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Player Spotlight: Plaxico Burress (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
[SIZE=14pt]2006 Player Spotlight Series[/SIZE]

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

[SIZE=14pt]Thread Topic: Plaxico Burress, WR, New York Giants[/SIZE]

Player Page Link: Plaxico Burress Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

[SIZE=14pt]The Rules[/SIZE]

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the player

Projections should include (at a minimum):

[*]For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[SIZE=14pt]Best of Luck and ENJOY![/SIZE]

 
Plax had a very up then a little down year this past season - but he was an integral part of the Giants becoming an offensive power behind a very young Eli Manning.

Second year in the system should help. Having Sinorice Moss to scare defenders will help also.

Nothing should help more than another year of experience for Eli, however.

Taken into perspective, I would expect a season that more or less mirrors the first half of last year in production, with some inconsistency thrown in (Plax will have his mental breakdowns and his 3 or so games where his head is simply not in the game).

In the end, I see about 80 receptions - just a bit more than last year - but some more TDs as the offense overall should improve with the addition of Moss and more experienced QB.

81 Receptions, 1275 Yards, 10 TDs

Basically, last yearwith less of the first half high, less of the second half low and a few more TDs because the offense should improve with Moss and Eli.

 
Plaxico Burress had a nice season in 2005, recording 76 receptions for 1214 yards and 7 touchdowns; this marked only the second time he'd achieved 75+ receptions, and he had similar year-end totals on both occasions.

In 2006, I think Plaxico finally breaks the 80 reception barrier, but he will continue to split time with Jeremy Shockey as Eli Manning's go-to receiver. Manning's connection with the tight end will keep Burress' touchdown total once again in the single digits. Burress' yards per reception will drop a hair as his receptions increase, but he will remain a big-play receiver in the Giants' offense.

Plaxico Burress, WR NYG

85 REC, 1350 YDS, 8 TD

 
Plaxico's season was much like Eli's up and down in 2005. Eli will be much improved or in otherwords more consistent. With more consistency Burress becomes the same. I don't agree with Shockey hurting Burress's value. In fact, he helps Burress get open down field with teams having to protect against Shockey underneath. Burress may even wind up in the top 5-8 WRs in the NFL this season.

With that my predictions are:

85 rec 1550 yds 9-10 TDs

He'll be lower on some draft boards as usual so I think he's a great value pick this season.

 
I'd expect similar production. Burress's targets went down in the second half of the season and his receptions decreased from 45 in games 1-8 to 31 in 9-16. This was despite Manning's totals (both attempts and completions) getting an uptick in the 2nd half of the year.

My guess is that Burress ends up w/ 70 rec., around 1150 yards, and 6-7 TDs.

 
Plax should benefit from another year with E Manning. With Sinorice Moss' speed, that should stretch the field, giving Plax a lot of room to work. Won't see too many double teams with all the weapons the NYG have. Will have a solid year, but I don't see too much upside, since he has to share the ball with Tiki, Shockey, Toomer, and Sinorice Moss.

77 rec, 1110 yds receiving, 7 TD

 
I'm looking for a slight, slight downgrade in production this year. Burress had a very good year last year, one of his best, which makes that hard to duplicate, IMO. Manning IS an up and coming QB, though, which will help.

I see 1150 yards receiving, 73 receptions, and 7 TDs. No rushes.

 
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Last year Burress had a big number of targets come his way. Unfortunately, he didn't turn all those targets into catches. This year, I'd expect the targets to be down slightly, and the completion % to be up (more in line with both Eli's overall % and Burress' historical completion/target %).

82 catches 1250 yards 7 tds

 
I have never been a Plaxico Buress fan. I think it has to do with I believe he's got more potential than what he actually produces on the field. For years, he's always had sloppy footwork near the sidelines or in th endzone. I've seen numerous big plays called back just becuase he didn't drag the toe or lost where he was to stay in bounds.

With that said, I also think he limited those things last year and upped his game a bit. Buress has big play potential and against the right defenses, he has the potential to put up huge fantasy football numbers because Eli Manning is a smart QB and will go back over and over to what is working. I can't see Buress staying out of the top 15 and could easily be a top 10 receiver this year.

75 receptions, 1200 yards and 10 td's

 
Looking back on Burress' numbers from last year I must say I was a bit surprised. I thought he had much better numbers than that for some reason. I came in here expecting to down grade him from last year. In reality I'm just projecting about the same numbers:

70 rec, 1200 yds, 7 TDs

 
I have been looking at PB in the 4th round based on recent mocks. After looking at the NYG season last year I am a bit miffed. The entire month of December was a huge fall-off and then the blowout loss to CAR where PB did not touch the ball is hard to explain. I think some folks may let him slide a few extra spots this year in their drafts based on the end of '05. Does anyone else think this could be good value at WR even though it will likely only be 3-4 spots in terms of WR rankings?

 
I have been looking at PB in the 4th round based on recent mocks. After looking at the NYG season last year I am a bit miffed. The entire month of December was a huge fall-off and then the blowout loss to CAR where PB did not touch the ball is hard to explain. I think some folks may let him slide a few extra spots this year in their drafts based on the end of '05. Does anyone else think this could be good value at WR even though it will likely only be 3-4 spots in terms of WR rankings?
I think Plax explodes this year...expecting 90+ and 1300yds, and 12+ TDsOf course I just traded TO, (my only WR) for Plax and Joe Horn...haven't heard anything on him in camp other than the tweaked ankle
 

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