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RB studs (1 Viewer)

Foureyes

Footballguy
Almost all of us want to draft a stud RB in the first round, to build a solid foundation for the rest of the team. This is usually accomplished in one of two ways.

If you're lucky enough to have one of the first few draft slots, you grab one of the few RBs who "has it all"...durable, no RBBC, favorable schedule, plays 3 downs, gets goal line carries, etc etc. Then you maximize value by getting solid RB/WR depth with the 2nd and 3rd round picks, enjoying the advantage of picking early in round three.

If you don't get one of the first few draft slots, you try to pick as late as possible in the first round, maximizing value by getting a solid RB from the second tier of RB1 candidates as late as possible and enjoying the earliest possible pick in round 2 (possibly even getting two RBs from this tier).

So where do you draw the line between these two groups of players? As of now, I have three candidates I'd be happy to spend an early first round pick on and build my entire team around...AP, MJD, and MTurner. All of the other possibile first round RB candidates have just a bit of uncertainty which, in my opinion, makes me want to wait to take any of them, sliding down in the draft order as far as possible to maximize value before grabbing any one of them. In my mind, this group right now includes Forte, DeWilliams, Gore, SJax, Slaton, LT, Chris Johnson, Portis, Jacobs, and possibly MB3 and Westbrook.

I'm sure most of you guys out there are anxious to grab your RB of choice in round one; where do you rate these guys? Have I missed anybody? Is there anybody I have in tier 2 who you would move up to be included with the superstuds in tier one? Anybody you would leave out of this group? Would you use a different strategy in this year's draft?

Thanks for input...I'm interested in other people's thoughts on the first round of this years draft!

 
Standard non-ppr, subject to adjustments due to different scoring formats

Tier 1

MJD

All Day

SJax

Tier 2 - I would take these players before the 1st WR

Ronnie Brown

LT

Portis

Westbrook

Forte

Gore

Tier 3 - I would start taking these guys after the elite WR's, or in round 2 if I took a WR in round 1 regardless of whether any elite WR's remain

Jacobs

Turner

DeAngelo Williams

Chris Johnson

MB3

Tier 4 - I would start taking these guys after the 2nd tier WR's

Moreno

Pierre Thomas

Slaton

 
Tier 3 - I would start taking these guys after the elite WR's, or in round 2 if I took a WR in round 1 regardless of whether any elite WR's remainTurnerDeAngelo Williams
Good luck, there's not a chance Turner will be there by then. He's as elite as S-Jax IMHO.
 
Standard non-ppr, subject to adjustments due to different scoring formatsTier 1MJDAll DaySJaxTier 2 - I would take these players before the 1st WRRonnie BrownLTPortisWestbrookForteGoreTier 3 - I would start taking these guys after the elite WR's, or in round 2 if I took a WR in round 1 regardless of whether any elite WR's remainJacobsTurnerDeAngelo WilliamsChris JohnsonMB3Tier 4 - I would start taking these guys after the 2nd tier WR'sMorenoPierre ThomasSlaton
This is a hard question, and one with a lot of differing opinions for sure. I have a hard time putting Ronnie and Westbrook in tier 2 right now, too many question marks. Turner is in tier 1 for me, DeAngelo is in tier 2 for me. Your tier 4 I would combine up with tier 3.A strong argument could be made that tier 1 is ADP only.
 
Standard non-ppr, subject to adjustments due to different scoring formatsTier 1MJDAll DaySJax :no:
Tier One:MJD, Forte, C. Johnson, Portis ( if you're looking for non-RBBC, durable, favorable schedule, plays 3rd downs and scores TDs, Portis is your guy)Tier Two:Jacobs, Slaton, M. Turner, Gore ( will see improved stats without Martz), LT2 ( one good season remaining?), P. ThomasMB3 just outside top 2 tiers..just for fun:Tier Three:Ray Rice ( just a hunch here), D. Ward, MB3, K. Smith, Beanie WellsTier Four:Ronnie Brown, Lynch, Cedric Benson, D. Williams Tier Five:Westbrook ( too injury prone for my liking: already hurt!), Ryan Grant.SjaxJ. Jones - Mora + Knapp = good running game..TJ Duckett might steal some goal-line carries, but Jones should get about 250-275 carries...at 4.4 per clip ( like last season)that would total 1100 rush yards.don't want to hear Sjax is elite, he's far from it.he doesn't score much, barely cracks 1000 yards, never plays a full 16-game schedule, is oft-injured, plays for the worst team in football..1050/6 TDs seems about right. :yawn:
 
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Slaton after 2nd tier WR's - I beg to differ!

Speedster behind a developing offense and o-line with every opportunity to score big FF-wise.

I'd rate him early 2d tier and definitely before I look for a WR (maybe with the exeption of Fitz and AJ if I'm at the bottom of a serpentine draft).

 
Slaton after 2nd tier WR's - I beg to differ!Speedster behind a developing offense and o-line with every opportunity to score big FF-wise.I'd rate him early 2d tier and definitely before I look for a WR (maybe with the exeption of Fitz and AJ if I'm at the bottom of a serpentine draft).
I love Houston's offensive prospects for this season, but Slaton still shared carries with Ahman Green of all people last year. I think he shares again this year, who with is irrelevant, just that he'll be sharing and he probably won't get the goal line. I don't see much of a difference between him and Chris Johnson at all, I believe in Johnson's talent a little more and think his likelihood of bust is smaller so I have him slightly higher but like Turner and DeAng I don't expect either to be on any of my teams.Both Moreno and Pierre Thomas though, they both have potential to move up, waiting for positive camp reports. Thomas is in a more explosive offense and gets the goal line, Moreno may be the feature back behind one of the best o lines in the league in an offense that looks like it will be focused more on the ground game this year - my biggest concern re him is his defense.
 
AP is in a class by himself.

Turner, MJD, DWil, Forte, Gore I take before any WR. (Tier 1)

Portis, SJax, LT, Westbrook, Slaton, CJ3 I take after the "Big 4" WRs on my board. (Tier 2)

In short, I'm hoping that I can draft @ 8 or 9 and have DWil or Gore slide to me, and then grab Megatron in Round 2. That's my optimum, failing having #1 overall. Failing that, I'd rather draft @ 12 and get 2 of my top 4 WRs.

Mock drafts I have done lately Pierre Thomas, Ronnie Brown, McFadden, R. Bush, and the rookies are all going in round 3, most in 4 or 5.

 
FOR PPR:

MJD

All Day

Forte

Gore

LT

SJax

Turner

Westbrook

DeAngelo Williams

Chris Johnson

Portis

Slaton

MB3

Ronnie Brown

Jacobs

Pierre Thomas

Moreno

I'd pick all these guys before any WR other than AJohnson/Fitz (maybe Calvin - depends on the draft)

 
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This is a great year for RB rankings, I've never seen such difference of opinion. makes it a lot more interesting.

PPR scoring:

(In no particular order)

Tier 1:

ADP

MJD

Forte--I am definitely a fan. I think his line improves this year, the offense improves this year, and the defenses loosen up this year.

Tier 2:

C. Johnson

Slaton---This kid is underrated. I have no idea how people can love CJ, but doubt Slaton.

Tomlinson

Westbrook----this is contingent on health. Glad I ain't drafting tomorrow.

Portis---Consistently underrated.

Turner---Doesn't catch the ball. he drops down a lot in PPR.

Tier 3:

SJax

Gore

DeAngelo Williams

 
Tanner9919 said:
Tier One:MJD, Forte, C. Johnson, Portis ( if you're looking for non-RBBC, durable, favorable schedule, plays 3rd downs and scores TDs, Portis is your guy)Tier Two:Jacobs, Slaton, M. Turner, Gore ( will see improved stats without Martz), LT2 ( one good season remaining?), P. ThomasMB3 just outside top 2 tiers..just for fun:Tier Three:Ray Rice ( just a hunch here), D. Ward, MB3, K. Smith, Beanie WellsTier Four:Ronnie Brown, Lynch, Cedric Benson, D. Williams Tier Five:Westbrook ( too injury prone for my liking: already hurt!), Ryan Grant.SjaxJ. Jones - Mora + Knapp = good running game..TJ Duckett might steal some goal-line carries, but Jones should get about 250-275 carries...at 4.4 per clip ( like last season)that would total 1100 rush yards.don't want to hear Sjax is elite, he's far from it.he doesn't score much, barely cracks 1000 yards, never plays a full 16-game schedule, is oft-injured, plays for the worst team in football..1050/6 TDs seems about right. :yawn:
In four years as the starter, Jackson has finished no lower than RB14. That includes the last two seasons that he played in 12 games.It's interesting to read Tanner's posts... about 1/3 of the time he has well-reasoned posts, about 1/3 of the time he is just average, and about 1/3 of the time he is off his rocker cherry-picking stats.
 
chook said:
MAC_32 said:
Tier 3 - I would start taking these guys after the elite WR's, or in round 2 if I took a WR in round 1 regardless of whether any elite WR's remainTurnerDeAngelo Williams
Good luck, there's not a chance Turner will be there by then. He's as elite as S-Jax IMHO.
:goodposting: I agree. He will go sooner than many of the second tier guys.
 
barista said:
FOR PPR:MJDAll DayForteGoreLTSJaxTurnerWestbrookDeAngelo WilliamsChris JohnsonPortisSlatonMB3Ronnie BrownJacobsPierre ThomasMorenoI'd pick all these guys before any WR other than AJohnson/Fitz (maybe Calvin - depends on the draft)
I'd slide turner into the second tier, but otherwise I think your tier groupings are pretty good.
 

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