Sjax Projections (1 Viewer)

[MCguidance]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:

10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg - ACTUAL: 76, 1; 5 rec for 24 yards

11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg - ACTUAL: 92; 4 rec for 20 yards

12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg - ACTUAL: 90, 1; 3 rec for 15 yards

13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg - ACTUAL: 96 ,1; 4 rec for 71 yards

14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg ACTUAL: 91; 4 rec for 26 yards

15 GNB - #12 Run D - 99 ypg ACTUAL: 143, 1; 4 rec for 27 yards

16 PIT - #2 Run D - 72 ypg ACTUAL: 85; 3 rec for 27 yards, 1 TD

17 @ARI - #11 Run D - 98 ypg

Above represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed.

My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

EDIT: He has not been the uber stud, obviously. But he has performed well and seems to be consistent. Admittedly, he hurt me enough during his missed games that I will not make the playoffs. But I am thinking that for some of you, he will. Again, he has a very good matchup next week versus CINCY, but then draws GB and PITT (the case can be made either way: optimistic view - he is healthy, consistent - a TD 4 of the last 5 games played - and will be big again down the stretch; pessimistic view - he has only been good against bad defenses - only way he salvaged games were with two big runs - and will hurt you down the stretch with the tough schedule). Again, you expect him to do well enough next week and then hope he can grind it out or break some big ones the following two weeks. So for the SP -- will he make it to 1000 yards? Will a strong finish remove him from bust status, or is the damage already done? He looks like he could come close to the 1k, no? Obviously, he has an uphill battle, but when healthy, he has been better than some of the other first round RBs taken. Just thought I would revisit this given the last few weeks.

EDIT: He currently has 949 yards with one week to play. He needs 41 yards to hit the 1k mark.

I believe this guy would have been top 5 all year if healthy. WHere do you see him going next year in PPR leagues? Do you think 1000 yards while missing 5 games is an achievement or not? I would like to hear the Shark Pools thoughts on Sjax moving forward as well as what this year has taught us.

 

[SCT]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypgAbove represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed. My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

His line is in shambles still......I predict he comes back, puts up 60-80 yards and maybe a td for a couple games, then reaggravates it and gets put on the shelf.

 

[MCguidance]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:

10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg

11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg

12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg

13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg

14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg

15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg

16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg

17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypg

Above represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed.

My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

His line is in shambles still......I predict he comes back, puts up 60-80 yards and maybe a td for a couple games, then reaggravates it and gets put on the shelf.

 

[David Yudkin]

The assumption here is that:

1) Jackson returns good as new and in 2006 form

2) The OL is 100% repaired and fully functional

3) Bulger and his receiving corps are all healthy and up to par

4) The defense can keep the other team from scoring so the Rams won't have to pass the entire second half

5) Jackson stays healthy the rest of the way

IMO, none of those are currently the case, so I have a hard time thinking he will average nearly 100 rushing yards a game once he comes back. I own him in a couple of leagues, but at this point I would say this is really a case of wishful thinking.

 

[Neil Beaufort Zod]

Unpleasant playoff schedule, too.

 

[SCT]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:

10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg

11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg

12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg

13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg

14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg

15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg

16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg

17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypg

Above represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed.

My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

His line is in shambles still......I predict he comes back, puts up 60-80 yards and maybe a td for a couple games, then reaggravates it and gets put on the shelf.

That's a very big "granted".

 

[Jayrod]

What is his dynasty value right now?

A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

 

[MCguidance]

The assumption here is that:1) Jackson returns good as new and in 2006 form2) The OL is 100% repaired and fully functional3) Bulger and his receiving corps are all healthy and up to par4) The defense can keep the other team from scoring so the Rams won't have to pass the entire second half5) Jackson stays healthy the rest of the wayIMO, none of those are currently the case, so I have a hard time thinking he will average nearly 100 rushing yards a game once he comes back. I own him in a couple of leagues, but at this point I would say this is really a case of wishful thinking.

1.) I stated that he would have to be healthy otherwise the projections are meaningless2.) The line will not be 100% since some of their lineman are out for the season - but if you take the Jets OL from last year, young and inexperienced, it took some time, but they did gel. I am not saying this will happen, but that it could and again, I stated that the OLine would need to improve for any 95 ypg is realistic3.) Bulger's ribs will take some time to heal, I think if he can stay upright and given some time (again see OLine imrpovement) he is a very good NFL QB4.) Agreed the Rams must improve their D in order to keep itself in games5.) See number 1

 

[MCguidance]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

 

[MCguidance]

Unpleasant playoff schedule, too.

Yeah, but week 14 against Cincy is a prime matchup

 

[TheWick]

The assumption here is that:1) Jackson returns good as new and in 2006 form2) The OL is 100% repaired and fully functional3) Bulger and his receiving corps are all healthy and up to par4) The defense can keep the other team from scoring so the Rams won't have to pass the entire second half5) Jackson stays healthy the rest of the wayIMO, none of those are currently the case, so I have a hard time thinking he will average nearly 100 rushing yards a game once he comes back. I own him in a couple of leagues, but at this point I would say this is really a case of wishful thinking.

Are you saying that those teams YPG avg. were all given up to teams with these questions answered?

 

[SCT]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

As an SJax owner, I can tell you he was very far from a complete beast this year, prior to injury. You got to look at this year, not live in the past. His team has changed. That effects him. Regardless of his own health, his team will have to swing back just as far the other way to bring him back to where he was last year. Not sure that necessarily happens next year either.

 

[MCguidance]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

As an SJax owner, I can tell you he was very far from a complete beast this year, prior to injury. You got to look at this year, not live in the past. His team has changed. That effects him. Regardless of his own health, his team will have to swing back just as far the other way to bring him back to where he was last year. Not sure that necessarily happens next year either.

So you're ready to trade him away in a dynasty format? I look at Gore on his team last year and would expect similar things. I am not saying it doesn't effect him, but I would not trade him away unless I was blown away. And he was pretty good the week he was injured.

 

[SCT]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

As an SJax owner, I can tell you he was very far from a complete beast this year, prior to injury. You got to look at this year, not live in the past. His team has changed. That effects him. Regardless of his own health, his team will have to swing back just as far the other way to bring him back to where he was last year. Not sure that necessarily happens next year either.

So you're ready to trade him away in a dynasty format? I look at Gore on his team last year and would expect similar things. I am not saying it doesn't effect him, but I would not trade him away unless I was blown away. And he was pretty good the week he was injured.

Already did. Week 5, for Marshawn and Fitzgerald. I'm in a 2 keeper league, not full dynasty, but still.....you can't afford to have your projected best player sitting on the bench for half the season if not more if you're playing to win this year.

 

[MCguidance]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

As an SJax owner, I can tell you he was very far from a complete beast this year, prior to injury. You got to look at this year, not live in the past. His team has changed. That effects him. Regardless of his own health, his team will have to swing back just as far the other way to bring him back to where he was last year. Not sure that necessarily happens next year either.

So you're ready to trade him away in a dynasty format? I look at Gore on his team last year and would expect similar things. I am not saying it doesn't effect him, but I would not trade him away unless I was blown away. And he was pretty good the week he was injured.

Already did. Week 5, for Marshawn and Fitzgerald. I'm in a 2 keeper league, not full dynasty, but still.....you can't afford to have your projected best player sitting on the bench for half the season if not more if you're playing to win this year.

Yeah , not a bad trade though. But Buffalo better right that ship for Lynch to get better. I think if you wanna win now you made a good deal. But who knows about the future.

 

[David Yudkin]

The assumption here is that:1) Jackson returns good as new and in 2006 form2) The OL is 100% repaired and fully functional3) Bulger and his receiving corps are all healthy and up to par4) The defense can keep the other team from scoring so the Rams won't have to pass the entire second half5) Jackson stays healthy the rest of the wayIMO, none of those are currently the case, so I have a hard time thinking he will average nearly 100 rushing yards a game once he comes back. I own him in a couple of leagues, but at this point I would say this is really a case of wishful thinking.

Are you saying that those teams YPG avg. were all given up to teams with these questions answered?

Just because another team but up X number of yards does not mean that Jackson and the Rams will have the same expected result.For example, last year the Colts allowed 173 rushing yards per game. NE played the Colts twice and in those two games had a high single player rushing total of 63 yards.

 

[ThePittbully]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypgAbove represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed. My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

Someone was dropped as a babyHe may come back, but no way he's 100% or anywhere near 2006 form. And have you seen a Rams game this year?

 

[Yitbos69]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

As an SJax owner, I can tell you he was very far from a complete beast this year, prior to injury. You got to look at this year, not live in the past. His team has changed. That effects him. Regardless of his own health, his team will have to swing back just as far the other way to bring him back to where he was last year. Not sure that necessarily happens next year either.

So you're ready to trade him away in a dynasty format? I look at Gore on his team last year and would expect similar things. I am not saying it doesn't effect him, but I would not trade him away unless I was blown away. And he was pretty good the week he was injured.

Already did. Week 5, for Marshawn and Fitzgerald. I'm in a 2 keeper league, not full dynasty, but still.....you can't afford to have your projected best player sitting on the bench for half the season if not more if you're playing to win this year.

So are you a SJax owner??? Sounds like you are a Lynch/Fitz owner.

 

[Nigel Tufnel]

October 17, 2007, 15:53Rams :: QB, RB, WRRams Injury Update; RB Jackson Back To Limited WorkSteve Korte, Belleville News Democrat - [Full Article]The St. Louis Rams could have tow offensive weapons back this week. WR Isaac Bruce and RB Steven Jackson participated on a limited basis in the practice on Wednesday. Bruce has a realistic chance of playing this Sunday against Seattle if he doesn't suffer any setbacks in returning from the hamstring injury. Jackson went without contact today, and it remains unlikely that Jackson will play this Sunday, but HC Scott Linehan wouldn't rule out the possibility of Jackson playing against the Seahawks. "He's improving it looks like," Linehan said. "It's too early to say. It's a real outside chance." WR Drew Bennett (hamstring) was unable to practice. QB Marc Bulger said his two broken ribs feel better this week than they did two weeks ago, and he will start this weekend.

 

[Keith Lewis]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:

10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg

11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg

12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg

13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg

14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg

15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg

16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg

17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypg

Above represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed.

My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

Someone was dropped as a baby

He may come back, but no way he's 100% or anywhere near 2006 form. And have you seen a Rams game this year?

 

[vikingdave]

traded SJax and Philly D for AP and Pitt D just today...caused a huge uproar in the league and a guy or two want to quit the league because it is such an unfair trade...

 

[MCguidance]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypgAbove represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed. My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

Someone was dropped as a babyHe may come back, but no way he's 100% or anywhere near 2006 form. And have you seen a Rams game this year?

Says the 8 team leaguer.

 

[SCT]

What is his dynasty value right now?A lot of FBG staff still seem really high on him right now, but I'm not so sure his pre-injury struggles will be fixed even by next year. That team is really bad right now.

I would say that his dynstay value, while lower than last year, should not be underestimated. How can you give up a guy that was a complete beast before this injury? We are not talking about a guy who is old or run down, but a back who is in the prime of his career. Short of ADP its hard to imagine someone I would take for him.

As an SJax owner, I can tell you he was very far from a complete beast this year, prior to injury. You got to look at this year, not live in the past. His team has changed. That effects him. Regardless of his own health, his team will have to swing back just as far the other way to bring him back to where he was last year. Not sure that necessarily happens next year either.

So you're ready to trade him away in a dynasty format? I look at Gore on his team last year and would expect similar things. I am not saying it doesn't effect him, but I would not trade him away unless I was blown away. And he was pretty good the week he was injured.

Already did. Week 5, for Marshawn and Fitzgerald. I'm in a 2 keeper league, not full dynasty, but still.....you can't afford to have your projected best player sitting on the bench for half the season if not more if you're playing to win this year.

So are you a SJax owner??? Sounds like you are a Lynch/Fitz owner.

I was an SJax owner during the time discussed, pre-injury.

 

[Buckna]

traded SJax and Philly D for AP and Pitt D just today...caused a huge uproar in the league and a guy or two want to quit the league because it is such an unfair trade...

Redraft or dynasty? And if it was dynasty, which side of the trade caused the uproar?

 

[MCguidance]

bump to revisit

 

[RBM]

Look at what he is doing with no Bulger and a below caliber NFL o-line...

| 10 nor | 22 76 | 24 | 1 || 11 sfo | 23 92 | 20 | 0 || 12 sea | 23 90 | 15 | 1 || 13 atl | 20 96 | 71 | 1 |

Guy is just awesome

 

[MCguidance]

Look at what he is doing with no Bulger and a below caliber NFL o-line...

| 10 nor | 22 76 | 24 | 1 || 11 sfo | 23 92 | 20 | 0 || 12 sea | 23 90 | 15 | 1 || 13 atl | 20 96 | 71 | 1 |

Guy is just awesome

Yeah, I think he is an elite RB, but I am wondering if he can muster some good games during the FF playoffs. I think he may get to around 950 yards, but I would be VERY impressed if he breaks the century mark. I just don't think it is impossible.

 

[Cowboys#1]

Pretty crazy that he is putting up decent #'s with fereotte in and an o-line that makes my high school team look good.

He had one big drop in yesterdays game that could have been a big play but other than that he looked really solid.

 

[MCguidance]

updated

 

[Tanner9919]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:

10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg - ACTUAL: 76, 1; 5 rec for 24 yards

11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg - ACTUAL: 92; 4 rec for 20 yards

12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg - ACTUAL: 90, 1; 3 rec for 15 yards

13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg - ACTUAL: 96 ,1; 4 rec for 71 yards

14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg ACTUAL: 91; 4 rec for 26 yars

15 GNB - #12 Run D - 99 ypg

16 PIT - #2 Run D - 72 ypg

17 @ARI - #11 Run D - 98 ypg

Above represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed.

My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

EDIT: He has not been the uber stud, obviously. But he has performed well and seems to be consistent. Admittedly, he hurt me enough during his missed games that I will not make the playoffs. But I am thinking that for some of you, he will. Again, he has a very good matchup next week versus CINCY, but then draws GB and PITT (the case can be made either way: optimistic view - he is healthy, consistent - a TD 4 of the last 5 games played - and will be big again down the stretch; pessimistic view - he has only been good against bad defenses - only way he salvaged games were with two big runs - and will hurt you down the stretch with the tough schedule). Again, you expect him to do well enough next week and then hope he can grind it out or break some big ones the following two weeks. So for the SP -- will he make it to 1000 yards? Will a strong finish remove him from bust status, or is the damage already done? He looks like he could come close to the 1k, no? Obviously, he has an uphill battle, but when healthy, he has been better than some of the other first round RBs taken. Just thought I would revisit this given the last few weeks.

He currently has 719 yards with 3 weeks to play. He needs to average 94 yards per game to hit the 1k mark (1000 - 719 = 281 / 3 approx. = 94 yd/game). He has two tough games left, which puts a damper on his chances. But I would say that he has a decent chance to get there.

its been a down year for many of the supposed top 10 RB's..I'm sure Jackson will be back in a big way, next season, and you're right he could top 1000 yards this season, but I wouldn't take solace in that, he's wrecked many a fantasy team this season..

 

[MCguidance]

i lost power when i went to originally post this so this will be shorter: i hate when people say that they wouldnt bench their high picks because thats why they drafted them...however, i feel that this is a case of exactly that because he has played well of late and e has never been healthier this season. combine that with bulger being back (possibly) and his line coming together a bit and i wouldnt bench him...

honestly, he killed me this year, and thats why i didnt make the playoffs. the ww was dry when he went down and i couldnt pull off a trade..ok no one cares, but if i were still alive, id being playing him unless i had another top 10 back in my backfield...

Tanner, as you can see, I agree with you completely.

 

[Cowboys#1]

Big 1st half so far vs. GB he's been playing well..

Obviously too little to late for those of us who needed him during the season but he is still a super stud.

 

[MCguidance]

bump for week 16...SJAX is now 18th in rushing with 5 TDs. I think what is a bit suprising is that he has had 4 runs over 40 yards, placing him in second in the league behind ADP, which indicates that he is probably all the way back from his injury, and running well. I would put him as a must start next week. Any thoughts?

 

[stingy]

I'm wondering about this week too. I benched him vs. Green Bay for Earnest Graham and nearly paid the price. Watching Steven handle the Packers defense like he did makes me think he can do it against Pittsburgh too. It's in the dome, and Pitt is only 2-4 on the road.

 

[MCguidance]

I'm wondering about this week too. I benched him vs. Green Bay for Earnest Graham and nearly paid the price. Watching Steven handle the Packers defense like he did makes me think he can do it against Pittsburgh too. It's in the dome, and Pitt is only 2-4 on the road.

Jax did run all over Pitt and Pitt is not playing well...espec on the road like you mentioned. If I was still alive, I'd be playing Sjax unless I had a bonafied stud going in his place. I saw someone mentioned Fred Taylor against OAK, and that's one hell of a dilemma.

 

[TheWick]

would you sit LT against PIT?

well then don't sit Jackson

 

[MCguidance]

Bump for week 16 stats...what do you all think....

 

[MCguidance]

If the Rams keep him out - like I expect them to- until week 10, I do not think 1000 yards is out of the realm of possibility. He currently has 233 yrds. If he is healthy in the remaining weeks, he would have to - check the math here - average about 95 yards per game to hit the 1000 yard mark. Granted his line must improve but he does have some favorable matchups when he returns:10 @NO - #14 Run D - 105 ypg11 @SF - #22 Run D - 122 ypg12 SEA - #18 Run D- 116 ypg13 ATL - #24 Run D - 132 ypg14 @CIN - #29 Run D - 145 ypg15 GNB - #12 Run D - 100 ypg16 PIT - #4 Run D - 72 ypg17 @ARI - #16 Run D - 114 ypgAbove represents the matchups in each week and each teams rushing D ranking and yards yielded per contest (per ESPN), respectively. If you assume he comes back in week 10 healthy, he has above average matchups in in all but two contests (assuming 100 yards is the favorable/unfavorable cut off) week 15 and 16. At first glance, you would say these two games are not great as they are in the playoffs, but most playoffs start in week 14 and Cincy represents a very good matchup, likely one that could see Sjax go off for a large number. And in the weeks that follow, who knows what could happen? ALso, after checking the game log for game 15 for GB last year - GB against a Lions team gave up over 70 yards on the ground; game log from game 16 last year, Pitt gave up 77 and 1 TD yards to Jamal Lewis, 98 in total - these are just for reference for late year games and rushing yards allowed. My conclusion is that if he needs to average 95 yards per game to get to 1000 [(1000 yards - 233 yards already gained) / 8 games remaining = 95 ypg], this schedule provides the opportunity. And while 1000 yard rusher is not what Sjax owners bargained for, all hope is not lost.

Someone was dropped as a babyHe may come back, but no way he's 100% or anywhere near 2006 form. And have you seen a Rams game this year?

Do you still think that is the case?

 

[tonystrong]

Do you think 1000 yards while missing 5 games is an achievement or not? I would like to hear the Shark Pools thoughts on Sjax moving forward as well as what this year has taught us.

The guy can flat out play. It is a great achievent to get 1,000 yards while missing 5 games, especially with his O line.. All things considered I'm happy with his performance this year (when healthy). In the past the bench mark for a running back was 1,000 yards because they played 12 games. But now, if i'm not mistaken, I think the bench mark for a very good year is 1,300 yards for a full 16 game season.