This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
Yes please answer this one. Will Adrian be back to his old ways against the Cowboys this week?Also which of the Jags DBs and Safeties are good plays this week.
I don't think Urlacher's start has been that bad. He's had two poor games and last week's game against DET can all but be thrown out -- that trend declared itself early this season and Urlacher's box score should've been expected. The Carolina game was disappointing in Week 2, but it's worth noting that the Bear DTs made nine solo tackles in that game. The other three games have all been solid, including two games with eight solos each.I'd like to see more consistency and a few more coverage plays to even out the tackle numbers, but I wouldn't be too worried about Urlacher at this point. He should still be putting up high LB2 numbers (or better) over the remainder of the season.
Certainly been impressed with the all-around play of Matt Roth thus far. He's been better in run support than I expected, looks more dynamic off the edge from a two point stance than he showed as an end and he held his own in coverage a couple of times last weekend in the limited snaps I saw. However, he falls into the same category that all 3-4 OLB do with regard to box score value. He'll need a well above-average number of big plays to overcome his limited tackle upside.
This is a pretty broad question that's very dependent on scoring system, league size and lineup slots.I'm a tier guy, so I'm generally using some statistical plateaus and gestalts when discussing those tiers. For example, in a balanced scoring system, I'd usually tier players out something like the following -- we'll look at defensive linemen but you can do similar things for the other positions.DL1 -- 45 solo-10 sack potential or better (Allen, Williams, Kampman, etc)**Usually two way 4-3 defensive ends who produce in run support and regularly get pressure on the QBDL1/DL2 -- 40/8 with upside (Carter, Peppers, Schobel, Burgess, etc)**Two way defensive ends with a minor flaw (disappear in run support at times, lack of a second pass rush move, poor surrounding cast/opportunity)**Very talented defensive tackles who play a three-technique roleDL2 -- 50/5 or 35/10 (Grant, Abraham, etal)**One dimensional pass rushers who don't provide much in run support or talented run supporters without an explosive pass rush**Elite 3-4 ends or other DTs that play in a scheme/defense that allows them to make playsDL3+ -- 35/6 with upside or 45/3 (Long, White, etc0**Any of the above with more than one question mark but could have intermittently big production against the right matchupThe linebacker tiers, for me, are primarily based off solo tackles -- 100+, 92+, 88+, 82+ and below 80. Coverage or pass rush ability and opportunity move guys around a half tier up or down as needed. For example, Ernie Sims has 92+ solo tackle potential, but I'll leave him in a lower LB2/3 tier because of his lack of peripheral stat value, whereas a Karlos Dansby may sit in the 88 solo LB2/3 tier but get bumped into the LB2 tier because of his well above-average peripheral stats.Defensive backs are often a mess. Essentially, I've got three DB tiers.DB1 -- Anyone with 75+ solo upside or 65 solo/double digit PD upside.DB2 -- 65 solos likely with a enough talent to push for 70 solos or big coverage statsDB3 -- 65 solos and below with a major question markEssentially, that's a huge DB2 tier and a monstrous DB3 tier. I'm willing to breakout the LBs into very small statistical tiers, but think it's folly to do the same to the DBs for any number of reasons.
As dinged as this defense is right now, any safety is worth owning. I still like Rouse to emerge long term, but whichever safety plays in the box is the primary target for now. Alongside Charles Woodson, Tramon Williams should continue to see plenty of opportunity.
Adams becomes a nickel/dime player when Jones returns. He might have some value against the right matchup, but he won't be very consistent. No reason to hold him in a dynasty hoping for long term value.
Wilson played only on third down snaps last week. He actually looked to be moving okay, but there's more competition than ever for tackles and big plays ahead of him in the front seven. I was hoping to see a 65-70 solo, multiple big play season this year and a return to the top ten -- essentially a Troy Polamalu-like inconsistent season. There's no sign of that happening at this point, making him a high upside DB3.
Jordon Dizon is still at the head of this list. Keith Rivers could earn full time duty by year's end, which would increase his week-to-week value significantly. An off-the-radar name that still stands out to me is Bryan Kehl, who looked much closer to an expanded role in W1 than he does now but might be an every-down player at some point this season.
