Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
Hello everyone, doing a lot of traveling this week, had to write this from the road so I went pretty fast over the picks. Most of you are going thru the last week before your playoffs and a few of you are enterign them this week or in them already. Looking for you guys to point out the stuff the rest of us are overlooking. If you have a question pertaining to your team, the best thing to do is talk about 2 or 3 players of equal value and compare...that will spark some repsonses.
NY Jets at Buffalo (+3) (37)
Thomas Jones: At this point in the season all you need to say is TJ has racked 1,000 yds and almost 10 TDs, this week he has a pretty soft run defense and the odds of him going for 75-100 yds and a socre are pretty high. No hesitation starting Jones this week.
Fred Jackson: Looks like Freddie J is going to be the feature back here. And even if he didn’t start, he’s the guy making plays so I would try and at least look him up in a flex option. 16, 10, and 29 last week…this is the Bills RB you want in your line up and just leave Lynch on the bench.
Final Score: Buffalo 17…NY Jets 16
Denver at Kansas City (+4.5) (38)
Knowshon Moreno: As I predicted last week he had a breakout game of sorts against NYG. This week against the Chiefs I like him to hit double digits again. He should be in the top20 this week IMO.
Jamaal Charles: On a tear right now over the last 3-4 weeks. Keep him in your line up the rest of the year as the Chiefs have some pretty soft run defenses down the stretch.
Final Score: Denver 20…Kansas City 17
Oakland at Pittsburgh (-14) (37)
Justin Fargas/McFadden: Fargas was OK for a few weeks but he isn’t producing a lot right now. None of the Oakland RBs are real dreams right now. The Steelers are going to be irritable and the Raiders are just what the doctor ordered for them this week.
Rashard Mendenhall: He has a chance for solid numbers but I don’t see him as a top10 projection this week, really I don’t. Too many other match ups I like better.
Final Score: Pittsburgh 28…Oakland 14
Houston at Jacksonville (Pk) (46.5)
Steve Slaton: This guy has totals of 25, 32, and 14 against the Jags over the last season and a half, no way should he be projected outside the top20-25 this week. I see Chris Brown being used but Slaton will catch enough balls to be startable for your roster.
MJD: Stud, doesn’t matter the match up.
Final Score: Houston 24…Jax 21
Tennessee at Indianapolis (-6.5) (46.5)
Chris Johnson: At some point I would like to dedicate an entire thread with my angles of what Chris Johnson does. But in short I think CJ is almost in a class by himself…meaning there is no one exactly like him. I want to say he can’t run between the tackles but he does. I want to say he would go down on first contact but he really doesn’t. He typically preys on soft run defenses. The Colts are a lot better now than they were early in the season but Johnson is on a mission to pass 2,000 yds rushing.
Joseph Addai: Always a double digit threat almost every week, no reason to keep him in the garage this week.
Final Score: Indy 27…Tennessee 24
Philadelphia at Atlanta (+5.5) (44)
LeSean McCoy: He’s no Westbrook. Can have double digits but he isn’t a top5 type treat right now.
Falcons RB: Check the IR before you do anything.
Final Score: Philly 23…Atlanta 21
Detroit at Cincinnati (-13) (42)
Kevin Smith: Still starting and should make a run at 100 total yds again this week.
Cedric Benson: As long as he is starting you play him. Sounds like they gave him an extra week off to rest him so they can make a playoff run.
Final Score: Cincinnati 20…Detroit 14
New Orleans at Washington (+9.5) (47)
Pierre Thomas: Look for a good split between him and Mike Bell this week assuming they can both go. The Saints need their RBs to get healthy and Reggie Bush is out at the moment.
Wash RBs: Total mess…Portis doesn’t want to play, Betts is out with a torn ACL/MCL…career likely is toast, you really want to run Rock Cartright out there? Just leave this situation alone right now.
Final Score: New Orleans 34…Washington 17
Tampa Bay at Carolina: (-6) (40)
Cadillac and Ward: If you start these guys you are really desperate. Very hit and miss, most of the TB points are better had with Freeman, Winslow, and Bryant perhaps.
DeAngelo Williams: Owners are really getting the short end of the stick here. Maybe Moore will actually help but I have little faith in him. I don’t ever support benching DWill, but the next few weeks after this look might scary.
Final Score: Carolina 17…Tampa Bay 14
St Louis at Chicago (-8.5) (41)
Steven Jackson: Stud, start him, doesn’t matter the match up. Guy has been tearing it up every week lately.
Matt Forte: No reason to sit him against St Louis…Forsett had 2 TDs a week ago…Forte should be a top15 back this week.
Final Score: Chicago 24…St Louis 14
San Diego at Cleveland (-13) (41)
LaDainian Tomlinson: Despite his production he looks older and older to me each week. It’s taken me a long time to accept it but LT is just an avg back with a lot of talent around him to keep him productive. His rushing yds are way off.
Jerome Harrison: I would let this play out a week before I went and inserted any Cleveland RB into my starting roster…BUT I would try and pick Harrison up because when he has started they feed him the ball pretty good and he tends to do alright.
Final Score: San Diego 21…Cleveland 7
San Fran at Seattle (Pk) (41)
Frank Gore: Stud, doesn’t matter the defense he faces, he usually is productive. This week he should be a top10 candidate.
Forsett/JJ: Coach says JJ is the starter despite what Forsett did against the Rams. The Niners are pretty good against the run so look for pedestrian numbers form either or both this weekend.
Final Score: Seattle 24…San Fran 20
Minnesota at Arizona (+4) (47.5)
Adrian Peterson: Same as MJD, Chris Johnson, SJax, and Gore…just plug and play. Some weeks are better than others but he’s a total stud.
Tim Hightower: The one to own still for the Cards.
Chris Wells: not a great match up IMO for him.
Final Score: Minnesota 27…Arizona 23
Dallas at NY Giants (+2) (45)
Dallas RBs: They all had 60 yds rushing last week. None of them are dominant, all of them are potential potholes on your roster each week. Stop playing them.
Brandon Jacobs: It’s been a bad year and I don’t see it getting better as Eli is ailing quickly. Bradhsaw also is a major disappointment on the season.
Final Score: Dallas 20…NY Giants 17
New England at Miami (+4) (44)
I’m supposed to believe the Dolphins can beat the Pats after they laid an egg in Buffalo last week? This line is very odd…started at 6.5 and has plunged since.
NE RBs: Who knows? Maroney looks like the guy one minute, but then you see Sammy Morris is back in the fold…very risky for owners to start any RBs from New England.
Ricky Williams: Has done really well since taking over for Ronnie Brown but I don’t see him having a top5 or even top10 week this week…not high on him this week at all to be honest.
Final Score: New England 34…Miami 20
Baltimore at Green Bay (-3.5) (43.5)
Ray Rice: No reason to bench him ever.
Ryan Grant: May have a hard time hitting his usual double digits this week.
Final Score: Baltimore 20…Green Bay 14
NY Jets at Buffalo (+3) (37)
Thomas Jones: At this point in the season all you need to say is TJ has racked 1,000 yds and almost 10 TDs, this week he has a pretty soft run defense and the odds of him going for 75-100 yds and a socre are pretty high. No hesitation starting Jones this week.
Fred Jackson: Looks like Freddie J is going to be the feature back here. And even if he didn’t start, he’s the guy making plays so I would try and at least look him up in a flex option. 16, 10, and 29 last week…this is the Bills RB you want in your line up and just leave Lynch on the bench.
Final Score: Buffalo 17…NY Jets 16
Denver at Kansas City (+4.5) (38)
Knowshon Moreno: As I predicted last week he had a breakout game of sorts against NYG. This week against the Chiefs I like him to hit double digits again. He should be in the top20 this week IMO.
Jamaal Charles: On a tear right now over the last 3-4 weeks. Keep him in your line up the rest of the year as the Chiefs have some pretty soft run defenses down the stretch.
Final Score: Denver 20…Kansas City 17
Oakland at Pittsburgh (-14) (37)
Justin Fargas/McFadden: Fargas was OK for a few weeks but he isn’t producing a lot right now. None of the Oakland RBs are real dreams right now. The Steelers are going to be irritable and the Raiders are just what the doctor ordered for them this week.
Rashard Mendenhall: He has a chance for solid numbers but I don’t see him as a top10 projection this week, really I don’t. Too many other match ups I like better.
Final Score: Pittsburgh 28…Oakland 14
Houston at Jacksonville (Pk) (46.5)
Steve Slaton: This guy has totals of 25, 32, and 14 against the Jags over the last season and a half, no way should he be projected outside the top20-25 this week. I see Chris Brown being used but Slaton will catch enough balls to be startable for your roster.
MJD: Stud, doesn’t matter the match up.
Final Score: Houston 24…Jax 21
Tennessee at Indianapolis (-6.5) (46.5)
Chris Johnson: At some point I would like to dedicate an entire thread with my angles of what Chris Johnson does. But in short I think CJ is almost in a class by himself…meaning there is no one exactly like him. I want to say he can’t run between the tackles but he does. I want to say he would go down on first contact but he really doesn’t. He typically preys on soft run defenses. The Colts are a lot better now than they were early in the season but Johnson is on a mission to pass 2,000 yds rushing.
Joseph Addai: Always a double digit threat almost every week, no reason to keep him in the garage this week.
Final Score: Indy 27…Tennessee 24
Philadelphia at Atlanta (+5.5) (44)
LeSean McCoy: He’s no Westbrook. Can have double digits but he isn’t a top5 type treat right now.
Falcons RB: Check the IR before you do anything.
Final Score: Philly 23…Atlanta 21
Detroit at Cincinnati (-13) (42)
Kevin Smith: Still starting and should make a run at 100 total yds again this week.
Cedric Benson: As long as he is starting you play him. Sounds like they gave him an extra week off to rest him so they can make a playoff run.
Final Score: Cincinnati 20…Detroit 14
New Orleans at Washington (+9.5) (47)
Pierre Thomas: Look for a good split between him and Mike Bell this week assuming they can both go. The Saints need their RBs to get healthy and Reggie Bush is out at the moment.
Wash RBs: Total mess…Portis doesn’t want to play, Betts is out with a torn ACL/MCL…career likely is toast, you really want to run Rock Cartright out there? Just leave this situation alone right now.
Final Score: New Orleans 34…Washington 17
Tampa Bay at Carolina: (-6) (40)
Cadillac and Ward: If you start these guys you are really desperate. Very hit and miss, most of the TB points are better had with Freeman, Winslow, and Bryant perhaps.
DeAngelo Williams: Owners are really getting the short end of the stick here. Maybe Moore will actually help but I have little faith in him. I don’t ever support benching DWill, but the next few weeks after this look might scary.
Final Score: Carolina 17…Tampa Bay 14
St Louis at Chicago (-8.5) (41)
Steven Jackson: Stud, start him, doesn’t matter the match up. Guy has been tearing it up every week lately.
Matt Forte: No reason to sit him against St Louis…Forsett had 2 TDs a week ago…Forte should be a top15 back this week.
Final Score: Chicago 24…St Louis 14
San Diego at Cleveland (-13) (41)
LaDainian Tomlinson: Despite his production he looks older and older to me each week. It’s taken me a long time to accept it but LT is just an avg back with a lot of talent around him to keep him productive. His rushing yds are way off.
Jerome Harrison: I would let this play out a week before I went and inserted any Cleveland RB into my starting roster…BUT I would try and pick Harrison up because when he has started they feed him the ball pretty good and he tends to do alright.
Final Score: San Diego 21…Cleveland 7
San Fran at Seattle (Pk) (41)
Frank Gore: Stud, doesn’t matter the defense he faces, he usually is productive. This week he should be a top10 candidate.
Forsett/JJ: Coach says JJ is the starter despite what Forsett did against the Rams. The Niners are pretty good against the run so look for pedestrian numbers form either or both this weekend.
Final Score: Seattle 24…San Fran 20
Minnesota at Arizona (+4) (47.5)
Adrian Peterson: Same as MJD, Chris Johnson, SJax, and Gore…just plug and play. Some weeks are better than others but he’s a total stud.
Tim Hightower: The one to own still for the Cards.
Chris Wells: not a great match up IMO for him.
Final Score: Minnesota 27…Arizona 23
Dallas at NY Giants (+2) (45)
Dallas RBs: They all had 60 yds rushing last week. None of them are dominant, all of them are potential potholes on your roster each week. Stop playing them.
Brandon Jacobs: It’s been a bad year and I don’t see it getting better as Eli is ailing quickly. Bradhsaw also is a major disappointment on the season.
Final Score: Dallas 20…NY Giants 17
New England at Miami (+4) (44)
I’m supposed to believe the Dolphins can beat the Pats after they laid an egg in Buffalo last week? This line is very odd…started at 6.5 and has plunged since.
NE RBs: Who knows? Maroney looks like the guy one minute, but then you see Sammy Morris is back in the fold…very risky for owners to start any RBs from New England.
Ricky Williams: Has done really well since taking over for Ronnie Brown but I don’t see him having a top5 or even top10 week this week…not high on him this week at all to be honest.
Final Score: New England 34…Miami 20
Baltimore at Green Bay (-3.5) (43.5)
Ray Rice: No reason to bench him ever.
Ryan Grant: May have a hard time hitting his usual double digits this week.
Final Score: Baltimore 20…Green Bay 14
I'm going with Charles over Jackson and Norwood. KC plays Denver tough in Arrowhead and I expect him to get a load. Denver's run D not as tough as initially thought. Good, but not great. I just can't start Jackson, thinking Lynch can't sit completely, no way. And Norwood, I like him. Surprised there wasn't more talk in here about him down the stretch. He could be huge I think. Wouldn't mind seeing one first however, especially against Philly.
