Player Spotlight: Peyton Manning (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2009 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. Last year, we published more than 120 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters. This year will be no different.

Each week we will post a list of players to be discussed. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discussion expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Peyton Manning, QB, Indianapolis Colts

Player Page Link: Peyton Manning Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsNow let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 

[Monsters of the Midway]

I think that last year's down season was largely due to his knee problems, he seemed good as new in the 2nd half (16 TD passes in 8g IIRC don't know the yardage).

I'll pencil him in for an average Manning year

4150/30

plus a couple of rushing TDs

 

[bigmiiiiike]

I think Dungy's absence might actually help Manning's fantasy stats. I remember countless times in the Dungy-era Manning would drive the Colts down inside the 10 and then they'd go with three straight running plays and kick a field goal on 4th and 2. Dungy played things a little too close to the vest, and while Manning has had some very good years, we've all seen his potential when he had 49 TDs, and he's never come close to that production since. I think this could be a year where Peyton breaks free from his very good, but almost boring 4000 and 28 (at least for him), and kicks it up to:

4350 and 34TDs

 

[puckalicious]

This will be one of the more boring spotlights. Pencil him in for yet another top-10 season with #1 upside. Safest QB to draft as usual, but this year he might be worth drafting for once at an ADP of 25 as the QB3.

560/375/4300/32/10

 

[djcolts]

I'm a Colts fan and I've never had Peyton on any of my fantasy teams. It probably won't happen this year, either, but at least I'm considering it in a redraft league if the value is there.

I think there is more to like than not like for Peyton's fantasy prospects compared to most other seasons:

1. I think the combination of a significantly more talented DT rotation and a more aggressive defense approach with the new D coordinator will help the defense get more stops - and the Colts will get more possessions.

2. I think the O Line basically hit rock bottom last season - and it is unlikely to be worse than last season - especically if LG Ryan Lilja plays.

3. I think losing Marvin Harrison is going to be addition by subtraction. Anthony Gonzalez outplayed Marvin by a significant margin last season - and I think Peyton hurt himself last season by having to throw the ball to Marvin to keep him happy when it wasn't particularly effective offense (it was tough to watch Peyton forcing 8 yard curls to Marvin when the opposing D nearly picked the ball off time after time).

4. Peyton at this time is healthy and there won't likely be struggles with injury the first five games of this season, like last season.

I'm going to say 4450 yards, 35 TD, 15 Ints this season. More than the usual Peyton season this year.

 

[Monsters of the Midway]

I'm a Colts fan and I've never had Peyton on any of my fantasy teams. It probably won't happen this year, either, but at least I'm considering it in a redraft league if the value is there.I think there is more to like than not like for Peyton's fantasy prospects compared to most other seasons:1. I think the combination of a significantly more talented DT rotation and a more aggressive defense approach with the new D coordinator will help the defense get more stops - and the Colts will get more possessions. 2. I think the O Line basically hit rock bottom last season - and it is unlikely to be worse than last season - especically if LG Ryan Lilja plays.3. I think losing Marvin Harrison is going to be addition by subtraction. Anthony Gonzalez outplayed Marvin by a significant margin last season - and I think Peyton hurt himself last season by having to throw the ball to Marvin to keep him happy when it wasn't particularly effective offense (it was tough to watch Peyton forcing 8 yard curls to Marvin when the opposing D nearly picked the ball off time after time).4. Peyton at this time is healthy and there won't likely be struggles with injury the first five games of this season, like last season.I'm going to say 4450 yards, 35 TD, 15 Ints this season. More than the usual Peyton season this year.

Well thought out

 

[pizzatyme]

dj, good post man. I concur. I'll add to that by saying the significant upgrade at WR3/4 in Garcon and Austin Collie. Not to mention the upgrade at RB. This Colts offense will surprise the fantasy masses.

4375/37/16 INTs

2 rushing TDs.