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Sleepers (10th round plus) for 2014 (1 Viewer)
- Thread starter OG_GF
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Kool-Aid Larry
Footballguy
Anarchy99
Footballguy
RB
Terrance West, RB 41, 110 overall
Tate has issues staying healthy and West may be the better back to begin with. Will start as a RBBC and I would guess West gets a bigger majority later in the season.
Andre Brown, RB 53, 154 overall
I am not fully sold that Foster will be 100% all season and Brown may be used more than expected on first or second down. Brown would be almost a fantasy must start if Foster was out. Doubt he will take over the starting job, but I think he will get more work than expected.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB 67, 167 overall
Richardson did not impress at all once he got to IND but will get first crack at touches again. Richardson was bad enough that he will be on a short rope. Would have more love for Bradshaw if he could get healthy.
CJ Anderson, RB 59, 173 overall
I personally am not sold on Bell automatically being "the guy" in DEN. He should see the majority of the work, but a fumble here and a pulled hamstring there and Anderson might get a legit shot at more work.
Bryce Brown, RB 69, 204 overall
Jackson is just plain old and Spiller has struggles with injuries. Brown is 10 years younger than Jackson is and has much fresher legs. Brown could still touches from wither or both and could be the bigger ball carrier by the end of the year.
WR
Aaron Dobson, WR 56, 144 overall
Lost in the shuffle with everything going on in NE, Dobson was very quietly the #21 WR in ppr leagues in the first half of the season last year (Weeks 2-9). If healthy (admittedly a big if), he likely will be the only Pats WR that won't come off the field.
Doug Baldwin, WR 64, 181 overall
With Tate moving on to DET, Baldwin is in line to take over WR2 duties in SEA. Rice is a total wildcard and can't stay healthy (and Harvin is not exactly a pillar of health). Baldwin should way outclass his WR 64 draft day investment.
Harry Douglas, WR 66, 187 overall
Douglas probably had the quietest 1,000 yard season ever last year. Even with White and Jones back and healthy, no Gonzalez = still lots of work for Douglas. With Ryan expected to get 4,500+ passing yards, run the numbers and present a case where Douglas doesn't get his share of the pie.
Jerrico Cotchery, WR 76, 228 overall
This is more a vote of less confidence in Benjamin than it is in a love fest for Cotchery. I suspect Benjamin will struggle and Cotchery is the other, more experienced WR alternative. Cotchery has been a WR2 or WR3 five times already in his career. Who knew? And his ADP as a starting NFL receiver is WR76? Like Douglas, run some numbers on the Panthers passing attack and show me how Cam gets to 3,500 yards.
Malcolm Floyd, WR 80, 246 overall
Over the past 4 seasons, of all WR that have played at least 15 games, Floyd ranks 28th in ppg (0 ppr). A forgotten man with an injury history a mile long, he is penciled in as the second starter for SD. When he plays he generally has been very productive.
Terrance West, RB 41, 110 overall
Tate has issues staying healthy and West may be the better back to begin with. Will start as a RBBC and I would guess West gets a bigger majority later in the season.
Andre Brown, RB 53, 154 overall
I am not fully sold that Foster will be 100% all season and Brown may be used more than expected on first or second down. Brown would be almost a fantasy must start if Foster was out. Doubt he will take over the starting job, but I think he will get more work than expected.
Ahmad Bradshaw, RB 67, 167 overall
Richardson did not impress at all once he got to IND but will get first crack at touches again. Richardson was bad enough that he will be on a short rope. Would have more love for Bradshaw if he could get healthy.
CJ Anderson, RB 59, 173 overall
I personally am not sold on Bell automatically being "the guy" in DEN. He should see the majority of the work, but a fumble here and a pulled hamstring there and Anderson might get a legit shot at more work.
Bryce Brown, RB 69, 204 overall
Jackson is just plain old and Spiller has struggles with injuries. Brown is 10 years younger than Jackson is and has much fresher legs. Brown could still touches from wither or both and could be the bigger ball carrier by the end of the year.
WR
Aaron Dobson, WR 56, 144 overall
Lost in the shuffle with everything going on in NE, Dobson was very quietly the #21 WR in ppr leagues in the first half of the season last year (Weeks 2-9). If healthy (admittedly a big if), he likely will be the only Pats WR that won't come off the field.
Doug Baldwin, WR 64, 181 overall
With Tate moving on to DET, Baldwin is in line to take over WR2 duties in SEA. Rice is a total wildcard and can't stay healthy (and Harvin is not exactly a pillar of health). Baldwin should way outclass his WR 64 draft day investment.
Harry Douglas, WR 66, 187 overall
Douglas probably had the quietest 1,000 yard season ever last year. Even with White and Jones back and healthy, no Gonzalez = still lots of work for Douglas. With Ryan expected to get 4,500+ passing yards, run the numbers and present a case where Douglas doesn't get his share of the pie.
Jerrico Cotchery, WR 76, 228 overall
This is more a vote of less confidence in Benjamin than it is in a love fest for Cotchery. I suspect Benjamin will struggle and Cotchery is the other, more experienced WR alternative. Cotchery has been a WR2 or WR3 five times already in his career. Who knew? And his ADP as a starting NFL receiver is WR76? Like Douglas, run some numbers on the Panthers passing attack and show me how Cam gets to 3,500 yards.
Malcolm Floyd, WR 80, 246 overall
Over the past 4 seasons, of all WR that have played at least 15 games, Floyd ranks 28th in ppg (0 ppr). A forgotten man with an injury history a mile long, he is penciled in as the second starter for SD. When he plays he generally has been very productive.
ctrlaltdefeat
Footballguy
Breakout year for Kendall Wright. Everyone is on Justin hunter but no one is talking about Kendall. Adp later than a 10th?
Time Kibitzer
Footballguy
Anarchy99
Footballguy
Dragon1952
Footballguy
I'm thinking Malcolm Floyd could be a huge sleeper this year also.Reports are that he is looking healthy and that he looked very good in camp.
ctrlaltdefeat
Footballguy
ctrlaltdefeat
Footballguy
KellysHeroes
Footballguy
Did a redraft the other day, beginning the 10th I got Gates, Big Ben James Jones. Also available was E Sanders and Riley Cooper
buck naked
Footballguy
He had 94 catches last year. He is post-breakout. Wright will go in about the 6th round.
Rhythmdoctor
Footballguy
I love the following after round 10:
WRs:
Danny Amendola
Anquan Boldin
Greg Jennings
QBs:
Carson Palmer
Tony Romo
Russell Wilson
WRs:
Danny Amendola
Anquan Boldin
Greg Jennings
QBs:
Carson Palmer
Tony Romo
Russell Wilson
Sweetness_34
Footballguy
Danny Amendola
Dragon1952
Footballguy
What are you talking about? I frequent quite a few sites and I haven't heard #### about him.
FUBAR
Footballguy
I like Wright too but not sure how much of a breakout he can have after finishing wr23 last year and catching 94 receptions.
He can become a top twelve guy.
I'm watching for his qb to break out if healthy.
Khy
Footballguy
Lets see, here's a few of the guys I've been targeting in all my MFL10s so far:
QBs: Eli - Think he's in for a big bounce back season and can likely be had as a late if not last round flier.
Dalton - Not sure how someone who put up the points he did last year is going this late. He may not have the same production but he'll come close
RBs: Andre Williams - Not buying Jennings health over a full season as a bellcow back and right now we don't know what David Wilson's situation will be. That said, also add David Wilson to this list for the same reasons.
Knile Davis - If Charles goes down Davis is an instant low end RB1 while he's out.
Latavius Murray - I love this guy and in my opinion he's got nothing more than a wet blanket and a broken 2x4 in front of him on the depth chart.
WRs: - Kelvin Benjamin - he might suck but he also might catch 10-15 TDs this season, that's enough upside for me to take a 10th round flier on him.
Brian Hartline - The perennial underrated guy, he's a 10th round pick or later every season and every season he finishes as a low end WR2-high WR3 I have him every year and every year I'm happy about it.
Andrew Hawkins - Could be a PPR monster this season, Cleveland has to throw to someone.
Jarrett Boykin - Should see decent production without an injury but if Cobb or Nelson go down he could be a high end WR2.
Marquess Wilson - Same situation as Boykin. He'll probably put up decent WR3-WR4 numbers all season but if Marshall or Jefferey miss a few weeks he'll be a WR2 with WR1 upside those weeks.
TEs:
Heath Miller - Nuff said here
Delanie Walker
QBs: Eli - Think he's in for a big bounce back season and can likely be had as a late if not last round flier.
Dalton - Not sure how someone who put up the points he did last year is going this late. He may not have the same production but he'll come close
RBs: Andre Williams - Not buying Jennings health over a full season as a bellcow back and right now we don't know what David Wilson's situation will be. That said, also add David Wilson to this list for the same reasons.
Knile Davis - If Charles goes down Davis is an instant low end RB1 while he's out.
Latavius Murray - I love this guy and in my opinion he's got nothing more than a wet blanket and a broken 2x4 in front of him on the depth chart.
WRs: - Kelvin Benjamin - he might suck but he also might catch 10-15 TDs this season, that's enough upside for me to take a 10th round flier on him.
Brian Hartline - The perennial underrated guy, he's a 10th round pick or later every season and every season he finishes as a low end WR2-high WR3 I have him every year and every year I'm happy about it.
Andrew Hawkins - Could be a PPR monster this season, Cleveland has to throw to someone.
Jarrett Boykin - Should see decent production without an injury but if Cobb or Nelson go down he could be a high end WR2.
Marquess Wilson - Same situation as Boykin. He'll probably put up decent WR3-WR4 numbers all season but if Marshall or Jefferey miss a few weeks he'll be a WR2 with WR1 upside those weeks.
TEs:
Heath Miller - Nuff said here
Delanie Walker
josefrees
Footballguy
It just seems like every year since Malcolm Floyd has been in the league he is either hyped up or given sleeper status. And then he gets injured.
Anarchy99
Footballguy
Still doesn't change the fact that he's averaged 9 fantasy ppg over his last 39 games played. Sure, he's been hurt, but he's been fantasy start worthy when he's been in the lineup. Considering he is available in the last round of almost every draft (or will be on the waiver wire), that to me seems like a decent investment.
Kwai Chang Caine
Footballguy
josefrees
Footballguy
I'm really not making any claims concerning his value rather that it amazes me that he is still going and that pretty much every year he has been in the league has gotten some kind of hype. It's like he has alternated between being under and overvalued throughout his career.
I'm also curious what makes 39 games a magical number? It looks like you are hiding something when your conditions are arbitrary. I'm also curious what that average would be if the pool was trimmed to eliminate outliers. Or maybe even a median number. Average PPG is a misleading statistic when the players production is uneven. Are you willing to start him every game for that 9 PPG average where in one game he has 0 and in the next he has 18?
I'm also curious what makes 39 games a magical number? It looks like you are hiding something when your conditions are arbitrary. I'm also curious what that average would be if the pool was trimmed to eliminate outliers. Or maybe even a median number. Average PPG is a misleading statistic when the players production is uneven. Are you willing to start him every game for that 9 PPG average where in one game he has 0 and in the next he has 18?
Lt. Bardolph
Footballguy
I notice a lot of the players mentioned here require an injury in order to have any sort of impact. I prefer to target players who are already in good situations and are being overlooked because of a down year in 2013. With that in mind, I'm convinced the following players will perform well above their late round ADP's:
1. Greg Jennings
2. Carson Palmer
3. Markus Wheaton
4. Marques Colston
5. Bucs DST
One player nobody is talking about whom I'll be watching in training camp is David Wilson. If I drafted today I would not draft him, but he's the most talented back on that roster, so if he's healthy in camp and getting good looks, at the very least I'm going to target him late as a Jennings handcuff.
1. Greg Jennings
2. Carson Palmer
3. Markus Wheaton
4. Marques Colston
5. Bucs DST
One player nobody is talking about whom I'll be watching in training camp is David Wilson. If I drafted today I would not draft him, but he's the most talented back on that roster, so if he's healthy in camp and getting good looks, at the very least I'm going to target him late as a Jennings handcuff.
MattFancy
Footballguy
I'm in the middle of a draft master's draft and we're in the 11th. Some guys I like that have gone since the 10th:
Terrance West - 10.1 (could see him taking over in Cleveland sooner rather than later)
Fred Jackson - 10.5 (never seems to go away)
Charles Clay - 10.8 (could be a TE1)
Dwayne Bowe - 10.10 (believe he will be better than last season. also was my pick)
Phillip Rivers - 10.11 (seems pretty low for one of the top QBs from last season)
Maurice Jones-Drew - 11.3 (could be their week 1 starter. again was my pick)
Antonio Gates - 11.8 (even with all the LGreen hype, he's still their TE1 for now)
Ben Roethlisberger - 11.10 (one of the most underrated fantasy QBs)
Terrance West - 10.1 (could see him taking over in Cleveland sooner rather than later)
Fred Jackson - 10.5 (never seems to go away)
Charles Clay - 10.8 (could be a TE1)
Dwayne Bowe - 10.10 (believe he will be better than last season. also was my pick)
Phillip Rivers - 10.11 (seems pretty low for one of the top QBs from last season)
Maurice Jones-Drew - 11.3 (could be their week 1 starter. again was my pick)
Antonio Gates - 11.8 (even with all the LGreen hype, he's still their TE1 for now)
Ben Roethlisberger - 11.10 (one of the most underrated fantasy QBs)
Monsters of the Midway
Footballguy
Seems we disagree on what hype means. He literally has a near zero value now. That's not hype to me. He is starting on a team that had success throwing the ball last year. That alone arguably means that he is undervalued given that he will only cost you your last roster spot and can be cut if/when he gets hurt.
Why ask if you are willing to start a guy every game who can be drafted as your 7th WR? Apples and oranges. That's flyer, draft and stash, hope he plays well territory. What WRs drafted around WR80 would you be willing to start every game?
IC FBGCav
Footballguy
I have drafted over 20 teams already.
Was getting P Thomas, E. Sanders, Woodhead and F Jackson all around 8th or later. 2/3 weeks ago. Not anymore.
In 15 round leagues
L. Green almost always goes for Gates. I like Gates much better.
A. Bradshaw I was getting with the last pick in the draft and he is moving up fast.
D. Walker could be a great late round TE.
L. Blount is always around really late and worth a gamble IMO.
K. Stills huge upside
Really late in deeper leagues
S. Greene
L. Moore
M. Lewis TE Jax
J. McCown
J. Cotchery
H. Douglas
Was getting P Thomas, E. Sanders, Woodhead and F Jackson all around 8th or later. 2/3 weeks ago. Not anymore.
In 15 round leagues
L. Green almost always goes for Gates. I like Gates much better.
A. Bradshaw I was getting with the last pick in the draft and he is moving up fast.
D. Walker could be a great late round TE.
L. Blount is always around really late and worth a gamble IMO.
K. Stills huge upside
Really late in deeper leagues
S. Greene
L. Moore
M. Lewis TE Jax
J. McCown
J. Cotchery
H. Douglas
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Lord Fantasy
Footballguy
Kool-Aid Larry
Footballguy
montana_grizzly_bears
Footballguy
What about Kelvin Benjamin in Carolina. Usually see him going late 10th and beyond though he may trend up closer to the season.
DropKick
Footballguy
Fool me once, shame on you. Fool be
dickey moe
Fingerpicker
QB: Cutler, Roeth, Dalton
RB: DWill, DMcFadden, LMiller, ABradshaw, JStewart
WR: HNicks, ABoldin, GJennings, OBeckham Jr., DBaldwin, Cotchery, Hawkins
TE: DWalker, HMiller, DAllen, JAmaro
RB: DWill, DMcFadden, LMiller, ABradshaw, JStewart
WR: HNicks, ABoldin, GJennings, OBeckham Jr., DBaldwin, Cotchery, Hawkins
TE: DWalker, HMiller, DAllen, JAmaro
Drunken Benson
Footballguy
Any idea what we should make of Brandin Cooks? 1st round pick, WR, Saints...I'm already interested. Similar skill set to Stills, which bodes poorly for Kenny. Sproles gone, Moore gone, Colston possibly cliff-falling...I smell upside.
17seconds
root of all aliai
I hear you. Everybody wants to like Floyd every year and he does nothing. This year everybody shut up about him so he is a sleeper, but it's hard to buy it IMO.
SameSongNDance
Footballguy
Mohammad Sanu - Reportedly had a fantastic camp, gets a chance to make an impact while Jones is sidelined.
Justin Hunter - Has all the tools, I believe and you should too.
Aaron Dobson - The true NE deep threat, 6'3 with 4.4 wheels, if he and Brady can get on the same page watch out.
Kenny Britt - He looked good on his two 30+ catches in the dress rehearsal. I saw flashes of what we all saw earlier in his career.
Justin Hunter - Has all the tools, I believe and you should too.
Aaron Dobson - The true NE deep threat, 6'3 with 4.4 wheels, if he and Brady can get on the same page watch out.
Kenny Britt - He looked good on his two 30+ catches in the dress rehearsal. I saw flashes of what we all saw earlier in his career.
Khy
Footballguy
identikit
Footballguy
Kool-Aid Larry
Footballguy
identikit
Footballguy
Kool-Aid Larry
Footballguy
they aren't running 100% 3 wide, and anyway they claim to want to run a lot of 2 te with allen and whatshisface, and that's when they aren't being a 'run heavy' team.
nicks gets maybe 50-60% or he benches one of the other guys.
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False Start
Footballguy
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