RB & Fantasy Playoffs (1 Viewer)

[David Yudkin]

Long story short, here's what I found. To clarify, by "starter" I mean the majority ball carrier for his team in that given week.

In 2005, there were 20 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 15 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1.

In 2004, there were 20 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 15 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1.

In 2003, there were 19 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 13 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1.

I will turn this into an article if I have the time, but this tells me that you might be able to get to the playoffs on the strength of RB you drafted, but you will likely need to rely more on other positions to get through the playoffs (or a lot of RB depth).

 

[The Jerk]

Long story short, here's what I found.  To clarify, by "starter" I mean the majority ball carrier for his team in that given week.

In 2005, there were 20 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 15 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1. 

In 2004, there were 20 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 15 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1. 

In 2003, there were 19 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 13 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1.

I will turn this into an article if I have the time, but this tells me that you might be able to get to the playoffs on the strength of RB you drafted, but you will likely need to rely more on other positions to get through the playoffs (or a lot of RB depth).

DY, thanks for another gem. I'd be interested to know how many of these new "starters" had replaced consensus first-round RBs, second-round RBs, third-round RBs (by ADP), etc. That would be illuminating as far as strategic adaptation as well.Some will interpret this as a reason to go even further into a draft multiple RB early approach. The problem is that a significant number of these early drafted RBs will bust either do to injury or performance. I think handcuffing as a strategy is enhanced by this data and also the importance of a well-rounded team.

My initial strategic thought is that you do want to lock up one reliable RB and his backup (i.e., one "team"), then balance between augmenting the other positions whiile looking for a second RB by taking one shot in round 3-4, one shot in rounds 5-7, and one or more later-round fliers. I'd also expect to be very active in free agency as the expected turnover ensues.

Edited to rearrange content

 

[Jeff Pasquino]

Yuds,

Excellent research.

I think we knew this, but to see the hard data regarding the RB turnover is something to really note.

It should be noted that while this is a fact, you may have very well needed that starting RB from Week 1 to get to the playoffs in the first place.

Many a Fantasy League that has been won by not sticking with the girl you came with to the dance.

 

[mr blond]

Long story short, here's what I found.  To clarify, by "starter" I mean the majority ball carrier for his team in that given week.

In 2005, there were 20 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 15 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1. 

In 2004, there were 20 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 15 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1. 

In 2003, there were 19 RB that started at least 1 game in Weeks 14-16 including 13 RB that started Week 16 that were not starters or primary ball carriers in Week 1.

I will turn this into an article if I have the time, but this tells me that you might be able to get to the playoffs on the strength of RB you drafted, but you will likely need to rely more on other positions to get through the playoffs (or a lot of RB depth).

DY, thanks for another gem. I'd be interested to know how many of these new "starters" had replaced consensus first-round RBs, second-round RBs, third-round RBs (by ADP), etc. That would be illuminating as far as strategic adaptation as well.Some will interpret this as a reason to go even further into a draft multiple RB early approach. The problem is that a significant number of these early drafted RBs will bust either do to injury or performance. I think handcuffing as a strategy is enhanced by this data and also the importance of a well-rounded team.

My initial strategic thought is that you do want to lock up one reliable RB and his backup (i.e., one "team"), then balance between augmenting the other positions whiile looking for a second RB by taking one shot in round 3-4, one shot in rounds 5-7, and one or more later-round fliers. I'd also expect to be very active in free agency as the expected turnover ensues.

Edited to rearrange content

Yeah, I'd be interested in seeing this too. My initial thought is that this supports the importance of RB depth and/or handcuffs.great work David.