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Rank the top 10 RB over next 5 years. (current NFL) (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter SCT
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Burning Sensation
Footballguy
1. AP
2. SJax
3. Addai
4. Bush
5. Lynch
6. Westbrook
7. LT
8. FWP
9. LJ
10. Norwood
2. SJax
3. Addai
4. Bush
5. Lynch
6. Westbrook
7. LT
8. FWP
9. LJ
10. Norwood
greggorymac
Footballguy
Are you guys from the ATL area? What has Norwood done to even remotely be speculated as a top 10 back? The Falcons are going to be very bad for the next several years.
broncofan13000
Footballguy
Gore has fallen off the map...
Craig_MiamiFL
Footballguy
I agree. Something smells fishy. Same 10 guys, yet both include Norwood (who would struggle to make a # of Top 20's).
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1. ADP
2. Addai
3. SJax
4. LT
5. R. Brown
6. Parker
7. Lynch
8. Westbrook
9. Bush
10. Jacobs
also considered: LJ, Gore, Mcgahee, Edge, MJD, FatDale, K. Jones, M. Barber... in fact those guys and the bottom of the list are pretty much interchangeable. Outside of the top 7 there's a real drop in quality as everyone else has injury issues, is sharing time, is on a bad team, or just has issues in general.
I probably forgot someone though.
2. Addai
3. SJax
4. LT
5. R. Brown
6. Parker
7. Lynch
8. Westbrook
9. Bush
10. Jacobs
also considered: LJ, Gore, Mcgahee, Edge, MJD, FatDale, K. Jones, M. Barber... in fact those guys and the bottom of the list are pretty much interchangeable. Outside of the top 7 there's a real drop in quality as everyone else has injury issues, is sharing time, is on a bad team, or just has issues in general.
I probably forgot someone though.
1. SJax - Stl will draft lots of OL to help SJax and Bulger after this years injury problems.
2. ADP - Lack of passing game will eventually keep him from being as good as he could be.
3. Addai - Great system and supporting cast, but what happens when Harrison is done.
4. KJ - Looking good and he's still recovering. Receiving yards will be why he's this high.
5. Jacobs - Underrated run blocking line helps this 'giant' bulldoze his way to yards and TDs.
6. MBIII - Should be the man in Dallas starting next year.
7. R.Brown - I actually am not that big a fan, but he was tearing it up before the injury.
8. R.Bush - Don't think he's a great RB, but receiving yards should help him.
9. M.Bush - see below*
10.Lynch - Ran out of names.
*I like Michael Bush's potential and we already know Oak is pretty decent w/ the running game this year. Look at what Jordan and Fargas have done with it. Lamont will be cut by next season (4.7 mill) and Fargas shouldn't be able to hold of Bush even if he is re-signed.
I don't think players like LT2, Westbrook, LJ and Portis last another 5 years after this season. Gore probably won't either.
FWP might, but how effective do you think he'll be those latter years? I have no idea which team Michael Turner ends up on, so I left him off. Don't think Norwood is the guy Petrino wants. If it was still a zone blocking scheme in ATL, Norwood would of been on my list.
2. ADP - Lack of passing game will eventually keep him from being as good as he could be.
3. Addai - Great system and supporting cast, but what happens when Harrison is done.
4. KJ - Looking good and he's still recovering. Receiving yards will be why he's this high.
5. Jacobs - Underrated run blocking line helps this 'giant' bulldoze his way to yards and TDs.
6. MBIII - Should be the man in Dallas starting next year.
7. R.Brown - I actually am not that big a fan, but he was tearing it up before the injury.
8. R.Bush - Don't think he's a great RB, but receiving yards should help him.
9. M.Bush - see below*
10.Lynch - Ran out of names.
*I like Michael Bush's potential and we already know Oak is pretty decent w/ the running game this year. Look at what Jordan and Fargas have done with it. Lamont will be cut by next season (4.7 mill) and Fargas shouldn't be able to hold of Bush even if he is re-signed.
I don't think players like LT2, Westbrook, LJ and Portis last another 5 years after this season. Gore probably won't either.
FWP might, but how effective do you think he'll be those latter years? I have no idea which team Michael Turner ends up on, so I left him off. Don't think Norwood is the guy Petrino wants. If it was still a zone blocking scheme in ATL, Norwood would of been on my list.
Fear The Turtle
Footballguy
M. Turner maybe.
TheDemon
Footballguy
What happens? He racks up 100 yards rushing and receiving in a game.
This summer, someone here had an awesome post (with backup data) that stated that there is a 50% turnover in the top 10 RB's every year, with many of them never making it back into the top 10 in subsequent years. It is certainly true this year and if this NFL-wide passing trend continues, it will continue to ring true.
That said, I'll bet that only three of the guys you listed might be on this list in 5 years. I know you said over the next 5 years, but the dramatic turnover is evident year after year.
Just like ADP burst on the scene this year, there will probably be 1-2 of those every year for the next 5 years, meaning that you could theortically have 5-7 newcomers who aren't even in the NFL.
My list would start with, ADP, Lynch, Bush.....and i'll bet the rest of the list is still playing in college.
That said, I'll bet that only three of the guys you listed might be on this list in 5 years. I know you said over the next 5 years, but the dramatic turnover is evident year after year.
Just like ADP burst on the scene this year, there will probably be 1-2 of those every year for the next 5 years, meaning that you could theortically have 5-7 newcomers who aren't even in the NFL.
My list would start with, ADP, Lynch, Bush.....and i'll bet the rest of the list is still playing in college.
timschochet
Footballguy
ADP is the only guy (barring injury) that we can be sure belongs on this list, which most likely will be filled with guys we haven't seen yet. Look for Chris Wells to claim a spot towards the top...
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
ADP, Addai, Lynch, Bush, Maroney (thats right I said Maroney). These 5 guys will be still be running hard 5 yrs from now.
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
No one isn't evening going to remember him 3 yrs from now.
NatronIsMean
Footballguy
1. Addai
2. LT
3. MB III
4. Lynch
5. SJax
6. FWP
7. Bush
8. Gore
9. Michael "Burner" Turner
10. MJD
I just think this whole AP thing is a fad that will fade soon.
EDIT:
Close:
Betts
Norwood and Leon Washington (change of pace only?)
Chris Henry (who knows, has looked good)
In the picture, but injuries make me worried. The whole 5 years thing.... that's a loooong time in the life of a RB:
Portis
LJ
Jacobs
And yes, I was kidding about AP. He's #1 obviously.
2. LT
3. MB III
4. Lynch
5. SJax
6. FWP
7. Bush
8. Gore
9. Michael "Burner" Turner
10. MJD
I just think this whole AP thing is a fad that will fade soon.
EDIT:
Close:
Betts
Norwood and Leon Washington (change of pace only?)
Chris Henry (who knows, has looked good)
In the picture, but injuries make me worried. The whole 5 years thing.... that's a loooong time in the life of a RB:
Portis
LJ
Jacobs
And yes, I was kidding about AP. He's #1 obviously.
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sad pandas
Footballguy
no love for Chris Henry (Ten) huh? Kid is only 21...when FatDale is moved to the OL in 2 yrs, this kid will destroy...i'd put him in the top ten at least
dgreen
Footballguy
fsufan
Footballguy
i only look 3 years out
dgreen
Footballguy
A. Portis and Betts each entered the league in 2002. Betts has missed more games due to injury than Portis. And, some of the games Portis has missed has been partially due to the team being out of contention and they sit him for the season even though he could have returned.B. Portis is two years younger than Betts.
Anyone that's watched him this year has seen a guy that looks NOTHING like the Denver guy. It looks like he has no explosion anymore. I like the guy and he gives his all, but watching him run is totally different now.
dgreen
Footballguy
I've seen every carry of his since he came to Washington. Saying he has "no explosion" is an exaggeration. Is it what he it used to be? Probably not. But, I wouldn't say he's declined to the point of a 34 year old. He finally had holes to run through against the Jets and hit them well. He hadn't had holes like that since week 1 against Miami.He's still one of the better backs in the league at the age of 26 and it shocks me that NOBODY has him in their top 10 so far in this thread.Anyone that's watched him this year has seen a guy that looks NOTHING like the Denver guy. It looks like he has no explosion anymore. I like the guy and he gives his all, but watching him run is totally different now.
The guy has all the tools to be special. Give him some time to learn the game and were looking at a top 10 RB.For those who accuse him of steroids, the drug he tested positive for was ALLOWED just last season. It wasn't one of the major performance enhancing drugs and was just recently put on the banned list.Burning Sensation
Footballguy
I agree, everyone will remember him in 3 years, because he will still be playing at a Probowl level.KellysHeroes said:
AtomicDogg97
Footballguy
Is this a serious statement?KellysHeroes said:
North
Footballguy
I have to agree with MBIII. After Dallas lets JJones go this off season and the running duties fall on MBIII, he will put up monster #'s. That is if they don't go out and pick up another back for him to share carries with.
Sabertooth
Footballguy
Not looking at anybody else's list
1. ADP
2. Joseph Addai
3. Ronnie Brown
4. Steven Jackson
5. Maurice Jones-Drew
6. Reggie Bush
7. Brandon Jacobs
8. LenDale White
9. Laurence Maroney
10. Frank Gore
1. ADP
2. Joseph Addai
3. Ronnie Brown
4. Steven Jackson
5. Maurice Jones-Drew
6. Reggie Bush
7. Brandon Jacobs
8. LenDale White
9. Laurence Maroney
10. Frank Gore
fsufan
Footballguy
I agree MBIII will put up good #s if he is the #1 RB next year but do not be surprised if Dallas trades up to get McFadden. Jones has followed his career and is in love with the guy.
Steelers4Life
Footballguy
1. Peterson
2. LT
3. Addai
4. Jackson
5. Gore
6. Lynch
7. R. Brown
8. K. Jones
9. Barber
10. MJD
If I pull LT out because of age concerns, I'd stick Willie Parker or Bush at the back of the list. I like these 10 the most because they are all powerful, all-purpose runners who I expect to be able to take the pounding of being an everydown RB, catch passes, and run effectively inside. A couple like Lynch and ADP aren't really involved in the passing game yet, but they will be soon enough.
2. LT
3. Addai
4. Jackson
5. Gore
6. Lynch
7. R. Brown
8. K. Jones
9. Barber
10. MJD
If I pull LT out because of age concerns, I'd stick Willie Parker or Bush at the back of the list. I like these 10 the most because they are all powerful, all-purpose runners who I expect to be able to take the pounding of being an everydown RB, catch passes, and run effectively inside. A couple like Lynch and ADP aren't really involved in the passing game yet, but they will be soon enough.
el-gato-grande
Footballguy
Michael Turner will absolutely be top 5 on this list...maybe even top 3 depending on what team he lands on and whether he platoons at the position. Lots of tread on his tires and he has proven nearly unstoppable when given a significant number of carries.
1. Adrian Peterson
2. Maurice Jones-Drew
3. Reggie Bush
4. Joseph Addai
5. Marshawn Lynch
6. Kevin Jones
7. Marion Barber III
8. Brandon Jacobs
9. Steven Jackson
10. LenDale White
I see Ladainian Tomlinson and Larry Johnson falling off a cliff (FF-wise, not literally) in the next few years. Ladainian and Larry Johnson will both be 33 in five years.
2. Maurice Jones-Drew
3. Reggie Bush
4. Joseph Addai
5. Marshawn Lynch
6. Kevin Jones
7. Marion Barber III
8. Brandon Jacobs
9. Steven Jackson
10. LenDale White
I see Ladainian Tomlinson and Larry Johnson falling off a cliff (FF-wise, not literally) in the next few years. Ladainian and Larry Johnson will both be 33 in five years.
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Burning Sensation
Footballguy
I believe you are in the minority here, i dont even think other Turner owners are as dilusional as you.
Burning Sensation
Footballguy
I agree, but LT will still put up good enough numbers over the next 3 years to earn a spot in the top 10.
Synthesizer
Footballguy
We haven't heard a peep about LT this year but he's still on pace for 1800 yards and 16 TDs. He's always had great vision and a nose for the endzone so he'll probably close out his career in a similar way to Emmitt.... a few more top 10 seasons and then a few top 20 seasons.
Synthesizer
Footballguy
I don't quite understand the Ronnie Brown love. If we're talking about a 5 year span and he's already going to miss 20% of it, he better be pretty damn good over those other 4 years to justify ranking him ahead of Bush, Barber, MJD. Oh damn, I see someone has him ranked at #3 ahead of SJackson. Not a chance.
Real Man of Genius
Footballguy
LJ will be 29 this month, right? He shouldn't be on any of these lists.
Burning Sensation
Footballguy
My original list was just the 10 players the OP listed. My top 10 list would look something like this:
1. AD
2. SJax
3. Addai
4. Bush
5. Lynch
6. KJones
7. Gore
8. MJD
9. Mcgahee
10. Tomlinson
HM: MBush, Portis, LWhite, MBarber.
Also, with the amount of teams with holes at RB and the depth of RB's in this years draft class, i would bet that Mcfadden wont be the only one to knock some current players of this list.
1. AD
2. SJax
3. Addai
4. Bush
5. Lynch
6. KJones
7. Gore
8. MJD
9. Mcgahee
10. Tomlinson
HM: MBush, Portis, LWhite, MBarber.
Also, with the amount of teams with holes at RB and the depth of RB's in this years draft class, i would bet that Mcfadden wont be the only one to knock some current players of this list.
tri-man 47
Footballguy
Disagree. I'm on the Turner bus.
Burning Sensation
Footballguy
OK, even if you are, top 3-5, you guys cant be serious.
PranksterJD
Footballguy
Like anything else with RBs, the runner's situation is the key. I'm very high on Turner, and have been sitting on him for WAAAY too long in my dynasty leagues, but I think top 3-5 is a stretch **right now**. However, if he lands behind a solid O-line then he's certainly a contender to put up very, very good numbers. If not, then he could be a long shot for the top 10. Either way, I believe his floor is RB10-15 in any scheme next year, which makes him a solid fantasy RB2. If he goes somewhere that can block for him, top 5 is certainly not out of the question.
You both could be right. Over the exact same 5 year age period, Emmitt was RB7. Although, Emmitt was one of only two players aged 30+ in the Top 10. The ages of the Top 10 RB's at the end of that time frame were: 29, 29, 29, 29, 28, 30, 33, 24, and 28.We haven't heard a peep about LT this year but he's still on pace for 1800 yards and 16 TDs. He's always had great vision and a nose for the endzone so he'll probably close out his career in a similar way to Emmitt.... a few more top 10 seasons and then a few top 20 seasons.
