Player Spotlight: Ahman Green (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2006 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Ahman Green, RB, Green Bay Packers

Player Page Link: Ahman Green Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 

[Big Score]

The Positives

Green just turned 29 (born 02/16/1977)

He is only one season away from a string of four consecutive Pro Bowl years.

Green has had only 5 seasons as the main ball carrier. 3 of those 5 seasons he saw less than 300 carries.

Green has suffered only one major injury (torn quadriceps last year) in his NFL career.

3rd down back pass catching specialist Tony Fisher has moved on, opening the door for Green to return to prominence as a complete 3 down back.

Green's stats.

+--------------------------+-------------------------+ | Rushing | Receiving |+----------+-----+--------------------------+-------------------------+| Year TM | G | Att Yards Y/A TD | Rec Yards Y/R TD |+----------+-----+--------------------------+-------------------------+| 1998 sea | 16 | 35 209 6.0 1 | 3 2 0.7 0 || 1999 sea | 14 | 26 120 4.6 0 | 0 0 0.0 0 || 2000 gnb | 16 | 263 1175 4.5 10 | 73 559 7.7 3 || 2001 gnb | 16 | 304 1387 4.6 9 | 62 594 9.6 2 || 2002 gnb | 14 | 286 1240 4.3 7 | 57 393 6.9 2 || 2003 gnb | 16 | 355 1883 5.3 15 | 50 367 7.3 5 || 2004 gnb | 15 | 259 1163 4.5 7 | 40 275 6.9 1 || 2005 gnb | 5 | 77 255 3.3 0 | 19 147 7.7 0 |+----------+-----+--------------------------+-------------------------+| TOTAL | 112 | 1605 7432 4.6 49 | 304 2337 7.7 13 |+----------+-----+--------------------------+-------------------------+The Negatives

Injured running back Ahman Green got a small surprise in Sunday's practice, as the Packers' medical staff allowed him to take a few handoffs in walkthrough drills.

Still, Green says he's taking "baby steps" in his rehabilitation and likely won't fully participate in the Packers organized team activity sessions next month.

May 04, 2006

Green still is several months away from returning from his torn quadriceps tendon. It’s unlikely he’ll participate in any of the offseason practices, and it’s not even a given he’ll be ready for the start of training camp in late July.

Ahman Green, a four-time Pro Bowler, said during the team's first mini-camp that the medical staff won't clear him to return to the field until the latter part of training camp in August. Green missed the final 10 games of 2005 because of a torn right quadriceps tendon.

The Press Gazette reports Packers HC Mike McCarthy mentioned only one player who won’t attend this weekend's bonus mini-camp, RB Ahman Green, because of a charity commitment. Green is recovering from a torn quadriceps tendon and won’t be ready to practice until late August anyway.

If the quadriceps or patellar tendon is completely ruptured, a surgeon will reattach the ends. After surgery, the patient will wear a cast for 3 to 6 weeks and use crutches.....A partial or complete tear of a tendon requires an exercise program as part of rehabilitation that is similar to but less vigorous than that prescribed for ligament injuries. The goals of exercise are to restore the ability to bend and straighten the knee and to strengthen the leg to prevent a repeat injury. A rehabilitation program may last 6 months, although the patient can return to many activities before then.

pediatrics.about.com

Most patients can return to their previous occupations, but many cannot return to their preinjury activity level.

In a large study, Konrath and associates found that 83% of patients returned to their previous occupations, 51% were unable to return to their preinjury activity levels, and 53% had persistent quadriceps strength deficits (>20% compared with the uninjured leg).

Quadriceps Tendon Rupture - PrognosisGoing by the above reports, on when Green will be able to fully participate in Team activities, June, July & August are all shown as possible return dates.

Whatever the actual return date, one thing we know for certain, the quadriceps tendon tear is a serious injury. The odds of a person returning to 100% preinjury capability are less than 50%.

The one year contract Green recently signed with Green Bay, was set up to allow for him to be cut with minimal cap repercussions.

Until we see how Green returns from this injury, any player evaluation at this time, is simply an exercise in futility.

 

[5Rings]

Very

 

[phillymatrix]

From where Ahman is now to where he was in 2001(1385 yds,11tds ) is like the difference between night and day. I can't see any reason to draft this guy with players available like a Frank Gore or a Ron Dayne( under rated). Athletes who are younger or have had less serious injuries, and at this stage of their careers more upside. I would rather take a chance on one of the rookie rbs than Green.

 

[jburns]

great post big score. when do you think we'll be able to "project" his season.

once minicamps are through? or are we going to have to wait for preseason?

in my head when i try to project the gb running back situation, i know that a 100% green will start over a 100% gado. but i know we probably won't get a 100% green.

does a 80% green beat out a 100% gado?

what about a 70% green? etc.

 

[Big Score]

great post big score. when do you think we'll be able to "project" his season.

once minicamps are through? or are we going to have to wait for preseason?

If it's me, taking it as given that Green is still with the team come pre season, I would not want to hazard any projections until I've seen how Green is used and how he performs in pre season games.

in my head when i try to project the gb running back situation, i know that a 100% green will start over a 100% gado. but i know we probably won't get a 100% green.

does a 80% green beat out a 100% gado?

what about a 70% green? etc.

The zone blocking scheme Jeff Jagodzinski is implementing in Green Bay requires; #1 Quick reads to identify the hole.

#2 The scoots/burst to bust through it.

I think an 80% or even a 70% Green, would easily execute #1

I don't think an 80% or 70% Green will be able to execute #2