Khy
Footballguy
So this is kind of a transfer over from the Preliminary Must Have Guy thread. Because we were kind of hijacking that topic so I figured I'd make a new thread for it.
I like many are in the camp of waiting on a QB in a redraft league. This year even more so than past years with how much depth we have at the position. Just curious on peoples thoughts right now. Do you wait on QBs? If not, why? If you do, who are some guys you're really targeting this year in the later parts of the draft. Lets take off these people from consideration in this discussion: Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, Matt Ryan, Matt Stafford, Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin. These are mostly the consensus "Top 10" guys right now. It's possible you should throw Russell Wilson into this mix also but I think a lot of people will let him fall in favor of these guys. So here are my targets barring those exclusions.
#1: Russell Wilson: As I said above I think he'll fall more than those others above but I personally don't see him falling back down to earth this year. If anything I see his production increasing with the addition of Percy Harvin. Right now I think he has a Top 10 floor with a Top 5 ceiling. The second half of last season was some of the best football I've seen played by a QB in awhile. The kid could literally do no wrong. Being that I will wait till at least the 6th round of my fantasy draft where I think it's reasonable he's still there, he's the #1 QB on my board right now. I doubt any of the people I put in the above list will be hanging around and I personally have him above Kaepernick and Griffin regardless of current ADP.
#2: Joe Flacco: Depending on your league some people may be a lot higher on Flacco than I am personally. He just won a Super Bowl and had an amazing playoff run. So people are going to be more intrigued in drafting him this year than last year. If he falls far enough he's definitely better than the other two I've mentioned here. Otherwise he isn't worth a high pick in my opinion.
#3: Phillip Rivers: He's been awful the past two seasons and will likely drop as low as you want/need him to drop. This year though he'll have a healthy Vincent Brown, Danario Alexander and rookie Kennan Allen. I think San Diego is going to be terrible this season as a team but I could see Rivers putting up Top 12 fantasy stats.
#4: Ryan Tannenhill: I'm probably a lot higher on him than most right now and if I do take him later in the draft I'm definitely pairing him with someone else. But I have a feeling it's going to be a big year for Tannenhill. Not as much reasoning behind this as the other two above him, it's more of a gut feeling.
Note: This strategy for me is as much passed on the perceived depth at the QB position as it is with the lack of elite RB and WR talent. Avoiding a QB in the first 2-3 rounds can net you two top 10-15 RBs and a top 10-15 WR. Which I personally find significantly more valuable. As the drop off from Top 10 at either of those position down to 10-20 is way more significant than the QB dropoff from 1-10 to 11-15.
I like many are in the camp of waiting on a QB in a redraft league. This year even more so than past years with how much depth we have at the position. Just curious on peoples thoughts right now. Do you wait on QBs? If not, why? If you do, who are some guys you're really targeting this year in the later parts of the draft. Lets take off these people from consideration in this discussion: Aaron Rodgers, Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Cam Newton, Tom Brady, Colin Kaepernick, Matt Ryan, Matt Stafford, Andrew Luck, Robert Griffin. These are mostly the consensus "Top 10" guys right now. It's possible you should throw Russell Wilson into this mix also but I think a lot of people will let him fall in favor of these guys. So here are my targets barring those exclusions.
#1: Russell Wilson: As I said above I think he'll fall more than those others above but I personally don't see him falling back down to earth this year. If anything I see his production increasing with the addition of Percy Harvin. Right now I think he has a Top 10 floor with a Top 5 ceiling. The second half of last season was some of the best football I've seen played by a QB in awhile. The kid could literally do no wrong. Being that I will wait till at least the 6th round of my fantasy draft where I think it's reasonable he's still there, he's the #1 QB on my board right now. I doubt any of the people I put in the above list will be hanging around and I personally have him above Kaepernick and Griffin regardless of current ADP.
#2: Joe Flacco: Depending on your league some people may be a lot higher on Flacco than I am personally. He just won a Super Bowl and had an amazing playoff run. So people are going to be more intrigued in drafting him this year than last year. If he falls far enough he's definitely better than the other two I've mentioned here. Otherwise he isn't worth a high pick in my opinion.
#3: Phillip Rivers: He's been awful the past two seasons and will likely drop as low as you want/need him to drop. This year though he'll have a healthy Vincent Brown, Danario Alexander and rookie Kennan Allen. I think San Diego is going to be terrible this season as a team but I could see Rivers putting up Top 12 fantasy stats.
#4: Ryan Tannenhill: I'm probably a lot higher on him than most right now and if I do take him later in the draft I'm definitely pairing him with someone else. But I have a feeling it's going to be a big year for Tannenhill. Not as much reasoning behind this as the other two above him, it's more of a gut feeling.
Note: This strategy for me is as much passed on the perceived depth at the QB position as it is with the lack of elite RB and WR talent. Avoiding a QB in the first 2-3 rounds can net you two top 10-15 RBs and a top 10-15 WR. Which I personally find significantly more valuable. As the drop off from Top 10 at either of those position down to 10-20 is way more significant than the QB dropoff from 1-10 to 11-15.
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