[Redraft] 2006 LB #1 (1 Viewer)

[Red Herring]

Please post your reasons for your pick, especially if you pick other! Tick, we'll use your scoring example -- .5 points per half-tackle, 3 points per sack / INT / FF / FR -- unless you're not cool with it and I'll come up with something. If you vote other and leave a name, we'll add him to the waiting list; feel free to nominate others for the list as well.

Islander, I used your top 12 for a model, this was your great idea, after all. Again, if you're not cool with it, let me know, apologies and I'll switch it up somehow.

We'll let this run for 3 days, or until we get a clear winner. Any suggestions, I'm all ears!

edit: My vote was Bulluck. Vilma was close, but at least NYJ has a shot at a semi-respectable offense this year, while Bulluck probably will be on the field 45+ minutes a game.

Final edit: Vilma is the winner. Poll #2 coming up!

 

[rikishiboy]

already considered the top Lb by many. Guys like Peterson,Bulluck, or Edwards may actually have abetter 2006....but which one(s)..so I went Vilma.

 

[-OZ-]

You'd think it would be the same answer, but do you mean which LB we expect to see go 1st, which we'd draft 1st, or who we predict, at year's end, to be #1?

 

[Red Herring]

You'd think it would be the same answer, but do you mean which LB we expect to see go 1st, which we'd draft 1st, or who we predict, at year's end, to be #1?

Whichever, I guess. Mainly, who do think has the best chance to be the #1 Fantasy LB at the end of the year. That is probably the most useful information for the most people. I think the rest (who you'd draft, who you think will go 1st, etc) can be extracted from that.

 

[Islander]

Thanks Herring. Hopefully your polls will raise more interest than my thread!

Vilma is my #1 due to production in 2004, 2005, youth, and the team going to a rebuilding phase. No other LB has no question mark like Vilma.

I think people should vote for who they would draft if all players listed were available.

 

[Red Herring]

Thanks Herring.  Hopefully your polls will raise more interest than my thread!

Vilma is my #1 due to production in 2004, 2005, youth, and the team going to a rebuilding phase.  No other LB has no question mark like Vilma.

I think people should vote for who they would draft if all players listed were available.

I'm sure its my slightly inebriated state, but wouldn't you draft the person you thought would be the best at the end of the year? Especially in a redraft league, where ONLY this season counts? Maybe I'm letting something fly over my head? Also seems to me youth shouldn be considered in redraft, apart from a (hopefully) smaller injury risk and a greater capacity for mistakes.

 

[Islander]

I consider youth to be somewhat important in redraft because it indicates a lower probability of a significant letdown. I can't see Vilma dropping off the face of the earth. D Edwards? Probably not, but more likely than Vilma because he's older.

My #1 is the guy I feel most comfortable with, not necessarily the player I think will finish #1. That may sound weird. But the best way I can explain this is:

if I think player A has a 90% chance of finishing #2 and 10% chance of finishing #3, I will pick him over player B who I think has a 50% chance of finishing #1 and 50% chance of finishing #7. Of course htis is a theoretical (exaggerated) example, but I think it illustrates my point. I consider stability and how "safe" the player is when I make my rankings.

 

[-OZ-]

I consider youth to be somewhat important in redraft because it indicates a lower probability of a significant letdown. I can't see Vilma dropping off the face of the earth. D Edwards? Probably not, but more likely than Vilma because he's older.

My #1 is the guy I feel most comfortable with, not necessarily the player I think will finish #1. That may sound weird. But the best way I can explain this is:

if I think player A has a 90% chance of finishing #2 and 10% chance of finishing #3, I will pick him over player B who I think has a 50% chance of finishing #1 and 50% chance of finishing #7. Of course htis is a theoretical (exaggerated) example, but I think it illustrates my point. I consider stability and how "safe" the player is when I make my rankings.

Good post, the only thing I'd add is even if I was 90% sure that a player would finish as the #1 player at the position, if I were sure he'd be around for my next pick, I wouldn't take him #1.For instance, let's pretend that I truly think AJ Hawk is going to come in and dominate the league from week 1 (or pick another low ranked player). Fairly obviously, I'd be in the minority here. He probably won't go in the top 10, probably not top 20 in a redraft. As such, I take Vilma #1 and take my predicted top scorer in the next round. Or trade down, or whatever. I think you can see my point.

 

[Red Herring]

I consider youth to be somewhat important in redraft because it indicates a lower probability of a significant letdown. I can't see Vilma dropping off the face of the earth. D Edwards? Probably not, but more likely than Vilma because he's older.

My #1 is the guy I feel most comfortable with, not necessarily the player I think will finish #1. That may sound weird. But the best way I can explain this is:

if I think player A has a 90% chance of finishing #2 and 10% chance of finishing #3, I will pick him over player B who I think has a 50% chance of finishing #1 and 50% chance of finishing #7. Of course htis is a theoretical (exaggerated) example, but I think it illustrates my point. I consider stability and how "safe" the player is when I make my rankings.

Makes a lot of sense, and is something I tend to do as well. Then again, (now that I'm a little more sober) thinking about it, I would pick a guy who might even end up anywhere in the top 10, but is consistant over a guy he will be far and away #1, but will put up a couple goose eggs.