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Prediction: 49ers will draft Tebow (1 Viewer)

LawFitz

Footballguy
and trades down I think the Niners will swoop on TT with one of their two first round picks. The Niners have a nice young nucleus on offense except at the most critical position. Alex Smith is a bum. Nate Davis has potential but he's no Tebow. Look for Smith to start year 1 but TT to take a bunch of wildcat snaps and eventually the starting role in a year or two.

Just makes too much sense. :scared:

 
I really hope it doesn't happen. I would rather see Tebow go to an established team with an experienced starter who can allow Tebow to learn how to properly play the QB position. If he goes that high, there will be too much pressure to play him and expectations will be huge.

 
I really hope it doesn't happen. I would rather see Tebow go to an established team with an experienced starter who can allow Tebow to learn how to properly play the QB position. If he goes that high, there will be too much pressure to play him and expectations will be huge.
Don't worry about that. If there was ever a player capable of handling the emotional and mental demands of being an early starting QB in the NFL it's TT. He'll struggle early like most but like very few he'll continue to improve with every game and every year. This kid has the "it" factor that is A LOT less common and more important than people make it out to be.
 
Why do some many people think the Jaguars and their fans want Tebow?

Gators fans around Jacksonville want the Jaguars to draft Tebow. Jaguars fans want the Jaguars to draft the player that is going to most improve the team. Trust me, in Jacksonville there is frequently a huge distinction between Jaguars fans and Gators fans who live around Jacksonville.

 
Mr. Brownstone said:
This is a great scenario. They trade down and acquire an extra pick or two and they won't draft Tebow. I'm all for it.
I agree and I think the vast majority of Jaguars fans would also agree. Yet there is still this idea that the Jags and their fans would be so disappointed if the Jags didn't reach for Timmy.
 
Mr. Peterson said:
css2373 said:
Singletary will fall in love with Tebow.
He will gush about Tebow everyday after practice. Tebow is the kind of guy every coach wants.
Yeah, but I'm more in favor of players coaches will gush over after games. Tebow is a great kid, there aren't many people who will root against him but I'm not putting any faith into his NFL success.

 
I don't get all the Tebow love. (There's sure plenty of hate too.) There are alot of guys who are great guys and 'winners' who don't make it in the NFL.

I think the knock on Tebow is more on his ability to play in a pro offense and read defenses. This seems to be lost in the mechanics and delivery discussions. The 'mechanics' stuff might just work itself out. I think the same was said about Rivers when he came out. The greater concern is can he be functional an NFL offense. That has alot more to do with reading defenses, pocket presence, etc.

I think this would not be a good move for SF, but can see Singletary falling for him.

Nate Davis might be an ok NFL QB, so not sure why folks are knocking him.

 
The 49ers have already spent 5 years trying to teach an Urban Meyer quarterback how to play in the NFL. Why would they start over with another?

 
The problem with this prediction is that the 49ers didn't have great luck last time they took a QB from Urban Meyer's offense.

edit: commisholio beat me to the point.

 
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Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.

 
The 49ers have already spent 5 years trying to teach an Urban Meyer quarterback how to play in the NFL. Why would they start over with another?
The idea that a QB is an "Urban Meyer QB" is ridiculous. (Similarly with the "Jeff Tedford" QB--now that Aaron Rodgers is a success, will you be drafting every QB out of Cal?) Alex Smith sucks because Alex Smith sucks; two years of coaching from Urban Meyer five years ago are not why Alex Smith sucks. Tebow will succeed or fail on his own merits.
 
LawFitz said:
css2373 said:
I really hope it doesn't happen. I would rather see Tebow go to an established team with an experienced starter who can allow Tebow to learn how to properly play the QB position. If he goes that high, there will be too much pressure to play him and expectations will be huge.
Don't worry about that. If there was ever a player capable of handling the emotional and mental demands of being an early starting QB in the NFL it's TT. He'll struggle early like most but like very few he'll continue to improve with every game and every year. This kid has the "it" factor that is A LOT less common and more important than people make it out to be.
:thumbup: The 9ers probably won't draft Tebow, though. They have too many holes to fill, and would be better served with a vet QB.What'd be comical is if the Raiders drafted him. Given Jamarcus' work ethic, and statuesque pocket presence, Tebow would be a complete 180. I still think Al has delusions of grandeur with Russell's big arm and fast WRs.The place I keep thinking would be perfect for Tebow is Minnesota, especially if Favre is coming back. He'd get a year to sit and could do mop up duty against the Lions. Harvin and AP would definitely help. Tebow could become to Chilly what Mcnabb is to Reid, I think.
 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I think the Jags will be fine with ticket sales moving forward with or without Tebow. But if it takes reaching for Tebow to keep the team in Jax I'd just assume lose the team. I've been a fan since day one but I could not stomach watching an NFL team, my NFL team bow down to local college fans to reach for a guy just to maybe sell tickets. And I promise you, I am not close to the only Jaguars fan that feels this way, Nationally people seem to think Tebow would create some huge spike in sales, that locals all want Tebow no matter the cost. This is far from the case. Winning is what sells tickets more than anything else. And you don't build a winner by drafting players based on where they went to college and how many jerseys they might sell. On topic, if Singletary gets final says or close to it in regards to the draft, I'll be on the edge of my seat for those first round picks. He sure seems to love him some Tebow. But that's the only way I see it happening.
 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I think the Jags will be fine with ticket sales moving forward with or without Tebow. But if it takes reaching for Tebow to keep the team in Jax I'd just assume lose the team. I've been a fan since day one but I could not stomach watching an NFL team, my NFL team bow down to local college fans to reach for a guy just to maybe sell tickets. And I promise you, I am not close to the only Jaguars fan that feels this way, Nationally people seem to think Tebow would create some huge spike in sales, that locals all want Tebow no matter the cost. This is far from the case. Winning is what sells tickets more than anything else. And you don't build a winner by drafting players based on where they went to college and how many jerseys they might sell. On topic, if Singletary gets final says or close to it in regards to the draft, I'll be on the edge of my seat for those first round picks. He sure seems to love him some Tebow. But that's the only way I see it happening.
Just a question because you seem extremely convinced that Tebow will fail and he's not the best thing for the Jags and that you'd be pleased if they didn't take himHow would you feel if Tebow was drafted by another team and became a successful QB? Would you be upset if that happened?I only ask the above because you seem so convinced that Tebow won't make it and there may be indications that your team scouts see that say otherwise. If they go with those indications (and not bc of ticket sales) and end up being right, how long will it take you to come around?
 
I think the Jags will be fine with ticket sales moving forward with or without Tebow. But if it takes reaching for Tebow to keep the team in Jax I'd just assume lose the team. I've been a fan since day one but I could not stomach watching an NFL team, my NFL team bow down to local college fans to reach for a guy just to maybe sell tickets. And I promise you, I am not close to the only Jaguars fan that feels this way,
If both of you are against drafting Tebow, then they probably shouldn't.I kid!

 
It only makes sense since that was Schefter's lead today. Try something truly original or at least attribute the source

As for the idea, God help us all.

 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I think the Jags will be fine with ticket sales moving forward with or without Tebow. But if it takes reaching for Tebow to keep the team in Jax I'd just assume lose the team. I've been a fan since day one but I could not stomach watching an NFL team, my NFL team bow down to local college fans to reach for a guy just to maybe sell tickets. And I promise you, I am not close to the only Jaguars fan that feels this way, Nationally people seem to think Tebow would create some huge spike in sales, that locals all want Tebow no matter the cost. This is far from the case. Winning is what sells tickets more than anything else. And you don't build a winner by drafting players based on where they went to college and how many jerseys they might sell. On topic, if Singletary gets final says or close to it in regards to the draft, I'll be on the edge of my seat for those first round picks. He sure seems to love him some Tebow. But that's the only way I see it happening.
Just a question because you seem extremely convinced that Tebow will fail and he's not the best thing for the Jags and that you'd be pleased if they didn't take himHow would you feel if Tebow was drafted by another team and became a successful QB? Would you be upset if that happened?I only ask the above because you seem so convinced that Tebow won't make it and there may be indications that your team scouts see that say otherwise. If they go with those indications (and not bc of ticket sales) and end up being right, how long will it take you to come around?
First of all, I am far from convinced that Tebow will fail in the NFL. As a QB given proper time to develop, with his work ethic I think he certainly has a shot. If he plays other positions he could succeed in the NFL as well. My problem with Tebow as a Jaguar revolves around two issues. The first is the idea of taking him with the #10, which I consider a huge reach. The second and bigger issue is that if the Jaguars get him with the #10 or any other pick the local Gator fans and sports talk radio hosts(who are almost completely huge Gator homers) will create a QB controversy before he even has his first practice. The Jags will face constant pressure to start him before he has the time he will very likely need to develop. That's not good for the Jaguars or Tim Tebow. Things in Jacksonville are not as people seem to think nationally. Tebow has already polarized the locals to the extreme that many Jaguar fans don't want him here at all, even as a 7th rounder. College football is very big here and the fans of teams other than UF are getting sick of the Jaguars drafting Gators in the first round . If they take a Gator this year it will make 3 out of the last 4 years with a Gator in the first. Adding to that fire is the fact that taking these Gators haven't worked out on the field and ticket sales have actually decreased. Many Jaguar fans don't want Jacksonville to become Gainsville North, especially when the Gator fans aren't buying tickets anyways.And then you have the Gator homers led by several of the local radio hosts that, and this is 100% serious, think the Jaguars should trade up to made sure they get Tebow in the first round. Some are threatening to boycott the Jags if they don't take Timmy. Lines are being drawn in the sand so to speak. It's a mess. And poor Tim Tebow, who never asked for any of this is stuck in the middle. He's a local kid who played college ball at a very high level down the road and wants to live the dream by playing professionally for his hometown team. It could be a great story, but because of all the drama it's not that easy. At this point there are likely 31 other teams that would be a better fit for Tim Tebow. Heaven forbid he goes to one and becomes an a great pro, because some these locals would straight up lose their minds.
 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I remember this argument with the Texans and Vince Young.You know what else fills seats? Winning.
 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I remember this argument with the Texans and Vince Young.

You know what else fills seats? Winning.
Exactly- It's the cure all for attendance problems.
This argument might hold some weight elsewhere, but we're talking about Jacksonville, here. They've tried that winning thing. It didn't work.Look, Jacksonville has a .521 lifetime winning percentage, despite being a decade removed from expansion status. Their lifetime winning percentage is higher than Baltimore's, New England's, Washington's, or Pittsburgh's. They had a remarkable 45 wins from season 2 to season 5 of their existence, an UNHEARD OF number for an expansion franchise, yet during that period they failed to build a sizeable or stable fan base. By comparison... the Carolina Panthers have a lifetime winning percentage of .488. The Panthers have 4 winning seasons in their history... and the Jags had 4 in their first 5 years (7 all-time). The Panthers have never won 20 games in back-to-back seasons, while the Jags have done it six times. The Jags have done more than enough winning to build a fan base, by all measures... yet they've failed to. They're routinely getting outsold by Carolina and Houston (which didn't get its first winning season until year 8 and which has a .383 lifetime winning percentage). They're getting outsold by Cincinnati, which has a cheapskate owner and an abysmal recent history. They're getting outsold by the Arizona Cardinals, who went almost 50 years without a playoff win. They're getting outsold by THE DETROIT FREAKING LIONS, who have gone entire calender years without notching a single victory (and who play in the city that's probably in the worst economic straits in the entire country). It's not that they don't like football in Florida or anything, either- they *LOVE* football in Florida. Tampa Bay has managed to keep its pro team viable despite having a largely transplanted population and a lifetime .392 winning percentage. The Miami Dolphins regularly draw well despite there being a host of other things to do in Miami. The Gators, Seminoles, and Hurricanes all outdraw several professional franchises (including the Jags). High school football is probably bigger in Florida than anywhere else in the country other than Texas. Florida loves its football with a passion that rivals any of the traditional football hotbeds.

In 2005, Jacksonville was 12-4... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2006, they were a dark horse SB pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. In 2007, they went 11-5... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2008, they were again a trendy preseason pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. If this winning thing was going to cure anything, then it would have cured something already, because the Jaguars have done PLENTY of it (and have been predicted to do plenty more of it).

For some reason, the city has never embraced the team. Maybe everyone's too college crazy, maybe it's just the wide spread prevents the city from establishing an identity, maybe the team was never marketed well. I don't pretend to know the reasons why, but the simple fact is that Jacksonville doesn't love the Jaguars, and it's not because the Jaguars haven't lived up to their end of the bargain. The Jacksonville Jaguars are broken, and this is one instance where I don't think winning will cure anything. Which is an absolute shame, because the Jaguars deserve so much more than the city has given them, and because actual Jaguar fans don't deserve to be told that they just don't matter (which is what's happening with all the pandering to the UF alumni).

 
The 49ers have already spent 5 years trying to teach an Urban Meyer quarterback how to play in the NFL. Why would they start over with another?
Because if you look at recent 49er history, they love to repeat mistakes because they think they know what their doing.
 
Why do some many people think the Jaguars and their fans want Tebow?Gators fans around Jacksonville want the Jaguars to draft Tebow. Jaguars fans want the Jaguars to draft the player that is going to most improve the team. Trust me, in Jacksonville there is frequently a huge distinction between Jaguars fans and Gators fans who live around Jacksonville.
The Jaguars struggle with fans and attendance every year.If they can capture the legions of Tebow fans are not (but would become) Jaguars fans....then there is valid reason to think that the Jags will pick him.
 
I think the Colts will take Tebow if he drops into the 3rd. Will he drop that far? I doubt it. Tend to believe somebody will take him mid to late 2nd.

 
I have no idea what the 49ers or Jags will do but when did Tebow suddenly become a mid first rounder. Every report I have heard says 2nd or 3rd and any team taking him in the first would be taking a huge risk. I'm not a Tebow hater but he is going to need time and he is far from a sure thing.

 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I remember this argument with the Texans and Vince Young.

You know what else fills seats? Winning.
Exactly- It's the cure all for attendance problems.
This argument might hold some weight elsewhere, but we're talking about Jacksonville, here. They've tried that winning thing. It didn't work.Look, Jacksonville has a .521 lifetime winning percentage, despite being a decade removed from expansion status. Their lifetime winning percentage is higher than Baltimore's, New England's, Washington's, or Pittsburgh's. They had a remarkable 45 wins from season 2 to season 5 of their existence, an UNHEARD OF number for an expansion franchise, yet during that period they failed to build a sizeable or stable fan base. By comparison... the Carolina Panthers have a lifetime winning percentage of .488. The Panthers have 4 winning seasons in their history... and the Jags had 4 in their first 5 years (7 all-time). The Panthers have never won 20 games in back-to-back seasons, while the Jags have done it six times. The Jags have done more than enough winning to build a fan base, by all measures... yet they've failed to. They're routinely getting outsold by Carolina and Houston (which didn't get its first winning season until year 8 and which has a .383 lifetime winning percentage). They're getting outsold by Cincinnati, which has a cheapskate owner and an abysmal recent history. They're getting outsold by the Arizona Cardinals, who went almost 50 years without a playoff win. They're getting outsold by THE DETROIT FREAKING LIONS, who have gone entire calender years without notching a single victory (and who play in the city that's probably in the worst economic straits in the entire country). It's not that they don't like football in Florida or anything, either- they *LOVE* football in Florida. Tampa Bay has managed to keep its pro team viable despite having a largely transplanted population and a lifetime .392 winning percentage. The Miami Dolphins regularly draw well despite there being a host of other things to do in Miami. The Gators, Seminoles, and Hurricanes all outdraw several professional franchises (including the Jags). High school football is probably bigger in Florida than anywhere else in the country other than Texas. Florida loves its football with a passion that rivals any of the traditional football hotbeds.

In 2005, Jacksonville was 12-4... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2006, they were a dark horse SB pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. In 2007, they went 11-5... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2008, they were again a trendy preseason pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. If this winning thing was going to cure anything, then it would have cured something already, because the Jaguars have done PLENTY of it (and have been predicted to do plenty more of it).

For some reason, the city has never embraced the team. Maybe everyone's too college crazy, maybe it's just the wide spread prevents the city from establishing an identity, maybe the team was never marketed well. I don't pretend to know the reasons why, but the simple fact is that Jacksonville doesn't love the Jaguars, and it's not because the Jaguars haven't lived up to their end of the bargain. The Jacksonville Jaguars are broken, and this is one instance where I don't think winning will cure anything. Which is an absolute shame, because the Jaguars deserve so much more than the city has given them, and because actual Jaguar fans don't deserve to be told that they just don't matter (which is what's happening with all the pandering to the UF alumni).
:popcorn: I think it's jut the southeast perspective on football. They already have their professional football, and it's been there for a hundred years. Volunteers, Crimson Tide, Bulldogs, Gators, Runnin Rebels, and before Katrina hit the Saints were being predicted to move by some, I think Benson was even publicly mentioning it. Winning solves attendance problems elsewhere, but not Jacksonville.

You may see it as pandering if the Jags draft Tebow, but one could also just look at it as a partnership. The Jags should understand their market. If they can draft Tebow and stay competitive (if they take him in round 3, it's not awfully painful) then there is no reason not to, even if you consider it to be a negative motivation to do so. It's an opportunity to gain more fans, and possibly fans for the long term. Is that a bad thing?

I remember having an argument with someone last year about the Jags not drafting the Gator safety, merely because he's from UF. I didn't think the Jags would do it, but pre-draft he linked me to articles projecting otherwise and they stated one of the motivations was that he was from UF. Sure enough, they did draft him.

 
The 2009 season was a disaster for the Jaguars and was embarrassing for the team and the city. That level of fan support is unacceptable and if it continues the the city doesn't deserve to keep the team. Attendance was less than 50k for 6 of the 8 home games which is a joke. That said Jacksonville still finished in front of 2 teams(one of which was Detroit, thank you very much) in home attendance, drawing more than 5k a game more than Oakland. To hear some people talk you'd think the Jaguars had far and away the worse attendance in the League.

So 2009 season aside, in the 5 previous seasons, 2004-2008 Jacksonville never had less than 60k for a home game and only had less than 65k a handful of times. In spite of being one of the smallest markets(if not the smallest when you add in surrounding area) Jacksonville has consistently put up decent attendance numbers. Jacksonville is not even close to the perennial cellar dweller in attendance that many claim and painting them as a city with a history of major attendance issues is far from accurate.

 
The 2009 season was a disaster for the Jaguars and was embarrassing for the team and the city. That level of fan support is unacceptable and if it continues the the city doesn't deserve to keep the team. Attendance was less than 50k for 6 of the 8 home games which is a joke. That said Jacksonville still finished in front of 2 teams(one of which was Detroit, thank you very much) in home attendance, drawing more than 5k a game more than Oakland. To hear some people talk you'd think the Jaguars had far and away the worse attendance in the League. So 2009 season aside, in the 5 previous seasons, 2004-2008 Jacksonville never had less than 60k for a home game and only had less than 65k a handful of times. In spite of being one of the smallest markets(if not the smallest when you add in surrounding area) Jacksonville has consistently put up decent attendance numbers. Jacksonville is not even close to the perennial cellar dweller in attendance that many claim and painting them as a city with a history of major attendance issues is far from accurate.
The USFL Jacksonville Bulls drew almost as well as the 2009 Jaguars.
 
I have no idea what the 49ers or Jags will do but when did Tebow suddenly become a mid first rounder. Every report I have heard says 2nd or 3rd and any team taking him in the first would be taking a huge risk. I'm not a Tebow hater but he is going to need time and he is far from a sure thing.
No matter where he goes, ultimately, he'll prove to be a good pick.Can't read defenses? Ha. That is by far the worst criticism I hear about this guy.Pip Rivers has a wierd delivery too. Tebow is that type of player QB-wise (albeit with further development), but add a TON more athleticism when scrambling to make plays. Dude is a flat out playmaker. And he seems golden in terms of intangibles.Year 1: Wildcat QBYear 2: Wildcat/StarterYear 3: StarAll this of course is barring injuries. That is really the only criticism of this guy's game that's been truly meaningful. Just watch.
 
I think the Colts will take Tebow if he drops into the 3rd. Will he drop that far? I doubt it. Tend to believe somebody will take him mid to late 2nd.
Being an Indy homer and a Manning fan, I for one would love to see Indy pick up Tebow and let Peyton guide him to a great future. He is a great quarterback and this is coming from his number 1 female fan. Go Peyton! Go Tebow!
 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I remember this argument with the Texans and Vince Young.

You know what else fills seats? Winning.
Exactly- It's the cure all for attendance problems.
This argument might hold some weight elsewhere, but we're talking about Jacksonville, here. They've tried that winning thing. It didn't work.Look, Jacksonville has a .521 lifetime winning percentage, despite being a decade removed from expansion status. Their lifetime winning percentage is higher than Baltimore's, New England's, Washington's, or Pittsburgh's. They had a remarkable 45 wins from season 2 to season 5 of their existence, an UNHEARD OF number for an expansion franchise, yet during that period they failed to build a sizeable or stable fan base. By comparison... the Carolina Panthers have a lifetime winning percentage of .488. The Panthers have 4 winning seasons in their history... and the Jags had 4 in their first 5 years (7 all-time). The Panthers have never won 20 games in back-to-back seasons, while the Jags have done it six times. The Jags have done more than enough winning to build a fan base, by all measures... yet they've failed to. They're routinely getting outsold by Carolina and Houston (which didn't get its first winning season until year 8 and which has a .383 lifetime winning percentage). They're getting outsold by Cincinnati, which has a cheapskate owner and an abysmal recent history. They're getting outsold by the Arizona Cardinals, who went almost 50 years without a playoff win. They're getting outsold by THE DETROIT FREAKING LIONS, who have gone entire calender years without notching a single victory (and who play in the city that's probably in the worst economic straits in the entire country). It's not that they don't like football in Florida or anything, either- they *LOVE* football in Florida. Tampa Bay has managed to keep its pro team viable despite having a largely transplanted population and a lifetime .392 winning percentage. The Miami Dolphins regularly draw well despite there being a host of other things to do in Miami. The Gators, Seminoles, and Hurricanes all outdraw several professional franchises (including the Jags). High school football is probably bigger in Florida than anywhere else in the country other than Texas. Florida loves its football with a passion that rivals any of the traditional football hotbeds.

In 2005, Jacksonville was 12-4... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2006, they were a dark horse SB pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. In 2007, they went 11-5... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2008, they were again a trendy preseason pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. If this winning thing was going to cure anything, then it would have cured something already, because the Jaguars have done PLENTY of it (and have been predicted to do plenty more of it).

For some reason, the city has never embraced the team. Maybe everyone's too college crazy, maybe it's just the wide spread prevents the city from establishing an identity, maybe the team was never marketed well. I don't pretend to know the reasons why, but the simple fact is that Jacksonville doesn't love the Jaguars, and it's not because the Jaguars haven't lived up to their end of the bargain. The Jacksonville Jaguars are broken, and this is one instance where I don't think winning will cure anything. Which is an absolute shame, because the Jaguars deserve so much more than the city has given them, and because actual Jaguar fans don't deserve to be told that they just don't matter (which is what's happening with all the pandering to the UF alumni).
Damn :lmao:

 
Cause if you want the Jags to stay in Jacksonville, you need people to start attending games. 50K avg Jax game vs 90K gators game. Doesn't take a brain surgeon.
I remember this argument with the Texans and Vince Young.

You know what else fills seats? Winning.
Exactly- It's the cure all for attendance problems.
This argument might hold some weight elsewhere, but we're talking about Jacksonville, here. They've tried that winning thing. It didn't work.Look, Jacksonville has a .521 lifetime winning percentage, despite being a decade removed from expansion status. Their lifetime winning percentage is higher than Baltimore's, New England's, Washington's, or Pittsburgh's. They had a remarkable 45 wins from season 2 to season 5 of their existence, an UNHEARD OF number for an expansion franchise, yet during that period they failed to build a sizeable or stable fan base. By comparison... the Carolina Panthers have a lifetime winning percentage of .488. The Panthers have 4 winning seasons in their history... and the Jags had 4 in their first 5 years (7 all-time). The Panthers have never won 20 games in back-to-back seasons, while the Jags have done it six times. The Jags have done more than enough winning to build a fan base, by all measures... yet they've failed to. They're routinely getting outsold by Carolina and Houston (which didn't get its first winning season until year 8 and which has a .383 lifetime winning percentage). They're getting outsold by Cincinnati, which has a cheapskate owner and an abysmal recent history. They're getting outsold by the Arizona Cardinals, who went almost 50 years without a playoff win. They're getting outsold by THE DETROIT FREAKING LIONS, who have gone entire calender years without notching a single victory (and who play in the city that's probably in the worst economic straits in the entire country). It's not that they don't like football in Florida or anything, either- they *LOVE* football in Florida. Tampa Bay has managed to keep its pro team viable despite having a largely transplanted population and a lifetime .392 winning percentage. The Miami Dolphins regularly draw well despite there being a host of other things to do in Miami. The Gators, Seminoles, and Hurricanes all outdraw several professional franchises (including the Jags). High school football is probably bigger in Florida than anywhere else in the country other than Texas. Florida loves its football with a passion that rivals any of the traditional football hotbeds.

In 2005, Jacksonville was 12-4... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2006, they were a dark horse SB pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. In 2007, they went 11-5... and couldn't sell out their games. In 2008, they were again a trendy preseason pick... and they couldn't sell out their games. If this winning thing was going to cure anything, then it would have cured something already, because the Jaguars have done PLENTY of it (and have been predicted to do plenty more of it).

For some reason, the city has never embraced the team. Maybe everyone's too college crazy, maybe it's just the wide spread prevents the city from establishing an identity, maybe the team was never marketed well. I don't pretend to know the reasons why, but the simple fact is that Jacksonville doesn't love the Jaguars, and it's not because the Jaguars haven't lived up to their end of the bargain. The Jacksonville Jaguars are broken, and this is one instance where I don't think winning will cure anything. Which is an absolute shame, because the Jaguars deserve so much more than the city has given them, and because actual Jaguar fans don't deserve to be told that they just don't matter (which is what's happening with all the pandering to the UF alumni).
When did Detroit out sell Jacksonville?

 
Drafting Florida players is not a bad idea, Jimmy Johnson did it and help bring some Superbowls to Dallas but you have to draft the "right" Florida player and TT is NOT one.

 
Wadsworth said:
When did Detroit out sell Jacksonville?
Last year. You know, when the Lions sold out four times as many home games as the Jags.You want to go by raw attendance totals, that's fine, too. Jacksonville averaged 264 more tickets sold per game despite playing in a stadium with 8,000 more seats. So yeah, I guess by that measure (rather than the blackouts measure), then they did just barely manage to outsell a professional football team that had gone 21 months without a win and that played in the city with the in the worst economic shape of any NFL city.

 
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Wadsworth said:
When did Detroit out sell Jacksonville?
Last year. You know, when the Lions sold out four times as many home games as the Jags.You want to go by raw attendance totals, that's fine, too. Jacksonville averaged 264 more tickets sold per game despite playing in a stadium with 8,000 more seats. So yeah, I guess by that measure (rather than the blackouts measure), then they did just barely manage to outsell a professional football team that had gone 21 months without a win and that played in the city with the in the worst economic shape of any NFL city.
What an interesting way to say you were wrong.
 
What an interesting way to say you were wrong.
Like I said, I was going off of blackout data. The Jags sold out one game. The Lions sold out four. I hadn't seen the average attendance figures on ESPN, but even then, the Lions essentially matched the Jags in raw attendance and readily outstripped the Jags in terms of percentage of tickets sold. I'm sticking to my position- the Lions outsold the Jags last year.If you want to play the "nah bro, the Jags totally sold 200 more tickets per game" card and use this as evidence of... well, anything, really... then be my guest. Even if you point to raw attendance figures, the fact that you're even having an argument over whether or not the Jags had more fans attend than the worst team in NFL history playing in a city in the midst of major economic crisis kind of demonstrates just how terrible Jags ticket sales are. Look how many people dropped their Jags tickets the second the economy went south, compared to every other sports team. It really proves that Jacksonville does not love the Jags. They like them well enough, but when it comes to making decisions about finances, the Jags tickets are the first things to go.
 

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