Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
This week and next week many teams and owners will be faced with the challenge of 6 different teams on a bye. Many of you will have to scramble for an RB2 this week or flex player in your line up. I will try and cover a few more RB than I normally talk about because of those bye week issues.
Buffalo at Detroit
Willis McGahee: Detroit is actually pretty good at stopping the run. Of course their secondary is Swiss cheese and that has a lot to do with those numbers…6 weeks into the season though we can assume there is some truth in their numbers. The Lions allow 3.3 ypc and have only given up 1 rush TD on the season. This is no better than an avg match up for McGahee even though the Lions are 0-5.
Kevin Jones: 10 carries for 8 yds last week, yikes! This is actually a really good match up for Kevin as Buffalo is giving up 4.1 ypc and 4 rush TDs on the season. I would expect Jones to total close to 100 yds and a TD is possible as well.
Injury Alert: Keep an eye on his status as he took a pretty hard shot on Sunday and could be slightly limited this week if he has any lingering pain.
Shawn Bryson: Guy has not carried the ball hardly at all…he had 1 week where he scored a TD thru the air…really a bad option even in a pinch.
Carolina at Baltimore
DeShaun Foster: The good news for Foster owners is the D.Williams hype will die for a few weeks as he is injured and out for at least this week. This is not a great match up for Foster and if he can muster 75-80 total yds on Sunday owners should be thankful. As a Foster owner in more than a few leagues I simply am hoping he comes out the game Sunday healthy.
Jamal Lewis: He is avg about 60 yds a week on the ground and only 1 TD on the season. The good news for those that have Lewis on their bench is the fact MLB Dan Morgan is now out for the season. Lewis has a better chance to rack yds on Sunday than Foster will.
Mike Anderson/Musa Smith: At some point if Lewis cannot get things going Billick will have to start someone else or rotate in other backs more often. Smith has 29 touches for 169 yds and 3.9 ypc on the ground. Anderson has 14/90/1 on the season…might be time for the coach to see what these 2 can do with more opps.
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay
Rudi Johnson: Deuce busted them up the gut for 100+ and a TD…the Bengals have a lot of offense and are coming off a bye week. I actually think this could be one of the higher scoring games for the week. Look for Rudi to do well.
“Cadillac”: Had 100+ last week. No reason to think he can’t find some room on Sunday against Cinci who is allowing 4.6 ypc and 7 rush TD in 4 games on the season. Caddy has one of the better match ups this week even though he has a rookie handing off under center.
Mike Alstott: Cinci has allowed 7 rushing TDs for the year…he could make a decent bye week filler for his short TD potential.
Houston at Dallas
Ron Dayne: He just is not good enough to score points even when the match up would be somewhat favorable. I expect the Cowboys to be really mad after the loss in Philly and pound the ever loving you know what out of Houston. Not a good match up.
Julius Jones: Has one of the best match ups on the board. Look for him to well this week.
Marion Barber III: Because of the bye weeks and the blowout potential I would not hesitate to insert MB III this week especially as a flex.
NY Giants at Atlanta
Tiki Barber: This is not a good match up for owners. Atlanta is giving up 3.1 ypc and 1 rushing TD total on the year. You can’t bench Tiki but you cannot expect much out of him.
Brandon Jacobs: Bad match up
Warrick Dunn: The Giants are only giving up 3.0 ypc for the season. This is not a terrific match up but he is at home, coming off 2 slow weeks and a bye….however he did well against a couple of good teams in weeks 1 and 2 so anything is possible. Tough match up.
Jerious Norwood: Complete wildcard. If he were to actually be counted on for 10-15 touches a week you might have something. Big Big gamble that he will play a lot on Sunday. And it’s a tough match up.
Philadelphia at New Orleans
Brian Westbrook: The Saints are giving up close to 5 yds a clip. As long as Westbrook can play you have to start him. Even with missing a game and playing a small but strong part of last week he is close to the top of the leader board. Great match up for the Philly RB this week.
Correll Buckhalter: Whether CB plays or not pay attention to the IR during the week as it will update you. As long as Westbrook is starting, any other Philly RB will be limited. Plus the Eagles do not run a ton.
Deuce McAllister: He is doing well so far. Philly is giving up over 100 yds on the ground per game but they are not giving it away in large chunks. Only 1 run of 20+ yds on the season…that’s saying something. This is not a great match up for Deuce but I am sure a lot of owners will have limited choices this week with him.
Reggie Bush: Till he does something out of the backfield he is strictly a flex player in PPR leagues…did have 11 catches last week and is on a torrid pace for receptions for a rookie RB…112 at this pace. He is only avg about 3 ypc on the ground.
Seattle at St Louis
Maurice Morris: The Rams are giving up 4.5 ypc and 6 rushing TD on the season. If Morris cannot have a decent game against the Rams this week starting the entire game…then I think his dynasty value will be about zero moving forward. He should have 100+ and a TD this week…however he has no track record to really prove this and is a major gamble for owners that do not have Shaun Alexander on their roster already.
Shaun Alexander: OUT with a foot injury…should be back next week.
Steve Jackson: Not a good match up for him this week but he gets the rock a lot so you keep him in there and hope for the best. “What’s a bad match up MOP?” Seattle is yielding 3.5 ypc and has given up 2 rush TD both to Chicago in a blowout 2 weeks ago…this is not a good match up for SJax owners.
Tennessee at Washington
Travis Henry: Has now established himself as the starter in Tennessee…yippee!!! The Skins are not easy to run on and I expect him to have a quiet week and then Fisher will rotate the backs again.
Clinton Portis: Don’t trip putting him into your line up this week. 150+ and 2 TDs should be what owners have to look forward to.
Ladell Betts: The blowout possibility makes him an actual play this week.
Kansas City at Pittsburgh
Larry Johnson: Will be good to go on Sunday. Rough match up against the Steelers. That long run after the catch last week is masking how bad his OL is…I expect him to have an avg to below avg day on Sunday.
Willie Parker: KC is not a pushover on defense. 3.6 ypc and 2 rush TD they have yielded so far. Not a real easy match up but he will find some room on Sunday.
Miami at NY Jets
Ronnie Brown: Terrific match up for Ronnie Brown this week. Hopefully Miami can exploit the very suspect rush defense of the NYJets which has been pillaged the last several weeks.
Leon Washington: Got 20+ carries last week and is now the starter it appears. Terrible match up this week. Miami is tough to run on and no matter who carries it for the Jets will have problems on Sunday.
San Diego at San Francisco
LaDainian Tomlinson: Owners will feel good come Sunday. After a couple of really tough match ups where LT was kept out of the end zone, this week he will have a strong chance for a big day. 120+ and 2 TDs.
Michael Turner: Will do the clean up after San Diego rips apart the Niners on Sunday. Never a sure thing he will see very many touches but an LT/MT combo if you are short on RBs…could walk out of that with 25-30 points.
Frank Gore: Really tough day for him on Sunday. You play him though because he can do some damage out of the backfield.
Oakland at Denver
Lamont Jordan: had 12 carries for 71 yds last week so Art Shell decided not to keep feeding him…I just don’t get it. He will do little on Sunday against a Denver rush defense that is simply awesome right now.
Tatum Bell: Should have a big day on Sunday…however the Raiders are giving up 3.9 ypc and 3 rush TDs on the season…not exactly a Swiss cheese rush defense. Bell will do OK but he might be a disappointment for some owners who are looking for 150 and 1-2 TD on Sunday.
Chicago at Arizona
Thomas Jones: Must start. The Cards are giving up 4.3 ypc and a TD a week.
Cedric Benson: If you think it’s going to be a blowout then you might look at Benson in the flex in certain leagues.
Edge: Pitiful OL in front of him. Don’t expect much on Sunday.
MOP Cheatsheet
1-LT
2-Clinton Portis
3-Julius Jones
4-Rudi Johnson
5-Brian Westbrook
6-Tatum Bell
7-Thomas Jones
8-“Cadillac”
9-Deuce McAllister
10-Ronnie Brown
11-Larry Johnson
12-Steven Jackson
13-Tiki Barber
14-Kevin Jones
15-Warrick Dunn
16-Willis McGahee
17-Willie Parker
18-Frank Gore
19-Maurice Morris
20-DeShaun Foster
21-Edge
22-Lamont Jordan
23-Jamal Lewis
24-Travis Henry
25-Leon Washington
26-Ron Dayne
Those are the 26 starting NFL RB this weekend. Now I have a few others since we have a lot of bye week issues that are strong sleeper picks for this weekend.
Reggie Bush
MB III
Cedric Benson
Michael Turner
Those 4 RB have the best chance to make an impact out of their current situations.
Have a great week.
Buffalo at Detroit
Willis McGahee: Detroit is actually pretty good at stopping the run. Of course their secondary is Swiss cheese and that has a lot to do with those numbers…6 weeks into the season though we can assume there is some truth in their numbers. The Lions allow 3.3 ypc and have only given up 1 rush TD on the season. This is no better than an avg match up for McGahee even though the Lions are 0-5.
Kevin Jones: 10 carries for 8 yds last week, yikes! This is actually a really good match up for Kevin as Buffalo is giving up 4.1 ypc and 4 rush TDs on the season. I would expect Jones to total close to 100 yds and a TD is possible as well.
Injury Alert: Keep an eye on his status as he took a pretty hard shot on Sunday and could be slightly limited this week if he has any lingering pain.
Shawn Bryson: Guy has not carried the ball hardly at all…he had 1 week where he scored a TD thru the air…really a bad option even in a pinch.
Carolina at Baltimore
DeShaun Foster: The good news for Foster owners is the D.Williams hype will die for a few weeks as he is injured and out for at least this week. This is not a great match up for Foster and if he can muster 75-80 total yds on Sunday owners should be thankful. As a Foster owner in more than a few leagues I simply am hoping he comes out the game Sunday healthy.
Jamal Lewis: He is avg about 60 yds a week on the ground and only 1 TD on the season. The good news for those that have Lewis on their bench is the fact MLB Dan Morgan is now out for the season. Lewis has a better chance to rack yds on Sunday than Foster will.
Mike Anderson/Musa Smith: At some point if Lewis cannot get things going Billick will have to start someone else or rotate in other backs more often. Smith has 29 touches for 169 yds and 3.9 ypc on the ground. Anderson has 14/90/1 on the season…might be time for the coach to see what these 2 can do with more opps.
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay
Rudi Johnson: Deuce busted them up the gut for 100+ and a TD…the Bengals have a lot of offense and are coming off a bye week. I actually think this could be one of the higher scoring games for the week. Look for Rudi to do well.
“Cadillac”: Had 100+ last week. No reason to think he can’t find some room on Sunday against Cinci who is allowing 4.6 ypc and 7 rush TD in 4 games on the season. Caddy has one of the better match ups this week even though he has a rookie handing off under center.
Mike Alstott: Cinci has allowed 7 rushing TDs for the year…he could make a decent bye week filler for his short TD potential.
Houston at Dallas
Ron Dayne: He just is not good enough to score points even when the match up would be somewhat favorable. I expect the Cowboys to be really mad after the loss in Philly and pound the ever loving you know what out of Houston. Not a good match up.
Julius Jones: Has one of the best match ups on the board. Look for him to well this week.
Marion Barber III: Because of the bye weeks and the blowout potential I would not hesitate to insert MB III this week especially as a flex.
NY Giants at Atlanta
Tiki Barber: This is not a good match up for owners. Atlanta is giving up 3.1 ypc and 1 rushing TD total on the year. You can’t bench Tiki but you cannot expect much out of him.
Brandon Jacobs: Bad match up
Warrick Dunn: The Giants are only giving up 3.0 ypc for the season. This is not a terrific match up but he is at home, coming off 2 slow weeks and a bye….however he did well against a couple of good teams in weeks 1 and 2 so anything is possible. Tough match up.
Jerious Norwood: Complete wildcard. If he were to actually be counted on for 10-15 touches a week you might have something. Big Big gamble that he will play a lot on Sunday. And it’s a tough match up.
Philadelphia at New Orleans
Brian Westbrook: The Saints are giving up close to 5 yds a clip. As long as Westbrook can play you have to start him. Even with missing a game and playing a small but strong part of last week he is close to the top of the leader board. Great match up for the Philly RB this week.
Correll Buckhalter: Whether CB plays or not pay attention to the IR during the week as it will update you. As long as Westbrook is starting, any other Philly RB will be limited. Plus the Eagles do not run a ton.
Deuce McAllister: He is doing well so far. Philly is giving up over 100 yds on the ground per game but they are not giving it away in large chunks. Only 1 run of 20+ yds on the season…that’s saying something. This is not a great match up for Deuce but I am sure a lot of owners will have limited choices this week with him.
Reggie Bush: Till he does something out of the backfield he is strictly a flex player in PPR leagues…did have 11 catches last week and is on a torrid pace for receptions for a rookie RB…112 at this pace. He is only avg about 3 ypc on the ground.
Seattle at St Louis
Maurice Morris: The Rams are giving up 4.5 ypc and 6 rushing TD on the season. If Morris cannot have a decent game against the Rams this week starting the entire game…then I think his dynasty value will be about zero moving forward. He should have 100+ and a TD this week…however he has no track record to really prove this and is a major gamble for owners that do not have Shaun Alexander on their roster already.
Shaun Alexander: OUT with a foot injury…should be back next week.
Steve Jackson: Not a good match up for him this week but he gets the rock a lot so you keep him in there and hope for the best. “What’s a bad match up MOP?” Seattle is yielding 3.5 ypc and has given up 2 rush TD both to Chicago in a blowout 2 weeks ago…this is not a good match up for SJax owners.
Tennessee at Washington
Travis Henry: Has now established himself as the starter in Tennessee…yippee!!! The Skins are not easy to run on and I expect him to have a quiet week and then Fisher will rotate the backs again.
Clinton Portis: Don’t trip putting him into your line up this week. 150+ and 2 TDs should be what owners have to look forward to.
Ladell Betts: The blowout possibility makes him an actual play this week.
Kansas City at Pittsburgh
Larry Johnson: Will be good to go on Sunday. Rough match up against the Steelers. That long run after the catch last week is masking how bad his OL is…I expect him to have an avg to below avg day on Sunday.
Willie Parker: KC is not a pushover on defense. 3.6 ypc and 2 rush TD they have yielded so far. Not a real easy match up but he will find some room on Sunday.
Miami at NY Jets
Ronnie Brown: Terrific match up for Ronnie Brown this week. Hopefully Miami can exploit the very suspect rush defense of the NYJets which has been pillaged the last several weeks.
Leon Washington: Got 20+ carries last week and is now the starter it appears. Terrible match up this week. Miami is tough to run on and no matter who carries it for the Jets will have problems on Sunday.
San Diego at San Francisco
LaDainian Tomlinson: Owners will feel good come Sunday. After a couple of really tough match ups where LT was kept out of the end zone, this week he will have a strong chance for a big day. 120+ and 2 TDs.
Michael Turner: Will do the clean up after San Diego rips apart the Niners on Sunday. Never a sure thing he will see very many touches but an LT/MT combo if you are short on RBs…could walk out of that with 25-30 points.
Frank Gore: Really tough day for him on Sunday. You play him though because he can do some damage out of the backfield.
Oakland at Denver
Lamont Jordan: had 12 carries for 71 yds last week so Art Shell decided not to keep feeding him…I just don’t get it. He will do little on Sunday against a Denver rush defense that is simply awesome right now.
Tatum Bell: Should have a big day on Sunday…however the Raiders are giving up 3.9 ypc and 3 rush TDs on the season…not exactly a Swiss cheese rush defense. Bell will do OK but he might be a disappointment for some owners who are looking for 150 and 1-2 TD on Sunday.
Chicago at Arizona
Thomas Jones: Must start. The Cards are giving up 4.3 ypc and a TD a week.
Cedric Benson: If you think it’s going to be a blowout then you might look at Benson in the flex in certain leagues.
Edge: Pitiful OL in front of him. Don’t expect much on Sunday.
MOP Cheatsheet
1-LT
2-Clinton Portis
3-Julius Jones
4-Rudi Johnson
5-Brian Westbrook
6-Tatum Bell
7-Thomas Jones
8-“Cadillac”
9-Deuce McAllister
10-Ronnie Brown
11-Larry Johnson
12-Steven Jackson
13-Tiki Barber
14-Kevin Jones
15-Warrick Dunn
16-Willis McGahee
17-Willie Parker
18-Frank Gore
19-Maurice Morris
20-DeShaun Foster
21-Edge
22-Lamont Jordan
23-Jamal Lewis
24-Travis Henry
25-Leon Washington
26-Ron Dayne
Those are the 26 starting NFL RB this weekend. Now I have a few others since we have a lot of bye week issues that are strong sleeper picks for this weekend.
Reggie Bush
MB III
Cedric Benson
Michael Turner
Those 4 RB have the best chance to make an impact out of their current situations.
Have a great week.