Player Spotlight: Jeremy Shockey (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

[SIZE=14pt]2006 Player Spotlight Series[/SIZE]

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

[SIZE=14pt]Thread Topic: Jeremy Shockey, TE, New York Giants[/SIZE]

Player Page Link: Jeremy Shockey Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

[SIZE=14pt]The Rules[/SIZE]

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the player

Projections should include (at a minimum):

[*]For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[SIZE=14pt]Best of Luck and ENJOY![/SIZE]

 

[MagicMan]

65

758

7

 

[carlosnphilly]

70 1000 10

 

[-OZ-]

70 923 9

 

[CalBear]

It's funny, given how much hype Shockey got in his first year in the league, how quiet people are about him now; not even a single comment yet?

Maybe that means he's finally gone from being overrated to underrated. In 2005, he had his best fantasy season, finishing as the #2 TE overall with 891 yards and 7 TDs. There are a couple of aberrations in there, notably two 10-catch games, but not a whole lot that jumps out at you. For his career, he's averaged 55 yards per game; in 2005, he averaged 59. So I think it's realistic to expect him to be in the same ballpark for 2006, despite several other good receiving options in New York.

65 receptions, 850 yards, 6 TD. Good for approximately TE#4, and a good cut above TE#5.

 

[Footballhead]

Its Shockey time. Team continuity form last year + good behaviour from the jockey = good fantasy TE season. Predictions: 700-800 yds, 8 TD's.

 

[Keys Myaths]

I LOVE consistent players. Love them.

Every year, in rounds 5-6, people take the "high risk, high reward" players. Problem is, they don't realize the consistent players are just as high reward, without the risk. Shockey is one of those.

He's good for 700-800 yards, and 5-6 TDs every year. However, there's the high reward, as we saw last season, where he got nearly 900 yards. He's young, he's a good target for Eli, and he's got little downside.

875 yards, 6 TD, and 63 receptions.

 

[carlosnphilly]

Eli to Shockey = Dynasty gold with little risk.

 

[FUBAR]

#1 receiving target for an improving QB

80 1000 12

 

[Keys Myaths]

#1 receiving target for an improving QB

80 1000 12

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

That's a little over the top, IMO. Shockey's never even come close to those numbers, especially in TDs. Plax is the #1 receiving target for Eli.

 

[perry147]

#1 receiving target for an improving QB

80 1000 12

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

JS makes the Giamts offense click and is a key element in their gameplans; as Eli improves so does JS's stock. I think this year he might challage Gates.85 1000 11

 

[carlosnphilly]

#1 receiving target for an improving QB

80 1000 12

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

I don't doubt he can reach those numbers. If there's one stat I can see him improve on, it's TD's.

 

[Rounders]

70/1000/10

 

[Keys Myaths]

Wow, all these 1000/10 marks.

Where's that analysis on TEs with 10 TDs? Isn't that a huge rarity? I know we've done something on this.

 

[Construction Man Jim]

70 receptions, 900-1000 yards, 8-10 TDs isn't the least bit unrealistic for Shockey in 2006. He's coming off his best season as a pro having put up 65 receptions, 891 yards, 13.7 yards per catch, 7 TDs and 4 100 yard games (all career highs) despite playing the second half of the season with a fractured sternum and separated clavicle (described during the season as a "sore chest").

Furthermore, even though the Giants were a top 5 offense last year there is every reason to expect further improvement and to be bullish on their prospects for the coming season. Overall NY is one of the most stable situations in the league: Eli Manning enters year 3 with his entire offensive line returning intact - in fact all 11 starters on the offensive side of the ball are returning. That continuity should serve to accelerate Eli's progression. All the weapons at his disposal (Plax, Shockey, Amani, Tiki and newly drafted Sinorice Moss) will make it practically impossible for defenses to key on any one player.

Expect Shockey to benefit from all of the above factors. Conservatively I'd say he's good for 72 receptions, 950 yards and 9 TDs.

 

[Bankerguy]

For all those predicting 10+ TD's, i would love to hear why? This offense over achieved last year and yet many are predicting huge further increases. I don't get it.

65

750

7

 

[broncofan13000]

For all those predicting 10+ TD's, i would love to hear why?  This offense over achieved last year and yet many are predicting huge further increases.  I don't get it.

65

750

7

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

The first reason that comes to my head why the Giants Offense will be better is Eli being a year older, He is still a young QB....Breakout year (if he didn't already breakout last year)Shockey: 970 yards 8 td's :thumbsup:

 

[Construction Man Jim]

For all those predicting 10+ TD's, i would love to hear why?  This offense over achieved last year and yet many are predicting huge further increases.  I don't get it.

65

750

7

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

How about supporting your "over achieved" statement???Again, in just his second year in the league and first full season as a starter Eli put up 3700+ yds and 24 TDs!!! He is well positioned to the make the year 2-3 leap that other elite QBs have (i.e. Carson Palmer) and hasn't approached his ceiling yet. The entire offense returns intact. Sinorice Moss has been added as another weapon out of the slot. In short, as long as Eli stays healthy all arrows in New York are pointing up.

* Even though there is no justification for a downgrade or reason to expect him to regress, I will remind my league mates of Eli's 52% completion percentage, 17 INTs and poor playoff performance at every opportunity...

 

[Bankerguy]

For all those predicting 10+ TD's, i would love to hear why?  This offense over achieved last year and yet many are predicting huge further increases.  I don't get it.

65

750

7

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

How about supporting your "over achieved" statement???Again, in just his second year in the league and first full season as a starter Eli put up 3700+ yds and 24 TDs!!! He is well positioned to the make the year 2-3 leap that other elite QBs have (i.e. Carson Palmer) and hasn't approached his ceiling yet. The entire offense returns intact. Sinorice Moss has been added as another weapon out of the slot. In short, as long as Eli stays healthy all arrows in New York are pointing up.

* Even though there is no justification for a downgrade or reason to expect him to regress, I will remind my league mates of Eli's 52% completion percentage, 17 INTs and poor playoff performance at every opportunity...

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Perhaps my wording wasn't the best. I'm not a 100% sure, but my guess is that almost every NYG outperformed their individual ADP. (Eli/Tiki/Jacobs/Shockey/Toomer).Giants have a tough schedule with 6 games in the East (All tough D's)

I'm not trying to start a peeing match....I just don't think Shockey is likely to hit 10 TD's. For those who predict it, I was looking for some reasoning.

 

[kentric]

For all those predicting 10+ TD's, i would love to hear why?  This offense over achieved last year and yet many are predicting huge further increases.  I don't get it.

65

750

7

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

How about supporting your "over achieved" statement???Again, in just his second year in the league and first full season as a starter Eli put up 3700+ yds and 24 TDs!!! He is well positioned to the make the year 2-3 leap that other elite QBs have (i.e. Carson Palmer) and hasn't approached his ceiling yet. The entire offense returns intact. Sinorice Moss has been added as another weapon out of the slot. In short, as long as Eli stays healthy all arrows in New York are pointing up.

* Even though there is no justification for a downgrade or reason to expect him to regress, I will remind my league mates of Eli's 52% completion percentage, 17 INTs and poor playoff performance at every opportunity...

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Perhaps my wording wasn't the best. I'm not a 100% sure, but my guess is that almost every NYG outperformed their individual ADP. (Eli/Tiki/Jacobs/Shockey/Toomer).Giants have a tough schedule with 6 games in the East (All tough D's)

I'm not trying to start a peeing match....I just don't think Shockey is likely to hit 10 TD's. For those who predict it, I was looking for some reasoning.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

I agree with Bankerguy here. Even though Eli is entering into his third year and hopefully Sinorice proves healthier than the NYG's other two burners (stretching the defensive secondary), it will be difficult for JS to post double digit numbers considering the strength of the NYG's competition in 2006.