Player Spotlight: Drew Bledsoe (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

[SIZE=14pt]2006 Player Spotlight Series[/SIZE]

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

[SIZE=14pt]Thread Topic: Drew Bledsoe, QB, Dallas Cowboys[/SIZE]

Player Page Link: Drew Bledsoe Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

[SIZE=14pt]The Rules[/SIZE]

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the player

Projections should include (at a minimum):

[*]For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[SIZE=14pt]Best of Luck and ENJOY![/SIZE]

 

[Bankerguy]

I will start this thread out by saying that I predict that Drew Bledsoe will be one of the more debated QB's this offseason. In the posts to follow mine, there will be some really high rankings and some who will continue to radically discount Bledsoe because of personal bias.

Last Year's Stats

300 completions on 499 attempts for 60.1%

3639 Yards

23 TD's

Positives going into 2006 (For Bledsoe)

Addition of TO.

Flozell Adams will be healthy to start the year.

Upgrading RT (Fabiani replaces rookie Rob Pettiti)

Dallas is moving to a base offense of 1 RB and 2 TE sets

Fasano on the other side of Pro bowl Jason Witten cannot be overlooked.

Negatives going into 2006(For Bledsoe)

NFC East defense's are all very good and improved since the draft/FA

Fairly tough schedule

A year older and still immobile

Overall:

I see a better year coming from Bledsoe stat wise. With an average run game, Parcells will play to the strength of this offense. The shift to the 2 TE set is all about creating mis-matches, which plays to Bledsoe's favor especially in yards.

2006 Prediction

Attempts-525

Completions-325 (About 63%)

Yards- 4062

TD's -29

Int's-16

Not sure were he ranks yet for QB's but my gut says the 4-6 range is about right. I'll add my final QB ranking after I project all QB's.

 

[Wade]

Bledsoe had a nice season in 2005, throwing 23 touchdowns and running in two more. He hasn't missed a game since 2001 in New England, which means you can count on him to secure all the QB stats in Dallas this year.

The loss of a "Parcells Guy" in Keyshawn Johnson is a big hit to the offense, but adding elite WR Terrell Owens should more than make up for it. Last year, Keyshawn Johnson had 11.8 yards per catch and one touchdown every 12 receptions. Over the last three years (with two different teams) Terrell Owens has averaged 15.2 yards per catch and one touchdown every 7 receptions. Granted, Owens hasn't played but one complete season in the last seven years, but for the 14 or so games he does play, he should give the Dallas passing offense (and Bledsoe) increased potency.

The Cowboys pass attempts remain about the same, as does the completion percentage, but the yards per attempt increase, as do the passing touchdowns:

Drew Bledsoe, QB DAL:

505 ATT, 300 COMP, 3790 YDS, 26 TD, 16 INT

30 RUSH ATT, 50 RUSH YDS, 0 RUSH TD

 

[Jason Wood]

Bledsoe defied the critics last year and finished 6th among QBs using FBG scoring. His 3,639 yards and 23 TDs were his best showing since 2002. Quietly, Bledsoe has rushed for 2 TDs in three of the last four years to boot.

Now he gets an improved offensive line (on paper) and adds an inspired Terrell Owens to the mix. I find it difficult, as much as I dislike Bledsoe and the Cowboys personally, to not see how he won't be one of the better value picks this year at the position.

 

[CravenM]

Shhhh - Drew Bledsoe will be the best kept secret of the year.

 

[KnowledgeReignsSupreme]

I really don't see how this guy can be a value pick, any more than Kerry Collins was a value pick last year.

4086 passing yards

31 passing TDs

13 INTs

20 rushing yards

 

[mlball77]

I will start this thread out by saying that I predict that Drew Bledsoe will be one of the more debated QB's this offseason.  In the posts to follow mine, there will be some really high rankings and some who will continue to radically discount Bledsoe because of personal bias.

Last Year's Stats

300 completions on 499 attempts for 60.1%

3639 Yards

23 TD's

Positives going into 2006 (For Bledsoe)

Addition of TO.

Flozell Adams will be healthy to start the year.

Upgrading RT (Fabaini replace rookie Rob Pettiti)

Dallas is moving to a base offense of 1 RB and 2 TE sets

Fasano on the other side of Pro bowl Jason Witten cannot be overlooked.

Negatives going into 2006(For Bledsoe)

NFC East defense's are all very good and improved since the draft/FA

Fairly tough schedule

A year older and still immobile

Overall:

I see a better year coming from Bledsoe stat wise.  With an average run game, Parcells will play to the strength of this offense.  The shift to the 2 TE set is all about creating mis-matches, which plays to Bledsoe's favor.

2006 Prediction

Attempts-525

Completions-325 (About 63%)

Yards- 3645

TD's -25

Int's-16

Not sure were he ranks yet for QB's but my gut says the 6-10 range is about right.  I'll add my QB ranking after I project all QB's.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Very solid post... many great points, imo.Bledsoe was great last year and I think his numbers will improve a touch due to WR (TO) and O-line improvements.

I think his passing yards are likely to stay about the same, which were quite good in 05, but that his TD produciton could be most affected by TO's arrival (positively, assuming the whole situation doesn't blow up).

My projection (guess):

Passing Yds: 3,650

TDs: 27

INTs: 15

 

[DawnBTVS]

I like Bledsoe for this season as a solid #1 QB. I think his accuracy will go down but I could see a slight rise in YPA (up to around 7.5) and TDs.

Comp: 274

Att: 469

Yards: 3518

TD: 25

INT: 16

Carries: 26

Yards: 38

TD: 2

 

[JimmyD]

320/500 comp/att

3700yds

26TD

I see a little better than last year, with the potential of multiple TD game with TO.

I just think that even with all the weapons that they will try keep a balanced offense. I'd say this is the ceiling for Bledsoe but the good thing is that the lowside isn't very low.

IMO - Safe pick for your #1QB. This is the type of QB that you should be able to get after 8-9 other QB's are taken which makes it a stable pick.

 

[Musesboy]

Positives

Bledsoe will be in his second year in the system.

The OL will start healthier, and a second TE will help solidify protection when the team uses that formation.

Terrell Owens was added and Keyshawn Johnson departed. Owens can make the tough catches over the middle like Johnson, but is a much bigger threat to turn them into bigger gains or even TDs. Johnson's 6 TDs could become 12-14 for Owens.

Glenn will see a lot more single coverage and could increase his tally of 7 TDs despite getting less targets.

Witten's blocking duties should reduce with Adams healthy and Fasano being added to the offense.

Coaches tend to play to the strengths of the team. The 49ers with Owens often had over 550 passing attempts even in the years they had a winning record. The Eagles had 485 passing attempts in 2003 without Owens and finished 12-4. That figure increased to 547 when Owens was added, and they finished 13-3. My point being that even though Dallas likes to run the football, and despite their winning record, Owens is likely to cause Bledsoe's passing attempts to increase by about 10% to the 550 range.

McNabb averaged 6.2 YPA for his career before Owens arrived, and then it spiked to 8.3. I believe Bledsoe can expect to add at least a yard to his career yards per attempt figure with Owens present and Glenn in single coverage, not to mention Witten being required to block less.

Dallas faces a tough schedule with eight games against teams that made the playoffs in 2005, plus two games against the Eagles and one against the Falcons. They are unlikely to get big leads in those games and should be throwing the ball often.

Negatives

Only the Texans, Vikings and Jets allowed more sacks than the Cowboys last year. Bledsoe's slow release and lack of movement are a liability. If his passing attempts do rise as I expect, so will the likelihood that he will be sacked. Every sack is a potential injury. If he lingers too long waiting for Owens to get open he has a bigger chance of getting hit.

Owens has not played a 16 game season since 2001 due to injury or suspension. He is also seemingly a difficult player to control. If Bledsoe falls short of the standards set by Young, Garcia and McNabb, the potential for trouble is clear.

Bledsoe is unlikely to rush for 2 TDs this year with Jones/Barber healthy, Owens as a big target, and Witten more readily available due to less blocking duties.

Projection

These numbers are based on a full 16 games from Bledsoe with Owens available for every game.

Passing 315/550 for 4180 yards and 28 TDs with 19 INTs.

Rushing 30 for 50 yards and no TDs.

I don't expect Bledsoe to reach these numbers because of the chance of injury to him or Owens, and the concern that Owens may be disciplined at some point. But I believe this is his ceiling.

 

[David Yudkin]

I don't expect Bledsoe to reach these numbers because of the chance of injury to him or Owens, and the concern that Owens may be disciplined at some point. But I believe this is his ceiling.

I'll give you that Owens is a question mark, but why is Bledsoe an injury risk? He's played in every game 6 of the past 7 seasons (missing time with a collapsed lung in the other). Excluding that one injury in that one season, he's played in 173 of 176 games in 11 years (98.3% of games). I did not include his rookie year, as he was not the starter out of the gate. I understand that anyone can get hurt at any time, but Bledsoe has been a rock at QB.

 

[Musesboy]

I don't expect Bledsoe to reach these numbers because of the chance of injury to him or Owens, and the concern that Owens may be disciplined at some point. But I believe this is his ceiling.

I'll give you that Owens is a question mark, but why is Bledsoe an injury risk? He's played in every game 6 of the past 7 seasons (missing time with a collapsed lung in the other). Excluding that one injury in that one season, he's played in 173 of 176 games in 11 years (98.3% of games). I did not include his rookie year, as he was not the starter out of the gate. I understand that anyone can get hurt at any time, but Bledsoe has been a rock at QB.
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

You make a valid point. He has played hurt in some of those games but the bottom line is he has played. I just think that at 34 years of age and projected (by me) to attempt between 50 and 100 passes more than over the last three seasons, the chance of injury is higher than ever.

 

[Iwannabeacowboybaby!]

Drew Bledsoe will be one of the most underrated QB's in fantasy football in 2006. With the addition of Terell Owens, Terry Glenn is going to have some long Td's this upcoming season, as he's basically uncoverable 1 on 1. I believe he'll see a lot of 1 on 1 coverage with TO and Whitten on the field.

There's no real competition to his job, he's a QB that doesn't do a lot of running so he doesn't get hurt a lot, he's got value written all over him.

3650 yards passing and 26 TD's with 17INT's

70 rushing for 1 TD

 

[sacked4loss]

350comp. 540att. 4250yards 27 tds 19 ints

 

[Keys Myaths]

Bledsoe had a very good year last year, but it equaled most of his seasons from 3-4 years ago. It just looks like he's settled in to Dallas, but he is 34 years old.

The addition of TO is the wild card. TO took McNabb from fantasy goodness to fantasy greatness. I think you can bump up Bledsoe's numbers this year, but downgrade them a little bit from that because of his age.

As for drafting him in the top 5 QBs (which will happen...), remember how Collins was supposed to explode with the addition of Moss last year. Didn't happen.

3800 passing yards, 28 TD, 18 INT. 29 rushing yards, 1 TD.

 

[jurb26]

Shhhh - Drew Bledsoe will be the best kept secret of the year.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

I'm not sure I understand this thinking. Everyone and their mother has been pimping Drew since the signing of TO. Bledsoe is no secret at all. He is coming off a very stronge season and his team just added maybe the best WR int he league. We have already seen what stud WR talent like TO can do for a QBs numbers. I still worry about Bledsoe's sever lack of mobility in his older age and slow release of the ball though. THe Oline should be improved, but the strat to getting in Drew's head remains to blitz him. I don't think that the Dal game plan allows for enough passes to really see a great spike in numbers here. Even with TO coming aboard. Projections:

450 atts, 288 comp, 3885 yds, 28 TDs, 14 Ints, rushing stats are meaningless.

 

[KnowledgeReignsSupreme]

As for drafting him in the top 5 QBs (which will happen...), remember how Collins was supposed to explode with the addition of Moss last year.  Didn't happen.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Kerry Collins is a straight up bum. Drew Bledsoe is less of a bum. Also he works with a coach with a proven track record of getting the very most out of his QB stat production.

 

[diesel7982]

I will start this thread out by saying that I predict that Drew Bledsoe will be one of the more debated QB's this offseason.  In the posts to follow mine, there will be some really high rankings and some who will continue to radically discount Bledsoe because of personal bias.

Last Year's Stats

300 completions on 499 attempts for 60.1%

3639 Yards

23 TD's

Positives going into 2006 (For Bledsoe)

Addition of TO.

Flozell Adams will be healthy to start the year.

Upgrading RT (Fabiani replaces rookie Rob Pettiti)

Dallas is moving to a base offense of 1 RB and 2 TE sets

Fasano on the other side of Pro bowl Jason Witten cannot be overlooked.

Negatives going into 2006(For Bledsoe)

NFC East defense's are all very good and improved since the draft/FA

Fairly tough schedule

A year older and still immobile

Overall:

I see a better year coming from Bledsoe stat wise.  With an average run game, Parcells will play to the strength of this offense.  The shift to the 2 TE set is all about creating mis-matches, which plays to Bledsoe's favor especially in yards.

2006 Prediction

Attempts-525

Completions-325 (About 63%)

Yards- 4062

TD's -29

Int's-16

Not sure were he ranks yet for QB's but my gut says the 4-6 range is about right.  I'll add my final QB ranking after I project all QB's.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Not sure I understand why Bledsoe's YPA will go down. How do you reconcile that?

 

[Bankerguy]

I will start this thread out by saying that I predict that Drew Bledsoe will be one of the more debated QB's this offseason.  In the posts to follow mine, there will be some really high rankings and some who will continue to radically discount Bledsoe because of personal bias.

Last Year's Stats

300 completions on 499 attempts for 60.1%

3639 Yards

23 TD's

Positives going into 2006 (For Bledsoe)

Addition of TO.

Flozell Adams will be healthy to start the year.

Upgrading RT (Fabiani replaces rookie Rob Pettiti)

Dallas is moving to a base offense of 1 RB and 2 TE sets

Fasano on the other side of Pro bowl Jason Witten cannot be overlooked.

Negatives going into 2006(For Bledsoe)

NFC East defense's are all very good and improved since the draft/FA

Fairly tough schedule

A year older and still immobile

Overall:

I see a better year coming from Bledsoe stat wise.  With an average run game, Parcells will play to the strength of this offense.  The shift to the 2 TE set is all about creating mis-matches, which plays to Bledsoe's favor especially in yards.

2006 Prediction

Attempts-525

Completions-325 (About 63%)

Yards- 4062

TD's -29

Int's-16

Not sure were he ranks yet for QB's but my gut says the 4-6 range is about right.  I'll add my final QB ranking after I project all QB's.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Not sure I understand why Bledsoe's YPA will go down. How do you reconcile that?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

 

[diesel7982]

I will start this thread out by saying that I predict that Drew Bledsoe will be one of the more debated QB's this offseason.  In the posts to follow mine, there will be some really high rankings and some who will continue to radically discount Bledsoe because of personal bias.

Last Year's Stats

300 completions on 499 attempts for 60.1%

3639 Yards

23 TD's

Positives going into 2006 (For Bledsoe)

Addition of TO.

Flozell Adams will be healthy to start the year.

Upgrading RT (Fabiani replaces rookie Rob Pettiti)

Dallas is moving to a base offense of 1 RB and 2 TE sets

Fasano on the other side of Pro bowl Jason Witten cannot be overlooked.

Negatives going into 2006(For Bledsoe)

NFC East defense's are all very good and improved since the draft/FA

Fairly tough schedule

A year older and still immobile

Overall:

I see a better year coming from Bledsoe stat wise.  With an average run game, Parcells will play to the strength of this offense.  The shift to the 2 TE set is all about creating mis-matches, which plays to Bledsoe's favor especially in yards.

2006 Prediction

Attempts-525

Completions-325 (About 63%)

Yards- 4062

TD's -29

Int's-16

Not sure were he ranks yet for QB's but my gut says the 4-6 range is about right.  I'll add my final QB ranking after I project all QB's.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Not sure I understand why Bledsoe's YPA will go down. How do you reconcile that?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Im confused too.When I looked at your post the first time, it had Bledsoe getting 3645 yards this year.

Nevermind, I dont know what happened.

 

[Bankerguy]

I will start this thread out by saying that I predict that Drew Bledsoe will be one of the more debated QB's this offseason.  In the posts to follow mine, there will be some really high rankings and some who will continue to radically discount Bledsoe because of personal bias.

Last Year's Stats

300 completions on 499 attempts for 60.1%

3639 Yards

23 TD's

Positives going into 2006 (For Bledsoe)

Addition of TO.

Flozell Adams will be healthy to start the year.

Upgrading RT (Fabiani replaces rookie Rob Pettiti)

Dallas is moving to a base offense of 1 RB and 2 TE sets

Fasano on the other side of Pro bowl Jason Witten cannot be overlooked.

Negatives going into 2006(For Bledsoe)

NFC East defense's are all very good and improved since the draft/FA

Fairly tough schedule

A year older and still immobile

Overall:

I see a better year coming from Bledsoe stat wise.  With an average run game, Parcells will play to the strength of this offense.  The shift to the 2 TE set is all about creating mis-matches, which plays to Bledsoe's favor especially in yards.

2006 Prediction

Attempts-525

Completions-325 (About 63%)

Yards- 4062

TD's -29

Int's-16

Not sure were he ranks yet for QB's but my gut says the 4-6 range is about right.  I'll add my final QB ranking after I project all QB's.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Not sure I understand why Bledsoe's YPA will go down. How do you reconcile that?
<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Im confused too.When I looked at your post the first time, it had Bledsoe getting 3645 yards this year.

Nevermind, I dont know what happened.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

After studying the new offensive set they would be going to this year.....I editted my initial yardage estimate. I believe I also bumped the TD's slightly.Sorry, if I confused you.

 

[Bankerguy]

Post 7 shows my original forecast.

 

[doughboydeluxe]

Here's what I take from the predictions made in this post so far:

- No one has predicted Bledsoe will throw for fewer TDs than last year

- Only one person has predicted he would throw for less yards (about 100 yards less than last year)

For a 34 yo QB who played in all of his teams games and who was #6 in FBG scoring, I find that fairly remarkable. Granted this is still a small sample size, but usually around here you can find at least someone who is down on a guy. I think the new personnel on the Cowboys offense will help Bledsoe and he will at least match last years stats. With his current FBG ranking at #10, Bledsoe could be a bargain this year, especially if the national FF mags don't rank him very high and there's not the hype some other QBs receive.

 

[The Ref]

Drew Bledsoe will be one of the most underrated QB's in fantasy football in 2006. 

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

I wish nobody was talking about Drew this early. After his good 2005 year with the addition of one of, if not the, best WR in the NFL he will be over rated by the time drafts come around this fall.I just don't think the value will be there, the secret is allready out.

 

[cstu]

I mentioned this last year and it turned out to be correct - Bledsoe is bad outdoors in the cold. Last year he played on the road against the Redskins and Giants and here were his numbers:

Giants - 146 yards, 1 TD/2 INT

Redskins - 153 yards, 1 TD/3 INT

Those were two of this worst games, especially with the INT's (he had 21 TD and 12 INT in the rest of his games).

This year he only plays one game on the road in the cold - week 13 @ the Giants.

His playoff schedule (14-16) looks good as well - vs. Saints, @Falcons, vs. Eagles.

 

[Sweetness_34]

After reading this thread and the comparison of Bledsoe to Collins, I have to ask the question

Am I the only person who remembers that Moss got hurt last year and was just not himself even after he got back? If Randy had been healthy, I bet Kerry would have been even more productive (and he was a top 10 QB in my league mind you)

Now add to that the fact that TO is chomping at the bit to show the NFL how good he really is, I have no doubt that Bledsoe will easily be a top 5 QB this year.

Witten, TO, Glenn, better OL, 2nd TE that can block very well (Fasano) and 2 RBs to keep the pressure off of him = Success

 

[The Duff Man]

Flash back to 2002. Bledsoe started his first season with the Bills and lit the world on fire. About halfway through the year he started to struggle. He finished the year with great stats, but his last 10 games he averaged only 234.3 yards a game and had 10 TDs and 10 INTs.

The next year he was a total bomb, with 35% fewer yards and TDs dropping from 24 to 11.

Skip ahead to 2005. Bledsoe started his first season with the Cowboys and lit the world on fire. About halfway through the year he started to struggle. He finished the year with great stats but his last 10 games he averaged only 197.6 yards a game and he had 12 TDs and 13 INTs.

The next year he…..was vastly over-rated.

Whoa! Whoa! There is no comparison. The Bills LOST a WR in Price while the Cowboys have added one of the league’s best in Owens. And the Bills line was worse than swiss cheese.

True.

But I think Bledsoe’s problems are mental not physical or related to his surrounding cast. And when the pressure to succeed builds up, he starts to struggle and it is ALL downhill. Add a demanding coach and the league’s worst headcase at WR and this is not a recipe for success.

In short, I think he is going to choke with all the expectation that will be put on him to succeed and is not going to live up to the hype. He might post numbers similar to, or exceeding last year. But in my opinion he is not worth the risk, someone is going to draft him too high.

And he is definitely not the QB I’d want on my team come fantasy postseason, while the Cowboys are presumably making a push for the playoffs.

If you do get him late trade him around week 4-6 while you still can.

 

[ruelvis]

Drew Bledsoe will be one of the most underrated QB's in fantasy football in 2006. 

I wish nobody was talking about Drew this early. After his good 2005 year with the addition of one of, if not the, best WR in the NFL he will be over rated by the time drafts come around this fall.I just don't think the value will be there, the secret is allready out.

ok, let's say the secret is out, but let's look a bit further into this value thing...QBS that will undoubtedly be drafted before bledsoe IMO:

p manning

mcnabb

hasselbeck

palmer (health may push him into the next tier)

QBs he'll be probably be drafted after or among IMO:

e manning

brady

bulger

favre

warner

plummer

delhomme

green

brees

c-pepper - esp if his health improves ahead of schedule

If you're like some of the previous posters that think he's due for top 5 numbers, odds are extremely good he'll be a great value pick when you take him. If you have him in your top 10 i'm still not sure i'd call him overvalued in relation to where you'd get him.

Keep in mind that there are people out there who are high on other guys for a variety of reasons like brooks (moss & stinky defense factors), brunell (randle el & lloyd factors) and roethlisberger (bettis & randle el factors) who could easily sneak into that second group. combine that with those who wont draft him because they think TO will implode by mid season and bledsoe's draft day value could increase even more.

I personally wouldn't reach for him (1st 5 rounds in 10-12 team draft) but depending on how your draft goes he could prove to be a huge bargain. Pair him up with a complimentary QB (based on scheduling) that you could get even later and he could be a part of a formidable duo.

 

[cstu]

Flash back to 2002. Bledsoe started his first season with the Bills and lit the world on fire. About halfway through the year he started to struggle. He finished the year with great stats, but his last 10 games he averaged only 234.3 yards a game and had 10 TDs and 10 INTs.

The next year he was a total bomb, with 35% fewer yards and TDs dropping from 24 to 11.

Skip ahead to 2005. Bledsoe started his first season with the Cowboys and lit the world on fire. About halfway through the year he started to struggle. He finished the year with great stats but his last 10 games he averaged only 197.6 yards a game and he had 12 TDs and 13 INTs.

The next year he…..was vastly over-rated.

Whoa! Whoa! There is no comparison. The Bills LOST a WR in Price while the Cowboys have added one of the league’s best in Owens. And the Bills line was worse than swiss cheese.

True.

But I think Bledsoe’s problems are mental not physical or related to his surrounding cast. And when the pressure to succeed builds up, he starts to struggle and it is ALL downhill. Add a demanding coach and the league’s worst headcase at WR and this is not a recipe for success.

In short, I think he is going to choke with all the expectation that will be put on him to succeed and is not going to live up to the hype. He might post numbers similar to, or exceeding last year. But in my opinion he is not worth the risk, someone is going to draft him too high.

And he is definitely not the QB I’d want on my team come fantasy postseason, while the Cowboys are presumably making a push for the playoffs.

If you do get him late trade him around week 4-6 while you still can.

Did you say the same things about McNabb in 2004? He had a worse 2003 than Bledsoe had in 2005. Also, 4 out of his last 6 games (through week 16) are at home and one of the road games is in a dome at the Falcons.

 

[E_Smith]

I find it difficult, as much as I dislike Bledsoe and the Cowboys personally, to not see how he won't be one of the better value picks this year at the position.

This triple negative actually means you don't think he will be one of the better value picks this year. But since you're an eagles fan its understandable, and I won't let it not slide.

 

[The Duff Man]

Did you say the same things about McNabb in 2004? He had a worse 2003 than Bledsoe had in 2005. Also, 4 out of his last 6 games (through week 16) are at home and one of the road games is in a dome at the Falcons.

I didn't see all of McNabb's games in 2004 so I can't really comment. I did see Bledsoe in 2002 and 2003.If you buy into my theory that he choked under pressure and could be set up to do it again then the fact his games are at home or in a dome is irrelevant. I am talking about what is going on in his head and how he handles expectations, not the pressure of playing on the road in the NFL.

In 2004 they started off 0-4. When the pressure was off he played better, they won a streak of games to almost make the playoffs. To close it out they had to beat second stringers at home and he wasn't able to do it. That tells me something.

 

[Wingnut]

3890yds, 24td passes, 16int.... 40ruyd, 2tds.

Good for a top 5 finish

 

[KnowledgeReignsSupreme]

Bledsoe hanging tough at ADP#81. Good value.

 

[Byron_nyc]

Benched by Tom Brady, benched by J.P. Losman, Drew Bledsoe went undrafted in many leagues last year and still -- yo! -- finished as a top 5 QB. Still, fantasy players and fans don't love him, so Drew will be available late. Here is a potential Hall of Famer playing on a young, improving offense, throwing the to best back WR corps he's ever had. Unlike many QBs usually rated above him, he is not coming off a major injury, he is not moving to a new team, and he's not planning his 38th birthday party. Fantasy scoring loves the old-school, big-arm, pocket passers, more than guys that actually win titles, and so should you. Pick him up after the sixth round and be psyched.

4000 yards, 27 TDs, 12 Ints.

 

[Prime]

Did you say the same things about McNabb in 2004? He had a worse 2003 than Bledsoe had in 2005. Also, 4 out of his last 6 games (through week 16) are at home and one of the road games is in a dome at the Falcons.

I didn't see all of McNabb's games in 2004 so I can't really comment. I did see Bledsoe in 2002 and 2003.If you buy into my theory that he choked under pressure and could be set up to do it again then the fact his games are at home or in a dome is irrelevant. I am talking about what is going on in his head and how he handles expectations, not the pressure of playing on the road in the NFL.

In 2004 they started off 0-4. When the pressure was off he played better, they won a streak of games to almost make the playoffs. To close it out they had to beat second stringers at home and he wasn't able to do it. That tells me something.

I'll say this, just like I said it to all the haters last year about Drew.All you Bill fans get stop blaming Drew for your troubles. The Bills are, and have almost always been a poor organization. Stop being bitter. Drew may actuall be the 2 or 3rd best QB the Bills have EVER had suit up for them. The coaching stunk when he was there, he even admitted to freelancing his last two years because he didn't believe the crap the coaches were sending in.

The Bills had a decent line and a healthy Price/Moulds when Drew was blowing up. Then they let Price run off to ruin his career in ATL. They had ZERO line those last two years.

Sure Drew has his downside. He isn't very mobile. He doesn't always feel the pressure. He isn't a QB who can win the game on his own, but not everybody can be God like Joe and Brady. Just ask Manning.

What drew can do right is throw to the open rec., make any throw on the field, and run an offense with precision.

3,900+ yards

27 TD's

40 yards, 2 TD rushing

 

[The Duff Man]

But I think Bledsoe’s problems are mental not physical or related to his surrounding cast. And when the pressure to succeed builds up, he starts to struggle and it is ALL downhill. Add a demanding coach and the league’s worst headcase at WR and this is not a recipe for success.In short, I think he is going to choke with all the expectation that will be put on him to succeed and is not going to live up to the hype.

I think Drew succumbs to the pressure again tonight.

 

[BigRed]

He's my starter and I'm afraid I agree. :( If not for signing Owens I wouldn't have even considered drafting him. Frankly I was surprised he did as well as he did last year (not that it was amazing).