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Player Spotlight: Jamal Lewis (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Jamal Lewis, RB, Cleveland Browns

Player Page Link: Jamal Lewis Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
Cleveland certainly improved their Oline dramatically. But will that be enough to give Jamal Lewis running lanes? Especially with a young QB and not many good receiving threats? I doubt it. Jamal looks slow and worn down. I think he'll be luck to get to 1000 yds and may only get a handful of TDs for a poor team. Plus he is no factor in the passing game. A RB3 at best. Id stay away.

270 att, 950 yds, 6 tds, 12 rec, 100 yds, 0 tds

 
I think Jamal will bounce back this year. Not in a way he'll approach his record breaking 03 campaign, but more like the numbers he put up in his first 2 years in the league.

280 car, 1270 yards, 8 TD.

22 rec, 116 yards, 0 TD.

 
He'll have opporunity and no one pushing him for playing time but they had the 2nd fewest rushes in the league last year. While the line may be improved it will be going from one of the worst to average at best. Jamal is a shell of his former self. He'll give you some carries but not a lot of upside. 260-1000-6.

 
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This is a do or die year for Lewis. I think he has a good year and will be an outstanding #3 RB for most teams with low end #2 potential.

280/1175/9

25/215/0

Edit to say: Lewis has rushed for under 1000 yards once in his career and he missed a game that year

 
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Tippy Toes has never played on such a horrid team. Since he hasn't averaged 4.0 ypc for Baltimore in the previous 2 years, there's no way he will for Cleveland.

265 910 3.4 3 TD's if he's lucky.

 
I like Jamal's chances this year and I think Cleveland could actually contend in a couple games. With Braylon Edwards coming back and a much improved Oline I think Jamal can succeed. Edwards will help take the focus off the running game and help open the holes. It was also reported last year that he had to have surgery to fix a problem that was hurting his ability to run as hard. So I feel that Jamal, while injury free behind a decent line and improve receiving core can put up:

295

1100

8

 
He'll have opporunity and no one pushing him for playing time but they had the 2nd fewest rushes in the league last year. While the line may be improved it will be going from one of the worst to average at best. Jamal is a shell of his former self. He'll give you some carries but not a lot of upside. 260-1000-6.
I generally agree with those numbers. I think by the sheer number of carries, he should get to 1K yards. It's just the TDs I see as being limited, as goal line opps may be somewhat elusive with this offense.
 
not counting the season he lost in 2001 with the knee injury, he's only missed 4 games in 6 years, and wasn't a few of them because of suspension? so overall he's pretty durable. he's also a workhorse. given his 1 year contract, i would think the browns would use and abuse this dude. the only problem i can see with lewis is that he no longer has the browns to run against twice a year, but has to go against the ravens D twice now. won't be much of a factor in PPR.

340 1300 3.8 8 and 24 160 6.7 0

 
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Baltimore was 12th in rushes with 468. Cleveland was 31st with 372. Lewis is a classic compiler, i dont see how having 20% less touches is going to amount to success in Cleveland, but then again i thought he would be a total non-factor last year and he managed to eek out 1100 and 9. As Cleveland's overall improvement goes, so goes Lewis's chances. He wont make or break this team, but they may be able to ride him to a non-pathetic rushing performance.

282 rushes, 1099y, 7TDs

20 rec, 120y

good enough for a RB3 in most leagues, but watch the matchups on your bi-weeks.

 
Jamal Lewis hasn't looked like the same RB as he did when he was younger. He's looked slow and hasn't scared anyone. The Browns have spent a lot of money to acquire a top LG and a top prospect at LT.

1. The improves to the OL may or may not work out.

Winning the line of scrimmage usually doesn't mean having one tremendous offseason and then reaping the fruits of that for 8-10 years. It is a commitment. Look at the Steelers and Patriots - the two most dominant franchises in the AFC this decade. Look at their drafts, and how they spent their first 4 picks. They both have grabbed 7 OL in the first four rounds since 2001. Not all of them work out, but they take them in volume. They select OL prospects even when the need doesn't seem great. I'm not trying to be critical of the Browns, I'm saying that this is a good START for the Browns, but they need to stay committed to winning the LOS. THEY HAVEN'T PROVEN THEY CAN DOMINATE THE LINE OF SCRIMMAGE ON OFFENSE YET.

2. Jamal Lewis himself may or may not work out.

For this section, let's assume the Browns have constructed a strong OL. That doesn't mean Jamal Lewis may be the guy in 2007. Again, let's look at the Patriots and Steelers, who build a strong OL and keep it strong. Fast Willie Parker was some undrafted FA, but he came out of nowhere and became a force. The Patriots grabbed Antowain Smith off the scrap heap and won a super bowl. When you build a strong OL, it creates a great opportunity for an unknown or forgotten player to come out of nowhere. If its not Jamal Lewis, but the OL is strong, it could be that someone on the depth chart shines - Jason Wright, Jerome Harrison, and Lawrence Vickers. Some undrafted RB who isn't even on the team yet could come in and take the job.

But getting back to Jamal Lewis.

There are two major things for him to overcome. Is this truly the year the OL turns around? Will Jamal Lewis return to form if the OL shines? I am skeptical both will happen. I see a decent, but not stunning year.

275 - 1000 - 7.

 
I'm amazed as the remaining optimism about this guy - last season was my "do or die" year for Lewis, and I was not impressed given how much he was fed the ball. In my opinion, he went to one of the few places that would be an offensive downgrade from Baltimore.

Borderline RB3, with a definite risk of being absolutely useless.

 
If Lewis is that bad, wouldn't Harrison (or anyone, for that matter) be an upgrade? Is there a chance he doesn't win/keep the starting job?

 
Lewis is one of the RBs I am staying away from this year. Unless of course he drops way down.
That's kinda how I feel. If Jamal Lewis drops a bit, I could take a shot with him. But not with a high pick.
What would you consider a HIGH pick?
Well you don't select him to be your starter. Wherever you like to think about your backup RBs, that's where you start looking at him. Don't select him anywhere where he becomes a make-or-break player for you.
 
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Lewis is one of the RBs I am staying away from this year. Unless of course he drops way down.
That's kinda how I feel. If Jamal Lewis drops a bit, I could take a shot with him. But not with a high pick.
What would you consider a HIGH pick?
Well you don't select him to be your starter. Wherever you like to think about your backup RBs, that's where you start looking at him. Don't select him anywhere where he becomes a make-or-break player for you.
We the FBG staff were just asked to do a first pass of over/under valued players. While I don't believe I picked Lewis I probably should have. His ADP was RB31/75th overall. That's the 7th round for a guy that should see the ball 300 times. Even if he's not very productive, he should get 1100-1200 yards low end and a handful of scores. I doubt' he'll be earth shattering but you can do much worse value wise than Lewis.
 
Lewis is one of the RBs I am staying away from this year. Unless of course he drops way down.
That's kinda how I feel. If Jamal Lewis drops a bit, I could take a shot with him. But not with a high pick.
What would you consider a HIGH pick?
Well you don't select him to be your starter. Wherever you like to think about your backup RBs, that's where you start looking at him. Don't select him anywhere where he becomes a make-or-break player for you.
We the FBG staff were just asked to do a first pass of over/under valued players. While I don't believe I picked Lewis I probably should have. His ADP was RB31/75th overall. That's the 7th round for a guy that should see the ball 300 times. Even if he's not very productive, he should get 1100-1200 yards low end and a handful of scores. I doubt' he'll be earth shattering but you can do much worse value wise than Lewis.
Well I'm being a bit free-form. Everyone has their own style. Some like taking backup RBs early. Others take them late. Others don't have a set spot to take a backup RB. 7th round could be a bit late for a RB3. Your first 6 picks could include 1QB, 2RBs, 2WRs, and then another player somewhere else. Some may want to pick an RB3 before they fill out their starters.
 
Lewis is one of the RBs I am staying away from this year. Unless of course he drops way down.
That's kinda how I feel. If Jamal Lewis drops a bit, I could take a shot with him. But not with a high pick.
What would you consider a HIGH pick?
Well you don't select him to be your starter. Wherever you like to think about your backup RBs, that's where you start looking at him. Don't select him anywhere where he becomes a make-or-break player for you.
We the FBG staff were just asked to do a first pass of over/under valued players. While I don't believe I picked Lewis I probably should have. His ADP was RB31/75th overall. That's the 7th round for a guy that should see the ball 300 times. Even if he's not very productive, he should get 1100-1200 yards low end and a handful of scores. I doubt' he'll be earth shattering but you can do much worse value wise than Lewis.
I took him 8.02 in a start up dynasty league as my #3/4(depending on Jordan) and thought it was great value
 
If Cleveland struggles as they have in the past... I expect Jamal just to collect a paycheck and mail it in.

Which compounded with his diminishing skills, is a recipe for disaster. I doubt I will draft him in any league considering his relative draft positioning as a starting RB. Though I may take a Jerome Harrison way late.

220 carries

660 yards

4 TDs

12 rec

55 yards

 
Lewis is one of the RBs I am staying away from this year. Unless of course he drops way down.
That's kinda how I feel. If Jamal Lewis drops a bit, I could take a shot with him. But not with a high pick.
What would you consider a HIGH pick?
Well you don't select him to be your starter. Wherever you like to think about your backup RBs, that's where you start looking at him. Don't select him anywhere where he becomes a make-or-break player for you.
We the FBG staff were just asked to do a first pass of over/under valued players. While I don't believe I picked Lewis I probably should have. His ADP was RB31/75th overall. That's the 7th round for a guy that should see the ball 300 times. Even if he's not very productive, he should get 1100-1200 yards low end and a handful of scores. I doubt' he'll be earth shattering but you can do much worse value wise than Lewis.
I took him 8.02 in a start up dynasty league as my #3/4(depending on Jordan) and thought it was great value
I agree!
 
Cleveland certainly improved their Oline dramatically. But will that be enough to give Jamal Lewis running lanes? Especially with a young QB and not many good receiving threats? I doubt it. Jamal looks slow and worn down. I think he'll be luck to get to 1000 yds and may only get a handful of TDs for a poor team. Plus he is no factor in the passing game. A RB3 at best. Id stay away.270 att, 950 yds, 6 tds, 12 rec, 100 yds, 0 tds
I'd say Clev has 2 very good receiving threats in Winslow and Edwards. Thats not bad. People just keep talking about the complete demise of Jamal and it doesn't make any sense to me. Jamal was supposed to fall apart last year according to many people and he ended up beating his ADP, finishing as RB16 and recording his 2nd best TD total. It seems rather obvious that Clev is going to build the offense around him as they have no other viable options at RB and completely ignored the position in the draft. The only way I see Jamal getting less than 275 carries is injury. I don't see Clev as a drop off from Balt. Not with the upgrades on the Oline and Edwards getting healthy. Jamal will once again be drafted as a RB3 in FF yet perform like a RB2.Rushing: 285 att., 1115 yds, 8 TDsReceiving: 25 rec., 160 yds
 
I think CLE will do their very best to establish the run. They have no experience at QB whether Frye, Anderson or Quinn ends up starting.

I think their moves on OL will pay off - maybe not the first month but certainly starting in October.

There are in my mind three ways Jamal will end up with less than 300 carries:

1) 1-2 punch with Harrison

2) CLE perpetually behind by two scores

3) Injury or benching

Even if Cleveland is beind a lot how is that materially different from 2006? I doubt Harrison will do much more than spell Lewis unless he is completely washed up - and I doubt CLE doctors/trainers/scouts are that bad evaluators.

Reuben Droughns ypc by month:

September: 25/59=2.4

October: 88/323=3.7

November: 42/94=2.2

December: 65/282=4.3

In November he did not play in one game and got only two carries in another.

I believe Jamal Lewis production will be more in line with the October and December numbers: 305/1190/5 30/200/0

 
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Jamal was supposed to fall apart last year according to many people and he ended up beating his ADP, finishing as RB16 and recording his 2nd best TD total.
This is certainly true, however I think most will agree that Lewis put up good totals because Baltimore fed him the ball despite his rather ineffective play on the field. They were that kind of offense, they didn't have a great passing game, and they had to try and move the chains with the ball. Baltimore was 11th in total rushing attemps in 2006, but was also 31st in yards per cary (a dismal 3.4). This year, with Cleveland's defense, I don't think Lewis is going to be in an offense that is constantly trying to move the chains and kill the clock - they're going to have to pass a lot in some games, and Lewis is not a factor in the passing game. It's also just aesthetics - when Baltimore was televised nationally (which, admittedly, was not often) he just looked awful. He doesn't run with any burst anymore, and he doesn't run like a big RB should, and he comes down every easily.
 
JetsWillWin said:
Baltimore was 11th in total rushing attemps in 2006, but was also 31st in yards per cary (a dismal 3.4).
:moneybag: His average is going to get even worse. He had 8 games at 3.5 or less. He was a quantity back last year, very little quality remains.

And if Cleveland is not competitive... :lmao:

 
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I've been saying this guy is a shell of his former self

for the past 2 seasons. Now he goes to a team with

a horrible offensive line, and people are still stoked on this guy.

I would consider drafting this clown after pick #120

in a dynasty league. And for trade purposes only.

 
Tippy Toes has never played on such a horrid team. Since he hasn't averaged 4.0 ypc for Baltimore in the previous 2 years, there's no way he will for Cleveland.265 910 3.4 3 TD's if he's lucky.
Not to mention he'll be starting every drive around his own 20yrd line.
 
Tippy Toes has never played on such a horrid team. Since he hasn't averaged 4.0 ypc for Baltimore in the previous 2 years, there's no way he will for Cleveland.265 910 3.4 3 TD's if he's lucky.
The four or five Raven games I watched Lewis was always getting hit in the backfield and if not had good positive yardage. I feel it was bad offensive line play and hesitation from getting hit to early too often. The O-line was so horrid at times that McNair had to pass to set up the run. I’m pretty sure the Browns saw the same and decided to give a one year audition. Tippy Toes? Defenders in the backfield is 6' 240 lbs supposed to change direction like Reggie Bush?
 
Tippy Toes has never played on such a horrid team. Since he hasn't averaged 4.0 ypc for Baltimore in the previous 2 years, there's no way he will for Cleveland.265 910 3.4 3 TD's if he's lucky.
The four or five Raven games I watched Lewis was always getting hit in the backfield and if not had good positive yardage. I feel it was bad offensive line play and hesitation from getting hit to early too often. The O-line was so horrid at times that McNair had to pass to set up the run. I’m pretty sure the Browns saw the same and decided to give a one year audition. Tippy Toes? Defenders in the backfield is 6' 240 lbs supposed to change direction like Reggie Bush?
I don't think he's saying Lewis should have tippy toes - I think he's saying that he DOES.Lewis does not run like a big RB. He runs like...Tippy Toes.
 
I think Jamal's better days are behind him. I watched quite a few Ravens games and he looks slow and seems to go down fairly easy for a big back. He certainly isn't likely to break many long runs. Last season he only had two 100 yard games and the Ravens were feeding him the ball a good amount.

However he did have a few decent games and he's only 28 so I don't think he's completely lost it. Jamal's numbers are going to be dependant on how well the Brown's revamped o-line performs and if the defense can keep them in close games. It isn't going to help that he'll be facing the Ravens twice either.

I think Jamal's going to come in right around 1000 yards and maybe 6 TDs. He hasn't been much of a receiver in recent years so I wouldn't add more than 150 yards to his total.

 
First the good news for Jamal Lewis, Cleveland has surely improved their line with several new acquisitions. But, offensive lines are usually better when you have confinuity.

Now let's look at the Cleveland Browns running back efficiency over the past three years:

04 - 386 rushes for 1444 yards (3.7 ypc) and 4 TDs

05 - 354 rushes for 1361 yards (3.8 ypc) and 3 TDs

06 - 313 rushes for 1023 yards (3.3 ypc) and 4 TDs

Wow, that's worse than bad. :lmao:

Now let's look at Jamal Lewis:

05 - 269 rushes for 906 yards (3.4 ypc) 3 TDs and 32 catches for 191 yds and 1 TD

06 - 314 rushes for 1332 yards (3.6 ypc) 9 TDs and 18 catches for 115 yds and 0 TDs

I believe that we have a match here. I seriously doubt that Cleveland will be in the lead in many games, so I just don't see them running the ball a lot more than their recent history.

Jamal Lewis 260 carries for 960 yards (3.7) and 4 TDs adding 12 receptions for 80 yds and 0 TDs

 
275/950/4, 15/100/0
If Cleveland struggles as they have in the past... I expect Jamal just to collect a paycheck and mail it in.Which compounded with his diminishing skills, is a recipe for disaster. I doubt I will draft him in any league considering his relative draft positioning as a starting RB. Though I may take a Jerome Harrison way late.220 carries660 yards4 TDs12 rec55 yards
I think this is about my high/low for Jamal this year. I just don't see him doing much of anything. It'll be a RBBC before long.
 
Going higher/pricier than I'll ever bother with. CLE O should be at least somewhat better assuming Thomas and Quinn are even decent as rookies, but one good rookie doesn't suddenly make this OL good and whoever is QB is bound to make a healthy # of mistakes. Lewis hasn't done much of anything since his big year and that isn't exactly about to change. Agree w/just cracking 1000 and modest # of TDs.

 
This guy's upside is about zero and his team has more than a few ? marks. Still, that has driven his price way down and he is the unquestioned starter....and with OL improvements and some notable weapons (Edwards, Winslow), I wouldn't dismiss him totally - I almost can't believe I'm saying this but even be a value play if you can sneak him in as your RB3, borderline RB2 IF I say if you have a strong passing game.

 
stinkin no discussing spotlight people - bump
Since you were so subtle in your request . . .IMO, guys that get the ball a ton and have the job to themselves have to have a fair amount of value. I think people are looking at how Lewis' numbers have dropped and how mediocre CLE RBs have been to conclude the worst. Droughns was nothing to write home about and was able to rank in the Top 15 with a paltry two TDs.Lewis is the type of pick that will get you some decent RB3 numbers pretty cheaply but likely will not have a ton of upside that will win your league. IMO, he's decent depth but not a fantasy difference maker.
 
Jamal's big games were against Cleveland.
I think that is a thing of the past, though replacing 2 games vs CLE with 2 vs BAL will not be good for his final numbers.In the last 3 years vs CLE (6 games) he's only broken 100 yards rushing once (109) and scored 2 total TDs.I say that his ankle problems last year were awfully bad. He had to take painkillers every week for them and a guy his size doesn't need anything that can limit his speed. He had surgery in the offseason and says that he feels a ton better (though what else would he say). I read Peter King and some Cleveland paper say that he looks much leaner and quicker to the hole this year.Despite the 2 games with Baltimore Cleveland's fantasy rushing schedule looks somewhat favorable this year (10th easiest according to the Football Outsiders). I can never find the one on this site.I say that he improves slightly on last year's 1100/9. I'll give him 1300 and stay with 9.
 
I think Jamal is the perfect "bridge" RB solution for a few questionable, risky guys this year. He's the perfect guy to pair with a high upside/potential risk RB. Guys that come to mind are ADP, Brandon Jacobs, Kevin Jones. You can reach on ADP and have Jamal start as your #2 until ADP starts to carry the load. Same goes for KJ if he misses the 1st 6 weeks. Jamal is at least a startable #2 RB just because of his role. I wouldn't want to rely on him exclusively for the whole year, but I'd run with him for a few weeks while waiting on a couple of potentially high upside guys.

 
Jamal's big games were against Cleveland.I'm avoiding him like the plague.
I'm not sure how many watched the first preseason game vs KC, but I saw a very fresh looking Lewis doing something that I had really never seen him do the times I've watched him play, which was take a pass in the flat and turn it up field for a big play. I remember being impressed with how soft his hands were and how a security blanket like that would help a young QB in a struggling offense. I'm not advocating taking him early, but I think you could do a lot worse and I know many will reach for much less proven players stuck in RBBC roles. I think he just might surprise a few people this year, much like Droughns did in 2005.
 
I watched the last preseason game and one thing that struck me was that Jamal seemed to be involved in the passing game. I think I remember him catching 3 balls in the short amount of time that he was in. He was also staying in on 3rd downs.

Peter King was on Sirius NFL radio a couple of days ago and he said that the most impressive back he has seen so far in the preseason was Jamal Lewis :lmao:

 
Optimistic Scenario: The Browns revamping of the OL will be reminiscent of when the Rams revamped their OL heading into 1999. The Rams transformed themselves into THE most prolific offense in NFL history, scoring 500 points in 3 consecutive seasons. The Browns obviously don't need to get anywhere NEAR that level of success for Jamal Lewis to be an awesome sleeper. If you believe the guards were the problem, if you believe in Steinbach, if you believe in Joe Thomas, this scenario is for YOU. BTW the defense could be pretty bad. High scoring games all year long. Select this kid and ride him to the title.

Pessimistic Scenario: The Browns OL has been a mess for years. They brought in some guys with a world of potential, but do you really think it will gel so quickly like it did for the 99 Rams? Steinbach is already dinged. Joe Thomas may not be all that. Jamal Lewis isn't the same player. If the Browns get out of the gate REALLY slow, like 1-6, Romeo might get fired and then the role of every coach and player, and every scheme and system currently in place, is immediately in doubt.

Either way, the Browns have blown up last year's offense. The OL is brand new. The offensive coordinator is brand new. And Jamal Lewis is new to this team.

A boom-or-bust guy. Don't build your team where you must rely on Lewis. But I would select him in the middle rounds. In my draft, he went in round 6, a few picks before my turn, and I was targeting him as an RB3 somewhere in rounds 6-8. I wound up with Kevin Jones in round 7 instead.

Predictions: 260 carries, 3.9 YPA, 1014 yards, 5 TDs. 20 catches, 100 yards, 0 TDs.

 
stugnut said:
I watched the last preseason game and one thing that struck me was that Jamal seemed to be involved in the passing game. I think I remember him catching 3 balls in the short amount of time that he was in. He was also staying in on 3rd downs. Peter King was on Sirius NFL radio a couple of days ago and he said that the most impressive back he has seen so far in the preseason was Jamal Lewis :whistle:
He also said Danny Wuerffel was the next fantasy god. I trust Peter King to interview people and get inside scoops from NFL sources. I don't trust him to directly evaluate talent.
 
David Yudkin said:
Since you were so subtle in your request . . .
Sorry, trying to get better about that. I try and try, but.....I've never been a fan a laughed when people kept drafting him expecting another huge season. And CLE is like the anti-DEN for RBs. But he comes pretty cheap, as said is the unquestioned starter, and despite their problems, the CLE O would seem to be an O on the rise, with considerable (if very young) talent at numerous positions.
 

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