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Player Spotlight: Julius Jones (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2006 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Julius Jones, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Player Page Link: Julius Jones Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
Julius Jones has been a disappointment over the last 2 years to say the least.

His current ADP is 31 or (RB15)

Pro's

-From the Cowboy message boards I visit. He's in great shape and has added about 5lbs of muscle to his lower body. this should help with injuries.

-The improved Cowboy defence will give the Cowboys more short fields and leads to help protect through the run game as Parcells tends to do.

-The addition of TO. This stops teams from stacking 8 in the box. Julius is very good at running the draw plays from a single back set.

-O-line is better than last year. (Big plus..imo)

Healthy Flozell Adams

Kosier is a mild upgrade over a declining Larry Allen

Center- Call it a push. No changes.

Marco Rivera is another year removed from back surgery. Should be better.

Fabiani is a big upgrade over Pettiti who struggled as a rookie.

-If the stars align for Jones, there is huge upside. He could easily be top 8, not that I would predict it. He does have the talent though.

Con's

-Health. Whether a fair knock or not. He has not been able to stay on field.

-Marion Barber. I am willing to bet this name is mentioned alot in this thread.

-New base offense. Dallas has moved to a new 2 TE set. This offense is really designed to create mismatches (Both for the pass and run). I believe this positively impacts the Pass game more than the run game. Terry Glenn is almost uncoverable 1 on 1. TO eats up double teams, and Witten causes other match up problems.

What I'm getting at here is that Dallas is gonna chuck the Pigskin.

My Final Conclusions:

Dallas will be a high scoring, pass first offense meaning lots of TD's to go around. This is my opinion based on Parcells history and what I've read about the strengths of this new base offense (I believe Pat Kirwan wrote a decent article)

The Marion Barber factor is not a big deal (When JJ is healthy). He will get 3rd downs and maybe one set a game to spell JJ. Expect 18-20 carries/game for Julius.

O-line improvements help JJ's paltry yards/carry stats.

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1

 
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JJ shows flashes of brilliance but can't stay healthy to save his life. In his short career he's never started more than 12 games or rushed for 1,000 yards. Now he has the MB3 breathing down his neck and with the offseason acquisition of Terrell Owens as welll as drafting a tight end in the 2nd round of the draft you have to figure the cowboys plan to pass more

234 carries for 1,030 yards and 5 TDs, 40 catches for 240 yards and 1 TD

 
JJ is my pick to disappoint this year. Barber is just better in so many areas that this looks like a full blown RBBC. Also he can't stay healthy.

190 carries for 740 yards and 4 TDs, 24 receptions for 168 yards and 1 TD

 
i am probably going to be in the minority here but just following my gut...i love Julius Jones this year.

i am throwing all injury history out the window and i don't care about MBIII.

i think Jones goes for 1200 / 12

 
i am probably going to be in the minority here but just following my gut...i love Julius Jones this year.

i am throwing all injury history out the window and i don't care about MBIII.

i think Jones goes for 1200 / 12
Agreed.I like the "feel" from Dallas in 2006. Parcells will get Julius 260 carries for 1100 yards and 25 rec for 200 yards.

9TDs.

MBIII will be a solid 125 carry back and 40 receptions.

Plenty of room for both.

I think Bledsoes performance last year is similar in overall view to Jake Plummer.

He was good and bad at times, but when theCowboys needed him most. He spit the bit.

This team will be Defense, Rushing and Throwing to T.O. In that order.

Julius is value IMHO.

 
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i am probably going to be in the minority here but just following my gut...i love Julius Jones this year.

i am throwing all injury history out the window and i don't care about MBIII.

i think Jones goes for 1200 / 12
Agreed.I like the "feel" from Dallas in 2006. Parcells will get Julius 260 carries for 1100 yards and 25 rec for 200 yards.

9TDs.

MBIII will be a solid 125 carry back and 40 receptions.

Plenty of room for both.

I think Bledsoes performance last year is similar in overall view to Jake Plummer.

He was good and bad at times, but when theCowboys needed him most. He spit the bit.

This team will be Defense, Rushing and Throwing to T.O. In that order.

Julius is value IMHO.
and i agree with you that their defense will be what grabs everyone's attention.i think Dallas will be punching a lot of people in the mouth and keeping opponents to low scores, giving the running game lots of touches in the 4th quarter of games.

 
Julius Jones is in a very good situation in Dallas, but his inability to stay on the field has created a minor controversy due to the presence of Marion Barber. The Cowboys and Parcells love to run the football, and Jones averaged 27.4 carries per game when he finally got healthy in his rookie season. He played hurt at times last year and again failed to break the 1000 yard mark, despite playing in 13 games, and I don't expect Parcells to give him as big a workload now that Barber is on board.

Despite the fact that Jones carried the ball almost twice as many times as Barber, the pair ended the season with 5 TDs each. Latest reports suggest that Parcells likes Barber's blocking and receiving ability, as well as his success running the football inside.

Although Parcells likes to control games on the ground, the addition of Terrell Owens will change the dynamic of the team to some extent. Parcells is not stupid, and he will know that Owens is a dangerous weapon. The Eagles ran considerably less when Owens was added to the offense. And so while the potential is there for Jones and Barber to carry 450 times between them, I don't believe it will happen even if they are winning games.

Barber has shown enough to seriously eat into the production of Jones, and if he starts seeing time on third down as has been suggested, I do not see Jones meeting the expectations of those that draft him. There is even a slight danger that further injury might hand the starting job to Barber for good.

Prediction

240 carries 980 yards 6 TDs

20 receptions 125 yards 0 TDs

 
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Julius Jones is in a very good situation in Dallas, but his inability to stay on the field has created a minor controversy due to the presence of Marion Barber. The Cowboys and Parcells love to run the football, and Jones averaged 27.4 carries per game when he finally got healthy in his rookie season. He played hurt at times last year and again failed to break the 1000 yard mark, despite playing in 13 games, and I don't expect Parcells to give him as big a workload now that Barber is on board.

Despite the fact that Jones carried the ball almost twice as many times as Barber, the pair ended the season with 5 TDs each. Latest reports suggest that Parcells likes Barber's blocking and receiving ability, as well as his success running the football inside.

Although Parcells likes to control games on the ground, the addition of Terrell Owens will change the dynamic of the team to some extent. Parcells is not stupid, and he will know that Owens is a dangerous weapon. The Eagles ran considerably less when Owens was added to the offense. And so while the potential is there for Jones and Barber to carry 450 times between them, I don't believe it will happen even if they are winning games.

Barber has shown enough to seriously eat into the production of Jones, and if he starts seeing time on third down as has been suggested, I do not see Jones meeting the expectations of those that draft him. There is even a slight danger that further injury might hand the starting job to Barber for good.

Prediction

240 carries 980 yards 6 TDs

20 receptions 125 yards 0 TDs
Could you share your MB3 predictions?How many games played are you projecting?

 
i think JJ will far exceed projections this year, sure MBIII is there but i don't see him being a major factor, especially if JJ starts with any momentum.

the O-line has improved, T.O will draw focus away from the line and the Cowboys will be improved.

1180/11 340/2

 
Julius Jones is in a very good situation in Dallas, but his inability to stay on the field has created a minor controversy due to the presence of Marion Barber. The Cowboys and Parcells love to run the football, and Jones averaged 27.4 carries per game when he finally got healthy in his rookie season. He played hurt at times last year and again failed to break the 1000 yard mark, despite playing in 13 games, and I don't expect Parcells to give him as big a workload now that Barber is on board.

Despite the fact that Jones carried the ball almost twice as many times as Barber, the pair ended the season with 5 TDs each. Latest reports suggest that Parcells likes Barber's blocking and receiving ability, as well as his success running the football inside.

Although Parcells likes to control games on the ground, the addition of Terrell Owens will change the dynamic of the team to some extent. Parcells is not stupid, and he will know that Owens is a dangerous weapon. The Eagles ran considerably less when Owens was added to the offense. And so while the potential is there for Jones and Barber to carry 450 times between them, I don't believe it will happen even if they are winning games.

Barber has shown enough to seriously eat into the production of Jones, and if he starts seeing time on third down as has been suggested, I do not see Jones meeting the expectations of those that draft him. There is even a slight danger that further injury might hand the starting job to Barber for good.

Prediction

240 carries  980 yards  6 TDs

20 receptions 125 yards  0 TDs
Could you share your MB3 predictions?How many games played are you projecting?
I think it could go one of two ways, both resulting in approximately the same number of carries for Jones. Parcells will either attempt to give Jones about 20 carries per game, in which case I would estimate that Jones will start about 12 games. If Barber is made part of a true committee, as I think is more likely, I think he will get about 10 carries per game. I also expect Barber to get the bigger share of the receptions and the bulk of the goal line carries. He will either average about 10 carries per game, or 5-6 in 12 games plus 3-4 full starts.Barber

160 carries 650 yards 5 TDs

35 receptions 250 yards 1 TD

 
Julius Jones is in a very good situation in Dallas, but his inability to stay on the field has created a minor controversy due to the presence of Marion Barber. The Cowboys and Parcells love to run the football, and Jones averaged 27.4 carries per game when he finally got healthy in his rookie season. He played hurt at times last year and again failed to break the 1000 yard mark, despite playing in 13 games, and I don't expect Parcells to give him as big a workload now that Barber is on board.

Despite the fact that Jones carried the ball almost twice as many times as Barber, the pair ended the season with 5 TDs each. Latest reports suggest that Parcells likes Barber's blocking and receiving ability, as well as his success running the football inside.

Although Parcells likes to control games on the ground, the addition of Terrell Owens will change the dynamic of the team to some extent. Parcells is not stupid, and he will know that Owens is a dangerous weapon. The Eagles ran considerably less when Owens was added to the offense. And so while the potential is there for Jones and Barber to carry 450 times between them, I don't believe it will happen even if they are winning games.

Barber has shown enough to seriously eat into the production of Jones, and if he starts seeing time on third down as has been suggested, I do not see Jones meeting the expectations of those that draft him. There is even a slight danger that further injury might hand the starting job to Barber for good.

Prediction

240 carries  980 yards  6 TDs

20 receptions 125 yards  0 TDs
Could you share your MB3 predictions?How many games played are you projecting?
I think it could go one of two ways, both resulting in approximately the same number of carries for Jones. Parcells will either attempt to give Jones about 20 carries per game, in which case I would estimate that Jones will start about 12 games. If Barber is made part of a true committee, as I think is more likely, I think he will get about 10 carries per game. I also expect Barber to get the bigger share of the receptions and the bulk of the goal line carries. He will either average about 10 carries per game, or 5-6 in 12 games plus 3-4 full starts.Barber

160 carries 650 yards 5 TDs

35 receptions 250 yards 1 TD
While I have a diffence of opinion on the JJ/MB3 split and the amount of carries, I respect your effort on the projections. They match your commentary and are in line with your expectations for the overall Dallas run game.Cheers.

 
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While I have a diffence of opinion on the JJ/MB3 split and the amount of carries, I respect your effort on the projections. They match your commentary and are in line with your expectations for the overall Dallas run game.

Cheers.
Thanks. You made some excellent points about the line in your commentary too. Dallas will be fun to watch this year. Enjoy it.
 
JJ is screaming risk this year. If you are a gambler he might end up hitting a homerun for you or he might end up producing next to nothing. Consider:

- awful injury history

- playing for one of the toughest coach's in the league and will remove a guy without hesitation

- the coach is on record as having issues with his injury history

- MB3 appears to be designated for 3rd down/possible goal line duty

- MB3 in limited action performed as well as Jones and the coach seems to like him

The guy has averaged 4.2 and 3.9 ypc in two seasons so it's not as if he's some irreplacable stud. I don't know how good a blocker Jones is but I've read that Barber is a good blocker as well.

To me the writing is on the wall and if Jones even gets banged and is slowed in any way Parcells will put Barber in there. Once he goes in he may not come out. I highly doubt that I will have JJ on any team I have this year. Way too much risk for the potential reward.

 
JJ is screaming risk this year.  If you are a gambler he might end up hitting a homerun for you or he might end up producing next to nothing.  Consider:

- awful injury history

- playing for one of the toughest coach's in the league and will remove a guy without hesitation

- the coach is on record as having issues with his injury history

- MB3 appears to be designated for 3rd down/possible goal line duty

- MB3 in limited action performed as well as Jones and the coach seems to like him

The guy has averaged 4.2 and 3.9 ypc in two seasons so it's not as if he's some irreplacable stud.  I don't know how good a blocker Jones is but I've read that Barber is a good blocker as well. 

To me the writing is on the wall and if Jones even gets banged and is slowed in any way Parcells will put Barber in there.  Once he goes in he may not come out.  I highly doubt that I will have JJ on any team I have this year.  Way too much risk for the potential reward.
Just a couple of points:The JJ injury history is true and harsh (The one year he broke his shoulder...hard to holdl broken bones against him) From all accounts he bulked up nicely for the coming year.

Just don't under estimate Big Bill's ability to motivate with fear and dropping the odd line to the press about how "great MB3 looks".

Also remember....in the biggest game for the Cowboys year last (With the playoffs on the line). Week 16 in Carolina.

JJ ran 34 for 196 and 2 TD's against one of the best D's in the league (who were also playing for the playoffs)

MB3 ran 6 for 20 yards......most were garbage time.

In my opinion, when and if JJ is healthy he is the main guy. MB3 has some value, but more from a speculative point of view. Projecting injury can be just as risky as trusting someone with a history of injuries.

You may also be gambling with your MB3 prediction....no?

 
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Why does everyone think he is a risk and a disappointment as a pror??? The guy has been a disappointment since his days at Notre Dame. This injury thing is nothing new:

2003 - 7 starts out of 12 games

2002 - Did not play, academics

2001 - 11 Games played, but only 168 carries

2000 - 10 games played, 162 carries

My point is the guy has never proven to be an every down back and why expect him to start now? RBBC all the way in big D:

J. Jones - 200 Carries, 900 yards, 5 TDs

-20 receptions, 175 yards, 1 TD

You may as well mirro those for MB3

 
He is a disapointment because of his talent and lack of production through some bad luck and injuries.

Talented back....................yup check

Coach who likes to run.......ah yup again

Good offense.....................TO/Glenn/Witten/Bledsoe...not too bad.

If there is any back in the RB 12-25 range that could be Top 5 material....it's Jones. (Again...I am not predicting this)

 
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JJ is screaming risk this year.  If you are a gambler he might end up hitting a homerun for you or he might end up producing next to nothing.  Consider:

- awful injury history

- playing for one of the toughest coach's in the league and will remove a guy without hesitation

- the coach is on record as having issues with his injury history

- MB3 appears to be designated for 3rd down/possible goal line duty

- MB3 in limited action performed as well as Jones and the coach seems to like him

The guy has averaged 4.2 and 3.9 ypc in two seasons so it's not as if he's some irreplacable stud.  I don't know how good a blocker Jones is but I've read that Barber is a good blocker as well. 

To me the writing is on the wall and if Jones even gets banged and is slowed in any way Parcells will put Barber in there.  Once he goes in he may not come out.  I highly doubt that I will have JJ on any team I have this year.  Way too much risk for the potential reward.
Just a couple of points:The JJ injury history is true and harsh (The one year he broke his shoulder...hard to holdl broken bones against him) From all accounts he bulked up nicely for the coming year.

Just don't under estimate Big Bill's ability to motivate with fear and dropping the odd line to the press about how "great MB3 looks".

Also remember....in the biggest game for the Cowboys year last (With the playoffs on the line). Week 16 in Carolina.

JJ ran 34 for 196 and 2 TD's against one of the best D's in the league (who were also playing for the playoffs)

MB3 ran 6 for 20 yards......most were garbage time.

In my opinion, when and if JJ is healthy he is the main guy. MB3 has some value, but more from a speculative point of view. Projecting injury can be just as risky as trusting someone with a history injuries.

You may also be gambling with your MB3 prediction....no?
Agreed. I have thought that Parcells is making most of his comments in an attempt to motivate but on the same hand he's also a coach that will follow through and sit a guy if he sees fit. I also agree that injuries are tough to predict but in most cases you don't have a coach basically putting a guy on warning about getting injured and threatening to replace him if he can't stay healthy. Barber seems to be a better blocker, as good or better receiver, a possible goal line option, a probable short yardage option. The gamble with MB3 will be much cheaper though than a gamble on Jones and that's the big difference. At this point I'd probably put Barber's chances at starting at about 20-30% and Jones will probably retain the starting job but coming out on 3rd downs, short yardage, passing plays and goal line situations he has the potential to be a very watered down starter.

 
Julius Jones 5-10, 205 is one of several RBs that fall below the top dozen RBs for 2006 because of multiple questions.

Can he stay on the field? He has been injured every year and missed games. He has competition in Marion Barber III, 5-11 215. Barber is bigger and stronger than Jones and has been mentioned as at least playing on third downs, but will also see other action.

The addition of the two TE set could improve the passing offense even more than the rushing offense. Having Terrell Owens available will also free up Glenn and Witten and all three will be red zone targets, so the rushing TDs should descline from an already rather paltry number.

I think as the summer grows, the ADP for Jones will slide as folks consider Dallas a RBBC squad. He couold provide great value, but I doubt it. He again comes up on the short end of 1,000 rushing yards.

Jones 240 carries 960 yards 5 TDs with 28 catches for 188 yards and 1 TD.

 
I'm with rzr, Muses and Banger in that I see too much risk for JJ this year. He is in a group of RB's with KJ, Parker, Jam, Droughns, Taylor and maybe others that end up at pretty close to the ADP of a tier of WR's like Boldin, Ward, DJax, Wayne... Depending on where u r drafting, I could defnitely see myself waiting on those RB's and grabbing a WR, then grabbing one of those guys or even Dunn the next round. IMHO, the WR's available there have less risk than the RB's. JJ has competition whether it is just third downs, some goal line stuff, specific packages whatever--it all takes touches away as will the addition of the most talented offensive player on the team by a landslide--TO. Couple that with Parcells calling him out and his injury history and the floor is too high to burn an early third rounder for me.

225 carries, 920 yards, 6 TD's

18 catches, 110 yards

 
I'm with rzr, Muses and Banger in that I see too much risk for JJ this year. He is in a group of RB's with KJ, Parker, Jam, Droughns, Taylor and maybe others that end up at pretty close to the ADP of a tier of WR's like Boldin, Ward, DJax, Wayne... Depending on where u r drafting, I could defnitely see myself waiting on those RB's and grabbing a WR, then grabbing one of those guys or even Dunn the next round. IMHO, the WR's available there have less risk than the RB's. JJ has competition whether it is just third downs, some goal line stuff, specific packages whatever--it all takes touches away as will the addition of the most talented offensive player on the team by a landslide--TO. Couple that with Parcells calling him out and his injury history and the floor is too high to burn an early third rounder for me.

225 carries, 920 yards, 6 TD's

18 catches, 110 yards
:goodposting:
 
i think hes gonna do pretty well next year. cowboys have big expectations for next season. i predict these stats

Rushes: ~230

Rushing Yards: ~1,300+

Rush TDs: ~6

Receptions: ~20

Receiving Yards: ~150

Receiving TDs: ~2

 
Julius Jones has been a disappointment over the last 2 years to say the least.

His current ADP is 31 or (RB15)

Pro's

-From the Cowboy message boards I visit. He in great shape and has added about 5lbs of muscle to his lower body. this should help with injuries.

-The improved Cowboy defence will give the Cowboys more short fields and leads to help protect through the run game as Parcells tends to do.

-The addition of TO. This stops teams from stacking 8 in the box. Julius is very good at running the draw plays from a single back set.

-O-line is better than last year. (Big plus..imo)

Healthy Flozell Adams

Kosier is a mild upgrade over a declining Larry Allen

Center- Call it a push. No changes.

Marco Rivera is another year removed from back surgery. Should be better.

Fabiani is a big upgrade over Pettiti who struggled as a rookie.

-If the stars align for Jones, there is huge upside. He could easily be top 8, not that I would predict it. He does have the talent though.

Con's

-Health. Whether a fair knock or not. He has not been able to stay on field.

-Marion Barber. I am willing to bet this name is mentioned alot in this thread.

-New base offense. Dallas has moved to a new 2 TE set. This offense is really designed to create mismatches (Both for the pass and run). I believe this positively impacts the Pass game more than the run game. Terry Glenn is almost uncoverable 1 on 1. TO eats up double teams, and Witten causes other match up problems.

What I'm getting at here is that Dallas is gonna chuck the Pigskin.

My Final Conclusions:

Dallas will be a high scoring, pass first offense meaning lots of TD's to go around. This is my opinion based on Parcells history and what I've read about the strengths of this new base offense (I believe Pat Kirwan wrote a decent article)

The Marion Barber factor is not a big deal (When JJ is healthy). He will get 3rd downs and maybe one set a game to spell JJ. Expect 18-20 carries/game for Julius.

O-line improvements help JJ's paltry yards/carry stats.

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1
Few things-Parcells said something like this about Fabini-I don't worry about him, we could keep it to 15 sacks(season) with him turning his back to the defense. He's a fighter.In June, Fabini was 3rd at the other tackle spot. (Dallas Morning News)

So what's up with that? If he loves him so much why is he falling on the depth chart so quickly.

Your Barber bolded statement is wrong and if you visit the Boys message board often enough I can't believe you'd write that. I'm quite curious about your thoughts on Barber.

Many writers all claimed around the same time to hear that Jones was being shopped and there were threads at that board too. Of course Parcells denied it after but why did so many report it? Before your "what? BS! give me a link" reply

http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/sports/football/14517161.htm

read above for other people mentioning Parcells' praise of Barber this offseason.

Now whatever you know of Parcells, how would you think he feels about a back that can't stay healthy and only got ONE 100 yard game last year? Heck Hambrick probably had more than that.

quote from him article above:"Now durability is a big deal at the running back position," Parcells said. "So he's had a little tough luck. But I think things will get better for him."

plenty of other quotes from Parcells discussing his lack of durability in other articles.

How do you account for all that?

 
IMO, JJones will not be the uber back that in the past few years some people have alluded to. This is not to say that he won't put up decent numbers, but IMO some people have too much love for Jones.

For starters, Parcells does like to run the ball, but he's not one to ONLY run the ball. Over his gaoching career, his split is 52% pass/48% run (not accounting for sacks). Parcells teams have ranked Top 10 in rushing attempts 9 times and Top 10 in passing attempts 7 times. Although I did not want to invest the time to research it further, I suspect that Parcells years where he ran the ball into the ground were in direct correlation with how few points the defense gave up.

IMO, Dallas should have a solid defense but I doubt that they will have a lockdown defense. Unless they REALLY hold opponents in check, I see the Cowboys offense still leaning more on the pass than some are anticipating.

I also am not 100% sold that the Cowboys really had their sights set on Jones and would rather have taken another RB in the year they drafted him (but that's a long story which others can search for in other Jones threads).

I am concerned that MBIII will cut into JJ's workload and as has been pontificated many times Jones at times has struggled to stay healthy.

My other concern is that Dallas really has not had great rushing stats in terms of total yardage or rushing TD (ranking in the middle of the league in both categories). Splitting the workload on a team that has only slighly above average RB production is an issue.

Playing in the NFC East, I also think that rushing yards will be hard to come by and passing may be more prevelant.

260-1050-6

30-200-1

167 fantasy points

Somewhere around the RB 17

 
Julius Jones has been a disappointment over the last 2 years to say the least. 

His current ADP is 31 or  (RB15) 

Pro's

-From the Cowboy message boards I visit.  He in great shape and has added about 5lbs of muscle to his lower body.  this should help with injuries.

-The improved Cowboy defence will give the Cowboys more short fields and leads to help protect through the run game as Parcells tends to do.

-The addition of TO.  This stops teams from stacking 8 in the box.  Julius is very good at running the draw plays from a single back set.

-O-line is better than last year.  (Big plus..imo)

Healthy Flozell Adams

Kosier is a mild upgrade over a declining Larry Allen

Center- Call it a push. No changes.

Marco Rivera is another year removed from back surgery.  Should be better.

Fabiani is a big upgrade over Pettiti who struggled as a rookie. 

-If the stars align for Jones, there is huge upside.  He could easily be top 8, not that I would predict it.  He does have the talent though.

Con's

-Health.  Whether a fair knock or not.  He has not been able to stay on field.

-Marion Barber.  I am willing to bet this name is mentioned alot in this thread. 

-New base offense.  Dallas has moved to a new 2 TE set.  This offense is really designed to create mismatches (Both for the pass and run).  I believe this positively impacts the Pass game more than the run game.  Terry Glenn is almost uncoverable 1 on 1.  TO eats up double teams, and Witten causes other match up problems.

What I'm getting at here is that Dallas is gonna chuck the Pigskin.

My Final Conclusions:

Dallas will be a high scoring, pass first offense meaning lots of TD's to go around.  This is my opinion based on Parcells history and what I've read about the strengths of this new base offense (I believe Pat Kirwan wrote a decent article)

The Marion Barber factor is not a big deal (When JJ is healthy).  He will get 3rd downs and maybe one set a game to spell JJ.  Expect 18-20 carries/game for Julius.

O-line improvements help JJ's paltry yards/carry stats.

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1
Few things-Parcells said something like this about Fabini-I don't worry about him, we could keep it to 15 sacks(season) with him turning his back to the defense. He's a fighter.In June, Fabini was 3rd at the other tackle spot. (Dallas Morning News)

So what's up with that? If he loves him so much why is he falling on the depth chart so quickly.

Your Barber bolded statement is wrong and if you visit the Boys message board often enough I can't believe you'd write that. I'm quite curious about your thoughts on Barber.

Many writers all claimed around the same time to hear that Jones was being shopped and there were threads at that board too. Of course Parcells denied it after but why did so many report it? Before your "what? BS! give me a link" reply

http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/sports/football/14517161.htm

read above for other people mentioning Parcells' praise of Barber this offseason.

Now whatever you know of Parcells, how would you think he feels about a back that can't stay healthy and only got ONE 100 yard game last year? Heck Hambrick probably had more than that.

quote from him article above:"Now durability is a big deal at the running back position," Parcells said. "So he's had a little tough luck. But I think things will get better for him."

plenty of other quotes from Parcells discussing his lack of durability in other articles.

How do you account for all that?
i don't see this as a negative for him. parcells acknowledges his bad luck with the injury bug and basically called it that....bad luck. not like he called him injury prone or a girly man
 
Julius Jones has been a disappointment over the last 2 years to say the least. 

His current ADP is 31 or  (RB15) 

Pro's

-From the Cowboy message boards I visit.  He in great shape and has added about 5lbs of muscle to his lower body.  this should help with injuries.

-The improved Cowboy defence will give the Cowboys more short fields and leads to help protect through the run game as Parcells tends to do.

-The addition of TO.  This stops teams from stacking 8 in the box.  Julius is very good at running the draw plays from a single back set.

-O-line is better than last year.  (Big plus..imo)

Healthy Flozell Adams

Kosier is a mild upgrade over a declining Larry Allen

Center- Call it a push. No changes.

Marco Rivera is another year removed from back surgery.  Should be better.

Fabiani is a big upgrade over Pettiti who struggled as a rookie. 

-If the stars align for Jones, there is huge upside.  He could easily be top 8, not that I would predict it.  He does have the talent though.

Con's

-Health.  Whether a fair knock or not.  He has not been able to stay on field.

-Marion Barber.  I am willing to bet this name is mentioned alot in this thread.  

-New base offense.  Dallas has moved to a new 2 TE set.  This offense is really designed to create mismatches (Both for the pass and run).  I believe this positively impacts the Pass game more than the run game.  Terry Glenn is almost uncoverable 1 on 1.  TO eats up double teams, and Witten causes other match up problems.

What I'm getting at here is that Dallas is gonna chuck the Pigskin.

My Final Conclusions:

Dallas will be a high scoring, pass first offense meaning lots of TD's to go around.  This is my opinion based on Parcells history and what I've read about the strengths of this new base offense (I believe Pat Kirwan wrote a decent article)

The Marion Barber factor is not a big deal (When JJ is healthy).  He will get 3rd downs and maybe one set a game to spell JJ.  Expect 18-20 carries/game for Julius.

O-line improvements help JJ's paltry yards/carry stats.

Attempts - 290

Yards- 1123

TD's - 9

Catches- 15

Yards- 160

TD's- 1
Few things-Parcells said something like this about Fabini-I don't worry about him, we could keep it to 15 sacks(season) with him turning his back to the defense. He's a fighter.In June, Fabini was 3rd at the other tackle spot. (Dallas Morning News)

So what's up with that? If he loves him so much why is he falling on the depth chart so quickly.

Your Barber bolded statement is wrong and if you visit the Boys message board often enough I can't believe you'd write that. I'm quite curious about your thoughts on Barber.

Many writers all claimed around the same time to hear that Jones was being shopped and there were threads at that board too. Of course Parcells denied it after but why did so many report it? Before your "what? BS! give me a link" reply

http://www.dfw.com/mld/dfw/sports/football/14517161.htm

read above for other people mentioning Parcells' praise of Barber this offseason.

Now whatever you know of Parcells, how would you think he feels about a back that can't stay healthy and only got ONE 100 yard game last year? Heck Hambrick probably had more than that.

quote from him article above:"Now durability is a big deal at the running back position," Parcells said. "So he's had a little tough luck. But I think things will get better for him."

plenty of other quotes from Parcells discussing his lack of durability in other articles.

How do you account for all that?
Read a couple more words. Oh and by the way...it was you who bolded it.Clearly, I am in the minority on my JJ/MB3 views. My projections for JJ are not that crazy. I am not suggesting to go get him as your RB1. Overall, I guess I don't mind have a difference of opinion.

Time will tell.

 
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An interesting read from Gary Horton.

Three Burning Questions

Can running back Julius Jones hold up physically for a full season and give Dallas a ball control offense?

With Dallas going to a one-back offense, where Jones has the freedom to pick holes and create on his own, he should have more success and take less hits than he has the last couple of years. This formation will allow him to make some presnap reads and identify the defensive schemes. You get the feeling the Cowboys are starting to sour on Jones a little bit because he has only been active in 21 of 32 career games, and it is important for him to get through the 2006 season with better durability than he has shown in the past. If Jones struggles, we may see backup Marion Barber getting more carries, because he is more physical between the tackles. However, Barber is not as nifty and lacks the big-play threat of Jones. The only negative thing about this new offensive formation is that with two tight ends as a part of your basic set, we may see defenses put eight defenders in the box, which could make it a little tougher for Jones to find those holes.

Can kicker Mike Vanderjagt and the special teams unit be the difference between a good Dallas team and a legitimate playoff contender?

Absolutely. The Cowboys lost three games in 2005 because of marginal production with their kicking unit, and that is the difference between 9-7 and 12-4. Their cover teams are excellent and they hope to get a big shot of adrenaline from rookie return specialist Skyler Green. Vanderjagt, the most accurate kicker in NFL history, will give them those game-winning kicks they have missed in the last few years. This is a team that had nine games decided by four points or less in 2005, and three of those nine games wound up being losses.

Is this team a legitimate Super Bowl contender?

Owner Jerry Jones has spent $70 million in signing bonuses over the last two years to remake this team and put the players on the field Bill Parcells wants. The Cowboys have eight new free agents in 2006, and they have better depth than they have had at any time in Parcells' tenure. With former offensive coordinator Sean Payton gone, Parcells will likely go back to calling the plays himself, and it will be interesting to see how innovative he is, and if he takes some chances. Interestingly, Parcells took the Giants to the Super Bowl in his fourth year in New York and the Patriots to the Super Bowl in his fourth year in New England. Now he is in his fourth year in Dallas. History tells us even though this division is very competitive, Parcells has his best chance to take this Cowboys team to the Super Bowl.

The player under the microscope

The entire football world will be watching Terrell Owens in training camp, not only to see if he is still a great player, but also to observe how he handles himself on and off the field. This season is going to be very interesting for Owens because Parcells is a coach who likes to spread the ball around and Owens is unlikely to put up big numbers. Owens might be spending much of his time clearing out the middle for tight end Jason Witten or taking away double coverages from Terry Glenn, and it will be interesting to see if he handles those roles well. Much of his success will depend on turning short catches into long gains. He has a tremendous ability to run after the catch and knows how to push off and separate, which should allow Drew Bledsoe to get the ball out quickly and avoid sacks. Owens can be a great player in this offense without having terrific stats, but will he be patient with Bledsoe and Parcells?

Breakout player

Bradie James came out of nowhere in 2005 to post great numbers in the second half of the season, when starter Dat Nguyen went down with an injury. Nguyen is now retired and this becomes James' defense to run. He posted 109 tackles in 2005, and also did a much better job than his coaches expected in lining up the defensive fronts and getting everybody in position. He showed amazing maturity for a young player. He is very physical and an excellent run and fill linebacker. James is surrounded by an excellent overall linebacking corps, so it would be very difficult for offensive lines to double-team him.

Comeback player of the year

Flozell Adams missed the last 10 games of the 2005 season with a torn ACL. When he went out of the lineup, the pass protection for the Cowboys totally fell apart and Bledsoe became a sitting duck in the pocket. All reports out of Dallas indicate the rehabilitation for Adams is going well and he should be ready to have a very productive 2006 season. He is not a traditional left offensive tackle in terms of athletic ability and range, but he is a massive man with long arms who can simply push most edge rushers past the pocket because of his wingspan. He does a nice job of protecting Bledsoe's back side. While he tends to get a little sloppy, he is still a dominating player and by far the best offensive lineman on this roster. With this offense having a lot more weapons to spread the ball around, he will not have the pressure he's had in the past and could easily return to Pro Bowl form.

Offensive philosophy

The Cowboys are changing their basic offensive set in 2006 to a two-tight end, one-back look without a fullback as a lead blocker. This is an offense that wants to feature a power run game, but also be more effective in the short to intermediate passing game. Tight ends Witten and rookie Anthony Fasano will not only provide better balance as blockers in the run game, but will also be targets in the middle of the field. Last year, most of Bledsoe's throws were outside the hashes. Witten had to stay in and block because of poor edge protection and it really affected the passing game over the middle, but now the Cowboys have two guys who can catch the ball.

Without a true fullback in the game, Jones will be allowed to use his vision to create seams and hit holes when he sees them open, rather than being confined to following a lead blocker and not being able to improvise. The coaches feel this new freedom will really help his overall production. The key on offense will be the pass protection abilities of left offensive tackle Adams and right offensive tackle Jason Fabini. If they can hold up without help, which didn't happen a year ago on the edge, the tight ends can really get involved much more in the passing game. Glenn will continue to be the vertical threat in this pass offense, and with both tight ends and newly acquired Owens going over the middle, Glenn can avoid catching the ball in a crowd.

Owens will get a lot of short hitches and skinny posts in this offense to use his ability to run after the catch, but he will also continue to be a little bit of an underrated deep threat. His presence should really take double coverages away from Glenn. This is a tough group to match up against defensively. Witten is too good an athlete to be covered by a linebacker, Owens is too physical for most corners and Glenn is usually too fast to cover with only one guy.

Defensive philosophy

The Cowboys are now entering their second year in a 3-4 defense, and they are close to having all the personnel they need to be successful. They will play the 3-4 scheme on most snaps, but will also spend some time in a 4-3 defense. The Cowboys are blessed with excellent overall defensive line depth and their best pass rusher, defensive end Greg Ellis, is not even on the field in 3-4 schemes, so playing a little more 4-3 will get Ellis on the field in more pass-rushing situations.

Parcells does not like to blitz a lot and take chances, but defensive coordinator Mike Zimmer is a little more of a gambler and has two corners he really trusts in Anthony Henry and Terence Newman. Zimmer is not afraid to put them on an island with no safety help over the top. The Cowboys' primary scheme in the secondary last year was a Cover 2, but we may not see that as much in 2006. Strong safety Roy Williams is a great player, but the one weakness of his game is pass coverage. When you put him in the deep half of the field, not only does it negate his ability to come up and make big hits versus the run, it also exposes some of his limitations. Look for Dallas to play a lot of Cover 1 and man free schemes. Williams can play close to the line of scrimmage, almost like a linebacker, and projected free safety Marcus Coleman can control the deep middle of the field and help out the corners if necessary. Look for the coaching staff to be really creative in training camp on finding ways to get Williams more involved closer to the line of scrimmage with a variety of coverage schemes and more blitzing. This is a defense capable of creating a lot of big plays.

Camp battle to watch

Al Johnson vs. Andre Gurode

GurodeJohnson

This was a weak spot a year ago for the Cowboys, as defenses seemed to routinely attack this offensive line up the middle and flush an immobile Drew Bledsoe out of the pocket. These are two totally different players with different skill sets. Johnson is the better athlete of the two, is excellent in space and is a solid angle blocker. He also makes all the offensive line calls and plays very well under control. However, he does not have strength and power, and if he gets into a short area fistfight, he is really in trouble. Gurode has less range and athleticism, but is stronger and tougher. He can battle with a physical player who lines up over him. However, he tends to make more mental mistakes and is probably not as capable of making the offensive line calls as Johnson. You get the feeling coaches would like for Gurode to beat out Johnson, and that could happen if he can handle the mental aspects of the game.

Gary Horton has been a football talent evaluator for more than 30 years. He spent 10 years in the NFL and 10 years at the college level before launching a private scouting firm called "The War Room."

LINK

 
You get the feeling the Cowboys are starting to sour on Jones a little bit because he has only been active in 21 of 32 career games, and it is important for him to get through the 2006 season with better durability than he has shown in the past. If Jones struggles, we may see backup Marion Barber getting more carries, because he is more physical between the tackles.
:confused:
 
You get the feeling the Cowboys are starting to sour on Jones a little bit because he has only been active in 21 of 32 career games, and it is important for him to get through the 2006 season with better durability than he has shown in the past. If Jones struggles, we may see backup Marion Barber getting more carries, because he is more physical between the tackles.
:confused:
I just posted the article...I thought you'd like it.In my opinion it is very short sighted. Do you and Horton think JJ's running success goes off the edge? He doesn't.....go do some research. Look at his TD runs.

 
You get the feeling the Cowboys are starting to sour on Jones a little bit because he has only been active in 21 of 32 career games, and it is important for him to get through the 2006 season with better durability than he has shown in the past. If Jones struggles, we may see backup Marion Barber getting more carries, because he is more physical between the tackles.

=========================================

...and I love people who spew cliches that really mean jack squat.

JJ obviously is not a power back, so what the heck is your point here? You don't like me...it's cool. Let's keep it to Football though.

Look at the tapes for JJ's TD's and long runs....then get back to me on what kind of play it was and where it was run.

 
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Bankerguy,

this may be a topic you are borderline too passionate about. I certainly have some that "set me off"

I posted my side of the argument and provided links. You reply with "do some research" and...well obviously I already did or have.

Now it's you saying "you don't like me, keep it to FF"

Where the F does all this come from bro? I have no prob with you whatsoever.

I enjoy a good debate and, as you know, it's necessary to have a differing point of view to have that.

Been debating with ya here a couple years, I got no probs and look forward to agreeing+disagreeing with ya in the future.

 
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Bankerguy,

this may be a topic you are borderline too passionate about. I certainly have some that "set me off"

I posted my side of the argument and provided links. You reply with "do some research" and...well obviously I already did or have.

Now it's you saying "you don't like me, keep it to FF"

Where the F does all this come from bro? I have no prob with you whatsoever.

I enjoy a good debate and, as you know, it's necessary to have a differing point of view to have that.

Been debating with ya here a couple years, I got no probs and look forward to agreeing+disagreeing with ya in the future.
You've been busting my balls on this one. I'm just digging in, I've been fighting this whole JJ and MB3 thing all off season. You say JJ is bad between the Tackles, and I think you are quite wrong. Time will tell.Perhaps the "You don't like me" was a bit silly on my part. My bad. Sorry.

 
I don't think I ever stated that Jones was bad between the tackles. I don't see it above and it's not something I normally say...maybe but...agree to disagree here, OK?

 
Bankerguy,

this may be a topic you are borderline too passionate about. I certainly have some that "set me off"

I posted my side of the argument and provided links. You reply with "do some research" and...well obviously I already did or have.

Now it's you saying "you don't like me, keep it to FF"

Where the F does all this come from bro? I have no prob with you whatsoever.

I enjoy a good debate and, as you know, it's necessary to have a differing point of view to have that.

Been debating with ya here a couple years, I got no probs and look forward to agreeing+disagreeing with ya in the future.
Dude, do you just make it a habit of picking fights in posts you don't agree with? Didn't I just catch your act the other night with a post from MoP? :rolleyes: C'mon guys, I agree let's just stick to FF and leave the venom for the Free for All forum.

On to JJ, I am laying off him big time based on his high risk and high ADP. I'll take my chances with MB many rounds later. :yes:

 
Bankerguy,

this may be a topic you are borderline too passionate about. I certainly have some that "set me off"

I posted my side of the argument and provided links. You reply with "do some research" and...well obviously I already did or have.

Now it's you saying "you don't like me, keep it to FF"

Where the F does all this come from bro? I have no prob with you whatsoever.

I enjoy a good debate and, as you know, it's necessary to have a differing point of view to have that.

Been debating with ya here a couple years, I got no probs and look forward to agreeing+disagreeing with ya in the future.
Dude, do you just make it a habit of picking fights in posts you don't agree with? Didn't I just catch your act the other night with a post from MoP? :rolleyes: C'mon guys, I agree let's just stick to FF and leave the venom for the Free for All forum.

On to JJ, I am laying off him big time based on his high risk and high ADP. I'll take my chances with MB many rounds later. :yes:
Who..me or Bri?Link?

 
Bankerguy,

this may be a topic you are borderline too passionate about. I certainly have some that "set me off"

I posted my side of the argument and provided links. You reply with "do some research" and...well obviously I already did or have.

Now it's you saying "you don't like me, keep it to FF"

Where the F does all this come from bro? I have no prob with you whatsoever.

I enjoy a good debate and, as you know, it's necessary to have a differing point of view to have that.

Been debating with ya here a couple years, I got no probs and look forward to agreeing+disagreeing with ya in the future.
Dude, do you just make it a habit of picking fights in posts you don't agree with? Didn't I just catch your act the other night with a post from MoP? :rolleyes: C'mon guys, I agree let's just stick to FF and leave the venom for the Free for All forum.

On to JJ, I am laying off him big time based on his high risk and high ADP. I'll take my chances with MB many rounds later. :yes:
Who..me or Bri?Link?
Who did I quote?
 
Dude, do you just make it a habit of picking fights in posts you don't agree with? Didn't I just catch your act the other night with a post from MoP? :rolleyes:
that is true about MOPI don't think I "pick fights" but well I guess I'll have to rethink that, huh? It is hard to tell, everyone here (including me)is antsy in august+late july with what they feel are well formed opinions. Little different atmosphere.

Will keep an eye out though, thanks for the heads up

 
Bankerguy,

this may be a topic you are borderline too passionate about. I certainly have some that "set me off"

I posted my side of the argument and provided links. You reply with "do some research" and...well obviously I already did or have.

Now it's you saying "you don't like me, keep it to FF"

Where the F does all this come from bro? I have no prob with you whatsoever.

I enjoy a good debate and, as you know, it's necessary to have a differing point of view to have that.

Been debating with ya here a couple years, I got no probs and look forward to agreeing+disagreeing with ya in the future.
Dude, do you just make it a habit of picking fights in posts you don't agree with? Didn't I just catch your act the other night with a post from MoP? :rolleyes: C'mon guys, I agree let's just stick to FF and leave the venom for the Free for All forum.

On to JJ, I am laying off him big time based on his high risk and high ADP. I'll take my chances with MB many rounds later. :yes:
:goodposting: :goodposting: :goodposting:
 
Dude, do you just make it a habit of picking fights in posts you don't agree with?  Didn't I just catch your act the other night with a post from MoP?  :rolleyes:
that is true about MOPI don't think I "pick fights" but well I guess I'll have to rethink that, huh? It is hard to tell, everyone here (including me)is antsy in august+late july with what they feel are well formed opinions. Little different atmosphere.

Will keep an eye out though, thanks for the heads up
No problem, dude.
 
Okay here ya go.

Marion Barber is more overrated than Samkon Gado. Julius Jones's job is NOT in the least bit of question. Parcells will not lead a pass-first offense, but a run-first offense (sorry TO).

I was drinking the Barber kool-aid for a little too long this offseason without actually studying up on him.

Upon further review of the Jones/Barber saga, I've come to the following conclusion:

Julius Jones '06:

339 Attempts :banned:

1492 Yards (4.4ypc) :banned:

12 TDs :banned:

48 Receptions :banned:

336 Yards (7.0ypr) :banned:

3TDs :banned:

(Barber, 120/516/4TD, 30/255/0TD) :thumbup:

:boxing:

After being down on the Cowboys all offseason, I think I'm beginning to see the light. Damn. Was hoping to laugh at all the Cowboys haters all season long. Looks like I will be :pickle: with them.

I do appologize for the vague analysis, and I am sure there will be lots of questions with these seemingly egregious numbers. This clearly makes him undervalued at RB17, and is liable to give LHUCKS a heart attack. Sorry chum, but I am off MB3 cold turkey after tonight.

Too tired to post lengthy statistical analysis right now.

 
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Okay here ya go.

Marion Barber is more overrated than Samkon Gado. Julius Jones's job is NOT in the least bit of question. Parcells will not lead a pass-first offense, but a run-first offense (sorry TO).

I was drinking the Barber kool-aid for a little too long this offseason without actually studying up on him.

Upon further review of the Jones/Barber saga, I've come to the following conclusion:

Julius Jones '06:

339 Attempts :banned:

1492 Yards (4.4ypc) :banned:

12 TDs :banned:

48 Receptions :banned:

336 Yards (7.0ypr) :banned:

3TDs :banned:

(Barber, 120/516/4TD, 30/255/0TD) :thumbup:

:boxing:

After being down on the Cowboys all offseason, I think I'm beginning to see the light. Damn. Was hoping to laugh at all the Cowboys haters all season long. Looks like I will be :pickle: with them.

I do appologize for the vague analysis, and I am sure there will be lots of questions with these seemingly egregious numbers. This clearly makes him undervalued at RB17, and is liable to give LHUCKS a heart attack. Sorry chum, but I am off MB3 cold turkey after tonight.

Too tired to post lengthy statistical analysis right now.
JJ + MBIII = 448 touches in 2005JJ + MBIII = 537 touches in 2006?

 
Here more about the 2TE offense I've been spouting off about.

Make your own conclusions:

Dream scheme -- Pats bring back two tight end set

By John Tomase

Boston Herald Sports Writer

Thursday, July 27, 2006 - Updated: 05:59 AM EST

The NFL is about gaining an edge, no matter how fleeting. The 49ers popularized the West Coast offense, and everyone copied it. The Steelers thrived on the zone blitz, and everyone copied it. Win a title, imitation ensues.

During the Bill Belichick era, the Patriots have consistently stayed ahead of the curve. They invented the strong middle-class style of salary cap management, employed the 3-4 defense when it was unfashionable, and game-planned better than anyone in the league.

The rest of the NFL catches on, however, so the Patriots must continually adapt. And heading into the 2006 season, they’re on the forefront of another trend that could subtly alter the balance of power in the league - the two tight end offense.

We’re not talking about your father’s formations from the days of John Mackey and Mike Ditka. Today’s top-flight tight end is built like a linebacker, but runs like a receiver.

Ben Watson certainly applies, along with San Diego’s Antonio Gates, Kansas City’s Tony Gonzalez, and San Francisco rookie Vernon Davis, to name three.

What separates the Patriots from just about everybody else is the presence of Daniel Graham, a punishing blocker and dangerous open-field runner. When the Patriots put the two first-round picks on the field simultaneously this year - which should be quite often - they’ll create mismatches in the passing and running games.

And if all goes according to plan, the rest of the league will once again be playing catch-up.

“Does Bill Belichick understand the matchup game in the NFL? Absolutely,” former personnel man and current Sirius radio host Pat Kirwan said. “Did he go find himself two tight ends who can attack the field vertically? Absolutely.

“To me, he’s figured it out, and I think he figured it out from the defensive side, where he saw the problems Tony Gonzalez and the other tight end could cause. He was going to get himself his own version of that, even though taking tight ends in the first round was not popular. That’s a strong statement on what Bill thought he could do.”

So while Patriots fans fret over Deion Branch’s holdout and a lack of depth at wide receiver, the Pats know they have pass-catching options not only in Watson and Graham, but draftees Dave Thomas and Garrett Mills, too.

“Our coaches have been on the leading edge of a lot of things and I don’t think this year is going to be any different,” Watson said. “It’s always our goal and our coaches’ goal to prepare us to play the best we can on Sunday, and that’s never going to change.”

Focusing on the tight ends seems to represent a step backward in today’s game, which is all about spread formations, shrinking linebackers and speed, speed, speed.

But it’s in part this newfound emphasis that the Patriots, Cowboys and 49ers seek to exploit.

“Bill Parcells made a strong comment about the matchups available to him when he comes out in two tight end sets,” Kirwan said. “I ran this by a lot of people and it holds up. If you come out in three wides, one running back and one tight end, a traditional third-down package, the defense can have an advantage. Most nickel backs are starting-caliber corners and they’re as savvy or more savvy than your third wide receiver.

“But when you come out with two tight ends, the nickel back stays off the field and you’re going against a base defense.”

That places some form of linebacker or safety coverage on the tight end, and that means favorable matchups if you boast a big, fast, athlete like Watson (6-foot-3, 253, sub-4.4 40) and a powerful blocker like Graham (6-3, 257) on the other side.

“You don’t want to be dictated to,” Bills coach #### Jauron said. “But by and large, the offense does have final say and you’re kind of waiting to see what they do. The two-tight offense can be pretty balanced, and that makes you balance up defensively, which takes away some of the things you like to do.”

Let the mismatches begin. Safeties have to respect both the top receiver on one side and Watson on the other.

“Now you’re forcing defenses to do what everyone hates,” Kirwan said. “All Tom Brady has to do is look at the linebacker on Watson’s side. If he walks halfway out to help against Watson, you’re going to run Corey (Dillon) or (Laurence) Maroney to Graham’s side and you’re going to be able to block everyone. Kansas City has made a living doing this. If the defense tries to stop the run, you’ve got Watson singled up on a safety and you’re going to have a field day.”

Scot McCloughan, personnel chief of the 49ers, used the sixth pick in the draft on Maryland tight end Vernon Davis, a 6-3, 256-pound monster with 4.4 speed. He’ll be paired at tight end with Needham’s Eric Johnson, who caught 82 passes in 2004 but missed last season to injury.

“If we come out in a two tight end set or put Vernon in the backfield with Eric at tight end, now there aren’t enough DBs to cover these guys,” McCloughan said. “With offenses nowadays, you’re always looking for mismatches, especially on downs when you know you’re throwing the ball.”

Having a blocker like Graham makes defense even tougher, because now the run is a viable option.

“The one thing it does is when you’re out there in a certain set, the defense can’t say 80 percent of the time in this formation they throw,” McCloughan said. “If you’ve got two athletic tight ends and one of them can block, the defense has no clue. They’re guessing trying to figure out what the offense is going to do.”

Ray Rychleski recruited Davis at Maryland as a 6-3, 215-pound receiver that the Terrapins expected would fill out. He started as a receiver, shifted to H-back, then became a powerhouse tight end who tossed defensive backs, Rychleski said, “like the old Reggie White hump move.”

“There used to be a standing joke that the best tight ends were playing power forward in the NBA,” Rychleski said. “Now the tight end has become a little bit of the glory position. They’re catching more passes, they’re more athletic, and they’ve become a weapon in the everyday offense.”

The Chiefs started the trend with Gonzalez, who literally played power forward at Cal but was too short at 6-5 to make the NBA. He joined Jason Dunn, an old-style road paver at 6-6, 274 pounds.

“If you have a slow, plodding, in-line blocker - the Anthony Becht types - they provide a service as basically an extra tackle, but they’re no threat in vertical football,” Kirwan said.

The Chiefs took advantage of Dunn’s blocking skills to churn out record rushing seasons from Priest Holmes and 1,750 yards last year from Larry Johnson. The Patriots have tweaked the Kansas City formula with Graham, an outstanding blocker who also has receiving skills and can be a tank in the open field, as the Falcons learned last October when he careened 45 yards with a screen for a touchdown.

“The thing we’ve really seen the last five to eight years is how much tight ends have improved their speed,” Titans general manager Floyd Reese said. “You’re getting guys who may not be 6-7, 280 pounds anymore, but they’re 6-5, 250 and can run so darn well. When they match up against a linebacker or a slow safety, it’s no contest.”

McCloughan surveyed a recent scene involving Davis at minicamp and had all he could do not to drool.

“We’ve got a couple of linebackers who can run pretty good and they didn’t have a chance,” he said. “They walk up on Vernon and heck, five yards downfield he’s already a step past them and all he’s doing is gaining speed. The defense can’t account for all of these different options.”

There’s one name that has barely come up in this discussion, but he’s crucial - Tom Brady.

The 49ers, for instance, believe high-percentage throws to two pass-catching tight ends will aid the development of quarterback Alex Smith.

“Tight ends play a lot in the middle of the field,” Jauron said. “That’s a pretty effective area for a passer, who can squeeze the ball into a tighter area when he’s got a big target. It’s a shorter throw and the ball isn’t in the air for a long time.”

Brady, however, needs no such safety valve.

“I would think with Brady being able to survey the field so well, the tight end might even be his second option,” McCloughan said. “Give one or two tight ends to a quarterback like that and that’s almost unstoppable at times.”

A key will be health. Watson missed all but one game in 2004 and Graham spent basically eight games on the sideline last year. He underwent offseason shoulder surgery, but was not placed on the physically unable to perform list entering training camp, which is a good sign.

With those two in the mix along with Thomas and Mills, the Patriots may very well feature the tight end more than any team in the league. And that’s music to Watson’s ears.

“There are plenty of tight ends already making noise across the league,” he said. “The past few years the position has definitely had a kind of rebirth, a revolution. It’s good to be a part of that.

“You had guys like Shannon Sharpe and Kellen Winslow back in the day. Then there was a lull, and now it’s picking back up again. It’s kind of a cycle, but I’m glad we’re on the up end of it. Hopefully Dan and David and I can all contribute.”

-------------------------------------------------

The double tight end: Why it works

By Herald sports staff

Thursday, July 27, 2006 - Updated: 06:05 AM EST

The double tight end offense may not be new, but today’s tight end is. Bigger, stronger, faster and more athletic than the stars of prior decades -- “Guys who used to play power forward now play tight end,” notes 49ers GM Scot McCloughan -- today’s tight ends can change a game, particularly on a team like the Patriots, who boast standouts in Ben Watson and Daniel Graham.

With assistance from Pat Kirwan, a former player personnel man turned Sirius satellite radio host, here’s how a two tight end set can flummox a defense. We’ll use the Patriots -- with Ben Watson split out wide to one side, and Daniel Graham tight on the other side, along with two wide receivers to the other side, and a single running back behind Tom Brady -- as an example.

TE-LT-LG-C-RG-RT-TE

(Watson)--QB---(Graham)-WR-WR

---RB

Against such personnel, an opponent typically responds with its base defense (4-3 or 3-4) and four defensive backs. With Watson split out wide on one side of the formation and Graham tight on the other, the Patriots can let Brady decide whether to run or pass. If he sees an undersized safety on Watson, he’ll immediately exploit that matchup based on the size differential. If he sees a linebacker, even better -- Watson can run right by him.

If the defense sends a linebacker and safety toward Watson, Brady can run Laurence Maroney or Corey Dillon to Graham’s side, where the Patriots will have a blocker for every defender. The Chiefs have made a killing doing this with tight end Tony Gonzalez and All-Pro running backs Priest Holmes and Larry Johnson.

If a safety steps up to help against the run, outside receivers Deion Branch and Chad Jackson will face single coverage with no safety help.

“You’re forcing defenses to do what they hate,” Kirwan says. “They have to react and the offense dictates the game.”

 
DMN Archer: Observation deck: Banking on T.O.(Notes)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

01:58 AM CDT on Sunday, July 30, 2006

By TODD ARCHER / The Dallas Morning News

• Passing game coordinator and receivers coach Todd Haley to Terrell Owens during practice: "I'm putting all of my money on you beating one guy nine times out of 10." Owens' ability to make plays after the catch makes him one of the most dangerous receivers in the NFL.

Julius Jones scored on back-to-back plays during goal-line drills, taking his first run wide to the right and cutting in and his second to the left.

 
I don't see the offensive line as improved from last year unfortunitly. I think part of the change to 2TE alignment is to help the OTs out more as well as the other benifits mentioned above.

Last year Dallas averaged 3.6 ypc rushing as a team and gave up 50 sacks.

Having Adams back at LT will be an improvement from last year where he missed 10 games. However I think he has greatly benifited from playing next to Larry Allen all these years and Kosier FA from Detroit is not going to be an upgrade from even a declining Larry Allen imo. They need Gurode to beat out Al Johnson or the line will not have enough strength on the middle left to keep defenders from consistently penetrating. The right guard Rivera is old and has a bad back. This line really needs him to return to the level of play he had when in Green Bush or things will get really ugly. Fabini who played LT for Parcells before with the Jets should be decent on the right side so that is an improvement.

I still see too many questions across the board with this Oline to have a lot of confidence in them being substaintialy better than last year.

Guy who is projecting 5.6 ypc for Jones is :crazy:

I also do not see this defense improving substantialy from last year either. Spears is hurting again allready and the Lbers are golf course green. Teams are going to be able to run the ball on this defense and limit TOP for the cowgurls.

I see the passing offense as being the main strength of this team and I see them often being put in situations where they will have to rely on it. Good thing is Bledsoe has been very tough throughout his career because if he should be injured I could see this team really struggling.

Last year the offense ran the ball 521 times compared to 500 pass attempts. I see the offense shifting more towards a heavier percentage of passing plays for reasons stated above and thus see rushing attempts being in the 450-490 range this year.

The team no longer has Anthony Thomas (36 carries) but it does have a player in Tyson Thompson who I think they like a lot because of his speed. So I see distribution being like this:

Julius Jones 205-265 carries 3.9 ypc 799-1033 yards 5-8 TD 20-30 catches 120-190 yards 1-2 TD

Marion Barber 3 130-190 carries 3.9 ypc 507 yards 4-8 TD 20-30 catches 120-190 yards 1-2 TD

Tyson Thompson 60-90 carries 240-360 yards 1-3 TD 10-20 catches 60-120 yards 1-2 TD

Bledsoe and others 35-45 carries

I think Jones floor is pretty low if for whatever reason (most likely injury ding) he loses substaintial carries to Barber and Thompson. I don't see his ceiling as being that great because I expect him to be spelled by Barber/Thompson even if healthy and I do not see the Cowgurls running the ball as much as last year. I did still give the Rbs thier career avg ypc even though I don't see the Oline as being vastly improved from last year. (Bledsoe and Thomas brought thier team ypc down)

I don't normaly post in player spotlight threads because people do not seem to like my projection ranges. But I felt like talking about the Cowgurls running backs today so I did anyways.

*note I do not expect all players to meet thier low or high end projections in unison but to have flexible means that fit the team projection.

 
Cowboys | J. Jones wants a complete year in 2006; Barber will see more action too

Published Sun Jul 30 7:29:00 p.m. ET 2006

(KFFL) Rob Phillips, of DallasCowboys.com, reports Dallas Cowboys RB Julius Jones has walked a not-so-thin line between the cusp-of-stardom and injury-prone in his two NFL seasons. A high ankle sprain sidelined Jones for three games and parts of another last season. He appeared to lack his trademark home-run burst when he returned for the last eight games, yet still finished with 993 yards and five touchdowns. "No, no, I'm not doing that this year," Jones said when asked for a statistical prediction this year. "Sixteen, that's my number. I want to play 16 games." Jones still has high expectations for himself. "If you're asking me individually, it's a big year for me," he said. "Coach Parcells likes to see what his players can do in their third year. He gives you three years to prove something, and I've still got something to prove." Parcells knows Jones can change a game's tone with his speed and quickness. Parcells said he w! ants to increase RB Marion Barber III's role this season, particularly as a third-down weapon, but he isn't sure how he'll balance carries between Jones and Barber yet. Parcells endorses the two-back system, which has become popular in college programs and eventually has seeped into the NFL's offensive framework. Parcells also is hopeful RB Tyson Thompson can become more reliable in his second season. Parcells says he doesn't believe Jones is injury-prone.

 

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