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Player Spotlights: C. Brown, L. White & T. Henry (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2006 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Chris Brown & LenDale White & Travis Henry, RBs, Tennessee Titans

Player Page Link: Chris Brown Player Page

Player Page Link: LenDale White Player Page

Player Page Link: Travis Henry Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 
I guess somebody has to go first. I was suprised that this spotlight had received such little interest. With the 3 page LenDale White Bandwagon thread I thought people would be all over this one.

I am currently camped out on the LenDale White bandwagon and my projections reflect that. I actually really like Chris Brown and think that he is a talented player. But I think that his past history has forced the Titans to look for a more dependable option. Brown's last two years were incredibly frustrating. First he looked fantastic but couldn't stay healthy. Then he stayed relavitely healthy but put up pedestrian numbers. Something in my gut tells me that when Jeff Fisher looks at LenDale White he sees Eddie George.

*Other than ending up in Denver or maybe Pittsburgh I can't think of a better situation for White than in Tennessee.

*It seems obvious that Fisher and Chow trust and believe in him.

*While I like Brown I don't think he is going to be that difficult to beat out for the starting gig.

*Despite the negative press surrounding his draft preparation I have little doubt based on his college performance that White is an extremely talented player who can be succesfull in the NFL.

Lendale White:

258 Carries

1057 Yards

8 TDs

12 Receptions

70 Yards

Chris Brown:

158 Carries

664 Yards

4 TDs

20 Receptions

150 Yards

Travis Henry:

60 Carries

228 Yards

0 TDs

10 Receptions

70 Yards

 
I think that their plans are that White is the future. I saw him run in college, but I expect him to be a little more like Ron Dayne versus Stephen Davis. He already has concerns related to his work ethic. People just don't change on that front. You are what you are...

Having said this I expect him to split fairly evenly with C. Brown. Brown will have more yards and a higher YPC and White will have more TD's...

Estimate...

Brown - 190 carries, 800 yards, 4 TD's

White - 170 carries, 600 yards, 7 TD's

Henry - 40 carries, 200 yards, 2 TD's

 
Wow. Nobody at all wants to talk Titans RBs, eh?

Well I'll throw in my $0.02, although I'll throw out the disclaimer that I really don't base this on much other than my own opinions.

I think Chris Brown is being severely under-valued. I think when he's healthy, he's the #1 ball-carrier with White vulturing some of the short-yardage and goal-line duty.

Benson was a #4 pick last year, and couldn't surplant Thomas Jones. Arrington never took over anyone in Ari. Stephen Jackson and Najeh Davenport and everyone behind Fred Taylor were all expected to carry the load in years past and had trouble becoming the true number one. Hell, even Larry Johnson took almost 2 full seasons and 2 serious injuries to finally be annointed the #1 in KC.

So I think the Titans run more this year, and the majority of the carries go to Chris Brown. And when he's healthy, he's a threat to bust it every time he touches the ball. He can and will receive this year too.

Brown - 220, 1000 yards, 6 TDs (48-350-2 TDs rec)

White - 100, 430 yards, 4 TDs

Henry - 80, 300, 3 TDs

I think people picking up Brown as their #3 RB will be quite happy when they realize they can plug him in and get productivity out of him any given week.

 
Larry Johnson struggled because he was too dumb to pickup Sauders' system in less than 2 seasons.

LenDale White knew the system the day he was drafted.

My question is who's going to get all the RB receiving yards? Who would you guys say has the best receiving hands of this group?

White was a blue-chip talent that fell to the 2nd round. I fail to see how he's considered amongst the other over-looked backups.

I am positive that White will be the starting back and be a very solid third-tier RB this year. What I'm not positive about is how the non-White yardage will be divided, and how the receiving yards would be divided.

Would Chow try to mold White into a 50rec back? This I don't know.

Titan/USC homers? Your expertise would be greatly helpful.

 
This just seems a colossal mess and will likely not produce a single 1000-yard rusher. I think that what we are looking at for most of the season is a three-headed monster, and I don't mean monster in a good way.

Brown: 210 for 820 and 5 rushing, 15 for 150 receiving

White: 190 for 855 and 9, 10 for 110 receiving

Henry: 40 for 150 and 1, 3 for 25

HOWEVER, Tennessee is anything but a lock for the playoffs. I don't see them contending for anything this year. I could easily see them going into their week 7 bye with 1 win. If they are 1-6 and their next four games are Houston, JAX, BAL, and PHI, chances are very good that we will see the reigns handed to LenDale somewhere in this period. The owner has already stated that he wants Young to start against Houston, so it doesn't look like he's overly concerned with winning this year. Therefore, I could see White being a second-half phenom, and teams targeting him would do well to make sure that they get players that can carry them for the first part of the season. Obviously he'd be great to pair with Brown, but Thomas Jones could do well with him also.

So:

Brown: won't start the whole year

White: will be a second-half savior for teams that take him

Henry: worthless

 
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The owner has already stated that he wants Young to start against Houston, so it doesn't look like he's overly concerned with winning this year. Therefore, I could see White being a second-half phenom, and teams targeting him would do well to make sure that they get players that can carry them for the first part of the season. Obviously he'd be great to pair with Brown, but Thomas Jones could do well with him also.

So:

Brown: won't start the whole year

White: will be a second-half savior for teams that take him

Henry: worthless
You think they'd be comfortable starting Young and White, two rookies? If White picks up the blocking schemes quickly then that's fine, but if not Young could end up in intensive care.
 
I guess somebody has to go first. I was suprised that this spotlight had received such little interest. With the 3 page LenDale White Bandwagon thread I thought people would be all over this one.

I am currently camped out on the LenDale White bandwagon and my projections reflect that. I actually really like Chris Brown and think that he is a talented player. But I think that his past history has forced the Titans to look for a more dependable option. Brown's last two years were incredibly frustrating. First he looked fantastic but couldn't stay healthy. Then he stayed relavitely healthy but put up pedestrian numbers. Something in my gut tells me that when Jeff Fisher looks at LenDale White he sees Eddie George.

*Other than ending up in Denver or maybe Pittsburgh I can't think of a better situation for White than in Tennessee.

*It seems obvious that Fisher and Chow trust and believe in him.

*While I like Brown I don't think he is going to be that difficult to beat out for the starting gig.

*Despite the negative press surrounding his draft preparation I have little doubt based on his college performance that White is an extremely talented player who can be succesfull in the NFL.

Lendale White:

258 Carries

1057 Yards

8 TDs

12 Receptions

70 Yards

Chris Brown:

158 Carries

664 Yards

4 TDs

20 Receptions

150 Yards

Travis Henry:

60 Carries

228 Yards

0 TDs

10 Receptions

70 Yards
You are projecting 125 carries more for these 3 guys than TEN RB had all of last season. Other guys had about 40 carries last year--do they get nothing?How many more rushing attempts for RB would you think the team will have this year? They had 351 last year. You listed 476. If the other guys get 40, that would be 516 and WAY more than last year.

 
I guess somebody has to go first. I was suprised that this spotlight had received such little interest. With the 3 page LenDale White Bandwagon thread I thought people would be all over this one.

I am currently camped out on the LenDale White bandwagon and my projections reflect that. I actually really like Chris Brown and think that he is a talented player. But I think that his past history has forced the Titans to look for a more dependable option. Brown's last two years were incredibly frustrating. First he looked fantastic but couldn't stay healthy. Then he stayed relavitely healthy but put up pedestrian numbers. Something in my gut tells me that when Jeff Fisher looks at LenDale White he sees Eddie George.

*Other than ending up in Denver or maybe Pittsburgh I can't think of a better situation for White than in Tennessee.

*It seems obvious that Fisher and Chow trust and believe in him.

*While I like Brown I don't think he is going to be that difficult to beat out for the starting gig.

*Despite the negative press surrounding his draft preparation I have little doubt based on his college performance that White is an extremely talented player who can be succesfull in the NFL.

Lendale White:

258 Carries

1057 Yards

8 TDs

12 Receptions

70 Yards

Chris Brown:

158 Carries

664 Yards

4 TDs

20 Receptions

150 Yards

Travis Henry:

60 Carries

228 Yards

0 TDs

10 Receptions

70 Yards
You are projecting 125 carries more for these 3 guys than TEN RB had all of last season. Other guys had about 40 carries last year--do they get nothing?How many more rushing attempts for RB would you think the team will have this year? They had 351 last year. You listed 476. If the other guys get 40, that would be 516 and WAY more than last year.
I am 100 percent behind Q Bert and Brandow. I think Fisher see's another Eddie in White. I also see a LJ type impact (ok, not LJ but a top 10 producing impact) come games 8-16. Brown runs too upright and will eventually be a change of pace back who will see time in 3rd downs.I dont see Vince starting this yr unless Volek gets hurt.

 
HOWEVER, Tennessee is anything but a lock for the playoffs. I don't see them contending for anything this year. I could easily see them going into their week 7 bye with 1 win. If they  are 1-6 and their next four games are Houston, JAX, BAL, and PHI, chances are very good that we will see the reigns handed to LenDale somewhere in this period. The  owner has already stated that he wants Young to start against Houston, so it doesn't look like he's overly concerned with winning this year.
An overweight rookie RB to help a rookie QB develop? I don't think so. Look for Tennessee to mimic the rushing attack of the Super Bowl champs. Brown is perfect for the FWP role. White will take on the Bus role. (I doubt his footwork will be as sweet as Bettis though)White will likely play a short yardage role in the offense to get him some touches & game experience to help his development. (5 to 7 touches per game) Your best bet for White to succeed is flat out, an injury to Brown.

White 96 carries for 346 yards 5 TD, 4 Receptions 29 yards

Brown is the man when healthy. I look for FWP type production from him. He will be the yardage machine on this team & will be a nice crutch for Young to dump off passes. A TD threat on every play, Brown was under rated even before White was drafted, I see Brown as great value drafted as a #3 / #4 RB. If you are worried about injury, trade him to the team that drafted White after he blows up week 1 against the Jets.

Chris Brown 280 carries for 1300 yards and 4 TD, 30 receptions for 252 yards and 1 TD

It is hard to get a handle on Henry's role right now. He was a bright spot behind a dismal Buffalo line, but he was never the same after Willis stole his spotlight. If a change of scenery didn't help him??? Right now, Henry is not worth drafting. His value will skyrocket if Brown gets injured & White fails to pick up the scheme / isn't productive. Potential to be the best WW pickup this season.

Code:
If White struggles to develop in camp & preseason, snap Henry up late for his potential.
 
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I have White snaggin the job by game 5 and going for 990 yards off 220 carries and 10 TDs.

Brown I have snaggin 400 yds with 4 tds. These of course could change but I just see White as a horse.

 
A TD threat on every play, Brown was under rated even before White was drafted, I see Brown as great value drafted as a #3 / #4 RB.

Chris Brown 280 carries for 1300 yards and 4 TD, 30 receptions for 252 yards and 1 TD
I hate to quibble with analysis I agree with, but Brown should exceed 5 TDs in 310 touches if he is actually a TD threat every time he touches the ball. The real question for me is whether he can get 310 touches. I'd say probably not; surprisingly moreso due to competition than health. White: 112/450/6, 12/120/0

Brown: 240/950/7, 28/270/1

Henry: 75/260/2. (rec not worth projecting)

 
Chris Brown

200/826/5 rushing

23/212/1 receiving

Lendale White

150/584/5 rushing

14/94 receiving

Travis Henry

67/248 rushing

12/86 receiving

Brown does well but gets hurt....again. White is average. Henry does some mop-up work.

 
Titan/USC homers? Your expertise would be greatly helpful.
Neither a Tenn or USC homer, but I do know that Bronw should have the best hands of this group by a good margin. There was talk of Tenn lining this guy up wide last year (or maybe it was 2 yrs ago?) they are so impressed with him as a pass catcher. White is no slouch out of the backfield, but Brown should be their man for catching balls unless he just completly fall out of favor IMO. This is very simple to me. White is the most talented RB on the roster and the talk out of Tenn is that he is already getting into shape, just a little behind the other guys (as he should be). His Hammy has not been an issue and it looks as though the rest everyone was so mad at himf for taking a few months ago has greatly paid off. White still has plenty of time to not only get into game shape, but claim the starting RB spot. He knows the system already too which should be a plus for his pass blocking and things like that.

White:

285 carries, 1210 yds, 8 TDs, 18 rec, 210 yds

Brown:

90 carries, 410 yds, 1 TD, 28 rec, 318 yds, 1 TD

Henry:

35 carries, 150 yds, 4 rec, 25 yds

 
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Given what we know about Norm Chow, I don't think there's any reason to expect a primary RB to emerge out of this situation. Chris Brown is a very talented player, but he's an awful short-yardage runner who seems a bit brittle to boot. However, he's got the best hands and best blitz-pickup absed on what I'm hearing out of Tennessee.

I expect White to supplant Henry for the short-yardage work, but I expect Brown to hold on to a lot of work, simply b/c of his homerun ability. In the long term though, I think you need to be careful, b/c Vince Young+White = very few rushing TDs for Brown.

 
This is one that is VERY difficult to project at this stage. Once a couple of preseason games are played, we should all have a much better idea of how things may shake out.

For now, I think its likely that Brown will be the guy out of the gates, but if he gets dinged up or struggles in the slightest I believe White will start carrying more and more of the load. By the middle to end of the season, my guess is that White will be the primary RB getting the carries.

Brown - Rush Yds: 650, TDs: 4 -- Recs: 25, Rec Yds: 200, TDs: 1

White - Rush Yds: 770, TDs: 6 -- Recs: 10, Rec Yds: 60, TDs: 0

Henry - Rush Yds: 180, TDs: 1 -- Recs: 8, Rec Yds: 50, TDs: 0

 
I guess somebody has to go first. I was suprised that this spotlight had received such little interest. With the 3 page LenDale White Bandwagon thread I thought people would be all over this one.

I am currently camped out on the LenDale White bandwagon and my projections reflect that. I actually really like Chris Brown and think that he is a talented player. But I think that his past history has forced the Titans to look for a more dependable option. Brown's last two years were incredibly frustrating. First he looked fantastic but couldn't stay healthy. Then he stayed relavitely healthy but put up pedestrian numbers. Something in my gut tells me that when Jeff Fisher looks at LenDale White he sees Eddie George.

*Other than ending up in Denver or maybe Pittsburgh I can't think of a better situation for White than in Tennessee.

*It seems obvious that Fisher and Chow trust and believe in him.

*While I like Brown I don't think he is going to be that difficult to beat out for the starting gig.

*Despite the negative press surrounding his draft preparation I have little doubt based on his college performance that White is an extremely talented player who can be succesfull in the NFL.

Lendale White:

258 Carries

1057 Yards

8 TDs

12 Receptions

70 Yards

Chris Brown:

158 Carries

664 Yards

4 TDs

20 Receptions

150 Yards

Travis Henry:

60 Carries

228 Yards

0 TDs

10 Receptions

70 Yards
You are projecting 125 carries more for these 3 guys than TEN RB had all of last season. Other guys had about 40 carries last year--do they get nothing?How many more rushing attempts for RB would you think the team will have this year? They had 351 last year. You listed 476. If the other guys get 40, that would be 516 and WAY more than last year.
Good question David. As I stated in my original post I believe that Fisher looks at LenDale as the next Eddie George for his offense. I think looking at the last two years in Tennessee is not the correct way to forecast there statistics for next season. In the years 2000-2003 the Titans ranked 1, 11, 4, and 9 in rushing attempts in the league. In 2004 and 2005 they ranked 23 and 25, in 2000-2003 the Titans won 43 games (nearly 11 per season) and in 2004-2005 they won 9. I think with all the talk of Fisher's job being on the hot seat that he is going to go back to what he knows works. I think the Titans are going to run the ball significantly more this season than in the past two. In those four years I mentioned the Titans ran the ball 546, 468, 511, and 486 times. I don't think 516 looks unreasonable.Edit:

Here is how the Running Back carries broke down in those seasons:

2000 - 465 carries

2001 - 386 carries

2002 - 421 carries

2003 - 431 carries

Maybe I am a bit too high on carries for the RB's but I think I am in the ballpark. I assume that Billy Volek plus a little of Vince Young will run the ball less than Steve McNair did during those seasons. I could see dropping the total RB carries down by 30 or so.

To be completely honest I didn't really think about Henry's carries that much and simply took the footballguys projections and tweaked them slightly. I really don't think he is much of a factor this year and could easily justify dropping his carries by 15-20.

 
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I guess somebody has to go first. I was suprised that this spotlight had received such little interest. With the 3 page LenDale White Bandwagon thread I thought people would be all over this one.

I am currently camped out on the LenDale White bandwagon and my projections reflect that. I actually really like Chris Brown and think that he is a talented player. But I think that his past history has forced the Titans to look for a more dependable option. Brown's last two years were incredibly frustrating. First he looked fantastic but couldn't stay healthy. Then he stayed relavitely healthy but put up pedestrian numbers. Something in my gut tells me that when Jeff Fisher looks at LenDale White he sees Eddie George.

*Other than ending up in Denver or maybe Pittsburgh I can't think of a better situation for White than in Tennessee.

*It seems obvious that Fisher and Chow trust and believe in him.

*While I like Brown I don't think he is going to be that difficult to beat out for the starting gig.

*Despite the negative press surrounding his draft preparation I have little doubt based on his college performance that White is an extremely talented player who can be succesfull in the NFL.

Lendale White:

258 Carries

1057 Yards

8 TDs

12 Receptions

70 Yards

Chris Brown:

158 Carries

664 Yards

4 TDs

20 Receptions

150 Yards

Travis Henry:

60 Carries

228 Yards

0 TDs

10 Receptions

70 Yards
You are projecting 125 carries more for these 3 guys than TEN RB had all of last season. Other guys had about 40 carries last year--do they get nothing?How many more rushing attempts for RB would you think the team will have this year? They had 351 last year. You listed 476. If the other guys get 40, that would be 516 and WAY more than last year.
Good question David. As I stated in my original post I believe that Fisher looks at LenDale as the next Eddie George for his offense. I think looking at the last two years in Tennessee is not the correct way to forecast there statistics for next season. In the years 2000-2003 the Titans ranked 1, 11, 4, and 9 in rushing attempts in the league. In 2004 and 2005 they ranked 23 and 25, in 2000-2003 the Titans won 43 games (nearly 11 per season) and in 2004-2005 they won 9. I think with all the talk of Fisher's job being on the hot seat that he is going to go back to what he knows works. I think the Titans are going to run the ball significantly more this season than in the past two. In those four years I mentioned the Titans ran the ball 546, 468, 511, and 486 times. I don't think 516 looks unreasonable.Edit:

Here is how the Running Back carries broke down in those seasons:

2000 - 465 carries

2001 - 386 carries

2002 - 421 carries

2003 - 431 carries

Maybe I am a bit too high on carries for the RB's but I think I am in the ballpark. I assume that Billy Volek plus a little of Vince Young will run the ball less than Steve McNair did during those seasons. I could see dropping the total RB carries down by 30 or so.

To be completely honest I didn't really think about Henry's carries that much and simply took the footballguys projections and tweaked them slightly. I really don't think he is much of a factor this year and could easily justify dropping his carries by 15-20.
The only factor not really accounted for here in comparing recent Titans teams vs. the ones with good records is that the current defense is a shell of what it used to be.They used to rank Top 10 in points allowed. The past two years they ranked Bottom 3. Normally, a poor defense does not equate to increased rushing attempts--in fact the opposite is typically true (a lot more passing attempts).

In the 13 games that Billy Volek has started in the past 3 seasons, the Titans RB corps averaged 22.15 carries a game. That projects out to 354 carries over a full season. Obviously this is only something to discuss but is certainly not an absolute, as the team has undergone many changes over that time and is not the current crop of players.

Given that the original range for RB carries was in the 475-515 range, I again suspect that this is far too high unless the defense makes a radical recovery.

 
Well, I think that everyone here seems to think that White will have some fairly significant role in the offense, with opinions ranging from goal-line duty to a feature role. I really think that if the Titans stumble out of the gate as badly as I think they will, they will give a lot more time to their rookies, though someone raised a good point of whether they would want a rookie back blocking for a rookie QB. Still, I think White has the advantage of coming into a system he already knows and will pick up the blocking and blitz packages way faster than most rookies. I'm hoping that he could prove as a serviceable RB3 this year.

 
Some good points about the amount of carries were made, I just wanted to add a little bit to them.

Tennessee faithful, myself included, feels strongly that we will see a much improved defense. Not top 10, but if TN is in the teens as far as Defensive rating goes, that will be a huge improvement. Fisher has already said they are going to get back to running the ball more, and using a ball control offense. So I believe we will spend less time playing catch up, thus allowing the rushing attempts to increase, as well as the coach being committed to running the ball more.

Now, of the stable of runners we have, LW (Even though is an unknown commodity in terms of NFL production, seems to be most suited for that Eddie George style running game that we had success with.

So I see it breaking down with around 440 total touches.

Lendale - Rush: 275/1045/7 Rec:30/210/2

Brown - Rush: 125/550/3 Rec: 20/150/1

I also believe that Brown will be getting the majority of his carries in the first four games. Then, it decreasing as LW's increases.

That totals 400 rushes, leaving the rest for the other RB's. I don't think Henry or any of the others will be a large factor in our game plan.

 
The Titans may consider showcasing Travis Henry in preseason

Published Fri Jul 14 10:10:00 a.m. ET 2006

(Rotoworld) The Titans may consider showcasing Travis Henry in the preseason in hopes of possibly trading him.

Impact: It seems unlikely that his value would be higher than a late-round pick. If Tennessee keeps Henry, Chris Brown, and LenDale White, they will have three active running backs who don't help on special teams.

 
The Titans may consider showcasing Travis Henry in preseason

Published Fri Jul 14 10:10:00 a.m. ET 2006

(Rotoworld) The Titans may consider showcasing Travis Henry in the preseason in hopes of possibly trading him.

Impact: It seems unlikely that his value would be higher than a late-round pick. If Tennessee keeps Henry, Chris Brown, and LenDale White, they will have three active running backs who don't help on special teams.
Sounds pretty speculative, but there may be some truth just as far as a common sense factor. Why not get something for Henry before his contract expires?Brown: 104/450/3

White: 205/975/11

Henry: 0

 
Some good points about the amount of carries were made, I just wanted to add a little bit to them.

Tennessee faithful, myself included, feels strongly that we will see a much improved defense. Not top 10, but if TN is in the teens as far as Defensive rating goes, that will be a huge improvement. Fisher has already said they are going to get back to running the ball more, and using a ball control offense. So I believe we will spend less time playing catch up, thus allowing the rushing attempts to increase, as well as the coach being committed to running the ball more.

Now, of the stable of runners we have, LW (Even though is an unknown commodity in terms of NFL production, seems to be most suited for that Eddie George style running game that we had success with.

So I see it breaking down with around 440 total touches.

Lendale - Rush: 275/1045/7 Rec:30/210/2

Brown - Rush: 125/550/3 Rec: 20/150/1

I also believe that Brown will be getting the majority of his carries in the first four games. Then, it decreasing as LW's increases.

That totals 400 rushes, leaving the rest for the other RB's. I don't think Henry or any of the others will be a large factor in our game plan.
How was it that you guys got probably the toughest schedule in the entire NFL? Seriously!Of 16 teams you guys play:

6 games against PO teams from 05

another 2-3 against teams expected to compete for the playoffs this year, making over half your games against playoff contenders. You guys got screwed.

 
Henry gets little or nothing.

Brown 175 for 700 and 3 TD's, maybe 140-150 rec

L. White 250 for about 1010 and 9 TD's.

White coming in to camp ready to go and 25 pounds lighter in combo with Crissy getting hurt often and being whiny = HUGE opportunity for White to take most of the carries now, not later.

 

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