Mr. Chumley
Footballguy
He's hot but will will he continue to put up those numbers. He started strong last year too and came back down to earth about 4 or 5 games into the season. What's the consensus on this guy?
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Ryan Fitzpatrick (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter Mr. Chumley
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Cenobite
Footballguy
Don't know the consensus but can give you my opinion. Fitz is a good QB in a good QB system. That is why it works. Sometimes you have good QBs in offensive systems that do not produce fantasy points. Aikman was a great QB but never a fantasy stud. The way the Bills run their offense, Fitz will be fine all year.
Have to watch a few things with Fitzpatrick:
1. Health of Stevie Johnson. Stevie is the clear go-to guy in this passing offense. Great route runner, good ball skills, sneaky speed and quickness, mentally acute. He's been missing Wednesday practices all year with this groin pull. It's something he's dealing with for now but keep an eye on it.
2. The weather. Fitzpatrick doesn't have a particularly strong arm. Don't worry about snow. Worry about wind and rain. Cold windy days in Buffalo later in the season could ground the Buffalo air attack. Check the forecast.
3. The matchup. Week 5 vs. PHI, weeks 9 and 12 vs. NYJ. Have someone else ready to go for these weeks. Fitzpatrick is not matchup proof.
He's not a stud. He's solid. Value him as QB8. Value him any higher than that and you're making a mistake.
1. Health of Stevie Johnson. Stevie is the clear go-to guy in this passing offense. Great route runner, good ball skills, sneaky speed and quickness, mentally acute. He's been missing Wednesday practices all year with this groin pull. It's something he's dealing with for now but keep an eye on it.
2. The weather. Fitzpatrick doesn't have a particularly strong arm. Don't worry about snow. Worry about wind and rain. Cold windy days in Buffalo later in the season could ground the Buffalo air attack. Check the forecast.
3. The matchup. Week 5 vs. PHI, weeks 9 and 12 vs. NYJ. Have someone else ready to go for these weeks. Fitzpatrick is not matchup proof.
He's not a stud. He's solid. Value him as QB8. Value him any higher than that and you're making a mistake.
theoneandonly
Footballguy
4k yards 27 tds and 10 picks seems pretty doable.
FarEastKilla
Footballguy
Too early to tell, but not too many Qbs can go toe to toe with Brady with a bunch of no name receivers. His vision is excellent, spots weakness and adapts quickly to exploit them on the field, he starts very slow but ends strong.
GroveDiesel
Footballguy
David Nelson actually has the same number of receptions and targets as Stevie Stylz. The Bills would certainly miss SJ if the groin caused him to miss time, but not as much as some people might think.
massraider
Footballguy
From Rotowire:In Ryan Fitzpatrick's 16 career games under Chan Gailey, he has passed for 3,841 yards with 32 touchdowns.
BoltBacker
Footballguy
Great post!I agree with everything you said but I would add that they seem to be integrating the TE into the offense more this year so it may dampen the effects of weather a little bit.
mcintyre1
Footballguy
I like him to continue as a guy that you can start every week with a good degree of confidence. However, his value is still incredibly low. I've been trying like mad to move him in a dynasty league where I also have Stafford, and I've gotten extremely little interest aside from the Peyton owner. If you're looking to buy, buy now. If you're looking to move him, I think you'll have to wait a couple more weeks while he continues to put up starter caliber numbers before you can cash out.
This.People in this hobby are way too slow to give credit. In a league where entire careers can last only a couple years, an entire season's worth of data HAS to be more than enough to go on to make your final judgments...unless something drastic about circumstances has changed. (See: Foster, Arian.)In a world where "start your studs" is a maxim people live by, you have to understand that a guy with right around 4000/30 his last 16 (who is currently playing better than ever) qualifies for full-blown stud status at this point.If you rate him behind the Aaron Rodgerses and Philip Riverses of the world at this point, you're simply behind the curve. A Cam Newton still has something to prove before his early stats aren't taken with a grain or two of salt. But a Ryan Fitzpatrick is as reliable a commodity as any in football right now.You might have been able to make the argument that you thought his situation had changed for the worse before the season started. But now that that's proven to be categorically untrue, all you've got is a super-reliable production guy with first-round production capability and a QB fantasy ceiling as high as anyone not named Vick or Brady.He ought to be carrying second round-ish value by now, and anyone who isn't pricing him as such is doing a disservice to their team.I would be absolutely shocked if he stayed healthy and DIDN'T produce a 4000/30 season at this point. I'm not saying I called it or anything. But you've got to adapt, and as far as I'm concerned, this is the new reality.
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Resident A
Footballguy
Gailey's offense is built around short passes, more than most teams, the Bills rarely take downfield shots. The Buffalo weather will not be as much of a factor as most people think.
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fatmnkypants
Footballguy
Where does everyone see him tier wise over the rest of the seaon?
In the Romo, Schaub area?
In the Romo, Schaub area?
Hank Mardukas
Footballguy
I'd take Fitz over either of those, all things considered. I'm strongly considering rolling with Fitz and trading Vick while he still has some name value.
Bills had 7 pass plays of 20 yards or more last week against the Patriots, many of those where against the press man that Belichek and other teams will employ to take away the dink and dunk game.
Phlash
Footballguy
That's a pretty sick deal for you.How much are TD passes worth & how many WRs do you start?
GroveDiesel
Footballguy
just an addition to the conversation, ProFootballFocus has the Bills currently ranked as the #1 performing offensive line in the passing game right now. That's definitely very good for Fitz. I have no idea how they're doing it because they didn't look good last year and looked awful in the preseason. But, so far, they are.
