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Player Spotlight: Justin Blackmon, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2013 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

As always we will post a list of players to be discussed each week. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discuss expectations for the player in question.

Thread Topic: Justin Blackmon, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Player Page Link: Justin Blackmon Player Page

Each article will include:

  • Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
  • Links to thoughtful viewpoints from around the Web
  • FBG Projections

The Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

  • Focus commentary on the player (or players) in question, and your expectations for said player (or players)
  • Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
  • Avoid redundancies or things like "good posting" ... this should be about incremental analysis or debate

While not a requirement, we strongly encourage you to provide your own projections for the player (players):

Projections should include:

  • For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Attempts, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
  • For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
  • For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

Now let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

  • Focus commentary on the player (or players) in question, and your expectations for said player (or players)
  • Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
  • Avoid redundancies or things like "good posting" ... this should be about incremental analysis or debate

While not a requirement, we strongly encourage you to provide your own projections for the player (players):

Projections

  • For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Last year Blackmon took a hit with a drinking violation after the draft so I made a trade to acquire him when his value was at its lowest.

He began last year

R-E-A-L S---L----O----W---L---Y

Only catching 4 passes in the first 3 games for a total of 31 yards.

He had Blaine Gabbert as his QB early before he gave way to Henne but I think his increase in production had much to do with his own development as a player but I do feel he would greatly benefit by better quarterback play.

In any event, after his slow start....

He turned it around catching 61 passes for 832 yards along with 5 touchdowns over the remaining 13 games.

So coming into this year I had high hopes for Justin but then he got a 4 game suspension for anther drinking violation, ugh.

Considering his slow start last year for the firs three games where he produced virtually nothing I see this year's suspension as basically equal to his slow start to his rookie season so I see basically the exact same numbers that he produced last year.

- 65 RECEPTIONS

- 865 YARDS

- 5 or 6 RECEIVING TOUCHDOWNS

 
Blackmon will be especially hard to project. He should be a bit farther along the learning curve in his second year which should lead to an improvement, but he'll be back to playing with Gabbert (maybe). We are also presented with the unenviable task of decided how to view his 7/236/1 game against Houston when Henne took over for Gabbert after Gabbert was knocked out of his second straight game. That game represented 27% of his total yardage for the season. They obviously drafted him hoping for explosive performances like that, so can we count on one or two next year with Gabbert?

He was a bit of a risky pick already, but he's further complicated things by getting suspended for the first four games. How will that loss of experience and chemistry affect his targets and production? Will Cecil Shorts become their QB's favorite target? Even if he hadn't been suspended, that was a possibility. Both he and Shorts are going to be very interesting to watch next year. It seems at least one of them will be worth drafting, but it is hard to imagine rolling the dice with two players on such a poor offense. I have a hard time imagining two WRs being in fantasy starting lineups with Gabbert or Henne at the helm, but a solid case can be made for both players.

He caught less than half the passes directed at him, which he'll have to improve upon should he want to see 131 targets again this year. Shorts was barely better, so the problem may be more with the thrower than the catchers.

With MJD back, the Jags will probably be able to run the ball more effectively which will lead to less total plays and a lower pass ratio with the plays they do have. Last year they threw the ball 585 times with only 319 running back carries.

In the end, Blackmon is simply a roll of the dice. I can't dissect the situation in any way to make the decision clearer. He could take a big step forward in his second year or he could idle along at last year's pace. For a price of WR44, it's not hard to justify such a cheap gamble, especially if you feel confident in your top 3 WRs. He could make for a WR3 (or even WR2) PPG bye week filler at the price of a low-end WR4.

12 games x 9 targets = 108 x 52% = 56 rec x 14 ypr = 784 yards 5 TD

(16 game pace of 75/1045/7 which seems pretty high)

 
+1 Ninja.

I don't think yearly projections are going to be useful for players like Gronk or Blackmon. I'm more interested in where people are willing to take them in a draft given they will only be productive for ~60% of the season.

I'm targeting Blackmon as my WR4 in rounds 7+. I think by the end of his suspension that Gabbert will be on the bench and Henne will take over, so the rest of the year should be very productive for Blackmon and he'll end up being a steal at that ADP. I can easily put a WR5 in there for a few weeks for him, then get a huge upside player for the rest of the year and through the fantasy playoffs.

 
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+1 Ninja.

I don't think yearly projections are going to be useful for players like Gronk or Blackmon. I'm more interested in where people are willing to take them in a draft given they will only be productive for ~60% of the season.

I'm targeting Blackmon as my WR4 in rounds 7+. I think by the end of his suspension that Gabbert will be on the bench and Henne will take over, so the rest of the year should be very productive for Blackmon and he'll end up being a steal at that ADP. I can easily put a WR5 in there for a few weeks for him, then get a huge upside player for the rest of the year and through the fantasy playoffs.
Does the possible return to a ground game emphasis or the emergence of Shorts scare you? On one hand, being able to land a top flight talent like Blackmon who was getting over 9 targets per game to finish his rookie year at WR44 price seems like the steal of the draft, but on the other hand I can't foresee two WRs being consistently productive in this offense. I'm really torn here. You have any interest in Shorts or do you think he was just a flash in the pan?

 
When projecting a player facing a suspension, I tend to use a per game approach and multiply by games played for the year. Blackmon is an exceptional talent, and will be needed this year. I see a slight improvement, but expect next year to be "the big year".

5 rec per game = 60 rec

at 13.5 ypc = 810 yards

and say 6 TDs

 
+1 Ninja.

I don't think yearly projections are going to be useful for players like Gronk or Blackmon. I'm more interested in where people are willing to take them in a draft given they will only be productive for ~60% of the season.

I'm targeting Blackmon as my WR4 in rounds 7+. I think by the end of his suspension that Gabbert will be on the bench and Henne will take over, so the rest of the year should be very productive for Blackmon and he'll end up being a steal at that ADP. I can easily put a WR5 in there for a few weeks for him, then get a huge upside player for the rest of the year and through the fantasy playoffs.
Does the possible return to a ground game emphasis or the emergence of Shorts scare you? On one hand, being able to land a top flight talent like Blackmon who was getting over 9 targets per game to finish his rookie year at WR44 price seems like the steal of the draft, but on the other hand I can't foresee two WRs being consistently productive in this offense. I'm really torn here. You have any interest in Shorts or do you think he was just a flash in the pan?
I don't want to call Shorts a flash in the pan but I think based on all the surrounding factors that he is the ideal type of candidate to be overdrafted this year, mainly because I think it will be hard to be consistently productive in this offense. This team, as a whole, in real life, needs a lot of talent upgrade and since the Jags do not have an all-world QB, it is hard to imagine that they just go out there and somehow sustain relevant fantasy production from 2-3 guys.

 
+1 Ninja.

I don't think yearly projections are going to be useful for players like Gronk or Blackmon. I'm more interested in where people are willing to take them in a draft given they will only be productive for ~60% of the season.

I'm targeting Blackmon as my WR4 in rounds 7+. I think by the end of his suspension that Gabbert will be on the bench and Henne will take over, so the rest of the year should be very productive for Blackmon and he'll end up being a steal at that ADP. I can easily put a WR5 in there for a few weeks for him, then get a huge upside player for the rest of the year and through the fantasy playoffs.
Does the possible return to a ground game emphasis or the emergence of Shorts scare you? On one hand, being able to land a top flight talent like Blackmon who was getting over 9 targets per game to finish his rookie year at WR44 price seems like the steal of the draft, but on the other hand I can't foresee two WRs being consistently productive in this offense. I'm really torn here. You have any interest in Shorts or do you think he was just a flash in the pan?
I'm not interested in Shorts at his current ADP. He's a playmaker but fantasy history has limited the Desean-type player whose specialty is stretching the field. I generally play in PPR leagues so I want the big-bodied possession receivers who also have speed. Blackmon has it all. I could see people drafting Shorts as a WR3, and he'll probably have one big game while Blackmon is out... but I would sell high on him after that. There are very few short, speedy WRs in questionable QB situations that put up decent fantasy numbers. I don't doubt he'll break a few 60+ TDs this year but he's not going to be consistent, and I don't want those skunk eggs every other game on my team.

 
+1 Ninja.

I don't think yearly projections are going to be useful for players like Gronk or Blackmon. I'm more interested in where people are willing to take them in a draft given they will only be productive for ~60% of the season.

I'm targeting Blackmon as my WR4 in rounds 7+. I think by the end of his suspension that Gabbert will be on the bench and Henne will take over, so the rest of the year should be very productive for Blackmon and he'll end up being a steal at that ADP. I can easily put a WR5 in there for a few weeks for him, then get a huge upside player for the rest of the year and through the fantasy playoffs.
Does the possible return to a ground game emphasis or the emergence of Shorts scare you? On one hand, being able to land a top flight talent like Blackmon who was getting over 9 targets per game to finish his rookie year at WR44 price seems like the steal of the draft, but on the other hand I can't foresee two WRs being consistently productive in this offense. I'm really torn here. You have any interest in Shorts or do you think he was just a flash in the pan?
I'm not interested in Shorts at his current ADP. He's a playmaker but fantasy history has limited the Desean-type player whose specialty is stretching the field. I generally play in PPR leagues so I want the big-bodied possession receivers who also have speed. Blackmon has it all. I could see people drafting Shorts as a WR3, and he'll probably have one big game while Blackmon is out... but I would sell high on him after that. There are very few short, speedy WRs in questionable QB situations that put up decent fantasy numbers. I don't doubt he'll break a few 60+ TDs this year but he's not going to be consistent, and I don't want those skunk eggs every other game on my team.
I obviously agree with you about Blackmon, but is Shorts really a DeSean-type? I've never thought of him in that light. Sure, he's a burner, but FBG lists him as 6' 205 whereas Jackson is 5'9" 169.

 
Justin Blackmon

Recently I got into a heated debate in a mock draft after taking Blackmon in the 9th round of a 12 team ppr. http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/draft/1857298

While I'm not taking him as a sure fire starter, I will gladly take him late and swing for the fences. Since his suspension his ADP has dropped from WR36 (8th round) to WR46 (late 10th round). While many see the suspension damaging, I see it as a opportunity to grab him at a great discount.

First look at the Jags as a whole, new regime under way. There are no ties to Gabbert and there is an open comp for QB. As fantasy owners, lets pray Henne wins out. While nothing more than a stop gap, he is serviceable as we saw last year. MJD is capable of being a top back, while my expectations aren't as high as others, he will change this team for the better this year. I wasn't a fan of them drafting LukeJ that high to put him at right tackle but he immediately improves their O-Line as well. Put all of this together and I see a more effective passing game this year, this is where Shorts and Blackmon come in. Shorts is another topic in itself, another draft day value.

While looking at Blackmon last year, I'll start when Henne took over during the Houston game. During that time Blackmon had 73 targets in the last 7 games. I couldn't find how to sort targets for these weeks alone but.. The entire season he finished 15th in targets. Last 5 weeks he finished 6th in targets. Last 3 weeks he finished 3rd in targets. The opportunity is there! While his catch percentage wasn't great, his points per game is still enough in those weeks to break the top 20 easily. I won't blame Blackmon for that as much as surrounding factors. The yards were there and so were the touchdowns, although somewhat inconsistent. Keep in mind that I'm basing everything off of Henne under center.

All of this and he gets hit for 4 games, a knucklehead indeed, but on a point per game basis he could do some owners wonders when it counts most. I will most definitely be targeting him in the 9th/10th round, hopefully as a WR4, but won't shy away as a WR3.

Definitely not an easy player to predict projections for. While I admit this could be wishful thinking, at the same time I won't be greatly disappointed if I'm wrong too.

96targets - 65recs - 910yards - 6 TDs

 
Justin Blackmon

Recently I got into a heated debate in a mock draft after taking Blackmon in the 9th round of a 12 team ppr. http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/draft/1857298

While I'm not taking him as a sure fire starter, I will gladly take him late and swing for the fences. Since his suspension his ADP has dropped from WR36 (8th round) to WR46 (late 10th round). While many see the suspension damaging, I see it as a opportunity to grab him at a great discount.
One round is a great discount? :confused:

I'm just giving you a hard time. I generally agree with your post.

 
Justin Blackmon

Recently I got into a heated debate in a mock draft after taking Blackmon in the 9th round of a 12 team ppr. http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/draft/1857298

While I'm not taking him as a sure fire starter, I will gladly take him late and swing for the fences. Since his suspension his ADP has dropped from WR36 (8th round) to WR46 (late 10th round). While many see the suspension damaging, I see it as a opportunity to grab him at a great discount.
One round is a great discount? :confused:

I'm just giving you a hard time. I generally agree with your post.
You're right, even though its not a huge drop in ADP, It's almost a full two rounds it's enough that you will not have to rely upon him.

 
Justin Blackmon

Recently I got into a heated debate in a mock draft after taking Blackmon in the 9th round of a 12 team ppr. http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/draft/1857298

While I'm not taking him as a sure fire starter, I will gladly take him late and swing for the fences. Since his suspension his ADP has dropped from WR36 (8th round) to WR46 (late 10th round). While many see the suspension damaging, I see it as a opportunity to grab him at a great discount.
One round is a great discount? :confused:

I'm just giving you a hard time. I generally agree with your post.
Ninja, how many leagues did you win last year?

 
132 targets last year has me interested in Blackmon, but I hate having a dead roster spot for 4 weeks. Tough guy to project since we really don't know how he'll handle the suspension.

 
+1 Ninja.

I don't think yearly projections are going to be useful for players like Gronk or Blackmon. I'm more interested in where people are willing to take them in a draft given they will only be productive for ~60% of the season.

I'm targeting Blackmon as my WR4 in rounds 7+. I think by the end of his suspension that Gabbert will be on the bench and Henne will take over, so the rest of the year should be very productive for Blackmon and he'll end up being a steal at that ADP. I can easily put a WR5 in there for a few weeks for him, then get a huge upside player for the rest of the year and through the fantasy playoffs.
Does the possible return to a ground game emphasis or the emergence of Shorts scare you? On one hand, being able to land a top flight talent like Blackmon who was getting over 9 targets per game to finish his rookie year at WR44 price seems like the steal of the draft, but on the other hand I can't foresee two WRs being consistently productive in this offense. I'm really torn here. You have any interest in Shorts or do you think he was just a flash in the pan?
I'm not interested in Shorts at his current ADP. He's a playmaker but fantasy history has limited the Desean-type player whose specialty is stretching the field. I generally play in PPR leagues so I want the big-bodied possession receivers who also have speed. Blackmon has it all. I could see people drafting Shorts as a WR3, and he'll probably have one big game while Blackmon is out... but I would sell high on him after that. There are very few short, speedy WRs in questionable QB situations that put up decent fantasy numbers. I don't doubt he'll break a few 60+ TDs this year but he's not going to be consistent, and I don't want those skunk eggs every other game on my team.
I obviously agree with you about Blackmon, but is Shorts really a DeSean-type? I've never thought of him in that light. Sure, he's a burner, but FBG lists him as 6' 205 whereas Jackson is 5'9" 169.
I watched a lot of Shorts III last season and I can assure you he's not a Desean Jackson type. He's more Steve Smith than Desean Jackson. Crisp routes, good speed, adequate size, good hands, and he attacks the ball.

I understand the hesitation of taking a Jax WR early, but I wouldn't put ANY stock into the idea that Shorts is a flash in the NFL pan. He's a legit wide receiver.

 
Blackmon is one of the more interesting and unpredictable players in fantasy. Apart from having no quality QB, being in an organization that seems to be drowning & facing a 4 game suspension, by far his largest obstacle to reasonable production is the superior talent at the other WR...Cecil Shorts. Give me your reasonable projections when your starting RB may be either MJD or Justin Forsett, you're the second option in the passing game and you will, as a certainty, be playing from behind most of the time. All of the uncertainties make him a late round flier, nothing more. If I can get him as WR depth in round 11, 12 or so he's a reasonable risk.

 
Blackmon is one of the more interesting and unpredictable players in fantasy. Apart from having no quality QB, being in an organization that seems to be drowning & facing a 4 game suspension, by far his largest obstacle to reasonable production is the superior talent at the other WR...Cecil Shorts. Give me your reasonable projections when your starting RB may be either MJD or Justin Forsett, you're the second option in the passing game and you will, as a certainty, be playing from behind most of the time. All of the uncertainties make him a late round flier, nothing more. If I can get him as WR depth in round 11, 12 or so he's a reasonable risk.
It can be a good thing for a passing offense to be playing from behind. It is certainly debatable that Shorts is the superior talent. The RB situation will likely be better. Bottom line, with a similar or worse situation last season, Blackmon produced as a top 10 WR when Henne took over. Small sample size and no guarantee for future success, but worth considering for sure. And what kind of certainties are you drafting in rounds 8-10 that are so much better?

 
Blackmon is one of the more interesting and unpredictable players in fantasy. Apart from having no quality QB, being in an organization that seems to be drowning & facing a 4 game suspension, by far his largest obstacle to reasonable production is the superior talent at the other WR...Cecil Shorts. Give me your reasonable projections when your starting RB may be either MJD or Justin Forsett, you're the second option in the passing game and you will, as a certainty, be playing from behind most of the time. All of the uncertainties make him a late round flier, nothing more. If I can get him as WR depth in round 11, 12 or so he's a reasonable risk.
I don't think he's lasting until round 11 in most leagues...

As a rookie, with a bad QB situation, he still performed at WR17 from week 8 to 16. Generally the biggest leap for WRs is from year 1 to year 2. He's got a massive ceiling if the QB play improves.

In a 2/3/1 league I would consider taking him at round 9. In rounds 8+ you are looking for non-starter but high-upside players. That fits Blackmon exactly. And by the time his suspension is over Henne is likely to be starting anyway.

 
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Blackmon is a guy who most guppies won't even think about entering a draft because his year long projections will be with guys who will be playing 16 games. He's a big time threat, I don't believe that the Jag running game is coming back this year, though I am not in love with the Jags passing game either. Blackmon is one Jag I think will live up to his ADP, I will have the mindset of taking a couple receivers earlier in drafts to make sure I have decent starters so that I can draft Blackmon and sit him until he starts. You can say I will trade for him in weeks 2 or 3 but that could be unlikely unless you play in a league where there are a lot of trades.

750 yards and 6tds

 
He just looks different than last year. If the idiot didn't get suspended we may have been seeing a true breakout year from him.

 
He just looks different than last year. If the idiot didn't get suspended we may have been seeing a true breakout year from him.
Yeah he's looked unstoppable this entire preseason. I'm scooping him up and holding onto him for dear life through those 4 weeks. I think he's gonna have a lot of big games this season, and Gabbert is going to surprise everyone now that he is developed along with his offensive weapons.

 
I'm thinking of making a move to get him.

Reading this thread seems many were high on him. With the change at QB and lack luster performance of the whole team does your opinion change?

 
I'm thinking of making a move to get him.

Reading this thread seems many were high on him. With the change at QB and lack luster performance of the whole team does your opinion change?
If you can get him cheap, do it. That offense sucks, but he will provide a spark when he gets in there.
I agree. A great guy to target if you need WR or flex help. He should put up WR3 numbers just based on last year, but he's got a really high ceiling if he (and/or the QB) show improvement. Given that he was just a #5 overall pick a year ago, the upside is immense.

 
Someone dropped him... Putting a waiver in, can't decide between dropping harvin and montee ballsack for him.

 
I'm obviously holding because he'll be a solid WR4/5, which is where I drafted him. Given what I've seen out of the Jacksonville offense and having Gabbert back at QB, I'm not really expecting the kind of production that I was originally hoping for (WR2 level numbers).

 
I had him and Gordon stashed the entire time in my keeper and I'm hoping to get a nice return on my investment next week!!

I also have Shorts too. I'm gonna have to keep a close eye on the distribution between those 2 before I run into bye week issues in week 9.

 
So what's the consensus on blackmon? People still keen on stashing him?
If people were keen when they had to wait four weeks, what would diminish that with only one more week to go?
Well, gabbert is back in this week...and he is really really bad?
Gabbert was bad when people drafted Blackmon knowing they would have to wait four week. Now Gabbert is bad with only one week to go.

 
I'm obviously holding because he'll be a solid WR4/5, which is where I drafted him. Given what I've seen out of the Jacksonville offense and having Gabbert back at QB, I'm not really expecting the kind of production that I was originally hoping for (WR2 level numbers).
. Are you really surprised that the teams offense sucks, especially when it's best player has been sidelined?It is what it is is Jax, which is pretty ####ty. But at least IMO, as expected.

 
I was looking at picking up Blackmon who is currently unrostered in our league, but the Cecil Shorts owner pulled a somewhat shocking move this morning and dropped Shorts.

Shorts or Blackmon?

 
I'm obviously holding because he'll be a solid WR4/5, which is where I drafted him. Given what I've seen out of the Jacksonville offense and having Gabbert back at QB, I'm not really expecting the kind of production that I was originally hoping for (WR2 level numbers).
. Are you really surprised that the teams offense sucks, especially when it's best player has been sidelined?It is what it is is Jax, which is pretty ####ty. But at least IMO, as expected.
I'm not surprised that the offense sucks, but I am surprised at how ridiculously bad it has been. Maybe Blackmon will help that, but MJD and Cecil Shorts are both solid players, so it's not like they were completey devoid of talent. It starts and ends with the QB and Gabbert is horrendous. With all of that said, I invested in Blackmon because of the price, and felt that getting him at WR5 prices made it worth the investment, especially since his suspension is over before most bye week issues hit. I'd much rather have him over the kind of guys who were getting drafted at the same time as him.

His pricetag makes him an easy hold to see how it plays out.

 
I was looking at picking up Blackmon who is currently unrostered in our league, but the Cecil Shorts owner pulled a somewhat shocking move this morning and dropped Shorts.

Shorts or Blackmon?
I'd try to find a way to grab both. If it's one or the other, I'd go with Blackmon, but it's really a 50/50 shot.

 
Was just offered AJ Green for Blackmon and my 1st round pick next year

Done deal.
Hence why some leagues have trade reversals. That is stupid, and pretty sure 10 other league owners are fuming.
For him it depends on what Blackmon he gets. If it's the one from week 8 on last year then it's a pretty nice deal for him. FWIW, the guy who dealt me Green won 2 of out last 3 championships. He's not a bad owner.

Back to Blackmon though, the team will be in constant garbage time this year and as I mentioned above, if last year from week 8 on is truely how he is then he's good IMO. Their sure to upgrade their QB play next year as well. He was a guy I drafted early as well and held him because of his potential.

 
Pretty happy I hung onto him. :rolleyes:

Blackmon (and Shorts, for that matter) are virtually useless with Gabbert starting. It's mind-blowing how awful he is. If a bunch of message board goons see this, surely the coaching staff and GM see it also. Which leads me to believe that they are counting on Teddy Bridgewater next year. There can't possibly be any more "evaluation" needed on Gabbert. They should have had all the information they needed while watching his Mizzou game film.... 90% of his passes were within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage. I guess that was good enough to be a Top-10 pick.

 
I'm on board. The guy is deceptively quick and has shown the ability to create seperation from defenders. He's great at catching the ball in traffic and can shake + bake a bit. You can tell he's not afraid of contact.

Reminds me a smidge of Anquan Boldin.

EDIT: Attacks the ball at it's highest point as well.

 
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Was just looking at the season totals for WRs in the data dominator and noticed that Blackmon has already lived up to his ADP (~WR46) as his current standing is WR44 despite only playing 3 games.

 

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