I've been running some mock drafts recently and wanted to start a discussion about players see as good value in redraft leagues this year. I'm not exclusively talking about late round sleepers, but guys that you view as value at any point in the draft.
So, here are a couple that jump out to me as great value at each position based on their current ADP. This isn't exhaustive, it's just a sample of some of the players I like.
QB:
Tony Romo at 8.02 - He's going off the board at QB12. Last season, despite all the issues in Dallas, he finished as QB8 in fantasy terms. Since 2007, he's finished outside the top 10 QBs once, and that was 2010 when he was injured.
Carson Palmer at 14.01 - Alot of garbage time points last year, but now he has an elite WR to throw to and an offense that has regularly produced good fantasy numbers for QBs. If he can stay upright, then he could put up low QB1 numbers.
Others I like: Luck, Cutler and Tannehill
RB:
LeSean McCoy at 1.10 - How can a guy going top 10 be value, you say? Well McCoy is an elite RB in a high tempo offense that is built around running the ball. He shouldn't be making it past 1.05.
Vick Ballard at 5.03 - Lead back in an offense he likes, with coaches that like him and have said that they want to run the ball more effectively. Not flashy, but a solid RB2 that you can draft as your RB3.
Shane Vereen at 8.03 - Danny Woodhead finished last year as RB25. With Woodhead gone, the 3rd down role is up for grabs and Vereen will take over pass-catching duties. New England's WR core is also a mess right now, which may see Vereen being featured more as a receiver. If he puts up anywhere near the same numbers as Woodhead, he's good value in the 8th.
Ronnie Hillman at 13.08 - Alot of us (including me) got burned by Hillman last year, but he's being talked up by the coaches and has added weight in the off-season. In the 13th round, as your RB5/6 then I'd definitely take a flyer on Hillman.
Others I like: Miller, Brown and Turbin.
WR:
Jordy Nelson at 4.11 - The forgotten man in Green Bay. Cobb is the flavour of the day, but Nelson will put up top 15 numbers this year if he stays healthy.
Steve Smith at 6.10 - Getting up there in age but still producing. Still the clear WR1 on this team, and finished in the top 20 last year.
Cecil Shorts at 8.07 - He finished as WR22 last year, even without a good QB. He was putting up WR1 numbers for a stretch last year, and you can take him as your WR3/4 this year. Massive value.
Kenny Britt at 9.04 - He's being drafted in the same area as DeAndre Hopkins. For upside alone, he's worth your WR4 slot.
Vincent Brown at 12.12 - Injury cost him last year, but before that we were talking about him as a solid WR2 in that offense. In the 12th round I'll definitely take the risk that he hits this year.
Others I like: Fitzgerald, Bowe and Nicks.
TE:
Jason Witten at 6.03 - How on earth does he last until the 6th round? Has the trust of his QB and is a reception machine.
Brandon Myers at 11.06 - Manning will throw to his TE, and Myers proved last season that he can catch the ball. He's the TE I'm going after if I miss out on the top 5 guys.
Heath Miller at 13.09 - Health is the huge question, but when healthy last year he was a top 5TE, and finished 4th at the end of the season. If you go TEBC, then grabbing Miller would be a good option, providing he's going to be healthy.
Others I like: Jordan Cameron, Coby Fleener
Obviously ADP will change as OTAs and training camp progress, but I think it's good to get this discussion going early so we can look at risers and fallers.
So, who do you like?
All ADP data based on mock drafts from: http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp.php (I hope it doesn't break any rules to post that.....) and all fantasy point data is from FBG.
So, here are a couple that jump out to me as great value at each position based on their current ADP. This isn't exhaustive, it's just a sample of some of the players I like.
QB:
Tony Romo at 8.02 - He's going off the board at QB12. Last season, despite all the issues in Dallas, he finished as QB8 in fantasy terms. Since 2007, he's finished outside the top 10 QBs once, and that was 2010 when he was injured.
Carson Palmer at 14.01 - Alot of garbage time points last year, but now he has an elite WR to throw to and an offense that has regularly produced good fantasy numbers for QBs. If he can stay upright, then he could put up low QB1 numbers.
Others I like: Luck, Cutler and Tannehill
RB:
LeSean McCoy at 1.10 - How can a guy going top 10 be value, you say? Well McCoy is an elite RB in a high tempo offense that is built around running the ball. He shouldn't be making it past 1.05.
Vick Ballard at 5.03 - Lead back in an offense he likes, with coaches that like him and have said that they want to run the ball more effectively. Not flashy, but a solid RB2 that you can draft as your RB3.
Shane Vereen at 8.03 - Danny Woodhead finished last year as RB25. With Woodhead gone, the 3rd down role is up for grabs and Vereen will take over pass-catching duties. New England's WR core is also a mess right now, which may see Vereen being featured more as a receiver. If he puts up anywhere near the same numbers as Woodhead, he's good value in the 8th.
Ronnie Hillman at 13.08 - Alot of us (including me) got burned by Hillman last year, but he's being talked up by the coaches and has added weight in the off-season. In the 13th round, as your RB5/6 then I'd definitely take a flyer on Hillman.
Others I like: Miller, Brown and Turbin.
WR:
Jordy Nelson at 4.11 - The forgotten man in Green Bay. Cobb is the flavour of the day, but Nelson will put up top 15 numbers this year if he stays healthy.
Steve Smith at 6.10 - Getting up there in age but still producing. Still the clear WR1 on this team, and finished in the top 20 last year.
Cecil Shorts at 8.07 - He finished as WR22 last year, even without a good QB. He was putting up WR1 numbers for a stretch last year, and you can take him as your WR3/4 this year. Massive value.
Kenny Britt at 9.04 - He's being drafted in the same area as DeAndre Hopkins. For upside alone, he's worth your WR4 slot.
Vincent Brown at 12.12 - Injury cost him last year, but before that we were talking about him as a solid WR2 in that offense. In the 12th round I'll definitely take the risk that he hits this year.
Others I like: Fitzgerald, Bowe and Nicks.
TE:
Jason Witten at 6.03 - How on earth does he last until the 6th round? Has the trust of his QB and is a reception machine.
Brandon Myers at 11.06 - Manning will throw to his TE, and Myers proved last season that he can catch the ball. He's the TE I'm going after if I miss out on the top 5 guys.
Heath Miller at 13.09 - Health is the huge question, but when healthy last year he was a top 5TE, and finished 4th at the end of the season. If you go TEBC, then grabbing Miller would be a good option, providing he's going to be healthy.
Others I like: Jordan Cameron, Coby Fleener
Obviously ADP will change as OTAs and training camp progress, but I think it's good to get this discussion going early so we can look at risers and fallers.
So, who do you like?
All ADP data based on mock drafts from: http://fantasyfootballcalculator.com/adp.php (I hope it doesn't break any rules to post that.....) and all fantasy point data is from FBG.