come out of it?Wow, so who else in the NFC do you envision making it?
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Why does an entire division have to be good for two teams to come out of it? I think StL will have a top 5 pick again and Arizona will do no better than 8 wins, so that increases the other two divisional teams' chances of racking up wins, being that they play these teams 4 times each.I think Seattle is an extremely good team that was simply injured last season, and will win at least 11 games next season. I also think SF is a team on the rise that could compete for a WC spot. So, yes, I do think that the NFCW could field 2 playoff teams. Who else do I think makes the playoffs? I don't know. I think Philly wins the East, I think Chicago wins the North, I think Seattle wins the West, and I think Carolina wins the South. I think MIN, SFO, ATL, NYG, and NOS compete for WC spots. But, my guesses are no better than darts thrown against the wall, so take them for what they're worth.And, FTR, I don't think 3 sub-.500 teams make the playoffs. I was simply participating in the game.
 
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GB--I think they win the division. CHI should win WC w/a cake schedule, MIN is overrated again

SF--Rams are worst team in NFL, AZ peaked last year, and SEA is an old team that needs to rebuild

OAK--WC is not out of the question if Jamarcus is average.

 
You really have to look at divisions and then conference. I don't see any losing AFC team getting in with out a complete collapse of teams in the same division. The only way I see the Bengals getting in is if the Ravens fall apart (likewise for the Bills in respect to the Dolphins. The NFC West and North are have almost equal potential so it is very possible for the bad teams to get better. Because the Patriots are coming back with Brady, the fight for playoff spots may leave some teams in the AFC out. Therefore:

I'll take the Packers, the 49ers, and maybe the Bengals (if both the Ravens and Dolphins falter).

 
I think it will be Seattle and two from the AFC but I don't know who, it won't be anyone from the AFC West though.

Buffalo and Jacksonville are the safest bets but I see their divisions as the toughest top to bottom in the conference, they'll be spending all season beating each other up. If someone emerges from Cincy and Cleveland the AFC North isn't overly threatening this year.

I'll go with Seattle, Jacksonville, and Cleveland but honestly I don't think there will be three sub 500 teams from last season in the playoffs. Seattle's the only one I feel at all good about.

 
St. Louis - I think this will be the Miamiesque turnaround this season. The new coach will be a strong D and power running game to a weak division.

Oakland - I think Russell has a great season and the Chargers slip

GB - They win the North in my opinion

 
If I had to go with 3, I'd go with:

Seattle - should be able to compete for the division

KC - I think this team has a chance to be much better than they were last year. A wildcard might not be out of reach, particularly because their division is fairly weak.

GB - I think this one is possible. Farve just might create a crack big enough in Minn's armor to open the door for GB. I think Chi is going to be close to lights out, though, and Detroit will be better (they can't be worse 4 sure...) so the Pack will need a bit of luck for this to happen.

 
BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL

If I were to guess (I'll be honest that's really all this is) at this I'd have to go with Oak, GB and Sea. My reasoning is this:

Oak - Well, none of the other teams really jump out at me so I'm going with a team that plays in a horrible division here. I don't think there is much of a chance of this really happening but Buf lost an elite LT and didn't replace him and plays in a much tougher division. Cinci has to compete with Pitt and Balt and I don't see 3 playoff teams from the AFCN (actually I don't even see 2 this year). Jax maybe in the hardest division in football and I see Hou as one of the most improved teams in the NFL so I don't think they are a good choice. KC is just further away than Oak right now IMO and Sea beats out the other 2 from the NFCW. So this is really just a lesser of the remaining evils pick.

Sea - This is a team I actually like a good deal. I don't think they are going to beat out Arz, but they have a solid QB and D and that can win games.

GB - Easily the best team on the list IMO.

 
Technically NO team that had a losing record last year will likely make the playoffs THIS* year, but I will play along and say Green Bay, Seattle and Jacksonville.

:sarcasm: :D

Washington was 8-9 last year.

*Week 17 is January 3 Next year and the playoffs start January 9 Next year.

 
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Stewy said:
Jason Wood said:
Stewy, you think two NFC West teams will make it? Meaning the division will be good enough that a wild card will come out of it?Wow, so who else in the NFC do you envision making it?
Click to expand...
Why does an entire division have to be good for two teams to come out of it? I think StL will have a top 5 pick again and Arizona will do no better than 8 wins, so that increases the other two divisional teams' chances of racking up wins, being that they play these teams 4 times each.I think Seattle is an extremely good team that was simply injured last season, and will win at least 11 games next season. I also think SF is a team on the rise that could compete for a WC spot. So, yes, I do think that the NFCW could field 2 playoff teams.
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I was all set to agree with you, but then I looked at the schedule: NFC West teams play four games against the AFC South this year. I think that will knock them out of wild card competition.I'll go with JAX, SF, GB though I think the Packers may be a year away. I think Cincy has a good shot at second place in that division, but I don't think that'll be enough for a playoff spot.
 
David Yudkin said:
Historically, there are three teams a year that will make the playoffs this year that had losing records last year. It's happened 11 of the past 12 years. The only time it didn't was due to there being 8 teams at 8-8 in 2006 (and thus fewer teams to draw from).

What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:

BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL

2008: MIA, BAL, CAR, ATL

2007: WAS, TB

2006: PHI, NO, NYJ, BAL

2005: CHI, CAR, NYG, WAS

2004: SD, ATL, PIT, NYJ

2003: BAL, KC, DAL, STL, SEA

2002: TEN, IND, ATL, NYG

2001: NE, CHI, SF

2000: DEN, NYG, PHI, NO

1999: IND, WAS, STL, DET

1998: BUF, DAL, ARI, ATL

1997: NYJ, NYG, TB, DET

In last year's thread on the same topic, NO ONE got more than one team correct.

:popcorn:
Click to expand...
First, kudos to billrob for being the only one with the coconuts to pick Detroit. Second, I don't what you are getting at David about less teams to choose from, since there were 12 teams with losing records in 06 and only 11 this year.

Third, I believe I predicted GB, KC, and St. Louis in a previous thread and I think I'll stick with that. All three have good home field advantage, and KC and St. Louis should benefit from a change in coaching.

 
A Great Exercise...

For me:

#1 JAX - There's a lot to like about Jacksonville this year, a revamped, healthy offensive line bolstered by the addition of two great rookie tackles, a revamped receiving corps, and more production from second DEs Quintin Groves and Derrick Harvey should carry JAX to at least a wildcard spot. I love David Gerrard and think he will play very well this year with some offensive talent around him. They still need to find a CB to play opposite Mathis, but other than that this team is looking solid.

#2 CIN - The Bangles had the lowest scoring offense last season and averaged only 8.8 Yards per pass attempt, which I believe is one of the lowest numbers in the history of the NFL. Their an up-and-coming defense, so With Palmer back, a re-focused Ochocino, a re-focused C.Henry, L.Coles, upgrades to the O-line, plus Bernard Scott to spell Benson, I think the Bangles are the clear cut favorite from this list to make a playoff run. The defense really needed to add pass rush and did so in DE Michael Johnson and Rey Rey. The Ravens will take a step back and have a losing record, the Browns are garbage.

#3 STL - Just for kicks, you can tell yourself a story where they have a nice ball control offense with an upgraded offensive line, Bugler stays healthy and hits Donnie Avery for the occasional play-action bomb, and Chris Long takes a big step forward and the benefits cascade to the entire defense.

SEA is the obvious honorable mention, but I just don't feel like its going to come together for them.

 
Seattle, Cleveland and Oakland KC.  

I am removing Oakland because I hate the Derrick Burgess trade and the fact that just got smoked by NO in preseason. I also think that San Diego is over-rated. They seem to play at the level of their competition. KC looks like they have improved the most in that division.

 
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Buffalo - exciting young offense takes advantage of improved offseason acquisitions

STL - exciting young offense takes advantage of improved health, best tackle in the draft and a return to form of the most dangerous back in football

#1 Pick though is Cincinnati Bengals - Healthy Carson Palmer, partially sane Ocho Cinco, free Chris Henry, Lavaraneus Coles, a healthy backfield featuring Benson and Bernard Scott - starter quality talent if he gets an opportunity, and they both have Andre Smith blocking for them. Plus, they got IMO the best LB in the draft in Maualuga, will have Keith Rivers back to start alongside him and Michael Johnson is a tremendous specimen who will provide a great pass rush in time.

I can understand the love for Jax, their improved health on the line will give them an opportunity to contend, but they play in a pretty brutal division.

 
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JAX, SEA & GB.

Lock it up!

All in the playoffs two years ago and for the most part injuries kept JAX and SEA out last year. Rodgers is maturing and the pieces are in place for GB to make a run.

 
David Yudkin said:
Historically, there are three teams a year that will make the playoffs this year that had losing records last year. It's happened 11 of the past 12 years. The only time it didn't was due to there being 8 teams at 8-8 in 2006 (and thus fewer teams to draw from).What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL2008: MIA, BAL, CAR, ATL2007: WAS, TB2006: PHI, NO, NYJ, BAL2005: CHI, CAR, NYG, WAS2004: SD, ATL, PIT, NYJ2003: BAL, KC, DAL, STL, SEA2002: TEN, IND, ATL, NYG2001: NE, CHI, SF2000: DEN, NYG, PHI, NO1999: IND, WAS, STL, DET1998: BUF, DAL, ARI, ATL1997: NYJ, NYG, TB, DET In last year's thread on the same topic, NO ONE got more than one team correct. :popcorn:
Click to expand...
Seattle and San Francisco immediately came to mind, so I'll go with both of them. The third spot is a tossup between Buffalo and Jacksonville, and I'm making the tiebreaker the fact that the Jags have a healthier and better offensive line and have enough guys on the team who have been to the playoffs before. Buffalo is still young and has quite a few question marks.
 
Seattle was decimated by injuries last year at WR, QB, & OL, and lost players for stretches at RB, DE, & LB. They aren't your typical 4-12 team, and the division has been pretty weak. Plus they normally have a good home-field advantage, so I will go with them.

Buffalo had the best scoring differential of the losing record teams, and has a last-place schedule, yet was 7-9. This will help them relative their in-division peers, and should get them in.

Forced to pick a third team, I will take Green bay.

I think we may see one of the 8-8 teams get in, particularly the Saints/Redskins winner - they will have a last-place schedule while having been 8-8. And that means both the Lions & Rams are on the docket.

 
1 & 2) Seattle & Jax were playoff caliber teams before being rocked by injuries. I think Seattle takes the division back when K.Warner goes down to injury for the last time. I think Jax gets in over Tennessee, but comes up just short in taking the division from the Colts. If the Colts lose more than a step after the turnover in the coaching ranks, Jax could go from outhouse to penthouse. For the Titans, Lil Johnson doesn't stay healthy more than 13 games, Collins does suck, and losing Haynesworth will mean that much.

3) Buffalo started hot last year, then faded. This year, I think Owens makes just enough difference to win them a couple more games and sneak them in behind an underwhelming Patriots team and barely better than the Dolphins.

HM) Green Bay has the offense to make it, but their D was pretty poor last year and the ill-advised switch to a 3-4 will be their demise this year vs. Cutler and ADP in their division.

 
David Yudkin said:
Historically, there are three teams a year that will make the playoffs this year that had losing records last year. It's happened 11 of the past 12 years. The only time it didn't was due to there being 8 teams at 8-8 in 2006 (and thus fewer teams to draw from).What 3 teams (or more) will make the playoffs this year from the 11 teams on this list:BUF, CIN, CLE, JAX, OAK, KC, GB, DET, SF, SEA, and STL2008: MIA, BAL, CAR, ATL2007: WAS, TB2006: PHI, NO, NYJ, BAL2005: CHI, CAR, NYG, WAS2004: SD, ATL, PIT, NYJ2003: BAL, KC, DAL, STL, SEA2002: TEN, IND, ATL, NYG2001: NE, CHI, SF2000: DEN, NYG, PHI, NO1999: IND, WAS, STL, DET1998: BUF, DAL, ARI, ATL1997: NYJ, NYG, TB, DET In last year's thread on the same topic, NO ONE got more than one team correct. :popcorn:
Click to expand...
Can we include Houston? if so, count me on their bandwagon.I will say KC, Jax, Seattle.
 
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