Shaun Alexander: 28 TDs Last year...so: (1 Viewer)

[The Deathstar]

Many forums have SA with a large dropoff in TD's. What do you think?

 

[Bad_Mo]

I think you should stick to calling him SA instead of spelling out his name.

 

[Oscar Goldman]

Shaun won't have 28. I'd say 14-16.

 

[Eviloutsider]

21

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Four

 

[Doctor Detroit]

Four....

....against the Vikings. Sixteen against everyone else.

 

[Slinger]

Shaun should have between 10 and 30.

 

[jetpack]

Four....

....against the Vikings. Sixteen against everyone else.

And herein is the fundamental problem with the #1 pick in this year's FFB drafts. I have that pick and am struggling to decide between LJ and SA. Everyone expects SA to regress to his mean - back to 15 tds or so. But his situation is very sweet, the Seahawk's O is excellent, and they dwell in a cr*p division. The upside may be greater with LJ, but the team is a big ?. I'm stuck.

 

[ooofffaaa]

Four....

....against the Vikings. Sixteen against everyone else.

And herein is the fundamental problem with the #1 pick in this year's FFB drafts. I have that pick and am struggling to decide between LJ and SA. Everyone expects SA to regress to his mean - back to 15 tds or so. But his situation is very sweet, the Seahawk's O is excellent, and they dwell in a cr*p division. The upside may be greater with LJ, but the team is a big ?. I'm stuck.

Same here and I draft tomorrow.Currently leaning towards SA due to his schedule. Especially Weeks 14 & 15.

 

[jetpack]

Four....

....against the Vikings. Sixteen against everyone else.

And herein is the fundamental problem with the #1 pick in this year's FFB drafts. I have that pick and am struggling to decide between LJ and SA. Everyone expects SA to regress to his mean - back to 15 tds or so. But his situation is very sweet, the Seahawk's O is excellent, and they dwell in a cr*p division. The upside may be greater with LJ, but the team is a big ?. I'm stuck.

Same here and I draft tomorrow.Currently leaning towards SA due to his schedule. Especially Weeks 14 & 15.

Excellent point, and this is from a guy who's drafted the KC running back the last 3-4 years when I've had the chance. Anyone else have anything to convince me one way or the other.

 

[CapnJB]

Everyone expects SA to regress to his mean - back to 15 tds or so.

He's got 98 TDs in 5 years as a starter.... regressing back to a mean of 20 TDs aint a bad thing....I'm just saying....

 

[Sea Bass]

11

 

[ooofffaaa]

Forgot my prediction . . .

29

 

[Raiders Fan]

Less then LJ.

 

[The Deathstar]

Four....

....against the Vikings. Sixteen against everyone else.

And herein is the fundamental problem with the #1 pick in this year's FFB drafts. I have that pick and am struggling to decide between LJ and SA. Everyone expects SA to regress to his mean - back to 15 tds or so. But his situation is very sweet, the Seahawk's O is excellent, and they dwell in a cr*p division. The upside may be greater with LJ, but the team is a big ?. I'm stuck.

Same here and I draft tomorrow.Currently leaning towards SA due to his schedule. Especially Weeks 14 & 15.

ditto, i draft #1 Monday in a PPR league, am struggling between LJ, SA, and LT. SA's schedule rocks in the playoff weeks, but he doesnt get many receptions compared to LT and LJ. I am thinking that SA drops down from 28 TDs obviously...but from 28 to 18 or so? hmmm.