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Running Back Projections Week 2 (1 Viewer)

Defending Champs

Footballguy
While this may looked like a cleverly disguised "Who do I Start" thread, trust me, it's not.

Like others, I pour through all of the data trying to put my best foot forward. While I don't use the rankings as my end all be all, I certainly put it in high regards.

Kevin Smith notably had a terrible week this past week with the exception of the TD.

His YPC were a paltry 1.3.

He did have a nice 7 catches for 52 Yards

I find it interesting that he would be listed as the #10 RB this week going up against the stout Minn DL.

Quote from the weekly upgrade downgrade article:

"Opinion (from The Upgrade/Downgrade/Waiver Report): Smith had difficulty finding running room between the tackles and had to make a move in the backfield on nearly every play. Other than a successful misdirection play on a fourth down touchdown run in the second quarter, Smith wasn’t much more effective when the Lions tried to get him outside on pitch plays and sweeps. He caught the ball well on a variety of screen passes and underneath routes, showing good elusiveness after getting the ball in open field. Until teams can't force Matthew Stafford to throw the ball without consistently paying for it, Smith is not going to have the opportunity to be the fantasy player that matches his ability. The fact that Schwartz stuck with the ground game enough for Smith to get at least 15 carries means Smith is still a low-end No. 2 fantasy RB, but not a favorable option in the short-term. "

I also have Ray Rice on my roster. Rice had a nice week last week with over 100 yards and nearly tip toed in for a score. Yes, I know McGahee and McClain exist which is the obvious downgrade to his status, but he's ranked 29th this week heading into San Diego. I am using Rice as my example simply b/c he is on my roster and try to read as much as possible about each player I have.

As a team last week, the Chargers gave up a total of 148 yards on the ground which was 25th worse in the NFL.

It would seem to me that these two names are drastically on the wrong side of the early weekly rankings, no?

Thoughts?

 
I agree. I am also interested in both of those guys rankings. Really makes no sense to me.

Also, shocked at Sproles ranking even if LT is out.

The Jets RB are both too high. Pick one or the other, but both will not land there.

 
I am not starting Smith against Minn either. I'm swiping in 2 of Fred J, DMac, Rice. Full PPR league.

I think in PPR Smith is still an okay start though. Don't see him getting less than 5 receptions. He's as good a bet to get a TD as anyone on the team, and I expect Det to put up garbage points. Worst case 10 points, could easily break 20 with a TD and a couple good runs.

 
Had the same reaction upon seeing Smith's ranking. Maybe they figure he'll get a ton of catches out of the backfield in garbage time?

I don't see him getting a ton of yards on the ground against the Vikes' D. Trying to figure out whether to start him over Ronnie Brown in one league...

 
Had the same reaction upon seeing Smith's ranking. Maybe they figure he'll get a ton of catches out of the backfield in garbage time?I don't see him getting a ton of yards on the ground against the Vikes' D. Trying to figure out whether to start him over Ronnie Brown in one league...
Throw me in the R. Brown category, Rice, and Benson. Treats me right for not nailing down a true #1 Back...We use the auction format, so I spread the wealth too much and didn't really pony up on one like I should have.I really thought Ronnie Brown would have been better in week 1. Big Atlanta fan here, I was overly surprised to see their Defense play as well as it did...or did Miami just play that poorly? I guess that's why they play week 2.
 
Week 2 rankings are a #####. Not enough data to establish trends.

I'd just go with your gut.

Also, check the scoring system when rankings are posted. If it differs from your league (say TD heavy vs. PPR/yardage) it could obviously change your rankings.

 
I'm questioning Addai's ranking also going against Miami who basically shut down Michael Turner. I don't think I would start him over Rice.

 
How was Jamal Lewis able to run on Minny's D? All credit to the Browns oline?

 
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Week 2 rankings are a #####. Not enough data to establish trends.I'd just go with your gut.Also, check the scoring system when rankings are posted. If it differs from your league (say TD heavy vs. PPR/yardage) it could obviously change your rankings.
Then why post em? With that line of logic, we cannot establish trends on any week, from week to week.
 
Week 2 rankings are a #####. Not enough data to establish trends.

I'd just go with your gut.

Also, check the scoring system when rankings are posted. If it differs from your league (say TD heavy vs. PPR/yardage) it could obviously change your rankings.
Then why post em? With that line of logic, we cannot establish trends on any week, from week to week.
Why does everyone have to be so contrary in FF forums? Jeez.That was a silly question, so I'm going to assume you misread what I posted due to the ##### being censored.

The word I used means "female dog". I meant that week 2 rankings are difficult to project.

I didn't mean that week 2 rankings are a "stinking pile of ####", which is apparently how you took it.

Say you've had Player X ranked as (roughly) the #10 RB for the past few months, in your pre-season projections.

Player X has a bad week 1 against a so-so defense. You're now faced with dropping them WAY down for week 2 based on that first week, but that would mean ignoring all of your pre-season data. You have to hedge your bets a bit and allow for circumstance. Maybe it was just a bad week. Maybe....oh, whatever.

But if you are seriously asking "why post rankings?", the answer has little to do with FF and a lot more to do with web commerce/traffic/hits/advertising. Any FF site that doesn't post rankings will see a loss in traffic. So. There ya go.

 
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Week 2 rankings are a #####. Not enough data to establish trends.

I'd just go with your gut.

Also, check the scoring system when rankings are posted. If it differs from your league (say TD heavy vs. PPR/yardage) it could obviously change your rankings.
Then why post em? With that line of logic, we cannot establish trends on any week, from week to week.
Why does everyone have to be so contrary in FF forums? Jeez.That was a silly question, so I'm going to assume you misread what I posted due to the ##### being censored.

The word I used means "female dog". I meant that week 2 rankings are difficult to project.

I didn't mean that week 2 rankings are a "stinking pile of ####", which is apparently how you took it.

Say you've had Player X ranked as (roughly) the #10 RB for the past few months, in your pre-season projections.

Player X has a bad week 1 against a so-so defense. You're now faced with dropping them WAY down for week 2 based on that first week, but that would mean ignoring all of your pre-season data. You have to hedge your bets a bit and allow for circumstance. Maybe it was just a bad week. Maybe....oh, whatever.

But if you are seriously asking "why post rankings?", the answer has little to do with FF and a lot more to do with web commerce/traffic/hits/advertising. Any FF site that doesn't post rankings will see a loss in traffic. So. There ya go.
I see what you are saying. But honestly, if you are going to go out on a limb and project a guy (kSmith) to have a good day against arguably the best rush D in the league, then there should be some basis for it. This guy went for about 15 rushing yards against a team he should have been able to run on. But now he is supposed to be in the Top 10 for RB's in Week 2 going against Minn. The only way he should be that high is if he gets 7+ catches and scores which is HIGHLY UNLIKELY. I do agree with you for the most part though. It is tough to make rankings this early in a season.

 
Lewis had 57 Yards
57 yards on 11 carries (5.2 YPC)In total, Cleveland ran the ball 20 times for 89 yards (4.7 YPC), maybe would of ran more if the 2nd half had not been the ADP show?It's just week 1 so who knows but that's not a bad performance for a bad team against one of the higher ranked defenses in the league.
 
You are right, the YPC is pretty good for Lewis who is supposedly washed up, I still look at the fact that they ran for just 57 yards. It would appear to me that the coaching staff for Cleveland picked some pretty opportune times to run the ball to maximize YPC. I didn't watch the game, so this is just an assumption

 

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