Player Spotlight: Darrell Jackson (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Darrell Jackson, WR, San Francisco 49ers

Player Page Link: Darrell Jackson Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 

[fsufan]

1100 yards and 6 TDs

 

[shadyridr]

As a 49ers fan I love the move. As a fantasy player I can see the move hurting his numbers a bit. The 49ers offense isnt up to par as the Seahawks. Alex Smith is not Matt Hasslebeck. But DJax will be a very good redzone threat. Plus DJax alway tends to miss a few games. I think Jackson will be a VERY solid WR2 and may be a WR1 if he can play all 16 games which I dont think he will.

13 games, 1100 yds, 9tds

 

[Kiddnets]

Not the worst place he could end up - QB on the upswing - improved OL - solid RB - who knows - maybe it is a better situation for him in the long run. I see him having a solid #2 WR type of year

70 rec 1,100 yds 7 TDs

definitely start him both games against seattle!

 

[gman8343]

As a 49ers fan I love the move. As a fantasy player I can see the move hurting his numbers a bit. The 49ers offense isnt up to par as the Seahawks. Alex Smith is not Matt Hasslebeck. But DJax will be a very good redzone threat. Plus DJax alway tends to miss a few games. I think Jackson will be a VERY solid WR2 and may be a WR1 if he can play all 16 games which I dont think he will.13 games, 1100 yds, 9tds

wouldn't those numbers be as good or better than his SEA days (13 games worth)?

 

[Iwannabeacowboybaby!]

I don't think that San Francisco's passing game is on the upswing. I'm not sold on Alex Smith as a quality passer yet and I just have the feeling that projecting Darrell Jackson to have over 1000 yards receiving is a slight reach. It could happen but due to the last two seasons only playing in a total of 19 games and the lack of confidence I have in S.F's overall passing game, my projections are:

57 receptions, 650 yards and 7 td's

 

[redman]

75/1100/7

These aren't inflated stats in the least as 1100 yards requires less than 70 yards per game. As others have stated this assumes a 16-game season, so adjust accordingly if you feel he's an injury risk.

 

[fsufan]

I don't think that San Francisco's passing game is on the upswing. I'm not sold on Alex Smith as a quality passer yet and I just have the feeling that projecting Darrell Jackson to have over 1000 yards receiving is a slight reach. It could happen but due to the last two seasons only playing in a total of 19 games and the lack of confidence I have in S.F's overall passing game, my projections are:57 receptions, 650 yards and 7 td's

Bryant and battle had those #s in 2006. D Jax is a better WR than both of themBryant- 40 cat/733 yards/3 TDsbattle- 59 cat/686 yards/3 TDs

 

[H.K.]

Bryant and battle had those #s in 2006. D Jax is a better WR than both of themBryant- 40 cat/733 yards/3 TDsbattle- 59 cat/686 yards/3 TDs

Hasselbeck and the Seattle offense are better than Alex Smith and Co., too. The high end for DJax will be in the low 70's for recepts, with an expectation for 60-65 catches for me.Not to mention, Smith threw 7 TD passes to WR's last season. Throw in DJax's injury history and I'd let someone else take the risk.63 for 856 and 4 TD's

 

[kensat30]

I think most of Jackson's value will come from playing in the NFC West. 6x versus Arizona, St. Louis, and Seattle will boost his stats a bit. Little weary of the injuries, so I bump him down some from what I think he is a capable of.

65/1000/7 ~ 14 games

 

[5Rings]

I think the guys in 07 with the most targets will be:

DJax 120

VD 100

Battle 80

Lelie 60

I think the Rbs (especially Gore), Hill/WR4-5, and others will combine for another 140 or so targets, which will put Alex Smith at right about 500 pass attempts.

I don't think DJax or VD's targets are a stretch, as Antonio Bryant averaged almost 7/game when playing, and VD averged almost 6/gam when healthy. I've put VD and Lelie's high also from the reports from 49er headquarters about Smith showing up each day at 5am to study, and how he has been working out alot and building a repoire with VD/Lelie.

Basing this on DJax last few years avg of catching about 60% of balls, I'd put DJax this year at about

70-860-7

 

[Blue-Kun]

It comes down to how big a leap Alex Smith is going to take as a QB. I think he'll certainly do better than last season, but the offense isn't going to give D-Jax the gaudy numbers he had in Seattle despite only playing 13 games. He'd be lucky to replicate them even if he stayed healthy for the entire season. It's not like defenses are going to not notice that D-Jax and Vernon Davis are going to be the two big targets once the Niners fall behind (Which they did early and often last year). As much as I like Arnaz Battle, he's not a real scary guy catching the ball.

Around 115 targets - 64/880/6 seems reasonable at the moment, assuming he plays all 16 games.

If he gets around 12-13 games, 51/700/4

And of course this is assuming he doesn't hurt himself badly, I mean Seattle did deal him to a division rival for a 4th rounder.

Good #2 in fantasy, but I wouldn't go bending over backwards to pick him up.

 

[Byron_nyc]

You don't trade a potentially productive WR1 to an opponent in your division. Mike Holmgren knows something we don't about DJax. Expect a dropoff.

55 receptions, 700 yards and 6 td's

 

[ImTheScientist]

The 49ers were 29th in the league in passing and 6th in the league rushing. They are a team which runs the ball much better than passes the ball. Last year they had 2685 yards passing.

Receiving Statistics (top 3 wr's)Antonio Bryant 40 733 Arnaz Battle 59 686 Frank Gore 61 485 Their top two Wr's with around 700 yards receiving each. The production of D-Jax is going to depend on Alex Smith. I would expect a slight drop off of his career avg. numbers for 16 games which are:

Rec: 72 Yards: 1074 TDs: 8

Due to the lack of work ethic, Alex Smith, and the 49ers offensive scheme D-jax 2007 numbers will be:

Rec: 65

Yards: 965

TDs: 6

In 2007 he will not present great value for the round he will be choosen in.

 

[shadyridr]

As a 49ers fan I love the move. As a fantasy player I can see the move hurting his numbers a bit. The 49ers offense isnt up to par as the Seahawks. Alex Smith is not Matt Hasslebeck. But DJax will be a very good redzone threat. Plus DJax alway tends to miss a few games. I think Jackson will be a VERY solid WR2 and may be a WR1 if he can play all 16 games which I dont think he will.13 games, 1100 yds, 9tds

wouldn't those numbers be as good or better than his SEA days (13 games worth)?

You're right. My TDs were too high. Ill say 1100 yds, 7 TDs.

 

[Thom Yorke]

Profile/Background: Few players in recent memory have been such 3rd/4th round stalwarts as Mr. Jackson. For years, Darrell has been valued as a solid WR1/great WR2 who carries a higher than average risk of injury. While Jackson is not particularly flashy in any one area, he runs solid routes, has decent speed, and has that knack for getting open that quarterbacks love.

As mentioned previously, Jackson has struggled with injury. In fact, he's missed 16 of his last 32 regular season games, a troubling sign for a WR headed into his eighth season. Notably, however, Jackson had only missed 3 games in five seasons prior to 2005.

2006 was a solid season for Darrell fantasy wise. He set a career record for touchdowns with 10, and nearly topped the 1,000 yard mark despite missing three games. He also finished as a top 15 fantasy wideout for the third time (he narrowly missed in 2001 as WR16), finishing as WR13. Only three missed games prevented him from having what would likely have been his most productive season ever from a fantasy perspective.

Changes in 2007: Jackson leaves the comfort of a Seattle system in which he's thrived for the relative unknown of San Francisco. On the bright side, Jackson immediately becomes the 49er's top option at WR, which should ensure that he gets a healthy dose of targets. Young QB Alex Smith made considerable progress in his second season, and most expect that he'll continue to improve in 2007. The 49ers also have enough other weapons (Vernon Davis, Frank Gore, Arnaz Battle, and a potential deep threat in Ashlie Lelie) to keep Jackson from drawing too much attention.

Projection: Jackson will very much go as Alex Smith does. If Smith continues to improve, a 1,000 yard season with 6-8 scores seems like a legitimate possibility. His health is also a reasonable concern, but I'm not big on attempting to adjust projections for injury. If he does play 16 games, I expect:

Darrell Jackson 2007 projection: 68 rec, 911 yds rec, 7 TD.

 

[Kiddnets]

any updates on D Jax's health? Read somewhere that he is still nagged by turf toe. Scary though months later along with new team. If hes healthy I like his potential but if not .....any new info?

 

[derek19]

any updates on D Jax's health? Read somewhere that he is still nagged by turf toe. Scary though months later along with new team. If hes healthy I like his potential but if not .....any new info?

Should be ready to go by training camp. Which I believe start July 28th or 29th.. I believe he did do some running during OTA's but nothing major...

 

[Kiddnets]

any updates on D Jax's health? Read somewhere that he is still nagged by turf toe. Scary though months later along with new team. If hes healthy I like his potential but if not .....any new info?

Should be ready to go by training camp. Which I believe start July 28th or 29th.. I believe he did do some running during OTA's but nothing major...

thanks - is the consensus still a solid #2 WR? See him ranked mostly in the 20s so far. Could be decent value

 

[derek19]

any updates on D Jax's health? Read somewhere that he is still nagged by turf toe. Scary though months later along with new team. If hes healthy I like his potential but if not .....any new info?

Should be ready to go by training camp. Which I believe start July 28th or 29th.. I believe he did do some running during OTA's but nothing major...

thanks - is the consensus still a solid #2 WR? See him ranked mostly in the 20s so far. Could be decent value

I'd stay away from any 49er WR this year. I'm not saying they are not going to do to well. Just saying I think there won't be a clear cut #1 WR. If you can get Vernon Davis, then you are gold.

 

[BigRed]

You don't trade a potentially productive WR1 to an opponent in your division.

You might if you're dumb enough to think you found a worthy replacement in Branch. Holmgren screwed up here, plain and simple. Not that I think Jackson is amazing either, though. I'd say "if healthy" he'll sneak over 1000 and grab a handful of TDs.

 

[Urinal Mint]

Two words:

Turf toe.

55 REC

740 YDS

6 TD

 

[Hooper31]

You don't trade a potentially productive WR1 to an opponent in your division.

You might if you're dumb enough to think you found a worthy replacement in Branch. Holmgren screwed up here, plain and simple. Not that I think Jackson is amazing either, though. I'd say "if healthy" he'll sneak over 1000 and grab a handful of TDs.

This wasn't Holmgren's choice. He wanted to keep Jackson.