Polls (1 Viewer)

[CurlyNight]

Robert Reich, a former secretary of labour, posts:

"

This election isn't over until it's over. Today's Investor’s Business Daily tracking poll -- which predicted the outcome of the 2004, 2008 and 2012 elections more closely than rival surveys -- gives Donald Trump a 2-point lead over Hillary Clinton when Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are thrown into the mix. The same poll gives Trump a 1-point edge in a head-to-head contest with Hillary. The Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California daily tracking poll has the two major candidates tied a 44 percent apiece for the week. As of today, they're separated by just 0.3 point, with Trump retaining the edge.

ABC, on the other hand, gives Hillary a 12-point lead.

Take nothing for granted. Vote, and get others to as well. Our fates depend on it.

What do you think?"

http://www.ibtimes.com/latest-polls-abc-says-clinton-ahead-12-points-ibd-la-times-give-trump-edge-2435677

How come polls vary so much? #dontknowhowthisworks

 

[snogger]

National polls mean nothing when it comes to the Presidency. ... heck only about 10 states really matter at this point.. The rest are just

 

[NutterButter]

Most importantly, if you're considering voting for Hillary and you're in Texas, make sure you vote b/c it would be just awesome if Texas of all states fell to the libs.  

 

[Christo]

How come polls vary so much? #dontknowhowthisworks

Neither do they.

 

[Sconch]

outliers

 

[wikkidpissah]

outliers

out&outliars

 

[Hilts]

"more closely than rival surveys" seems deliberately vague and misleading. 

It's over. Even Rove is throwing in the towel. Anyone telling you otherwise is an idiot or trying to squeeze a few more bucks out of the idiots. 

 

[msommer]

Robert Reich, a former secretary of labour, posts:

"

This election isn't over until it's over. Today's Investor’s Business Daily tracking poll -- which predicted the outcome of the 2004, 2008 and 2012 elections more closely than rival surveys -- gives Donald Trump a 2-point lead over Hillary Clinton when Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are thrown into the mix. The same poll gives Trump a 1-point edge in a head-to-head contest with Hillary. The Los Angeles Times/University of Southern California daily tracking poll has the two major candidates tied a 44 percent apiece for the week. As of today, they're separated by just 0.3 point, with Trump retaining the edge.

ABC, on the other hand, gives Hillary a 12-point lead.

Take nothing for granted. Vote, and get others to as well. Our fates depend on it.

What do you think?"

http://www.ibtimes.com/latest-polls-abc-says-clinton-ahead-12-points-ibd-la-times-give-trump-edge-2435677

How come polls vary so much? #dontknowhowthisworks

Fivethirtyeight.com is your friend

And the polls vary a lot because they talk to different people (Nate Silver does a really good job of explaining it on his site)