gianmarco
Footballguy
Wanted to revisit some of these guys. I thought a good way to split them up is those with good/decent QB situations going into 2008 and those with poor QB situations going into 2008. It seems some of the better ones to me have poor QB situations so might be tough to decide which of them will truly breakout.
2007 WRs with good/decent QB situations:
1. CJ2--I put him in this category only because he'll at least have Kitna for at least part of 2008. This could change if Stanton takes over. However, I still think his talent far exceeds anyone else in this class. He's still the clear #1, IMO.
2. A. Gonzalez--Already showed he can produce at this level and obviously in an elite offense. Only Harrison to hold him back at this point.
3. Steve Smith--This guy really came on in the playoffs. This is someone I would look to target as his value is probably the lowest it might be again with big upside, IMO.
4. Robert Meachem--Lots of concerns since he didn't take the field at all in 2007. However, he's in a great situation with little competition to break into the starting lineup. I'm still not convinced on him, but of the guys below him, this is a guy I would definitely take a chance on if the price was right. I would think his owners are going to hold on him as there's no way to get any value in trading him at this point.
5. Jacoby Jones--This guy looked pretty decent in his limited work last year. But, he'll definitely be playing 2nd fiddle to AJ and I didn't see enough to warrant significant upside. I know the buzz was hot for him last year but that seems to have died down significantly. Not someone I'm particularly interested in, but he does bear watching.
6. Mike Walker--Well, we all heard and read the excitement about his athletic ability. Then a sudden move to IR and hope for 2007 was lost. Probably the ultimate sleeper with most upside/low cost, but injuries are a definite concern. I personally have him stashed in one league and will just wait and see with him, but he has a short leash. If he fails to make an impact this year, especially if due to injuries, I wouldn't hold out much hope.
7. Craig Davis--I was never impressed with him at LSU and I don't see him making any impact in his current situation. Maybe some others have some insight on him.
2007 WR's with bad QB situations:
1. Dwayne Bowe--Opposite of Craig Davis, I loved his game at LSU and he lived up to it last year. Unfortunately, KC is a mess without much hope for improving in the short-term. However, I think the talent is clearly there and someone I think could have an impact for a long time. I recently traded him only because the other owner was high enough on him to give up AJ and a 1st round pick. I was shocked, but to be honest, I may have actually gotten the short end of the deal if lives up to his potential.
2. Sidney Rice--The addition of Berrian + another year of experience for T. Jackson MAY improve this situation, but unfortunately I think Rice is going to have to do all the work to produce fantasy-wise. The thing is, he has the skills to do so. I see a somewhat similar year to S. Holmes in store for him with slightly less yardage and a couple less TDs. This guy is a definite hold as his trade value does not equal his potential value. If the Minny offense does improve, this guy could end up the #1 fantasy producer of his class in 2008.
3. Laurent Robinson--The little bit I saw of him on the field in 2007 I really, really liked. Probably ran the crispest routes of all the guys in this class with the exception of Gonzalez with great moves/fakes to beat DB's. Also has great ball tracking skills. Just wish he would have done a little more with his targets. Some of that can be blamed on the QB situation in Atlanta, however, it may be as bad or worse in 2008. He's another hold player, but I see him with similar potential to the guys above him.
4. Ted Ginn---Obviously many think he was a huge reach in the 1st round by Miami. However, out of all the guys listed with the exception of Bowe, he will probably have the best chance to have the spotlight and may go into the year as the #1 WR. I honestly don't know what to expect from him, but I think he may be able to be had cheap. I'm personally not a fan, but could be convinced otherwise.
5. Jason Hill--This is the guy whose preseason rankings could jump significantly depending on what happens in training camp. If he's somehow able to pick up Martz's offense and can leapfrog into the starting lineup, he could make a valuable contribution. I just don't see it happening, though. I think he has much better long-term value and might be a good mid-season pickup if he's still mired low on the depth chart.
6. James Jones--This guy actually had a pretty impressive stint in 2007 and was actually startable for a few weeks. Then Jennings returned and Favre retired. I liked what I saw on the field but I think his upside is limited, at least for the next couple years. Just not someone I would be after as I don't see big-time potential in his future.
7. Johnnie Lee Higgins--There was some buzz about this guy and his speed and then it just disappeared. The Raiders are a mess. I just don't know what to expect from him, but it's not much. He's going to have to overcome a pretty bad situation and really impress to have any type of impact in the next year or two. But, stranger things have happened.
8. Dwayne Jarrett--Not sure how he didn't capitalize on his chance last year to crack the starting lineup, but he just didn't. Now with Hackett in town, it seems this situation can hold him back. Couple that with average talent, IMO, and he's just not someone I'd be interested in at all. Minimal value both now and in next 2-3 yrs to me. Probably the biggest bust and disappointment of all the guys drafted last year in terms of his draft position and short/long term potential.
I actually think last year's WR class may surprise and have some decent long-term prospects in CJ2, Bowe, Rice, Gonzalez, Robinson, S. Smith and Meachem (in particular). Going into last year, I just wasn't too excited about the WR class but that changed pretty quickly. I'm curious to see if some of these guys with talent but bad situations can overcome some of the others in pretty ideal situations.
Would love some opinions on some of these guys because I just didn't get to see them enough either in college or last year.
2007 WRs with good/decent QB situations:
1. CJ2--I put him in this category only because he'll at least have Kitna for at least part of 2008. This could change if Stanton takes over. However, I still think his talent far exceeds anyone else in this class. He's still the clear #1, IMO.
2. A. Gonzalez--Already showed he can produce at this level and obviously in an elite offense. Only Harrison to hold him back at this point.
3. Steve Smith--This guy really came on in the playoffs. This is someone I would look to target as his value is probably the lowest it might be again with big upside, IMO.
4. Robert Meachem--Lots of concerns since he didn't take the field at all in 2007. However, he's in a great situation with little competition to break into the starting lineup. I'm still not convinced on him, but of the guys below him, this is a guy I would definitely take a chance on if the price was right. I would think his owners are going to hold on him as there's no way to get any value in trading him at this point.
5. Jacoby Jones--This guy looked pretty decent in his limited work last year. But, he'll definitely be playing 2nd fiddle to AJ and I didn't see enough to warrant significant upside. I know the buzz was hot for him last year but that seems to have died down significantly. Not someone I'm particularly interested in, but he does bear watching.
6. Mike Walker--Well, we all heard and read the excitement about his athletic ability. Then a sudden move to IR and hope for 2007 was lost. Probably the ultimate sleeper with most upside/low cost, but injuries are a definite concern. I personally have him stashed in one league and will just wait and see with him, but he has a short leash. If he fails to make an impact this year, especially if due to injuries, I wouldn't hold out much hope.
7. Craig Davis--I was never impressed with him at LSU and I don't see him making any impact in his current situation. Maybe some others have some insight on him.
2007 WR's with bad QB situations:
1. Dwayne Bowe--Opposite of Craig Davis, I loved his game at LSU and he lived up to it last year. Unfortunately, KC is a mess without much hope for improving in the short-term. However, I think the talent is clearly there and someone I think could have an impact for a long time. I recently traded him only because the other owner was high enough on him to give up AJ and a 1st round pick. I was shocked, but to be honest, I may have actually gotten the short end of the deal if lives up to his potential.
2. Sidney Rice--The addition of Berrian + another year of experience for T. Jackson MAY improve this situation, but unfortunately I think Rice is going to have to do all the work to produce fantasy-wise. The thing is, he has the skills to do so. I see a somewhat similar year to S. Holmes in store for him with slightly less yardage and a couple less TDs. This guy is a definite hold as his trade value does not equal his potential value. If the Minny offense does improve, this guy could end up the #1 fantasy producer of his class in 2008.
3. Laurent Robinson--The little bit I saw of him on the field in 2007 I really, really liked. Probably ran the crispest routes of all the guys in this class with the exception of Gonzalez with great moves/fakes to beat DB's. Also has great ball tracking skills. Just wish he would have done a little more with his targets. Some of that can be blamed on the QB situation in Atlanta, however, it may be as bad or worse in 2008. He's another hold player, but I see him with similar potential to the guys above him.
4. Ted Ginn---Obviously many think he was a huge reach in the 1st round by Miami. However, out of all the guys listed with the exception of Bowe, he will probably have the best chance to have the spotlight and may go into the year as the #1 WR. I honestly don't know what to expect from him, but I think he may be able to be had cheap. I'm personally not a fan, but could be convinced otherwise.
5. Jason Hill--This is the guy whose preseason rankings could jump significantly depending on what happens in training camp. If he's somehow able to pick up Martz's offense and can leapfrog into the starting lineup, he could make a valuable contribution. I just don't see it happening, though. I think he has much better long-term value and might be a good mid-season pickup if he's still mired low on the depth chart.
6. James Jones--This guy actually had a pretty impressive stint in 2007 and was actually startable for a few weeks. Then Jennings returned and Favre retired. I liked what I saw on the field but I think his upside is limited, at least for the next couple years. Just not someone I would be after as I don't see big-time potential in his future.
7. Johnnie Lee Higgins--There was some buzz about this guy and his speed and then it just disappeared. The Raiders are a mess. I just don't know what to expect from him, but it's not much. He's going to have to overcome a pretty bad situation and really impress to have any type of impact in the next year or two. But, stranger things have happened.
8. Dwayne Jarrett--Not sure how he didn't capitalize on his chance last year to crack the starting lineup, but he just didn't. Now with Hackett in town, it seems this situation can hold him back. Couple that with average talent, IMO, and he's just not someone I'd be interested in at all. Minimal value both now and in next 2-3 yrs to me. Probably the biggest bust and disappointment of all the guys drafted last year in terms of his draft position and short/long term potential.
I actually think last year's WR class may surprise and have some decent long-term prospects in CJ2, Bowe, Rice, Gonzalez, Robinson, S. Smith and Meachem (in particular). Going into last year, I just wasn't too excited about the WR class but that changed pretty quickly. I'm curious to see if some of these guys with talent but bad situations can overcome some of the others in pretty ideal situations.
Would love some opinions on some of these guys because I just didn't get to see them enough either in college or last year.
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