Settle a bet for 2 nerds (1 Viewer)

[MelvinTScupper]

Recently, an FBGer bragged about his ability to outdo Dodds/Bryant for rankings. He chose his top 75 players, and we used Dodd/Bryants for 75 players.

At year end, we took FBG's dominator rankings and plugged them into the DD.

When comparing for variances, this yet-to-be-named FBGer claimed that at worst, a player would be compared against 76 for players that didn't end up in the top 75. Thus, even if his #22 pick finished 353rd in the league, he should only have a variance of 54, instead of 178 (vs 200) or 378 (vs 400)

The other FBGer claimed that since even the most basic league goes nearly 200 deep for a draft (15 spots X 12 teams) it needed to compare against a higher variance. Since the dominator uses 200/400, shouldn't that be the baseline?

by the first FBGers method, the variance is smaller, and by the second FBGers method, the variance is larger.

What say you, Shark Poolers??

 

[MLBrandow]

Depends on why the ranking was off.

I say 200.

Top-75 is being nitpicky, and if unforseen fluke injury is the culprit, then both rankings will suffer.

 

[Otis]

All in.

 

[BlueDredSo]

Multiply by X. Then subtract the square root of X-75. You're welcome.

 

[MelvinTScupper]

Depends on why the ranking was off.I say 200.Top-75 is being nitpicky, and if unforseen fluke injury is the culprit, then both rankings will suffer.

he loses with a 200 OR 400 comparison.

 

[MelvinTScupper]

Multiply by X. Then subtract the square root of X-75. You're welcome.

I'm not an excel nerd. The only excelling I do is at arbitrage.

 

[joffer]

boy that Harrier jump jet is some cool plane

 

[MelvinTScupper]

boy that Harrier jump jet is some cool plane

 

[AB in DC]

The other FBGer claimed that since even the most basic league goes nearly 200 deep for a draft (15 spots X 12 teams) it needed to compare against a higher variance. Since the dominator uses 200/400, shouldn't that be the baseline?

I agree with this logic, but unless you're ranking by ppg, your numbers are going to be thrown off by players missing half a season due to injury. If FBGer ranked a player #74 who Dodds/Bryant ranked out of the top 75, and this player tore an ACL halfway through the season, you'll see a huge variance there that is ultimately meaningless.

 

[Kleck]

This certainly counts as urinating in our pond.