repeated FF mistakes/success, positional/team (1 Viewer)

[Bri]

I found the other thread interesting in regards to NFL teams. What about for FF?(sorry for negativity but...it's interesting)

Why do people continue to draft..... when they never pan out?

Here's one that bugs me-

Drafting Colts WRs far down on their depth chart because if they get the chance to play...they never do. Pierre Garcon drafted in a couple deep leagues.....geesh. Wasn't Hall a sneaky pick 2-3 years ago?

try to stick it to a position please like Indy WRs, Pats RBs, Bengals TEs...whatever

thank you

 

[iSnitch]

Because sometimes the players will pan out. Or because they fell in love with the player once, so they'll come up with excuses why it didn't work last season but THIS year will be different. Or because their draft position fell so this season it's a value pick.

 

[iSnitch]

I mean, once you get to a certain point in the draft, it's all a garbage pick that will end up on the waiver wire. If I'm going to take crap, I might as well take crap that *could* pan out if everything fell just right. If Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark broke a leg in a freak accident, Peyton will still throw the ball to somebody. It is incredibly unlikely all other options will get hurt, but at that point you're taking guys that are beyond the longest of long shots anyhow.

And just because something has not happened in the past does not mean it can't happen in the future.

 

[Bri]

I mean, once you get to a certain point in the draft, it's all a garbage pick that will end up on the waiver wire. If I'm going to take crap, I might as well take crap that *could* pan out if everything fell just right. If Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark broke a leg in a freak accident, Peyton will still throw the ball to somebody. It is incredibly unlikely all other options will get hurt, but at that point you're taking guys that are beyond the longest of long shots anyhow.And just because something has not happened in the past does not mean it can't happen in the future.

but even if someone rolled with this line of thinking; considering every player/team has an equal chance of injury and suspensions or whatever to stop players from playing, why not take the 5th WR on the Saints instead of the 5th WR on the Colts for the seventh year in a row?To you, when does it end and you're "burned" so you move on?

 

[Bri]

changed OP to include positive, seemed silly to stay negative.

 

[Bri]

Last time a Bengals RB wasn't a good pick or good in FF?

 

[iSnitch]

I mean, once you get to a certain point in the draft, it's all a garbage pick that will end up on the waiver wire. If I'm going to take crap, I might as well take crap that *could* pan out if everything fell just right. If Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark broke a leg in a freak accident, Peyton will still throw the ball to somebody. It is incredibly unlikely all other options will get hurt, but at that point you're taking guys that are beyond the longest of long shots anyhow.And just because something has not happened in the past does not mean it can't happen in the future.

but even if someone rolled with this line of thinking; considering every player/team has an equal chance of injury and suspensions or whatever to stop players from playing, why not take the 5th WR on the Saints instead of the 5th WR on the Colts for the seventh year in a row?To you, when does it end and you're "burned" so you move on?

Because people probably don't put that much thought into realizing Colston is more likely to get hurt, therefore I should take the Saint's backup wr instead of the guy with the Colts.But simply because Wayne didn't get hurt the last x years does not make him LESS likely to get hurt this season.

 

[VonRomig]

Seeing as there are 32 teams, each with a no.1 and no.2 WR on their roster, that means there are 64 viable players. Within a 12 team league that gives each team over 5 WRs to have on their fantasy team without even going into the no.3 spots.

Now it is a fact that a few teams have a good no.3 WR, worth a roster spot on a fantasy team. And yes, some teams have sucky no.2 WRs not worth anything. But even still it is very unlikely that anyone is looking at anyone's no.5s unless the league has a much to large bench.

(as you say they are doing this year after year I can only think you are talking about re-drafts... with a dynasty league all bets are off when it comes to depth)

I suggest you stay away from re-draft leagues with so many bench spots that people are drafting anyone's no.5 WR.

Von

 

[MAC_32]

I've been prone to getting burned by players on 'out of nowhere' teams the year after it happening. It's happening again with Ronnie Brown, but not with Michael Turner.

Another mistake I think I've moved past but am not sure is relying too heavily on strong finishes from the prior season. Last year was the first one I was able to avoid this mishap, we'll see if it was an abberation or if I've actually learned my lesson.

The biggest thing I'm doing this offseason is following coaching/scheme changes and trying to predict what a team plans to do more based off offseason moves, since coach speak is pure bull####. I've felt like I've been a bit behind in this area in the past, I should've tracked progress on an excel sheet, it's getting tough to sort out, lesson learned for next season.

 

[DoubleG]

I think the FF world has finally turned the corner on the "Denver backfield" mistake. For years, you'd have to spend 3-4 picks on Denver RBs - and would probably still be wrong when trying to hit gold.

I think another common mistake is Philly WRs. McNabb is a stud QB therefore, most people assume one of his WR's is going to be a stud. Since TO left, that is generally not true. Partially because he spreads the ball around to the TE and Westy in the passing game.

The final flaw is "every team has a #1 WR" - the Bears, generally (until this year perhaps) do not. If you drafted the Bears #1 WR and expected any fantasy relevance, you likely have been sorely dissappointed.

On the positive side, I think mediocre QBs on bad defensive teams are often overlooked. If they're teams are down, they have to throw alot. Especially in passing yardage-heavy leagues, there is value to be found in many places.

 

[Christo]

I mean, once you get to a certain point in the draft, it's all a garbage pick that will end up on the waiver wire. If I'm going to take crap, I might as well take crap that *could* pan out if everything fell just right. If Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark broke a leg in a freak accident, Peyton will still throw the ball to somebody. It is incredibly unlikely all other options will get hurt, but at that point you're taking guys that are beyond the longest of long shots anyhow.And just because something has not happened in the past does not mean it can't happen in the future.

but even if someone rolled with this line of thinking; considering every player/team has an equal chance of injury and suspensions or whatever to stop players from playing, why not take the 5th WR on the Saints instead of the 5th WR on the Colts for the seventh year in a row?To you, when does it end and you're "burned" so you move on?

I think iSnitch is looking at this with a little more perspective than you. Like he said, it's a crap shoot by that point in the draft. No one's getting "burned" by repeatedly drafting the Colts' WR5 late every year.

 

[Bri]

Seeing as there are 32 teams, each with a no.1 and no.2 WR on their roster, that means there are 64 viable players. Within a 12 team league that gives each team over 5 WRs to have on their fantasy team without even going into the no.3 spots.Now it is a fact that a few teams have a good no.3 WR, worth a roster spot on a fantasy team. And yes, some teams have sucky no.2 WRs not worth anything. But even still it is very unlikely that anyone is looking at anyone's no.5s unless the league has a much to large bench.(as you say they are doing this year after year I can only think you are talking about re-drafts... with a dynasty league all bets are off when it comes to depth)I suggest you stay away from re-draft leagues with so many bench spots that people are drafting anyone's no.5 WR.Von

Good theory but it's not so unheard of, here ya go-SaintsMarques ColstonLance MooreRobert MeachemDevery HendersonTerrance Copper(last year) Adrian Arrington(this year)GiantsSteve SmithDomenik HixonMario ManninghamHakeem NicksRamses BardenCowboys(could add in TO, for last year Glenn and many of the same too in previous years)RoyCraytonAustinHurdStanbackRedskinsSantana MossRandel-ElThrashwhichever rook you like at WR from 08 for #4 and #5BunglesOchoColesHenrywhichever rook....