The following was an analysis that I did for my league at the start of this year because I (commish) wanted to move more in the PPR direction. Like many have said, it is based on preference. Not all positions need to be equal but it helps all positions in the draft in case you want that WR in RD 2 or too many RBs are taken by the time it comes back to you in RD 3. Do you want to settle for a lower calibur RB or take the WR who may put up similar numbers to a 2nd tier RB.
Anyway, heres the study I did
Ok guys, I have been crunching numbers for the past 3 hours and here is what I came up with:
I took the top 25 Running backs, the top 25 Wide Receivers and the top 15 Tight Ends and calculated their total points that they would have had last year. These rankings were based on the players production last year, not rankings in a book or even more importantly my own depth charts. I evaluated what these players would have done with no ppr, and then I added .5 and 1 ppr for Running backs, 1 ppr for Wide Receivers and 1 and 1.5 ppr for Tight Ends. There was no adding in performance points (ie- 100 yard games, 40+ yard TDS, etc).
Here is what I found:
In a no ppr league there were 4 Rbs over 300+ points, 5 over 200+ points and 12 over 150+ points. That makes a total of 21/25 RBs over 150+ points with no ppr. Then I added .5 ppr for RBs and this was the result: 4 Rbs over 300+ points, 8 over 200+ points and 10 over 150+ points. Not a big difference pushing 22/25 backs over the 150+ point total. Now I added the 1 ppr equation and this was the result: 5 Rbs over 300+ points, 9 over 200+ points and 11 over 150+ points making all 25/25 backs 150+ points and over with 1 ppr.
Onto Wide Receivers: (which did not include any rushing stats but most receivers don’t have huge rushing numbers that would affect this experiment.)
In an no ppr league there were 0 Wrs over 300+ points, 3 over 200+ points and 9 over 150+ points making it 12/25 WRs that were over 150+ points with no ppr. That is less then half for those of you who have not worked with Math lately. Then I added the 1 ppr that WRs would get in our new rules and here was the conclusion: 2 WRs were over the 300+ point mark (with 2 more in the 290s), 16 WRs over 200+ points and 5 WRs over 150+ points giving us 23/25 Receivers who would have been 150+ point producers last year given the 1 ppr.
Now if you look at the numbers with the ppr added in the way we would have it this year it gives us 22/25 backs that are 150+ point producers and 23/25 WRs who are 150+ point producers. This seems a lot more equitable then with out ppr where you get this: 21/25 backs were 150+ point producers and only 12/25 WRs were 150+ point producers.
Last but not least, the Tight Ends, who benefit the most with a 1.5 ppr if the motion passes. I calculated Tight Ends with no ppr, 1 ppr and 1.5 ppr. Here was the result: With no ppr there were no TEs with 300+ or 200+ points and there was only 1 who was over 150+ points (guess who that was). Then I added 1 ppr and here is what happened: There were still 0 over the 300+ point barrier but there were 2 TEs over the 200+ point mark and 5 who were over 150+ points making it 7/15 over 150+ points. Then I added the 1.5 ppr that we would instill this year and here were the results. 1 TE over 300+ points, 6 over 200+ points and 4 TEs over 150+ points making it 11/15 TEs over 150+ points.
Again the reason for adding different points for different positions is to balance out the positions. This new system will not solve all of the problems in a fantasy league but it does give a team more options when drafting, trading and managing because there is more equality in each position.
I know that I have way too much time on my hands but thank you for reading this as it is important each owner understands the rules of the league and why I would want to change the rules a certain way.
The league voted overwhelmingly to give PPR a try. It has been working well so far
